Raufoss and Stabaek are set to face off in a closely contested match, with the home side's recent struggles against Haugesund still fresh in their minds. After two straight defeats, Raufoss will look to bounce back against a Stabaek side that's riding a three-game winning streak. The model predicts a home win for Raufoss, with a 38% chance of victory, 26% chance of a draw, and 36% chance of an away win.
The expected total number of goals in this match is 3.0, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 12.3%.
Raufoss has been averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.22 goals conceded at home, while Stabaek has been averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.93 goals conceded away from home against similar opponents.
The model's selections include Over 1.5, with a probability of 81.3%. This selection has been a hit, suggesting that Raufoss and Stabaek are likely to score more than 1.5 goals each.
The home win percentage is 38%, the draw percentage is 26%, and the away win percentage is 36%. The model's selection, Over 1.5, has a probability of 81.3%, while the home win has a probability of 38%.
The 0-2 scoreline brought an end to Raufoss's recent struggles, extending their winless streak to four matches. However, the home team's form was overshadowed by Stabaek's away success, a result that has seen them win three of their last four games. The pre-match favourite, a home win, failed to materialize as the model's selection, with a 38% probability of occurrence, was proven wrong. The model's call was incorrect. In contrast, the model's selection of over 1.5 goals hit, with an 81.3% probability of occurrence, as the final score was a low-scoring 0-2. Stabaek's away win was the actual result, a surprise given their recent form had been away from home.
Raufoss| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.30 | 1.90 | 1.08 | 1.38 | 1.47 | 2.29 |
| vs Stronger (14) | 0.71 | 2.14 | 0.57 | 1.29 | 0.86 | 3.00 |
| vs Similar (16) | 1.81 | 1.69 | 1.67 | 1.50 | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 7% (-15pp vs league) | |||||
Stabaek| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 2.03 | 1.87 | 2.27 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.93 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (23) | 1.65 | 2.30 | 1.92 | 2.25 | 1.36 | 2.36 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 3.29 | 0.43 | 3.67 | 0.00 | 3.00 | 0.75 |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-2pp vs league) | |||||
| Stabaek goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 12% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| 2 | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Raufoss| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.63 | 0.80 | 0.54 | 0.77 | 0.71 | 0.82 |
| vs Stronger (14) | 0.36 | 0.71 | 0.29 | 0.71 | 0.43 | 0.71 |
| vs Similar (16) | 0.88 | 0.88 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+15pp vs league) | |||||
Stabaek| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.93 | 0.67 | 0.93 | 0.67 | 0.93 | 0.67 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.78 | 0.78 | 0.75 | 0.83 | 0.82 | 0.73 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 1.43 | 0.29 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 1.25 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+18pp vs league) | |||||
Raufoss| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.67 | 1.10 | 0.54 | 0.62 | 0.76 | 1.47 |
| vs Stronger (14) | 0.36 | 1.43 | 0.29 | 0.57 | 0.43 | 2.29 |
| vs Similar (16) | 0.94 | 0.81 | 0.83 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (+5pp vs league) | |||||
Stabaek| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.33 | 1.13 | 0.87 | 1.27 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.87 | 1.52 | 1.17 | 1.42 | 0.55 | 1.64 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 1.86 | 0.14 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 1.75 | 0.25 |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+15pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 81.3% | 1.09 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.10 | 1.10 | -4.2% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/25 | A | 3-0 | |
| 24/05/25 | H | 1-0 | |
| 16/09/24 | A | 1-2 | |
| 20/07/24 | H | 0-0 | |
| 12/09/22 | A | 2-0 | |
| 22/05/22 | H | 0-4 |
Raufoss| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 08/11/25 | A | 1-1 | |
| 02/11/25 | H | 0-1 | |
| 25/10/25 | A | 1-4 | |
| 22/10/25 | H | 1-3 | |
| 18/10/25 | A | 4-0 | |
| 04/10/25 | A | 4-0 | |
| 29/09/25 | H | 1-2 | |
| 21/09/25 | A | 3-0 | |
| 13/09/25 | H | 0-1 |
Stabaek| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/26 | H | 6-0 | |
| 08/11/25 | A | 3-0 | |
| 02/11/25 | H | 1-5 | |
| 29/10/25 | A | 3-2 | |
| 25/10/25 | A | 1-3 | |
| 22/10/25 | H | 2-0 | |
| 18/10/25 | A | 0-5 | |
| 05/10/25 | H | 2-2 | |
| 24/09/25 | A | 6-1 | |
| 21/09/25 | H | 3-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Bryne | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 2.2 | 83% | 33% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | - |
| 2 | Stabaek | 4 | 12 | 100% | 3.0 | 16 | 3 | +13 | 4.8 | 100% | 75% | 75% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.0 | 0.8 | - |
| 3 | hodd | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 6.0 | 100% | 100% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.8 | 3.2 | - |
| 4 | Egersund | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 3.4 | 100% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 5 | Haugesund | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 5.6 | 100% | 100% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.4 | 2.2 | - |
| 6 | Kongsvinger | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 4.8 | 100% | 100% | 75% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 | 1.8 | - |
| 7 | Lyn | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 5.0 | 100% | 75% | 75% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | - |
| 8 | Stromsgodset | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 3.4 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.6 | - |
| 9 | Sogndal | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 3.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.8 | - |
| 10 | ODD Ballklubb | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 4.2 | 80% | 80% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 2.4 | - |
| 11 | Strommen | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 4.0 | 75% | 75% | 75% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 2.2 | - |
| 12 | Asane | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4.2 | 100% | 100% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 2.5 | - |
| 13 | Ranheim | 4 | 3 | 25% | 0.8 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 5.2 | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 2.8 | - |
| 14 | Raufoss | 4 | 3 | 25% | 0.8 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4.2 | 100% | 75% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 3.0 | - |
| 15 | Moss | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3.6 | 100% | 100% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 2.4 | - |
| 16 | Sandnes ULF | 6 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 3.5 | 83% | 33% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 2.7 | - |