This opponent (Dundee) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dundee
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
1.27
2.28
1.17
1.75
1.42
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
2.00
0.67
2.33
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (22)
2.64
1.18
2.71
0.93
2.50
1.62
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.3%
Under 1.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.1%
@ 1.45-1.7%
Under 2.5
36.9%
@ 2.66+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.9%
Under 3.5
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.9%
No
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.9%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.9%
1-1
8.1%
3-1 ✓
7.6%
4-0
6.1%
4-1
4.7%
Rangers goals ↓
Dundee goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.6%
2.2%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
1
8.9%
8.1%
2.8%
0.7%
0.1%
2
12%
9.2%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
3
9.9%
7.6%
2.9%
0.7%
0.1%
4
6.1%
4.7%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rangers goals (down), columns = Dundee goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.45
Rangers
2.24
Heart Of Midlothian
1.79
Partick
1.75
Kilmarnock
1.47
Aberdeen
1.26
ST Mirren
1.24
Hibernian
1.21
Motherwell
1.13
Dundee
1.11
Ross County
1.02
ST Johnstone
0.92
Raith Rovers
0.75
Livingston
0.66
Airdrie United
0.50
Rangers is 1.13 points better than Dundee in terms of average points per game (2.24 vs 1.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.29
Partick
1.75
Airdrie United
1.50
Motherwell
1.47
Heart Of Midlothian
1.42
Hibernian
1.37
Dundee
1.29
Aberdeen
1.26
ST Mirren
1.21
Kilmarnock
1.21
Ross County
1.10
Raith Rovers
1.00
Livingston
0.76
ST Johnstone
0.76
Rangers is 1.00 goals better than Dundee in terms of goals scored per game (2.29 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.79
Rangers
0.84
Heart Of Midlothian
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.16
ST Mirren
1.37
Aberdeen
1.37
ST Johnstone
1.42
Partick
1.50
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.55
Ross County
1.70
Dundee
1.79
Livingston
1.84
Airdrie United
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
Rangers is 0.95 goals better than Dundee in terms of goals conceded per game (0.84 vs 1.79).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Celtic
69%
Rangers
63%
Heart Of Midlothian
55%
Hibernian
53%
Aberdeen
49%
Motherwell
46%
ST Mirren
45%
Kilmarnock
45%
Ross County
44%
Dundee
44%
ST Johnstone
44%
Livingston
43%
Rangers is 18.8 percentage points better than Dundee in terms of average possession (63% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rangers
For 6.3 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 3.3 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 11.0 · Total 20.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dundee
For 4.7 · Against 6.5 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 9.5 · Total 18.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rangers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.6
10.2
2.1
2.3
1.8
22.3
22.2
22.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
11.3
12.2
9.5
3.0
3.2
2.7
23.2
23.2
23.0
vs Weaker (41)
10.1
9.8
10.4
1.9
2.1
1.7
22.1
21.8
22.3
% over line
62%
58%
67%
34%
38%
31%
54%
50%
58%
% under line
38%
42%
33%
66%
62%
69%
46%
50%
42%
This opponent (Dundee) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dundee
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.9
10.4
1.9
1.9
2.0
21.3
20.0
23.0
vs Stronger (5)
11.8
11.3
12.5
3.6
4.3
2.5
17.4
19.0
15.0
vs Similar (40)
10.4
10.8
9.9
2.0
1.7
2.3
22.3
20.3
24.8
