Ranheim’s recent outing ended in a 1-3 loss to Stromsgodset, yet the team’s home form shows a balanced attack and defence, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.58 against similar opposition. Asane, fresh from a 2-1 victory over Raufoss, has been less convincing away, averaging 1.44 goals scored while conceding 2.22. The model projects a high-scoring affair, with an expected 3.7 goals and a most likely total of three, a 21 % chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9.3 % probability. The model favours a home win, with a 45 % chance, a draw at 23 % and an away win at 32 %. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (96.5 %), Under 6.5 (91.9 %), Away under 3.5 goals (90.9 %), Over 1.5 (89.2 %), Home over 0.5 goals (86.6 %), Home under 3.5 goals (85.5 %), Home +2 handicap (83.8 %) and Under 5.5 (83.1 %). Each selection carries its own probability, with the model’s favourite result remaining a Ranheim victory.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ranheim win
42.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
21.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Asane win
35.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ranheim
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
5.2
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
2.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
2.03
1.93
2.07
1.81
2.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
3.00
0.00
4.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
1.96
1.96
2.08
1.92
1.87
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Asane
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
2.00
1.50
1.79
1.31
2.19
vs Stronger (11)
1.09
2.00
1.40
1.80
0.83
2.17
vs Similar (18)
1.50
2.00
1.56
1.78
1.44
2.22
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
2.00
-
-
3.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
92.2%
Under 1.5
7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
77.4%
Under 2.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
58.3%
Under 3.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
76.4%
No
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
3-2
5.2%
2-3
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
Ranheim goals ↓
Asane goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.4%
2.6%
3.2%
2.1%
1.0%
1
2.9%
7.7%
6.9%
4.5%
2.2%
2
3.8%
7.4%
7.3%
4.8%
2.3%
3
2.7%
5.3%
5.2%
3.4%
1.7%
4
1.4%
2.8%
2.7%
1.8%
0.9%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ranheim goals (down), columns = Asane goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stabaek
2.50
Kongsvinger
2.17
hodd
2.14
Haugesund
2.14
Stromsgodset
1.86
Bryne
1.86
Lyn
1.83
Strommen
1.67
Egersund
1.57
Sogndal
1.17
ODD Ballklubb
1.14
Asane
0.83
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Ranheim
0.50
Raufoss
0.50
Moss
0.29
Ranheim is 0.33 points worse than Asane in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 0.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stabaek
3.50
Haugesund
3.14
Lyn
3.00
Kongsvinger
2.83
Ranheim
2.50
hodd
2.43
Stromsgodset
2.14
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Egersund
1.71
Asane
1.67
Moss
1.29
Bryne
1.14
Sandnes ULF
1.14
Raufoss
1.00
Ranheim is 0.83 goals better than Asane in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
1.00
Stabaek
1.17
Haugesund
1.57
Stromsgodset
1.57
Egersund
1.71
Kongsvinger
1.83
Strommen
1.83
Sogndal
2.00
Lyn
2.17
Moss
2.29
ODD Ballklubb
2.29
Sandnes ULF
2.29
Asane
2.33
hodd
2.86
Raufoss
3.00
Ranheim
3.33
Ranheim is 1.00 goals worse than Asane in terms of goals conceded per game (3.33 vs 2.33).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ranheim or Draw
64.1%
Avg Implied -
42%
22%
36%
covers Ranheim + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ranheim or Asane
78.2%
Avg Implied -
42%
22%
36%
covers Ranheim + Asane
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Asane
57.7%
Avg Implied -
42%
22%
36%
covers Draw + Asane
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ranheim over/under 0.5
Over
88.1%
Under
11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 1.5
Over
62.7%
Under
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 2.5
Over
35.7%
Under
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 3.5
Over
16.6%
Under
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 0.5
Over
85.9%
Under
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5
Over
58.3%
Under
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5
Over
31.3%
Under
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 3.5
Over
13.6%
Under
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ranheim, so a minus line means Ranheim give that many goals of a start and Asane receive them. At -1, Ranheim must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ranheim win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ranheim)
Ranheim -2
11.8%
Draw -2
12.7%
Asane +2
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ranheim)
Ranheim -1
24.6%
Draw -1
17.7%
Asane +1
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ranheim)
Ranheim +1
64.1%
Draw +1
16.3%
Asane -1
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ranheim)
Ranheim +2
80.3%
Draw +2
10.8%
Asane -2
8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ranheim
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.93
0.79
1.00
0.69
0.88
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.79
0.86
0.85
0.85
0.73
0.87
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Asane
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.00
0.86
0.79
0.69
1.19
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
0.73
0.80
0.40
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.78
1.22
0.89
1.00
0.67
1.44
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.6%
Under 0.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
42.2%
Under 1.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.7%
Under 2.5
85.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ranheim over/under 0.5 HT
Over
59.4%
Under
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 1.5 HT
Over
20.0%
Under
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.5%
Under
94.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 0.5 HT
Over
44.1%
Under
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.7%
Under
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ranheim
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.10
1.14
1.07
1.12
1.12
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
1.18
1.11
1.23
1.08
1.13
1.13
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Asane
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.00
0.64
1.00
0.62
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
1.27
0.60
1.40
0.50
1.17
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.78
0.67
0.78
0.78
0.78
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
83.0%
Under 0.5
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
53.4%
Under 1.5
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
26.0%
Under 2.5
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ranheim over/under 0.5 2H
Over
62.4%
Under
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 1.5 2H
Over
27.4%
Under
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.4%
Under
93.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 0.5 2H
Over
56.0%
Under
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.7%
Under
85.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
BTTS Yes
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Ranheim and Asane have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (9)
€5m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Ranheim and Asane have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (7)
€3m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Ranheim and Asane have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAU (10)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Ranheim and Asane have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Stabaek
Haugesund
hodd
Kongsvinger
Stromsgodset
Bryne
Lyn
Egersund
Strommen
ODD Ballklubb
Sogndal
Sandnes ULF
Raufoss
Moss