Raufoss, after five consecutive defeats and a 0-3 loss to Sandnes ULF, are struggling to find the back of the net, averaging 1.38 goals at home while conceding 1.75. ODD Ballklubb, fresh from a 5-3 win over Ranheim, have scored 1.5 and conceded 1.94 on the road against similar opposition. The model projects a high-scoring affair with an expected total of 3.3 goals, centring on a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 10.3%. The odds favour an away win, with a 55% chance of ODD Ballklubb triumphing, 22% for a home win and 23% for a draw. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 goals at 97.9%, Home under 3.5 goals at 95.9%, Under 6.5 at 94.7%, Away +2 handicap at 90.5%, Under 5.5 at 87.9%, Away over 0.5 goals at 87.2%, Home under 2.5 goals at 86.3% and Over 1.5 at 85.5%. These picks reflect the model’s confidence that ODD Ballklubb will secure the victory.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Raufoss win
22.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb win
54.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Raufoss
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
2.23
1.07
1.71
1.56
2.69
vs Stronger (12)
0.75
2.33
0.67
1.67
0.83
3.00
vs Similar (18)
1.72
2.17
1.38
1.75
2.00
2.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (ODD Ballklubb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ODD Ballklubb
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
2.00
1.29
2.07
1.50
1.94
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
5.00
1.00
5.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.43
1.79
1.33
1.58
1.50
1.94
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.4%
Under 1.5
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64.7%
Under 2.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
42.6%
Under 3.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
63.7%
No
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.6%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
5.2%
Raufoss goals ↓
ODD Ballklubb goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
6.4%
7.6%
5.2%
2.7%
1
3.6%
10%
9.6%
6.6%
3.4%
2
2.9%
6.0%
6.1%
4.2%
2.2%
3
1.2%
2.5%
2.6%
1.8%
0.9%
4
0.4%
0.8%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Raufoss goals (down), columns = ODD Ballklubb goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stabaek
2.50
Kongsvinger
2.17
hodd
2.14
Haugesund
2.14
Stromsgodset
1.86
Bryne
1.86
Lyn
1.83
Strommen
1.67
Egersund
1.57
Sogndal
1.17
ODD Ballklubb
1.14
Asane
0.83
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Raufoss
0.50
Ranheim
0.50
Moss
0.29
Raufoss is 0.64 points worse than ODD Ballklubb in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stabaek
3.50
Haugesund
3.14
Lyn
3.00
Kongsvinger
2.83
Ranheim
2.50
hodd
2.43
Stromsgodset
2.14
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Egersund
1.71
Asane
1.67
Moss
1.29
Bryne
1.14
Sandnes ULF
1.14
Raufoss
1.00
Raufoss is 1.00 goals worse than ODD Ballklubb in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
1.00
Stabaek
1.17
Haugesund
1.57
Stromsgodset
1.57
Egersund
1.71
Kongsvinger
1.83
Strommen
1.83
Sogndal
2.00
Lyn
2.17
Moss
2.29
ODD Ballklubb
2.29
Sandnes ULF
2.29
Asane
2.33
hodd
2.86
Raufoss
3.00
Ranheim
3.33
Raufoss is 0.71 goals worse than ODD Ballklubb in terms of goals conceded per game (3.00 vs 2.29).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Raufoss or Draw
45.4%
Avg Implied -
22%
23%
55%
covers Raufoss + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Raufoss or ODD Ballklubb
76.9%
Avg Implied -
22%
23%
55%
covers Raufoss + ODD Ballklubb
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or ODD Ballklubb
77.7%
Avg Implied -
22%
23%
55%
covers Draw + ODD Ballklubb
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Raufoss over/under 0.5
Over
72.0%
Under
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 1.5
Over
36.3%
Under
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 2.5
Over
13.6%
Under
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 3.5
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 0.5
Over
87.2%
Under
12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 1.5
Over
61.0%
Under
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 2.5
Over
33.9%
Under
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 3.5
Over
15.4%
Under
84.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Raufoss, so a minus line means Raufoss give that many goals of a start and ODD Ballklubb receive them. At -1, Raufoss must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Raufoss win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Raufoss)
Raufoss -2
3.1%
Draw -2
6.4%
ODD Ballklubb +2
90.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Raufoss)
Raufoss -1
9.5%
Draw -1
12.8%
ODD Ballklubb +1
77.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Raufoss)
Raufoss +1
45.4%
Draw +1
21.3%
ODD Ballklubb -1
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Raufoss)
Raufoss +2
66.7%
Draw +2
16.8%
ODD Ballklubb -2
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Raufoss
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.97
0.57
0.79
0.81
1.12
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.67
vs Similar (18)
0.89
1.17
0.75
0.88
1.00
1.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (ODD Ballklubb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ODD Ballklubb
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.07
0.43
1.21
0.75
0.94
