This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Midtjylland
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.47
1.57
1.36
1.62
1.56
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (16)
1.06
1.75
1.12
1.75
1.00
1.75
vs Weaker (12)
2.42
1.00
2.20
0.60
2.57
1.29
Clean sheet %
23% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Randers FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.3%
Under 1.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.4%
Under 2.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.0%
Under 3.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.2%
No
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-1 ✓
7.4%
0-1
6.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.7%
1-0
5.3%
Randers FC goals ↓
FC Midtjylland goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.7%
6.8%
6.7%
3.8%
1.6%
1
5.3%
12%
9.2%
5.2%
2.2%
2
4.4%
7.4%
6.3%
3.6%
1.5%
3
2.0%
3.4%
2.9%
1.6%
0.7%
4
0.7%
1.2%
1.0%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Randers FC goals (down), columns = FC Midtjylland goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
1.97
FC Midtjylland
1.94
Brondby
1.59
Silkeborg
1.58
Viborg
1.47
Randers FC
1.45
FC Nordsjaelland
1.44
Aarhus
1.25
Sonderjyske
1.16
Vejle
0.88
Lyngby
0.84
Aalborg
0.75
Randers FC is 0.48 points worse than FC Midtjylland in terms of average points per game (1.45 vs 1.94).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Midtjylland
2.00
FC Copenhagen
1.88
Brondby
1.81
Silkeborg
1.79
Viborg
1.78
Randers FC
1.76
Aarhus
1.66
FC Nordsjaelland
1.66
Sonderjyske
1.47
Vejle
1.16
Aalborg
1.06
Lyngby
0.81
Randers FC is 0.24 goals worse than FC Midtjylland in terms of goals scored per game (1.76 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Copenhagen
1.03
Silkeborg
1.27
FC Midtjylland
1.31
Lyngby
1.34
Aarhus
1.44
Brondby
1.44
Viborg
1.56
Randers FC
1.61
FC Nordsjaelland
1.75
Sonderjyske
2.00
Vejle
2.00
Aalborg
2.09
Randers FC is 0.29 goals worse than FC Midtjylland in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.31).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
61%
Brondby
54%
Silkeborg
54%
FC Copenhagen
53%
Aarhus
52%
Viborg
49%
FC Midtjylland
48%
Aalborg
47%
Sonderjyske
47%
Lyngby
47%
Randers FC
46%
Vejle
42%
Randers FC is 1.5 percentage points worse than FC Midtjylland in terms of average possession (46% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Randers FC
For 5.5 · Against 3.2 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 10.4 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Midtjylland
For 6.4 · Against 4.7 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 12.8 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Randers FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.2
10.1
3.6
3.5
3.6
23.1
23.8
22.4
vs Stronger (15)
9.9
8.6
11.0
3.3
3.6
3.1
20.7
21.9
19.8
vs Similar (35)
10.3
10.9
9.7
3.7
3.5
3.8
24.2
24.6
23.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
62%
62%
48%
54%
42%
62%
71%
54%
% under line
38%
38%
38%
52%
46%
58%
38%
29%
46%
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Midtjylland
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
12.0
10.6
3.4
3.6
3.2
21.5
22.5
20.6
vs Stronger (2)
7.5
5.0
10.0
2.5
3.0
2.0
26.0
25.0
27.0
vs Similar (25)
12.0
13.9
10.2
3.6
3.6
3.6
21.3
21.6
21.0
vs Weaker (23)
10.8
10.5
11.2
3.2
3.6
2.8
21.4
23.3
19.5
% over line
71%
67%
75%
38%
42%
35%
38%
50%
25%
% under line
29%
33%
25%
62%
58%
65%
62%
50%
75%
This opponent (Randers FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Midtjylland
