Rapid Wien II’s defensive record at home is balanced, conceding 1.22 goals per match against similarly ranked opponents, while First Vienna struggles to score on the road, averaging just 0.88 goals. The model projects a tight, low-scoring affair with an expected total of 2.2 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.8% chance, and the overall favourite result is a home win, with a 36% probability, followed by a 32% chance of a draw and a 32% chance of an away win. The match is expected to see 2 goals in total, with a 28% probability of exactly two goals. The suggested selections are: Over 19.5 fouls90.6%, Under 5.5 cards88.4%, Over 21.5 fouls81.4%, Under 4.5 cards76.5%, Under 3.582.6% (miss), and Under 11.5 corners73.0% (miss). Rapid Wien II’s recent form shows a 5-match record of LLWLW, ending with a 2-5 loss to Sturm Graz II, while First Vienna is on a two-game winning run, having beaten SKU Amstetten 1-0.
Results analysis
Rapid Wien II’s recent slump, with two straight defeats, made the 2-2 draw a surprise, as the pre-match favourite was the home side, predicted to win with a 36% probability. The model’s call was wrong, and the match finished level. The model’s selections were mixed: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 90.6%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 88.4%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 81.4%, Under 4.5 cards hit at 76.5%, while Under 3.5 missed at 82.6% and Under 11.5 corners missed at 73.0%. The final score of 2-2 matched the draw outcome, confirming the unexpected parity between the sides.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rapid Wien II win✗ Miss
35.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
32.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
First Vienna win✗ Miss
32.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Rapid Wien II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.42
1.95
1.22
1.22
1.60
2.60
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
6.00
-
-
1.00
6.00
vs Similar (18)
1.44
1.72
1.22
1.22
1.67
2.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
21% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.11
0.89
1.30
0.90
0.89
0.89
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
1.18
0.82
1.44
0.78
0.88
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid Wien II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.1%
Under 1.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
36.8%
Under 2.5
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
17.4%
Under 3.5
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.1%
No
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
11.4%
0-1
10.7%
2-1
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
Rapid Wien II goals ↓
First Vienna goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
11%
6.3%
2.2%
0.6%
1
11%
15%
7.1%
2.5%
0.7%
2
7.1%
7.5%
3.9%
1.4%
0.4%
3
2.6%
2.8%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.7%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rapid Wien II goals (down), columns = First Vienna goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC BW Linz
2.03
Grazer AK
2.00
SKN ST. Polten
1.87
SV Horn
1.60
SKU Amstetten
1.50
Floridsdorfer AC
1.50
First Vienna
1.43
SV Lafnitz
1.37
FC Liefering
1.23
Admira Wacker
1.20
Dornbirn
1.17
Sturm Graz II
1.13
SV Kapfenberg
1.13
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.07
Rapid Wien II
1.00
Austria Vienna (Am)
0.97
Rapid Wien II is 0.43 points worse than First Vienna in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC BW Linz
2.10
Grazer AK
1.73
FC Liefering
1.73
SKN ST. Polten
1.70
SKU Amstetten
1.63
SV Lafnitz
1.60
Sturm Graz II
1.43
Dornbirn
1.43
Floridsdorfer AC
1.37
SV Kapfenberg
1.33
Admira Wacker
1.30
SV Horn
1.27
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.20
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.13
First Vienna
1.13
Rapid Wien II
1.10
Rapid Wien II is 0.03 goals worse than First Vienna in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 1.13).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SKN ST. Polten
0.90
FC BW Linz
0.90
Grazer AK
0.97
Floridsdorfer AC
1.00
First Vienna
1.10
SV Horn
1.10
Admira Wacker
1.40
Dornbirn
1.47
SV Lafnitz
1.53
SKU Amstetten
1.63
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.80
FC Liefering
1.80
Rapid Wien II
1.83
Sturm Graz II
1.87
SV Kapfenberg
1.87
Austria Vienna (Am)
2.03
Rapid Wien II is 0.73 goals worse than First Vienna in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 1.10).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Liefering
54%
SKN ST. Polten
53%
FC BW Linz
53%
Floridsdorfer AC
52%
Grazer AK
52%
First Vienna
51%
SV Horn
51%
SV Lafnitz
51%
Austria Vienna (Am)
50%
SKU Amstetten
49%
Rapid Wien II
49%
Admira Wacker
49%
SK Vorwarts Steyr
47%
Dornbirn
47%
SV Kapfenberg
41%