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.50
0.00
2.50
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.64
0.96
0.50
1.00
0.75
0.94
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.9%
Under 0.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
33.6%
Under 1.5
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.1%
Under 2.5
87.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Raufoss over/under 0.5 HT
Over
47.2%
Under
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.5%
Under
88.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 0.5 HT
Over
48.1%
Under
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.5%
Under
86.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Raufoss
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.27
0.50
0.93
0.75
1.56
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
1.67
0.33
1.00
0.33
2.33
vs Similar (18)
0.83
1.00
0.62
0.88
1.00
1.10
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (ODD Ballklubb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ODD Ballklubb
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.93
0.86
0.86
0.75
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
1.00
2.50
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.79
0.82
0.83
0.58
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
82.4%
Under 0.5
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
49.4%
Under 1.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
22.1%
Under 2.5
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Raufoss over/under 0.5 2H
Over
52.6%
Under
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.1%
Under
86.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 0.5 2H
Over
59.5%
Under
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 1.5 2H
Over
21.1%
Under
78.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ODD Ballklubb over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.7%
Under
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
ODD Ballklubb · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde21%
Mikael Ingebrigtsen19%
Torgeir Børven15%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen13%
Bilal Njie8%
Sheriff Sinyan8%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen7%
Steffen Hagen6%
Tony Miettinen6%
Samuel Skree Skjeldal5%
Syver Aas5%
Ole Erik Midtskogen4%
Filip Rønningen Jørgensen3%
André Hansen0%
Etzaz Hussain0%
Espen Ruud0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Sondre Solholm Johansen0%
Josef Baccay0%
Alexander Fransson0%
Solomon Owusu0%
Mihajlo Ivančević0%
Leon Hien0%
Ishaq Abdulrazak0%
Jesper Svenungsen Skau0%
Peder Nygaard Klausen0%
Casper Andersen0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Espen Ruud29%
Leon Hien29%
Tony Miettinen28%
Etzaz Hussain25%
Mihajlo Ivančević23%
Sondre Solholm Johansen20%
Solomon Owusu16%
Josef Baccay14%
Jesper Svenungsen Skau14%
Filip Rønningen Jørgensen14%
Mikael Ingebrigtsen11%
Alexander Fransson11%
Syver Aas10%
Kjetil Haug9%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen7%
Ole Erik Midtskogen7%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen4%
Bilal Njie4%
André Hansen0%
Steffen Hagen0%
Torgeir Børven0%
Sheriff Sinyan0%
Ishaq Abdulrazak0%
Samuel Skree Skjeldal0%
Peder Nygaard Klausen0%
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde0%
Casper Andersen0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuel Skree Skjeldal15%
Espen Ruud14%
Mikael Ingebrigtsen11%
Filip Rønningen Jørgensen10%
Sondre Solholm Johansen10%
Bilal Njie8%
Ole Erik Midtskogen4%
Etzaz Hussain4%
André Hansen0%
Steffen Hagen0%
Torgeir Børven0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Josef Baccay0%
Sheriff Sinyan0%
Alexander Fransson0%
Tony Miettinen0%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen0%
Solomon Owusu0%
Mihajlo Ivančević0%
Leon Hien0%
Syver Aas0%
Ishaq Abdulrazak0%
Jesper Svenungsen Skau0%
Peder Nygaard Klausen0%
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
Casper Andersen0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Faniel Temesgen Tewelde29%
Oliver Jordan Hagen14%
Mikael Ingebrigtsen11%
Ole Erik Midtskogen11%
Torgeir Børven8%
Tony Miettinen6%
Syver Aas5%
André Hansen0%
Etzaz Hussain0%
Steffen Hagen0%
Espen Ruud0%
Bilal Njie0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Sondre Solholm Johansen0%
Josef Baccay0%
Sheriff Sinyan0%
Alexander Fransson0%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen0%
Solomon Owusu0%
Mihajlo Ivančević0%
Filip Rønningen Jørgensen0%
Leon Hien0%
Ishaq Abdulrazak0%
Samuel Skree Skjeldal0%
Jesper Svenungsen Skau0%
Peder Nygaard Klausen0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
Casper Andersen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Raufoss's squad is €7m less valuable than ODD Ballklubb's (€2m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (9)
€5m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Raufoss's attack is €2m less valuable than ODD Ballklubb's (€0m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (7)
€3m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Raufoss's midfield is €2m less valuable than ODD Ballklubb's (€0m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAU (10)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Raufoss's defence is €2m less valuable than ODD Ballklubb's (€1m vs €3m).
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Stabaek
Haugesund
hodd
Kongsvinger
Stromsgodset
Bryne
Lyn
Egersund
Strommen
Sogndal
Asane
Sandnes ULF
Ranheim
Moss