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Ranger's vs Carroi Result & Analysis

Date: 22/04/2023
Time: 18:30
Final 0-3
Ranger
Ranger's
Vs
17%
16%
67%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Carroi
Carroi
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ranger's win✗ Miss
17.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
16.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Carroi win✓ Hit
66.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RangerRanger's

Last 10 – goals for & against
110-1140W21W60W12L12L15L21W111L12L03LH·UE 10/12A·FC 18/12A·ENG04/02H·CAR11/02A·LA 05/03H·ESP11/03A·ENC19/03H·PAS26/03H·ESP02/04A·ATL15/04
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.812.862.103.201.552.55
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.712.291.002.670.502.00
vs Weaker (14)2.363.142.573.432.142.86
Clean sheet %10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarroiCarroi

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-660W42W40W21W51W01L61W22D14L40WA·UE 04/12H·FC 11/12H·ENG29/01A·RAN11/02H·LA 18/02A·ESP05/03H·ENC12/03A·PAS18/03H·ATL26/03H·ENC16/04
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
3.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.751.552.641.642.891.44
vs Stronger (2)1.503.001.004.002.002.00
vs Similar (16)3.001.062.890.893.141.29
vs Weaker (2)2.004.002.006.002.002.00
Clean sheet %25% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranger's) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

9%18%27%35%1%03%110%215%318%418%535%6+
The model estimates around 4.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (35%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
95.8%
Under 1.5
4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
86.2%
Under 2.5
13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
71.3%
Under 3.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
78.4%
No
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-3
7.0%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
1-4
5.6%
2-4
4.7%
1-1
4.6%
0-3 ✓
4.2%
Ranger's goals ↓
Carroi goals →
01234
01.2%2.1%4.0%4.2%3.3%
10.9%4.6%6.6%7.0%5.6%
21.1%3.5%5.6%5.9%4.7%
30.6%2.0%3.1%3.3%2.6%
40.3%0.8%1.3%1.4%1.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ranger's goals (down), columns = Carroi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Pas de la Casa
2.60
Atlètic Amèrica
2.36
Esperança d'Andorra
2.12
Carroi
1.96
La Massana
1.48
Encamp
1.24
Ranger's
1.00
Ordino II
0.50
Engordany II
0.47
UE Santa Coloma II
0.33
FC Santa Coloma II
0.33
Ranger's is 0.96 points worse than Carroi in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.96).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Pas de la Casa
4.80
Atlètic Amèrica
2.96
Carroi
2.68
Esperança d'Andorra
2.44
La Massana
2.36
Encamp
1.84
Ranger's
1.64
UE Santa Coloma II
1.00
FC Santa Coloma II
0.94
Engordany II
0.84
Ordino II
0.50
Ranger's is 1.04 goals worse than Carroi in terms of goals scored per game (1.64 vs 2.68).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Pas de la Casa
0.44
Esperança d'Andorra
1.00
Atlètic Amèrica
1.04
Carroi
1.40
La Massana
1.60
Ordino II
2.12
Encamp
2.48
Ranger's
3.12
Engordany II
3.68
UE Santa Coloma II
4.00
FC Santa Coloma II
4.83
Ranger's is 1.72 goals worse than Carroi in terms of goals conceded per game (3.12 vs 1.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RangerRanger's

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarroiCarroi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranger's) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ranger's over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranger's over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranger's over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RangerRanger's

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarroiCarroi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranger's) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ranger's over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranger's over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranger's over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.595.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.586.2%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes78.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.571.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USC (24)
€5m
RAN (24)
€4m
CAR (21)
€2m
ED (16)
€2m
PDL (5)
€1m
Ranger's's squad is €2m more valuable than Carroi's (€4m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USC (9)
€2m
RAN (8)
€1m
ED (6)
€1m
CAR (4)
€0m
PDL (1)
€0m
Ranger's and Carroi have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (4)
€1m
USC (4)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
ED (2)
€0m
PDL (1)
€0m
Ranger's and Carroi have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€2m
USC (11)
€2m
CAR (10)
€1m
ED (8)
€1m
PDL (3)
€0m
Ranger's and Carroi have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
RAN wins
0
Draws
2
CAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ranger's vs Carroi · H/A from RAN
DateH/AGameScore
11/02/23HRAN Vs Carroi1-2
23/10/22ACarroi Vs RAN1-0

RangerRanger's

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/04/23AAtlètic Amèrica Vs RAN3-0
02/04/23HRAN Vs Esperança d'Andorra1-2
26/03/23HRAN Vs Pas de la Casa1-11
19/03/23AEncamp Vs RAN1-2
11/03/23HRAN Vs Esperança d'Andorra1-5
05/03/23ALa Massana Vs RAN2-1
11/02/23HRAN Vs Carroi1-2
04/02/23AEngordany II Vs RAN0-6
18/12/22AFC Santa Coloma II Vs RAN1-2
10/12/22HRAN Vs UE Santa Coloma II4-0

CarroiCarroi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/04/23HCAR Vs Encamp4-0
26/03/23HCAR Vs Atlètic Amèrica1-4
18/03/23APas de la Casa Vs CAR2-2
12/03/23HCAR Vs Encamp6-1
05/03/23AEsperança d'Andorra Vs CAR1-0
18/02/23HCAR Vs La Massana5-1
11/02/23ARanger's Vs CAR1-2
29/01/23HCAR Vs Engordany II4-0
11/12/22HCAR Vs FC Santa Coloma II4-2
04/12/22AUE Santa Coloma II Vs CAR0-6

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ranger
Ranger's
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.19
HomeWLLLL1.00
AwayWWLWL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%30%45%
AVG goals4.675.304.09
Over 1.5 %95%100%91%
Over 2.5 %95%100%91%
Over 3.5 %48%60%36%
Scored1.812.101.55
Conceded2.863.202.55
BTTS67%90%45%
Clean Sheet10%10%9%
Corners---
Cards---
Carroi
Carroi
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLW1.85
HomeWWWLW2.00
AwayDWWLD1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %55%64%44%
AVG goals4.304.274.33
Over 1.5 %85%82%89%
Over 2.5 %80%73%89%
Over 3.5 %65%64%67%
Scored2.752.642.89
Conceded1.551.641.44
BTTS65%55%78%
Clean Sheet25%36%11%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa2565
80%
2.6
12011+109
5.2
96%
84%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0004.80.4
-
2Atlètic AmèricaAtlètic Amèrica2559
72%
2.4
7426+48
4.0
88%
80%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.01.0
-
3Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra2553
64%
2.1
6125+36
3.4
88%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.0
-
4CarroiCarroi2549
60%
2.0
6735+32
4.1
88%
80%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.71.4
-
5La MassanaLa Massana2537
44%
1.5
5940+19
4.0
92%
84%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.41.6
-
6EncampEncamp2531
40%
1.2
4662-16
4.3
92%
80%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.5
-
7RangerRanger's2525
32%
1.0
4178-37
4.8
96%
96%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.63.1
-
8Engordany IIEngordany II199
16%
0.5
1670-54
4.5
95%
89%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.83.7
-
9UE Santa Coloma IIUE Santa Coloma II186
11%
0.3
1872-54
5.0
94%
94%
72%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.04.0
-
10FC Santa Coloma IIFC Santa Coloma II186
11%
0.3
1787-70
5.8
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.94.8
-
11Ordino IIOrdino II84
12%
0.5
417-13
2.6
88%
75%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.1
-
Andorra: 2a Divisió 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 2a Divisió stats & trends →

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