PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Ranger's II vs Atlètic Amèrica Result & Analysis

Date: 22/02/2025
Time: 19:30
Final 1-4
Ranger
Ranger's II
Vs
15%
17%
68%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Atlètic Amèrica
Atlètic Amèrica
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Atlético América is the clear favourite, with a 68% chance of winning away, thanks in part to Ranger's II's struggles at home, where they've conceded an average of 4.67 goals against stronger opponents. The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 4.3 goals and a most likely total of 6+ goals. The most likely score is 1-2, with a probability of 8.1%. Atlético América's away form has been impressive, scoring an average of 1 goal and conceding 1 against weaker opponents. Ranger's II, on the other hand, has struggled at home, scoring an average of 0.67 goals and conceding 4.67 against stronger opponents.

The model's selection is an Away win, with a 68% chance of success. The other suggested picks include Over 1.5 (93.2%), Over 2.5 (80%), and BTTS Yes (71.1%). The probabilities for the match result are: Home win 15%, Draw 17%, and Away win 68%. The suggested picks have the following probabilities: Over 1.5 (93.2%), Over 2.5 (80%), and BTTS Yes (71.1%).

Results analysis

The win extends Ranger's II's losing streak to six consecutive matches, a dismal run that has seen them concede a staggering 23 goals. Meanwhile, Atlético América's unbeaten run has reached six games, with their last five matches yielding four wins and a draw. The final score of 1-4 reflects the significant gulf in class between the two teams, as the model's selection, the away win, proved correct. The model's pick was the away win, with a pre-match probability of 68%. The suggested picks largely came in, with Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 both hitting, and BTTS Yes also correct, all with high probabilities of 93.2%, 80%, and 71.1% respectively.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ranger's II win✗ Miss
14.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
16.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Amèrica win✓ Hit
68.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RangerRanger's II

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-803L10W01L13L11D21W41W14L08L16LA·CIT28/09H·ATL05/10H·UE 26/10A·CAR10/11A·ATL24/11H·UE 01/12A·CIT14/12A·CAR19/01H·CAR01/02H·CIT15/02
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.102.800.803.201.402.40
vs Stronger (5)0.803.200.504.001.002.67
vs Similar (5)1.402.401.002.672.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Atlètic Amèrica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Atlètic AmèricaAtlètic Amèrica

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W01L50W41W11D02L24L13L30W11DH·CAR29/09A·RAN05/10A·CIT19/10A·UE 09/11H·RAN24/11H·UE 18/01A·CIT26/01H·CIT02/02H·UE 09/02A·CAR19/02
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.202.931.212.931.192.94
vs Stronger (8)0.504.750.675.000.404.60
vs Similar (2)0.003.500.001.000.006.00
vs Weaker (20)1.602.151.502.501.701.80
Clean sheet %7% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranger's II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%2%05%113%218%319%417%526%6+
The model estimates around 4.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
93.2%
Under 1.5
6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
80.0%
Under 2.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
61.9%
Under 3.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
71.1%
No
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
8.1%
1-3
7.8%
1-1
6.1%
0-2
5.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4 ✓
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
2-3
5.4%
Ranger's II goals ↓
Atlètic Amèrica goals →
01234
01.9%3.5%5.9%5.7%4.1%
11.4%6.1%8.1%7.8%5.7%
21.3%3.8%5.5%5.4%3.9%
30.6%1.7%2.5%2.4%1.8%
40.2%0.6%0.9%0.8%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ranger's II goals (down), columns = Atlètic Amèrica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Carroi
2.19
Atlètic Amèrica
1.88
City Escaldes
1.44
UE Santa Coloma II
1.00
Ranger's II
0.62
Ranger's II is 1.25 points worse than Atlètic Amèrica in terms of average points per game (0.62 vs 1.88).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Carroi
2.50
Atlètic Amèrica
2.19
City Escaldes
1.88
UE Santa Coloma II
1.31
Ranger's II
1.00
Ranger's II is 1.19 goals worse than Atlètic Amèrica in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.19).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Carroi
0.88
Atlètic Amèrica
1.00
UE Santa Coloma II
1.81
City Escaldes
1.81
Ranger's II
3.38
Ranger's II is 2.38 goals worse than Atlètic Amèrica in terms of goals conceded per game (3.38 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.593.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.580.0%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes71.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RI (34)
€5m
ACI (35)
€5m
USC (26)
€5m
CAR (29)
€3m
CE (51)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RI (0)
€0m
ACI (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
CE (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RI (0)
€0m
ACI (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
CE (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RI (0)
€0m
ACI (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
CE (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Ranger's II vs Atlètic Amèrica · H/A from RI
DateH/AGameScore
24/11/24AAtlètic Amèrica Vs RI1-1
05/10/24HRI Vs Atlètic Amèrica1-0

RangerRanger's II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/25HRI Vs City Escaldes1-6
01/02/25HRI Vs Carroi0-8
19/01/25ACarroi Vs RI4-1
14/12/24ACity Escaldes Vs RI1-4
01/12/24HRI Vs UE Santa Coloma II2-1
24/11/24AAtlètic Amèrica Vs RI1-1
10/11/24ACarroi Vs RI3-1
26/10/24HRI Vs UE Santa Coloma II0-1
05/10/24HRI Vs Atlètic Amèrica1-0
28/09/24ACity Escaldes Vs RI3-0

Atlètic AmèricaAtlètic Amèrica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/02/25ACarroi Vs AA1-1
09/02/25HAA Vs UE Santa Coloma II3-0
02/02/25HAA Vs City Escaldes1-3
26/01/25ACity Escaldes Vs AA4-2
18/01/25HAA Vs UE Santa Coloma II0-2
24/11/24HAA Vs Ranger's II1-1
09/11/24AUE Santa Coloma II Vs AA1-4
19/10/24ACity Escaldes Vs AA0-5
05/10/24ARanger's II Vs AA1-0
29/09/24HAA Vs Carroi2-1

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Ranger
Ranger's II
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.00
HomeWLWLL1.20
AwayLLDWL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals3.904.003.80
Over 1.5 %80%60%100%
Over 2.5 %70%60%80%
Over 3.5 %50%40%60%
Scored1.100.801.40
Conceded2.803.202.40
BTTS60%40%80%
Clean Sheet10%20%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Atlètic Amèrica
Atlètic Amèrica
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWD1.06
HomeWDLLW0.92
AwayLWWLD1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%24%36%
AVG goals3.803.883.72
Over 1.5 %86%88%84%
Over 2.5 %70%72%68%
Over 3.5 %48%48%48%
Scored1.501.601.40
Conceded2.302.282.32
BTTS52%64%40%
Clean Sheet14%12%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CarroiCarroi1635
69%
2.2
4014+26
3.4
75%
62%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0002.50.9
-
2Atlètic AmèricaAtlètic Amèrica1630
56%
1.9
3516+19
3.2
88%
56%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
3City EscaldesCity Escaldes1623
44%
1.4
3029+1
3.7
75%
69%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.8
-
4UE Santa Coloma IIUE Santa Coloma II1616
25%
1.0
2129-8
3.1
75%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.31.8
-
5RangerRanger's II1610
19%
0.6
1654-38
4.4
88%
81%
69%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.03.4
-
6Atlètic Club IIAtlètic Club II00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0000.00.0
-
Andorra: 2a Divisió 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 2a Divisió stats & trends →

← all matches