vs Weaker (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
72%
71%
73%
26%
22%
30%
48%
36%
64%
% under line
28%
29%
27%
74%
78%
70%
52%
64%
36%
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.4
Motherwell
11.0
Dundee
10.9
ST Mirren
10.8
Ross County
10.8
ST Johnstone
10.5
Aberdeen
10.5
Kilmarnock
10.4
Heart Of Midlothian
10.4
Hibernian
10.2
Rangers
10.1
Partick
10.0
Livingston
10.0
Airdrie United
9.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Heart Of Midlothian
4.5
Hibernian
4.5
Aberdeen
4.4
Rangers
4.3
Motherwell
4.1
Ross County
4.1
ST Johnstone
4.1
Livingston
4.0
Dundee
3.7
Kilmarnock
3.7
Celtic
3.6
ST Mirren
3.5
Partick
3.4
Airdrie United
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Motherwell
26.1
Aberdeen
25.9
Livingston
24.9
Heart Of Midlothian
24.1
Hibernian
23.5
Ross County
23.5
Kilmarnock
23.0
ST Johnstone
23.0
ST Mirren
22.6
Dundee
22.2
Rangers
21.6
Partick
20.4
Celtic
20.0
Airdrie United
18.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
63.9%
Under 9.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.7%
Under 3.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
50.3%
Under 21.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rangers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.33
0.87
0.40
0.60
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.29
1.00
0.20
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (23)
0.74
0.35
0.80
0.50
0.69
0.23
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dundee
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.57
0.94
0.44
0.83
0.75
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
0.40
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
1.18
0.68
1.14
0.43
1.25
1.12
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rangers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rangers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.50
1.00
0.40
1.07
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.57
1.00
0.60
0.60
0.50
2.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.17
0.35
1.20
0.30
1.15
0.38
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dundee
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.70
1.33
0.72
0.92
0.67
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.60
0.67
1.67
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (22)
1.45
0.50
1.57
0.50
1.25
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rangers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
74.1%
1.16
-
-
-
-
-
-7.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rangers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Abdallah Sima38%
James Tavernier36%
Cyriel Dessers35%
Danilo26%
Rabbi Matondo24%
Todd Cantwell21%
Fábio Silva20%
Oscar Cortés17%
Kieran Dowell13%
Mohammed Diomande13%
Ross McCausland12%
Tom Lawrence11%
Kemar Roofe10%
Sam Lammers7%
Ben Davies7%
Ryan Jack6%
John Souttar6%
Nicolas Raskin4%
Scott Wright4%
Rıdvan Yılmaz4%
Dujon Sterling3%
Borna Barišić0%
Connor Goldson0%
Leon Balogun0%
Jack Butland0%
José Cifuentes0%
John Lundstram0%
Leon King0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Connor Goldson27%
Todd Cantwell21%
Borna Barišić17%
John Souttar14%
Dujon Sterling14%
Sam Lammers11%
James Tavernier10%
John Lundstram9%
Abdallah Sima9%
Rabbi Matondo8%
Nicolas Raskin8%
Rıdvan Yılmaz7%
Leon Balogun7%
Ben Davies7%
Kieran Dowell7%
Mohammed Diomande7%
Kemar Roofe5%
Jack Butland4%
Scott Wright4%
Tom Lawrence4%
Cyriel Dessers2%
Danilo0%
Ryan Jack0%
José Cifuentes0%
Fábio Silva0%
Leon King0%
Ross McCausland0%
Oscar Cortés0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Leon King20%
Oscar Cortés17%
James Tavernier16%
Danilo16%
Borna Barišić14%
John Lundstram14%
Kieran Dowell13%
