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Ranheim vs Egersund Prediction & Stats

Date: 02/10/2026
Time: 17:00
Ranheim
Ranheim
Vs
29%
22%
49%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Egersund
Egersund
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model projects a high-scoring affair, with an average of 3.9 goals and a 20% chance of six or more. The most likely scoreline is 1-2 in favour of Egersund, with an 8.3% probability. The favoured result is an away win, with a 49% chance, compared with a 29% home win and a 22% draw. Ranheim, at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages 2.08 goals scored and 1.92 conceded, while Egersund, on the road, averages 1.58 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Recent form shows Ranheim struggling after three straight defeats, whereas Egersund is coming off a draw. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (95.4%), Over 1.5 (90.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (90.7%), Under 6.5 (89.9%), Away over 0.5 goals (89.0%), Away +2 handicap (85.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (81.8%) and Home over 0.5 goals (81.7%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ranheim win
29.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
21.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Egersund win
48.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RanheimRanheim

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L42W30W23L23L34L41W13L24L35LA·LIL25/10H·SKE01/11A·SOG08/11A·EGE22/11A·SOG26/07H·HAU03/08A·STR09/08H·STR15/08A·STA26/08H·ODD30/08
Avg total
5.2
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.872.031.932.071.812.00
vs Stronger (2)0.503.000.004.001.002.00
vs Similar (28)1.961.962.081.921.872.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EgersundEgersund

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W11D23L30W33D20W20W04L03L22DH·RAN22/11A·AAL26/11H·AAL09/03H·MOS04/07A·ASA26/07H·SAN02/08A·STR09/08H·STA16/08A·HAU26/08H·ASA30/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.301.621.381.711.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.501.381.421.581.581.17
vs Weaker (6)2.331.002.250.752.501.50
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%06%116%220%320%415%520%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (20%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
90.9%
Under 1.5
9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74.8%
Under 2.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
54.8%
Under 3.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
73.5%
No
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
8.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-3
5.2%
0-2
4.9%
3-2
4.0%
Ranheim goals ↓
Egersund goals →
01234
02.8%3.7%4.9%3.6%2.0%
12.7%8.3%8.3%6.1%3.4%
22.9%6.4%7.1%5.2%2.9%
31.7%3.6%4.0%3.0%1.6%
40.7%1.5%1.7%1.3%0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ranheim goals (down), columns = Egersund goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stabaek
2.50
Kongsvinger
2.17
hodd
2.14
Haugesund
2.14
Stromsgodset
1.86
Bryne
1.86
Lyn
1.83
Strommen
1.67
Egersund
1.57
Sogndal
1.17
ODD Ballklubb
1.14
Asane
0.83
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Raufoss
0.50
Ranheim
0.50
Moss
0.29
Ranheim is 1.07 points worse than Egersund in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 1.57).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Stabaek
3.50
Haugesund
3.14
Lyn
3.00
Kongsvinger
2.83
Ranheim
2.50
hodd
2.43
Stromsgodset
2.14
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Egersund
1.71
Asane
1.67
Moss
1.29
Bryne
1.14
Sandnes ULF
1.14
Raufoss
1.00
Ranheim is 0.79 goals better than Egersund in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.71).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
1.00
Stabaek
1.17
Haugesund
1.57
Stromsgodset
1.57
Egersund
1.71
Kongsvinger
1.83
Strommen
1.83
Sogndal
2.00
Lyn
2.17
Moss
2.29
ODD Ballklubb
2.29
Sandnes ULF
2.29
Asane
2.33
hodd
2.86
Raufoss
3.00
Ranheim
3.33
Ranheim is 1.62 goals worse than Egersund in terms of goals conceded per game (3.33 vs 1.71).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ranheim or Draw
51.2%
Avg Implied -
29%
22%
49%
covers Ranheim + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ranheim or Egersund
78.1%
Avg Implied -
29%
22%
49%
covers Ranheim + Egersund
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Egersund
70.7%
Avg Implied -
29%
22%
49%
covers Draw + Egersund
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ranheim over/under 0.5
Over
81.8%
Under
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 1.5
Over
50.7%
Under
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 2.5
Over
24.3%
Under
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 3.5
Over
9.3%
Under
90.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 0.5
Over
89.0%
Under
11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 1.5
Over
64.7%
Under
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 2.5
Over
37.9%
Under
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 3.5
Over
18.2%
Under
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Ranheim, so a minus line means Ranheim give that many goals of a start and Egersund receive them. At -1, Ranheim must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ranheim win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ranheim)
Ranheim -2
5.9%
Draw -2
8.8%
Egersund +2
85.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ranheim)
Ranheim -1
14.7%
Draw -1
14.6%
Egersund +1
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ranheim)
Ranheim +1
51.2%
Draw +1
19.2%
Egersund -1
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ranheim)
Ranheim +2
70.4%
Draw +2
14.7%
Egersund -2
14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RanheimRanheim

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D00D11D01L12L30W01L22D24LA·LIL25/10H·SKE01/11A·SOG08/11A·EGE22/11A·SOG26/07H·HAU03/08A·STR09/08H·STR15/08A·STA26/08H·ODD30/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.930.791.000.690.88
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.003.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.790.860.850.850.730.87
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EgersundEgersund

