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Ranger's II vs City Escaldes Result & Analysis

Date: 10/05/2025
Time: 18:30
Final 1-3
Ranger
Ranger's II
Vs
13%
14%
72%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
City Escaldes
City Escaldes
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

City Escaldes are the clear favourites to win this match against Ranger's II, with a 72% probability of securing a victory on the road. The model's high rating for City Escaldes is largely due to Ranger's II's poor home form, having conceded an average of 5 goals per match to stronger opponents. In their last encounter, Ranger's II suffered a 1-3 defeat at the hands of City Escaldes, highlighting their struggles at home.

The expected total number of goals is 4.9, with the most likely score being 1-3 in favour of City Escaldes, with a probability of 7.3%. City Escaldes have averaged 4 goals scored and 2.33 conceded when facing weaker opponents away from home. Ranger's II, on the other hand, have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 5 conceded when facing stronger opponents at home.

The model's selection for this match is an away win, with a 72% probability. Additionally, the model suggests the following outcomes: Over 1.5 (96.1%), Over 2.5 (86.9%), BTTS Yes (76.4%), Over 3.5 (72.5%), and another Away win (72.3%). The home win percentage is 13%, the draw percentage is 14%, and the away win percentage is 72%.

Results analysis

The win extends Ranger's II's dismal run, which now stands at 6 consecutive losses after they fell 1-3 to City Escaldes. The away side's victory secured the favoured result, as the model correctly predicted an away win, with a pre-match probability of 72%. This outcome was a testament to the model's accuracy, as it had City Escaldes as the favourite. The model's selection of City Escaldes to win was correct. The model's other selections largely came in, including Over 1.5 (96.1%), Over 2.5 (86.9%), BTTS Yes (76.4%), Over 3.5 (72.5%), and Away win (72.3%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ranger's II win✗ Miss
13.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
14.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
City Escaldes win✓ Hit
72.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RangerRanger's II

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-821W41W14L08L16L14L14L13L05L17LH·UE 01/12A·CIT14/12A·CAR19/01H·CAR01/02H·CIT15/02H·ATL22/02A·UE 29/03A·UE 05/04A·ATL13/04H·CAR04/05
Avg total
5.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
4.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.003.400.863.861.123.00
vs Stronger (8)0.754.000.754.750.753.25
vs Similar (7)1.292.711.002.671.502.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (City Escaldes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

City EscaldesCity Escaldes

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-622D12L14L42W31W13L61W10W02L10WA·UE 24/11H·CAR01/12H·RAN14/12H·ATL26/01A·ATL02/02A·CAR08/02A·RAN15/02H·UE 23/02A·ATL06/04H·UE 04/05
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.931.381.752.672.17
vs Stronger (11)1.552.001.171.672.002.40
vs Similar (3)3.331.672.002.006.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %21% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranger's II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

9%18%28%37%1%03%19%215%318%418%537%6+
The model estimates around 4.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (37%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
96.1%
Under 1.5
3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
86.9%
Under 2.5
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
72.5%
Under 3.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
76.4%
No
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-3 ✓
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
1-4
6.2%
2-3
5.6%
2-2
5.0%
2-4
4.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-1
4.2%
Ranger's II goals ↓
City Escaldes goals →
01234
01.1%2.1%4.2%4.7%4.0%
10.7%4.2%6.4%7.3%6.2%
20.9%2.9%5.0%5.6%4.8%
30.4%1.5%2.6%2.9%2.5%
40.2%0.6%1.0%1.1%0.9%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ranger's II goals (down), columns = City Escaldes goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Carroi
2.19
Atlètic Amèrica
1.88
City Escaldes
1.44
UE Santa Coloma II
1.00
Ranger's II
0.62
Ranger's II is 0.81 points worse than City Escaldes in terms of average points per game (0.62 vs 1.44).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Carroi
2.50
Atlètic Amèrica
2.19
City Escaldes
1.88
UE Santa Coloma II
1.31
Ranger's II
1.00
Ranger's II is 0.88 goals worse than City Escaldes in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.88).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Carroi
0.88
Atlètic Amèrica
1.00
UE Santa Coloma II
1.81
City Escaldes
1.81
Ranger's II
3.38
Ranger's II is 1.56 goals worse than City Escaldes in terms of goals conceded per game (3.38 vs 1.81).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.596.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.586.9%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes76.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.572.5%-------✓ Hit
Away win72.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RI (34)
€5m
ACI (35)
€5m
USC (26)
€5m
CAR (29)
€3m
CE (51)
€0m
Ranger's II's squad is €5m more valuable than City Escaldes's (€5m vs €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RI (0)
€0m
ACI (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
CE (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RI (0)
€0m
ACI (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
CE (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RI (0)
€0m
ACI (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
CE (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Ranger's II vs City Escaldes · H/A from RI
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/25HRI Vs City Escaldes1-6
14/12/24ACity Escaldes Vs RI1-4
28/09/24ACity Escaldes Vs RI3-0

RangerRanger's II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/25HRI Vs Carroi1-7
13/04/25AAtlètic Amèrica Vs RI5-0
05/04/25AUE Santa Coloma II Vs RI3-1
29/03/25AUE Santa Coloma II Vs RI4-1
22/02/25HRI Vs Atlètic Amèrica1-4
15/02/25HRI Vs City Escaldes1-6
01/02/25HRI Vs Carroi0-8
19/01/25ACarroi Vs RI4-1
14/12/24ACity Escaldes Vs RI1-4
01/12/24HRI Vs UE Santa Coloma II2-1

City EscaldesCity Escaldes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/25HCE Vs UE Santa Coloma II1-0
06/04/25AAtlètic Amèrica Vs CE2-0
23/02/25HCE Vs UE Santa Coloma II1-0
15/02/25ARanger's II Vs CE1-6
08/02/25ACarroi Vs CE3-1
02/02/25AAtlètic Amèrica Vs CE1-3
26/01/25HCE Vs Atlètic Amèrica4-2
14/12/24HCE Vs Ranger's II1-4
01/12/24HCE Vs Carroi1-2
24/11/24AUE Santa Coloma II Vs CE2-2

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Ranger
Ranger's II
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.67
HomeWLLLL0.86
AwayWLLLL0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%29%12%
AVG goals4.404.714.12
Over 1.5 %87%71%100%
Over 2.5 %80%71%88%
Over 3.5 %67%57%75%
Scored1.000.861.12
Conceded3.403.863.00
BTTS67%57%75%
Clean Sheet7%14%0%
Corners---
Cards---
City Escaldes
City Escaldes
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.43
HomeLLWWW1.50
AwayDWLWL1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%50%33%
AVG goals3.863.124.83
Over 1.5 %79%62%100%
Over 2.5 %71%62%83%
Over 3.5 %57%38%83%
Scored1.931.382.67
Conceded1.931.752.17
BTTS57%38%83%
Clean Sheet21%38%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CarroiCarroi1635
69%
2.2
4014+26
3.4
75%
62%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0002.50.9
-
2Atlètic AmèricaAtlètic Amèrica1630
56%
1.9
3516+19
3.2
88%
56%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
3City EscaldesCity Escaldes1623
44%
1.4
3029+1
3.7
75%
69%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.8
-
4UE Santa Coloma IIUE Santa Coloma II1616
25%
1.0
2129-8
3.1
75%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.31.8
-
5RangerRanger's II1610
19%
0.6
1654-38
4.4
88%
81%
69%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.03.4
-
6Atlètic Club IIAtlètic Club II00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0000.00.0
-
Andorra: 2a Divisió 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 2a Divisió stats & trends →

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