Rapid Wien II is 1.8 percentage points worse than First Vienna in terms of average possession (49% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rapid Wien II
For 4.6 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
First Vienna
For 7.7 · Against 4.7 · Total 12.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 12.0 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rapid Wien II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (19)
9.8
9.5
10.0
1.5
1.9
1.1
23.4
25.0
21.8
vs Stronger (1)
10.0
-
10.0
5.0
-
5.0
24.0
-
24.0
vs Similar (18)
9.7
9.5
10.0
1.3
1.9
0.7
23.3
25.0
21.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
50%
75%
21%
33%
10%
88%
100%
75%
% under line
38%
50%
25%
79%
67%
90%
12%
0%
25%
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (19)
12.3
13.5
10.0
0.4
0.8
0.0
24.0
22.5
27.0
vs Stronger (2)
22.0
22.0
-
2.5
5.0
0.0
21.0
21.0
-
vs Similar (17)
7.5
5.0
10.0
0.2
0.3
0.0
25.5
24.0
27.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
67%
50%
100%
5%
10%
0%
67%
50%
100%
% under line
33%
50%
0%
95%
90%
100%
33%
50%
0%
This opponent (Rapid Wien II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Dornbirn
12.7
First Vienna
12.3
FC Liefering
11.2
SV Kapfenberg
10.8
FC BW Linz
10.5
Admira Wacker
10.1
SKU Amstetten
9.9
SK Vorwarts Steyr
9.8
Rapid Wien II
9.8
Grazer AK
9.7
Austria Vienna (Am)
9.6
Floridsdorfer AC
9.6
SKN ST. Polten
9.1
SV Horn
8.7
SV Lafnitz
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Dornbirn
5.2
SV Horn
5.1
SV Lafnitz
4.5
SV Kapfenberg
4.4
Admira Wacker
4.4
Austria Vienna (Am)
4.1
Floridsdorfer AC
4.1
SK Vorwarts Steyr
4.0
FC BW Linz
3.9
FC Liefering
3.8
Grazer AK
3.6
Rapid Wien II
3.5
SKU Amstetten
3.3
SKN ST. Polten
2.9
First Vienna
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SV Horn
30.5
Floridsdorfer AC
30.4
Grazer AK
27.7
SV Lafnitz
27.1
FC BW Linz
26.0
SV Kapfenberg
25.9
Dornbirn
25.1
Admira Wacker
24.9
SKU Amstetten
24.8
FC Liefering
24.7
Austria Vienna (Am)
24.6
First Vienna
24.0
Rapid Wien II
23.4
SKN ST. Polten
23.0
SK Vorwarts Steyr
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.5%
Under 9.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.7%
Under 3.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.4%
Under 21.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rapid Wien II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.68
0.68
0.56
0.33
0.80
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.56
0.56
0.33
0.78
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.68
0.37
0.60
0.40
0.78
0.33
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.41
0.67
0.44
0.75
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
74% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid Wien II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rapid Wien II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Wien II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Wien II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rapid Wien II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.74
1.26
0.67
0.89
0.80
1.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (18)
0.78
1.17
0.67
0.89
0.89
1.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
32% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.42
0.53
0.70
0.50
0.11
0.56
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.41
0.78
0.33
0.12
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
58% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid Wien II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rapid Wien II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Wien II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Wien II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GA (23)
€9m
FL (17)
€5m
FBL (21)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
AV( (23)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
RWI (24)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
Rapid Wien II's squad is €1m less valuable than First Vienna's (€4m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
GA (7)
€2m
RWI (12)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
AV( (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
Rapid Wien II and First Vienna have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FBL (4)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
AV( (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
RWI (4)
€1m
Rapid Wien II's midfield is €1m less valuable than First Vienna's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GA (13)
€6m
AV( (11)
€2m
FBL (8)
€2m
AW (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
SSP (8)
€1m
RWI (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
Rapid Wien II and First Vienna have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Austria: 2. Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
SKN ST. Polten
SV Horn
Floridsdorfer AC
SKU Amstetten
SV Lafnitz
FC Liefering
Admira Wacker
Dornbirn
Sturm Graz II
SV Kapfenberg
SK Vorwarts Steyr
Austria Vienna (Am)