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W11D20W02L00D10W01L03L11DH·RAN22/11A·AAL26/11H·AAL09/03H·MOS04/07A·ASA26/07H·SAN02/08A·STR09/08H·STA16/08A·HAU26/08H·ASA30/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.530.560.500.790.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.670.540.500.580.830.50
vs Weaker (6)0.670.500.750.250.501.00
Clean sheet %60% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ranheim over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RanheimRanheim

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D42W30W12L22D22D11D12L02L11DA·LIL25/10H·SKE01/11A·SOG08/11A·EGE22/11A·SOG26/07H·HAU03/08A·STR09/08H·STR15/08A·STA26/08H·ODD30/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.101.141.071.121.12
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)1.181.111.231.081.131.13
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EgersundEgersund

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W01L12L10W31W20W10W03L00D11DH·RAN22/11A·AAL26/11H·AAL09/03H·MOS04/07A·ASA26/07H·SAN02/08A·STR09/08H·STA16/08A·HAU26/08H·ASA30/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.771.060.880.930.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.830.830.921.000.750.67
vs Weaker (6)1.670.501.500.502.000.50
Clean sheet %47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ranheim over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.595.4%-------
Over 1.590.9%-------
Home under 3.5 goals90.7%-------
Under 6.589.9%-------
Away over 0.5 goals89.0%-------
Away +2 handicap85.3%-------
Away under 3.5 goals81.8%-------
Home over 0.5 goals81.8%-------
Under 5.579.9%-------
Home or Away78.1%-------
Home under 2.5 goals75.7%-------
Over 2.574.8%-------
BTTS Yes73.5%-------
Draw or Away70.7%-------
Away +1 handicap70.7%-------
Home +2 handicap70.4%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Ranheim and Egersund have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (9)
€5m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Ranheim and Egersund have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (7)
€3m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Ranheim and Egersund have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAU (10)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Ranheim and Egersund have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
RAN wins
1
Draws
3
EGE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ranheim vs Egersund · H/A from RAN
DateH/AGameScore
22/11/25AEgersund Vs RAN3-2
04/10/25HRAN Vs Egersund0-4
15/06/25AEgersund Vs RAN3-4
07/05/25HRAN Vs Egersund2-2
16/09/24AEgersund Vs RAN0-2
11/05/24HRAN Vs Egersund1-3

RanheimRanheim

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HRAN Vs ODD Ballklubb3-5
26/08/26AStabaek Vs RAN4-2
15/08/26HRAN Vs Stromsgodset1-3
09/08/26AStrommen Vs RAN1-4
03/08/26HRAN Vs Haugesund3-4
26/07/26ASogndal Vs RAN3-2
22/11/25AEgersund Vs RAN3-2
08/11/25ASogndal Vs RAN0-3
01/11/25HRAN Vs Skeid4-2
25/10/25ALillestrom Vs RAN2-1

EgersundEgersund

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HEGE Vs Asane2-2
26/08/26AHaugesund Vs EGE3-0
16/08/26HEGE Vs Stabaek0-4
09/08/26AStromsgodset Vs EGE0-2
02/08/26HEGE Vs Sandnes ULF2-0
26/07/26AAsane Vs EGE3-3
04/07/26HEGE Vs Moss3-0
09/03/26HEGE Vs Aalesund2-3
26/11/25AAalesund Vs EGE1-1
22/11/25HEGE Vs Ranheim3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ranheim
Ranheim
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.46
HomeWWLLL1.25
AwayWLLWL1.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%33%50%
AVG goals3.563.423.69
Over 1.5 %88%83%92%
Over 2.5 %70%67%73%
Over 3.5 %40%42%38%
Scored1.781.542.00
Conceded1.781.881.69
BTTS72%67%77%
Clean Sheet14%12%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Egersund
Egersund
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLD1.68
HomeLWWLD1.56
AwayWDDWL1.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%44%52%
AVG goals3.283.523.04
Over 1.5 %86%92%80%
Over 2.5 %60%64%56%
Over 3.5 %44%56%32%
Scored1.841.801.88
Conceded1.441.721.16
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet28%28%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StabaekStabaek615
83%
2.5
217+14
4.7
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5233.51.2
-
2HaugesundHaugesund715
71%
2.1
2211+11
4.7
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3243.11.6
-
3hoddhodd715
71%
2.1
1720-3
5.3
100%
100%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.42.9
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger613
67%
2.2
1711+6
4.7
83%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.81.8
-
5StromsgodsetStromsgodset713
57%
1.9
1511+4
3.7
100%
57%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.11.6
-
6BryneBryne713
57%
1.9
87+1
2.1
86%
29%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.11.0
-
7LynLyn611
50%
1.8
1813+5
5.2
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1213.02.2
-
8EgersundEgersund711
43%
1.6
1212+0
3.4
100%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.71.7
-
9StrommenStrommen610
50%
1.7
1211+1
3.8
83%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.8
-
10ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb78
29%
1.1
1416-2
4.3
71%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3332.02.3
-
11SogndalSogndal67
33%
1.2
1112-1
3.8
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.82.0
-
12AsaneAsane65
17%
0.8
1014-4
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.72.3
-
13Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF74
14%
0.6
816-8
3.4
86%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.12.3
-
14RanheimRanheim63
17%
0.5
1520-5
5.8
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1122.53.3
-
15RaufossRaufoss63
17%
0.5
618-12
4.0
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.03.0
-
16MossMoss72
0%
0.3
916-7
3.6
100%
100%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.32.3
-
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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