11.3
Viborg
11.3
Vejle
10.9
Lyngby
10.7
Brondby
10.2
Randers FC
10.2
Aalborg
10.0
FC Nordsjaelland
9.7
Sonderjyske
9.6
Aarhus
9.4
FC Copenhagen
9.3
Silkeborg
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aarhus
4.4
FC Copenhagen
4.2
Lyngby
4.0
Viborg
3.9
Vejle
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.8
Randers FC
3.8
FC Midtjylland
3.7
Brondby
3.7
FC Nordsjaelland
3.6
Aalborg
3.6
Silkeborg
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lyngby
24.3
Aarhus
23.7
Randers FC
23.1
Vejle
22.7
Sonderjyske
22.4
Viborg
22.2
FC Copenhagen
21.9
FC Midtjylland
21.5
Aalborg
21.4
FC Nordsjaelland
20.8
Brondby
20.7
Silkeborg
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Randers FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.57
0.93
0.50
0.94
0.62
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
0.80
1.00
0.75
0.50
0.83
vs Similar (20)
1.05
0.45
0.90
0.40
1.20
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Midtjylland
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.73
0.86
0.57
0.81
0.88
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.56
0.81
0.50
0.75
0.62
0.88
vs Weaker (12)
1.25
0.58
1.40
0.20
1.14
0.86
Clean sheet %
40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Randers FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Randers FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Randers FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.63
0.79
0.57
0.94
0.69
vs Stronger (10)
1.10
0.90
1.75
0.75
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.50
0.40
0.50
1.10
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Midtjylland
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.73
0.71
0.79
0.81
0.69
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.94
0.62
1.00
0.38
0.88
vs Weaker (12)
1.17
0.42
0.80
0.40
1.43
0.43
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Randers FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Randers FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Randers FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Simen Bolkan Nordli34%
Norman Campbell26%
Mads Enggård25%
Mohamed Touré21%
Mathias Greve20%
Wessel Dammers16%
Elies Mahmoud15%
Frederik Lauenborg13%
Tammer Bany13%
Florian Danho11%
Mike Themsen5%
Stephen Odey4%
André Rømer4%
Nicolas Dyhr4%
Oliver Olsen3%
John Björkengren3%
Daniel Høegh3%
Paul Izzo0%
Björn Kopplin0%
Hugo Andersson0%
Noah Shamoun0%
Oliver Zandén0%
Musa Touré0%
Laurits Pedersen0%
Sabil Hansen0%
Hakim Sulemana0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Elies Mahmoud23%
André Rømer22%
John Björkengren22%
Tammer Bany20%
Norman Campbell19%
Laurits Pedersen18%
Florian Danho16%
Frederik Lauenborg13%
Stephen Odey12%
Oliver Olsen12%
Mohamed Touré11%
Wessel Dammers9%
Noah Shamoun9%
Nicolas Dyhr7%
Sabil Hansen7%
Simen Bolkan Nordli6%
Paul Izzo6%
Daniel Høegh6%
Mathias Greve4%
Björn Kopplin0%
Hugo Andersson0%
Oliver Zandén0%
Mads Enggård0%
Musa Touré0%
Mike Themsen0%
Hakim Sulemana0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simen Bolkan Nordli31%
Tammer Bany27%
Mathias Greve20%
Florian Danho16%
Mohamed Touré11%
André Rømer7%
Nicolas Dyhr7%
John Björkengren6%
Laurits Pedersen6%
Stephen Odey4%
Norman Campbell4%
Oliver Olsen3%
Daniel Høegh3%
Paul Izzo0%
Björn Kopplin0%
Frederik Lauenborg0%
Wessel Dammers0%
Hugo Andersson0%
Noah Shamoun0%
Oliver Zandén0%
Elies Mahmoud0%
Mads Enggård0%
Musa Touré0%
Sabil Hansen0%
Mike Themsen0%
Hakim Sulemana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Norman Campbell15%
