This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.50
1.60
1.20
1.80
1.80
vs Stronger (8)
1.25
1.62
1.00
1.00
1.50
2.25
vs Similar (21)
1.86
1.48
1.82
1.27
1.90
1.70
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Randers FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.3%
Under 1.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.4%
Under 2.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.0%
Under 3.5
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.7%
No
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
1-2 ✓
9.3%
0-1
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
7.2%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
1-0
5.7%
Randers FC goals ↓
Aarhus goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.4%
7.6%
7.2%
4.0%
1.6%
1
5.7%
12%
9.3%
5.1%
2.1%
2
4.4%
7.2%
6.0%
3.3%
1.4%
3
1.9%
3.1%
2.6%
1.4%
0.6%
4
0.6%
1.0%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Randers FC goals (down), columns = Aarhus goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Aarhus
2.09
FC Midtjylland
1.88
FC Copenhagen
1.58
FC Nordsjaelland
1.56
Brondby
1.39
Viborg
1.38
Sonderjyske
1.38
Odense
1.28
Silkeborg
1.12
Randers FC
1.09
FC Fredericia
1.06
Vejle
0.75
Randers FC is 1.00 points worse than Aarhus in terms of average points per game (1.09 vs 2.09).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Midtjylland
2.25
FC Copenhagen
2.06
Aarhus
1.94
FC Nordsjaelland
1.59
Odense
1.59
Viborg
1.53
FC Fredericia
1.41
Sonderjyske
1.38
Brondby
1.36
Silkeborg
1.28
Vejle
1.12
Randers FC
1.03
Randers FC is 0.91 goals worse than Aarhus in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.94).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Aarhus
1.00
Brondby
1.09
FC Midtjylland
1.12
FC Copenhagen
1.36
FC Nordsjaelland
1.44
Randers FC
1.47
Sonderjyske
1.53
Viborg
1.59
Odense
1.88
Vejle
1.88
Silkeborg
2.09
FC Fredericia
2.12
Randers FC is 0.47 goals worse than Aarhus in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
57%
FC Copenhagen
55%
FC Midtjylland
54%
Aarhus
54%
Odense
51%
Brondby
51%
Silkeborg
49%
Randers FC
48%
Viborg
48%
Vejle
45%
FC Fredericia
44%
Sonderjyske
44%
Randers FC is 5.1 percentage points worse than Aarhus in terms of average possession (48% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Randers FC
For 5.2 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 11.0 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aarhus
For 5.3 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 10.5 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Randers FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.8
9.3
3.4
3.1
3.7
21.6
20.7
22.5
vs Stronger (21)
8.8
8.6
9.0
3.5
3.0
4.1
21.2
21.3
21.0
vs Similar (29)
10.2
11.2
9.5
3.3
3.2
3.4
22.0
20.0
23.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
57%
48%
50%
43%
56%
52%
43%
61%
% under line
48%
43%
52%
50%
57%
44%
48%
57%
39%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.6
9.5
3.5
3.9
3.0
22.2
22.2
22.2
vs Stronger (10)
11.4
11.2
11.6
4.5
3.8
5.2
21.1
20.8
21.4
vs Similar (37)
8.8
9.1
8.4
3.1
3.7
2.5
22.1
22.2
21.9
vs Weaker (3)
13.5
10.0
17.0
5.0
9.0
3.0
29.5
28.0
31.0
% over line
41%
36%
45%
48%
54%
42%
59%
64%
55%
% under line
59%
64%
55%
52%
46%
58%
41%
36%
45%
This opponent (Randers FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Fredericia
11.2
Vejle
10.8
Viborg
10.5
FC Midtjylland
10.3
Odense
10.1
Randers FC
9.9
Sonderjyske
9.9
Aarhus
9.8
Brondby
9.5
Silkeborg
9.0
FC Nordsjaelland
8.3
FC Copenhagen
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Copenhagen
4.0
Brondby
4.0
Aarhus
4.0
FC Midtjylland
3.9
Sonderjyske
3.8
Viborg
3.8
Randers FC
3.8
Odense
3.7
FC Nordsjaelland
3.4
Vejle
3.2
Silkeborg
3.1
FC Fredericia
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
23.5
FC Copenhagen
23.1
Viborg
22.7
Aarhus
22.1
Odense
22.0
Randers FC
21.5
Sonderjyske
21.4
Vejle
21.1
Brondby
20.8
FC Nordsjaelland
20.3
Silkeborg
19.8
FC Fredericia
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.4%
Under 9.5
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
44.2%
Under 3.5
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
45.5%
Under 21.5
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Randers FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.00
0.57
0.93
0.62
1.06
vs Stronger (14)
0.50
1.29
0.38
1.25
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.75
0.83
0.50
0.60
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.53
1.00
0.40
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.38
0.25
0.25
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (21)
1.00
0.62
1.27
0.45
0.70
0.80
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Randers FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Randers FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Randers FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.57
0.57
0.69
0.62
vs Stronger (14)
0.71
1.00
0.75
0.75
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (16)
0.56
0.25
0.33
0.33
0.70
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.97
0.60
0.80
1.13
1.13
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.25
0.75
0.75
1.00
1.75
vs Similar (21)
0.86
0.86
0.55
0.82
1.20
0.90