Cyriel Dessers13%
Rabbi Matondo12%
Ross McCausland12%
José Cifuentes11%
Sam Lammers11%
Tom Lawrence11%
Todd Cantwell11%
Dujon Sterling7%
Mohammed Diomande7%
Abdallah Sima6%
Kemar Roofe5%
Nicolas Raskin4%
Rıdvan Yılmaz4%
John Souttar3%
Connor Goldson2%
Ryan Jack0%
Leon Balogun0%
Jack Butland0%
Ben Davies0%
Scott Wright0%
Fábio Silva0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Abdallah Sima44%
Danilo37%
Cyriel Dessers30%
Fábio Silva25%
Todd Cantwell21%
Sam Lammers19%
Oscar Cortés17%
James Tavernier14%
Rabbi Matondo12%
John Souttar11%
Rıdvan Yılmaz11%
Tom Lawrence11%
John Lundstram9%
Ben Davies7%
Mohammed Diomande7%
Kemar Roofe5%
Ross McCausland3%
Connor Goldson2%
Borna Barišić0%
Ryan Jack0%
Nicolas Raskin0%
Leon Balogun0%
Jack Butland0%
José Cifuentes0%
Kieran Dowell0%
Dujon Sterling0%
Scott Wright0%
Leon King0%
Dundee
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luke McCowan27%
Michael Mellon21%
Lyall Cameron16%
Jordan McGhee15%
Zak Rudden14%
Zach Robinson14%
Amadou Bakayoko14%
Lee Ashcroft12%
Juan Portales9%
Joe Shaughnessy9%
Owen Beck8%
Scott Tiffoney7%
Josh Mulligan6%
Ricki Lamie5%
Mohammad Sylla0%
Diego Pineda0%
Trevor Carson0%
Curtis Main0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Finlay Robertson0%
Dara Costelloe0%
Charlie Reilly0%
Ryan Astley0%
Jon McCracken0%
Owen Dodgson0%
Malachi Boateng0%
Ryan Howley0%
Aaron Donnelly0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Owen Beck32%
Lee Ashcroft25%
Dara Costelloe25%
Owen Dodgson25%
Luke McCowan22%
Curtis Main21%
Zak Rudden21%
Michael Mellon21%
Aaron Donnelly19%
Amadou Bakayoko19%
Malachi Boateng16%
Jordan McGhee15%
Josh Mulligan11%
Cammy Kerr10%
Ricki Lamie10%
Juan Portales9%
Finlay Robertson8%
Lyall Cameron6%
Joe Shaughnessy6%
Mohammad Sylla4%
Trevor Carson4%
Scott Tiffoney4%
Diego Pineda0%
Charlie Reilly0%
Ryan Astley0%
Zach Robinson0%
Jon McCracken0%
Ryan Howley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Owen Beck16%
Aaron Donnelly14%
Amadou Bakayoko14%
Dara Costelloe12%
Luke McCowan11%
Mohammad Sylla8%
Scott Tiffoney7%
Zak Rudden7%
Michael Mellon7%
Owen Dodgson6%
Ricki Lamie5%
Juan Portales5%
Malachi Boateng3%
Joe Shaughnessy3%
Diego Pineda0%
Trevor Carson0%
Curtis Main0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Lee Ashcroft0%
Jordan McGhee0%
Lyall Cameron0%
Josh Mulligan0%
Finlay Robertson0%
Charlie Reilly0%
Ryan Astley0%
Zach Robinson0%
Jon McCracken0%
Ryan Howley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Diego Pineda33%
Amadou Bakayoko14%
Luke McCowan11%
Scott Tiffoney7%
Zak Rudden7%
Michael Mellon7%
Jordan McGhee6%
Josh Mulligan6%
Zach Robinson5%
Aaron Donnelly5%
Lyall Cameron3%
Joe Shaughnessy3%
Mohammad Sylla0%
Juan Portales0%
Trevor Carson0%
Curtis Main0%
Ricki Lamie0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Lee Ashcroft0%
Finlay Robertson0%
Dara Costelloe0%
Charlie Reilly0%
Ryan Astley0%
Owen Beck0%
Jon McCracken0%
Owen Dodgson0%
Malachi Boateng0%
Ryan Howley0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
Rangers's squad is €131m more valuable than Dundee's (€136m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
Rangers's attack is €37m more valuable than Dundee's (€38m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
Rangers's midfield is €42m more valuable than Dundee's (€44m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
Rangers's defence is €51m more valuable than Dundee's (€54m vs €2m).
Scotland: Premiership 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
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Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Hibernian
Motherwell
Ross County
ST Johnstone
Livingston
Partick
Raith Rovers
Airdrie United