Mohamed Touré14%
Florian Danho11%
Simen Bolkan Nordli9%
Elies Mahmoud8%
Tammer Bany7%
Oliver Olsen6%
Stephen Odey4%
Mathias Greve4%
Paul Izzo0%
Björn Kopplin0%
André Rømer0%
Frederik Lauenborg0%
Daniel Høegh0%
Wessel Dammers0%
Hugo Andersson0%
John Björkengren0%
Nicolas Dyhr0%
Noah Shamoun0%
Oliver Zandén0%
Mads Enggård0%
Musa Touré0%
Laurits Pedersen0%
Sabil Hansen0%
Mike Themsen0%
Hakim Sulemana0%
FC Midtjylland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adam Buksa37%
Franculino Djú32%
Victor Lind25%
Oliver Sørensen20%
Darío Osorio18%
Ola Brynhildsen18%
Ousmane Diao18%
Aral Şimşir14%
Edward Chilufya14%
Valdemar Byskov12%
Mikel Gogorza10%
Jan Kuchta7%
Kevin Mbabu7%
Juninho7%
Dani Silva7%
Adam Gabriel5%
Victor Bak Jensen3%
Pedro Bravo3%
Joel Andersson2%
Mads Bech Sørensen2%
Jonas Lössl0%
Paulinho0%
André Rømer0%
Alhaji Kamara0%
Christian Sørensen0%
Kristoffer Askildsen0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Han-Beom Lee0%
Denil Castillo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kevin Mbabu27%
Adam Buksa24%
Darío Osorio18%
Ousmane Diao18%
Emiliano Martínez15%
Denil Castillo14%
Dani Silva13%
Pedro Bravo12%
Paulinho11%
Kristoffer Askildsen10%
Joel Andersson8%
Franculino Djú8%
Edward Chilufya7%
Mikel Gogorza7%
Juninho7%
Adam Gabriel5%
Mads Bech Sørensen4%
Victor Bak Jensen3%
Aral Şimşir3%
Oliver Sørensen2%
Jonas Lössl0%
André Rømer0%
Alhaji Kamara0%
Christian Sørensen0%
Ola Brynhildsen0%
Jan Kuchta0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Victor Lind0%
Han-Beom Lee0%
Valdemar Byskov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aral Şimşir25%
Edward Chilufya21%
Christian Sørensen17%
Franculino Djú15%
Oliver Sørensen12%
Victor Bak Jensen12%
Mikel Gogorza10%
Joel Andersson10%
Adam Gabriel10%
Pedro Bravo9%
Han-Beom Lee8%
Jan Kuchta7%
Juninho7%
Mads Bech Sørensen6%
Valdemar Byskov6%
Adam Buksa5%
Darío Osorio5%
Kristoffer Askildsen5%
Emiliano Martínez4%
Kevin Mbabu3%
Ousmane Diao2%
Jonas Lössl0%
Paulinho0%
André Rømer0%
Alhaji Kamara0%
Ola Brynhildsen0%
Dani Silva0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Victor Lind0%
Denil Castillo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adam Buksa32%
Franculino Djú30%
Darío Osorio21%
Aral Şimşir14%
Oliver Sørensen12%
Ola Brynhildsen9%
Edward Chilufya7%
Juninho7%
Valdemar Byskov6%
Adam Gabriel5%
Mads Bech Sørensen2%
Kevin Mbabu0%
Jonas Lössl0%
Paulinho0%
André Rømer0%
Alhaji Kamara0%
Joel Andersson0%
Christian Sørensen0%
Kristoffer Askildsen0%
Dani Silva0%
Jan Kuchta0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Victor Lind0%
Victor Bak Jensen0%
Han-Beom Lee0%
Pedro Bravo0%
Denil Castillo0%
Ousmane Diao0%
Mikel Gogorza0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
Randers FC's squad is €94m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€14m vs €108m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
Randers FC's attack is €42m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€5m vs €47m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
Randers FC's midfield is €21m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€3m vs €24m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
VEJ (9)
€4m
Randers FC's defence is €31m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€6m vs €37m).
Denmark: Superliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
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FC Copenhagen
Silkeborg
Brondby
Viborg
FC Nordsjaelland
Aarhus
Sonderjyske
Vejle
Lyngby
Aalborg