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Randers FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Randers FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Randers FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Florian Danho25%
Cyril Edudzi25%
Mohamed Touré18%
Warren Caddy17%
Elies Mahmoud16%
Norman Campbell12%
Oliver Olsen12%
Thibault Klidjé11%
Daniel Høegh10%
Mathias Greve Petersen7%
John Björkengren7%
Nikolas Dyhr6%
Sabil Hansen4%
Wessel Dammers3%
Stephen Odey0%
Paul Izzo0%
André Rømer0%
Frederik Lauenborg0%
Jannich Storch0%
Lucas Lissens0%
Martin Sjølstad0%
Amin Al-Hamawi0%
Musa Touré0%
Laurits Pedersen0%
Max Albæk Andersen0%
Mike Themsen0%
Benjamin Örn0%
Ousseynou Fall Seck0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
John Björkengren27%
Florian Danho25%
Laurits Pedersen24%
Mohamed Touré24%
Daniel Høegh20%
Oliver Olsen18%
Stephen Odey17%
Jannich Storch17%
Ousseynou Fall Seck17%
Nikolas Dyhr13%
Norman Campbell12%
Sabil Hansen12%
Wessel Dammers9%
Musa Touré8%
Mathias Greve Petersen7%
Elies Mahmoud6%
André Rømer4%
Paul Izzo4%
Frederik Lauenborg0%
Warren Caddy0%
Thibault Klidjé0%
Lucas Lissens0%
Martin Sjølstad0%
Amin Al-Hamawi0%
Max Albæk Andersen0%
Mike Themsen0%
Benjamin Örn0%
Cyril Edudzi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Amin Al-Hamawi25%
Mohamed Touré18%
Mathias Greve Petersen14%
Norman Campbell12%
Elies Mahmoud12%
Mike Themsen7%
Lucas Lissens7%
Nikolas Dyhr6%
Laurits Pedersen3%
John Björkengren3%
Wessel Dammers3%
Stephen Odey0%
Paul Izzo0%
André Rømer0%
Frederik Lauenborg0%
Oliver Olsen0%
Jannich Storch0%
Daniel Høegh0%
Warren Caddy0%
Thibault Klidjé0%
Florian Danho0%
Martin Sjølstad0%
Musa Touré0%
Max Albæk Andersen0%
Sabil Hansen0%
Benjamin Örn0%
Cyril Edudzi0%
Ousseynou Fall Seck0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Florian Danho25%
Musa Touré15%
Elies Mahmoud12%
Cyril Edudzi12%
Mohamed Touré12%
Thibault Klidjé11%
Mike Themsen10%
Warren Caddy8%
Mathias Greve Petersen7%
Norman Campbell6%
Stephen Odey0%
Paul Izzo0%
André Rømer0%
Frederik Lauenborg0%
Oliver Olsen0%
Jannich Storch0%
Daniel Høegh0%
Wessel Dammers0%
John Björkengren0%
Nikolas Dyhr0%
Lucas Lissens0%
Martin Sjølstad0%
Amin Al-Hamawi0%
Laurits Pedersen0%
Max Albæk Andersen0%
Sabil Hansen0%
Benjamin Örn0%
Ousseynou Fall Seck0%
Aarhus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tobias Bech31%
Patrick Mortensen28%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Rasmus Carstensen17%
Markus Solbakken17%
Gift Links12%
Frederik Emmery12%
Kevin Yakob12%
Janni Serra10%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson10%
Stefen Tchamche8%
Henrik Dalsgaard6%
Felix Beijmo6%
Frederik Tingager5%
Nicolai Poulsen5%
Sebastian Jørgensen4%
Jesper Hansen0%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Eric Kahl0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
James Bogere0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James Bogere33%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Nicolai Poulsen25%
Felix Beijmo16%
Magnus Knudsen14%
Rasmus Carstensen12%
Gift Links12%
Eric Kahl12%
Frederik Tingager10%
Henrik Dalsgaard9%
Tobias Bech9%
Markus Solbakken8%
Kevin Yakob8%
Patrick Mortensen6%
Jesper Hansen3%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Sebastian Jørgensen0%
Janni Serra0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
Frederik Emmery0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gift Links16%
Mads Emil Madsen14%
Jacob Andersen14%
Kristian Arnstad13%
Tobias Bech12%
Felix Beijmo12%
Frederik Emmery12%
Nicolai Poulsen10%
Kevin Yakob8%
Sebastian Jørgensen7%
Frederik Tingager5%
Rasmus Carstensen4%
Henrik Dalsgaard3%
Eric Kahl3%
Patrick Mortensen0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Janni Serra0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Markus Solbakken0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Luka Callø0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
James Bogere0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tobias Bech38%
James Bogere33%
Kristian Arnstad26%
Patrick Mortensen25%
Kevin Yakob15%
Gift Links12%
Nicolai Poulsen10%
Frederik Emmery4%
Henrik Dalsgaard0%
Frederik Tingager0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Rasmus Carstensen0%
Mads Emil Madsen0%
Sebastian Jørgensen0%
Janni Serra0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Magnus Knudsen0%
Markus Solbakken0%
Eric Kahl0%
Youssouph Badji0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Jacob Andersen0%
Luka Callø0%
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson0%
Stefen Tchamche0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
Randers FC's squad is €22m less valuable than Aarhus's (€14m vs €36m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
FF (5)
€2m
Randers FC's attack is €9m less valuable than Aarhus's (€5m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
Randers FC's midfield is €11m less valuable than Aarhus's (€3m vs €14m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
Randers FC's defence is €2m less valuable than Aarhus's (€6m vs €8m).
Denmark: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
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FC Midtjylland
FC Copenhagen
FC Nordsjaelland
Brondby
Viborg
Sonderjyske
Odense
Silkeborg
FC Fredericia
Vejle