

Atlético América is the clear favourite, with a 68% chance of winning away, thanks in part to Ranger's II's struggles at home, where they've conceded an average of 4.67 goals against stronger opponents. The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 4.3 goals and a most likely total of 6+ goals. The most likely score is 1-2, with a probability of 8.1%. Atlético América's away form has been impressive, scoring an average of 1 goal and conceding 1 against weaker opponents. Ranger's II, on the other hand, has struggled at home, scoring an average of 0.67 goals and conceding 4.67 against stronger opponents.
The model's selection is an Away win, with a 68% chance of success. The other suggested picks include Over 1.5 (93.2%), Over 2.5 (80%), and BTTS Yes (71.1%). The probabilities for the match result are: Home win 15%, Draw 17%, and Away win 68%. The suggested picks have the following probabilities: Over 1.5 (93.2%), Over 2.5 (80%), and BTTS Yes (71.1%).
The win extends Ranger's II's losing streak to six consecutive matches, a dismal run that has seen them concede a staggering 23 goals. Meanwhile, Atlético América's unbeaten run has reached six games, with their last five matches yielding four wins and a draw. The final score of 1-4 reflects the significant gulf in class between the two teams, as the model's selection, the away win, proved correct. The model's pick was the away win, with a pre-match probability of 68%. The suggested picks largely came in, with Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 both hitting, and BTTS Yes also correct, all with high probabilities of 93.2%, 80%, and 71.1% respectively.
Ranger's II| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.10 | 2.80 | 0.80 | 3.20 | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 0.80 | 3.20 | 0.50 | 4.00 | 1.00 | 2.67 |
| vs Similar (5) | 1.40 | 2.40 | 1.00 | 2.67 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 10% (-15pp vs league) | |||||
Atlètic Amèrica| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.20 | 2.93 | 1.21 | 2.93 | 1.19 | 2.94 |
| vs Stronger (8) | 0.50 | 4.75 | 0.67 | 5.00 | 0.40 | 4.60 |
| vs Similar (2) | 0.00 | 3.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| vs Weaker (20) | 1.60 | 2.15 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.70 | 1.80 |
| Clean sheet % | 7% (-18pp vs league) | |||||
| Atlètic Amèrica goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| 1 | 1.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% |
| 2 | 1.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 93.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 2.5 | 80.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| BTTS Yes | 71.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/11/24 | A | 1-1 | |
| 05/10/24 | H | 1-0 |
Ranger's II| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/25 | H | 1-6 | |
| 01/02/25 | H | 0-8 | |
| 19/01/25 | A | 4-1 | |
| 14/12/24 | A | 1-4 | |
| 01/12/24 | H | 2-1 | |
| 24/11/24 | A | 1-1 | |
| 10/11/24 | A | 3-1 | |
| 26/10/24 | H | 0-1 | |
| 05/10/24 | H | 1-0 | |
| 28/09/24 | A | 3-0 |
Atlètic Amèrica| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/25 | A | 1-1 | |
| 09/02/25 | H | 3-0 | |
| 02/02/25 | H | 1-3 | |
| 26/01/25 | A | 4-2 | |
| 18/01/25 | H | 0-2 | |
| 24/11/24 | H | 1-1 | |
| 09/11/24 | A | 1-4 | |
| 19/10/24 | A | 0-5 | |
| 05/10/24 | A | 1-0 | |
| 29/09/24 | H | 2-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Carroi | 16 | 35 | 69% | 2.2 | 40 | 14 | +26 | 3.4 | 75% | 62% | 44% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 0.9 | - |
| 2 | Atlètic Amèrica | 16 | 30 | 56% | 1.9 | 35 | 16 | +19 | 3.2 | 88% | 56% | 38% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 3 | City Escaldes | 16 | 23 | 44% | 1.4 | 30 | 29 | +1 | 3.7 | 75% | 69% | 56% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.9 | 1.8 | - |
| 4 | UE Santa Coloma II | 16 | 16 | 25% | 1.0 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 3.1 | 75% | 56% | 44% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.8 | - |
| 5 | Ranger's II | 16 | 10 | 19% | 0.6 | 16 | 54 | -38 | 4.4 | 88% | 81% | 69% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 3.4 | - |
| 6 | Atlètic Club II | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - |