Raufoss, after four consecutive defeats, faces Sandnes ULF who just secured a win. The model sees a 42% chance of a home victory, 30% for a draw, and 28% for an away win, making a home win the favourite. The expected total is 2.4 goals, with the most probable total being two goals at 27%. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, with a 14% probability. Raufoss averages 1.57 goals scored and conceded at home against similar opposition, while Sandnes ULF, on the road, scores 1.29 and concedes 2.43 against comparable teams. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.2%), Under 6.5 (98.7%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.6%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.2%), Under 5.5 (96.1%), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.0%). Each selection carries its own probability, with edges ranging from 3% to 9%.
Results analysis
The upset was clear: the pre-match favourite, a home win at 42%, failed to materialise as Sandnes ULF took a 3-0 victory. The model’s call was wrong, and the final score of 0-3 confirms the away triumph. The model’s selections were all accurate: Under 7.5 at 99.6% hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.0% hit, Under 6.5 at 98.7% hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.0% hit, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.6% hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.1% hit, Under 5.5 at 96.1% hit, and Home under 3.5 goals at 94.9% hit. Raufoss, after five consecutive defeats, could not break the streak, while Sandnes ULF, riding a two-game winning run, capped the match with a convincing win.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Raufoss win✗ Miss
42.3%
Avg Implied 36.2% · @ 2.53
Edge
+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.60
Pinnacle
2.60
Unibet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.56
1xBet
2.56
Draw✗ Miss
29.5%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.50
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.70
Pinnacle
3.66
Betfair
3.60
Dafabet
3.60
Superbet
3.50
Sandnes ULF win✓ Hit
28.1%
Avg Implied 37.6% · @ 2.44
Edge
-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.56
Superbet
2.52
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.49
Marathonbet
2.49
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Raufoss
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
2.17
1.15
1.62
1.53
2.59
vs Stronger (12)
0.75
2.33
0.67
1.67
0.83
3.00
vs Similar (18)
1.78
2.06
1.57
1.57
1.91
2.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandnes ULF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sandnes ULF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
2.30
0.79
2.57
1.06
2.06
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
2.67
0.43
3.00
0.20
2.20
vs Similar (16)
1.19
2.12
1.14
2.14
1.22
2.11
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
1.50
-
-
2.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.4%
@ 1.15-9.4%
Under 1.5
28.6%
@ 4.83+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Pinnacle
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Under
Betfair
5.50
Pinnacle
5.16
BetVictor
5.00
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.70
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.2%
@ 1.53-16.1%
Under 2.5
55.8%
@ 2.33+16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Unibet
1.55
Betano
1.55
BetVictor
1.54
Under
Pinnacle
2.42
Betfair
2.40
10Bet
2.38
Betano
2.35
Bet365
2.35
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.1%
@ 2.33-16.9%
Under 3.5
76.9%
@ 1.55+16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.38
Betfair
2.38
Pinnacle
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Marathonbet
2.33
Under
Pinnacle
1.59
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.4%
@ 1.45-13.3%
No
49.6%
@ 2.55+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Unibet
1.44
No
Betfair
2.63
William Hil
2.60
1xBet
2.60
BetVictor
2.55
Marathonbet
2.55
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%@ 6.65+7.5%
1-0
10.6%@ 10.96+6.6%
0-0
9.9%@ 13.51+6.7%
2-1
8.8%@ 8.75+3.7%
2-0
8.1%@ 13.64+4.9%
0-1
8.0%@ 10.94+4.0%
1-2
6.9%@ 8.58+1.8%
0-2
5.0%@ 13.70+1.8%
Raufoss goals ↓
Sandnes ULF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.9%
8.0%
5.0%
1.8%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
6.9%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.1%
8.8%
4.7%
1.7%
0.5%
3
3.7%
4.0%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.3%
1.4%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Raufoss goals (down), columns = Sandnes ULF goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stabaek
2.50
Kongsvinger
2.17
hodd
2.14
Haugesund
2.14
Stromsgodset
1.86
Bryne
1.86
Lyn
1.83
Strommen
1.67
Egersund
1.57
Sogndal
1.17
ODD Ballklubb
1.14
Asane
0.83
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Raufoss
0.50
Ranheim
0.50
Moss
0.29
Raufoss is 0.07 points worse than Sandnes ULF in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 0.57).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stabaek
3.50
Haugesund
3.14
Lyn
3.00
Kongsvinger
2.83
Ranheim
2.50
hodd
2.43
Stromsgodset
2.14
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Egersund
1.71
Asane
1.67
Moss
1.29
Bryne
1.14
Sandnes ULF
1.14
Raufoss
1.00
Raufoss is 0.14 goals worse than Sandnes ULF in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
1.00
Stabaek
1.17
Haugesund
1.57
Stromsgodset
1.57
Egersund
1.71
Kongsvinger
1.83
Strommen
1.83
Sogndal
2.00
Lyn
2.17
Moss
2.29
ODD Ballklubb
2.29
Sandnes ULF
2.29
Asane
2.33
hodd
2.86
Raufoss
3.00
Ranheim
3.33
Raufoss is 0.71 goals worse than Sandnes ULF in terms of goals conceded per game (3.00 vs 2.29).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Raufoss or Draw✗ Miss
71.9%
Avg Implied 62.5% · @ 1.48
Edge
+9.4%
42%
30%
28%
covers Raufoss + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.53
William Hil
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Raufoss or Sandnes ULF✓ Hit
70.5%
Avg Implied 74.0% · @ 1.25
Edge
-3.5%
42%
30%
28%
covers Raufoss + Sandnes ULF
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Draw or Sandnes ULF✓ Hit
57.7%
Avg Implied 63.6% · @ 1.46
Edge
-5.9%
42%
30%
28%
covers Draw + Sandnes ULF
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.46
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Raufoss over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
74.6%
@ 1.19-3.3%
Under
25.4%
@ 4.21+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Unibet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Under
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.35
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.25
Raufoss over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
39.8%
@ 1.99-6.8%
Under
60.2%
@ 1.74+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.03
Unibet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.79
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Raufoss over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.0%
@ 4.14-6.4%
Under
84.0%
@ 1.20+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Unibet
4.30
Pinnacle
4.21
1xBet
4.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Raufoss over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.1%
@ 9.35-5.0%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.04+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
8.90
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Sandnes ULF over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.9%
@ 1.18-12.3%
Under
34.1%
@ 4.25+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Unibet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
1xBet
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Sandnes ULF over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
29.2%
@ 1.94-18.7%
Under
70.8%
@ 1.78+18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.02
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.96
1xBet
1.96
Betano
1.95
Under
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Betano
1.80
Pinnacle
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
Sandnes ULF over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
9.5%
@ 3.96-14.0%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.21+14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.15
BetVictor
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Marathonbet
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Under
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Sandnes ULF over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 9.28-7.7%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.04+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
9.00
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Raufoss, so a minus line means Raufoss give that many goals of a start and Sandnes ULF receive them. At -1, Raufoss must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Raufoss win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Raufoss)Actual: Sandnes ULF
Raufoss -2
7.6%
@ 9.28-1.9%
Draw -2
13.0%
@ 6.50-0.6%
Sandnes ULF +2
79.5%
@ 1.14+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Unibet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.10
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.00
Unibet
6.75
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Handicap -1 (Raufoss)Actual: Sandnes ULF
Raufoss -1
20.5%
@ 4.75+1.8%
Draw -1
21.8%
@ 4.47+1.9%
Sandnes ULF +1
57.7%
@ 1.45-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.70
Betfair
4.50
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
4.25
Away
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.46
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Handicap +1 (Raufoss)Actual: Sandnes ULF
Raufoss +1
71.9%
@ 1.50+12.3%
Draw +1
16.8%
@ 4.41-3.5%
Sandnes ULF -1
11.3%
@ 4.42-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.45
Betfair
4.33
Unibet
4.10
Away
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Unibet
4.20
Handicap +2 (Raufoss)Actual: Sandnes ULF
Raufoss +2
88.7%
@ 1.16+11.3%
Draw +2
8.0%
@ 6.86-5.1%
Sandnes ULF -2
3.4%
@ 9.40-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Draw
Marathonbet
7.20
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Unibet
6.25
Away
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Marathonbet
9.10
Unibet
8.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Raufoss
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.93
0.62
0.77
0.76
1.06
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.67
vs Similar (18)
0.89
1.11
0.86
0.86
0.91
1.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandnes ULF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sandnes ULF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.87
0.29
0.71
0.38
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.08
1.00
0.14
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.69
0.43
0.43
0.56
0.89
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.50
-
-
0.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
65.1%
@ 1.26-8.3%
Under 0.5
34.9%
@ 3.48+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.75
William Hil
3.70
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
29.4%
@ 2.24-12.0%
Under 1.5
70.6%
@ 1.58+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
Pinnacle
2.29
Bet365
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Marathonbet
2.23
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Marathonbet
1.60
William Hil
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.2%
@ 5.00-7.3%
Under 2.5
88.8%
@ 1.14+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.90
Under
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Raufoss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
48.9%
@ 1.85-1.2%
Under
51.1%
@ 1.86+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
Pinnacle
1.86
1xBet
1.85
Unibet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Betano
1.83
Raufoss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.5%
@ 5.33-1.8%
Under
84.5%
@ 1.12+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Raufoss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 10.25-6.2%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.02+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Sandnes ULF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
33.2%
@ 1.81-17.7%
Under
66.8%
@ 1.88+17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.86
Betano
1.85
Superbet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Unibet
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.91
Unibet
1.88
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
Sandnes ULF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.5%
@ 5.07-11.7%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.13+11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.35
1xBet
5.00
Betano
4.85
Under
Betano
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Sandnes ULF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 9.75-8.5%
Under
99.0%
@ 1.02+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Raufoss
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.23
0.54
0.85
0.76
1.53
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
1.67
0.33
1.00
0.33
2.33
vs Similar (18)
0.89
0.94
0.71
0.71
1.00
1.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandnes ULF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sandnes ULF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.43
0.50
1.86
0.69
1.06
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
1.67
0.29
2.00
0.20
1.20
vs Similar (16)
0.69
1.44
0.71
1.71
0.67
1.22
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.2%
@ 1.15-5.5%
Under 0.5
24.8%
@ 4.82+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.12
Under
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.85
Marathonbet
4.85
William Hil
4.80
Superbet
4.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
38.5%
@ 1.74-14.8%
Under 1.5
61.5%
@ 1.98+14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
William Hil
1.75
Unibet
1.75
Superbet
1.75
Under
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.1%
@ 3.25-13.4%
Under 2.5
84.9%
@ 1.29+13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.30
William Hil
3.30
1xBet
3.22
Marathonbet
3.22
Under
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.27
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Raufoss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
59.3%
@ 1.58+0.5%
Under
40.7%
@ 2.25-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Betano
1.55
Under
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.22
Superbet
2.22
Raufoss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.6%
@ 3.76-5.9%
Under
81.4%
@ 1.22+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.92
1xBet
3.80
Betano
3.55
Under
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Raufoss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.9%
@ 8.95-3.4%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.03+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Sandnes ULF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
42.1%
@ 1.57-16.9%
Under
57.9%
@ 2.26+16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.59
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.55
Under
1xBet
2.30
Betano
2.27
Superbet
2.22
Sandnes ULF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
8.8%
@ 3.64-16.6%
Under
91.2%
@ 1.24+16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.82
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.50
Under
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Sandnes ULF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 8.85-8.5%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.03+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.6%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.1%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.1%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Superbet
1.07
BetVictor
1.05
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.9%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.5%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
-
-
+11.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.1%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
91.2%
1.24
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-
+16.6%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
90.5%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.21
+14.0%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
89.8%
1.21
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
+13.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.8%
1.14
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
88.7%
1.16
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
-
+11.3%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.9%
1.29
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.27
+13.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.5%
1.12
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
84.0%
1.20
Pinnacle
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.4%
1.22
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
-
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
79.5%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.9%
1.55
Pinnacle
1.59
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
+16.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.2%
1.15
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.12
-5.5%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
74.6%
1.19
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Unibet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
-3.3%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
71.9%
1.48
Betano
1.53
William Hil
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.49
+9.4%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
71.9%
1.50
Unibet
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48
-
+12.3%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
71.4%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Pinnacle
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Superbet
1.15
-9.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
70.8%
1.78
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Betano
1.80
Pinnacle
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
+18.7%
✗ Miss
Under 1.5 HT goals
70.6%
1.58
Pinnacle
1.61
Marathonbet
1.60
William Hil
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Superbet
1.59
+12.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.5%
1.25
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
-3.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Raufoss and Sandnes ULF have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (9)
€5m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Raufoss and Sandnes ULF have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (7)
€3m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Raufoss and Sandnes ULF have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAU (10)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Raufoss and Sandnes ULF have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →