This opponent (Getafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Getafe
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.80
0.93
1.13
0.87
2.47
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
2.30
0.60
1.60
0.80
3.00
vs Similar (18)
1.06
1.67
1.25
1.00
0.90
2.20
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
59.2%
Under 1.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
31.0%
Under 2.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.4%
Under 3.5
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
34.2%
No
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
18.2%
0-0
15.4%
2-0 ✓
13.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
3.5%
Rayo Vallecano goals ↓
Getafe goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
7.2%
2.5%
0.5%
0.1%
1
18%
13%
3.3%
0.7%
0.1%
2
13%
7.8%
2.3%
0.4%
0.1%
3
6.0%
3.5%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
4
2.0%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rayo Vallecano goals (down), columns = Getafe goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Levante
2.00
Girona
1.67
Getafe
1.62
Tenerife
1.57
Cadiz
1.52
Valladolid
1.50
Huesca
1.50
Oviedo
1.45
Reus Deportiu
1.31
Cordoba
1.31
Lugo
1.31
Rayo Vallecano
1.26
Sevilla B
1.26
Gimnastic
1.24
Almeria
1.21
Numancia
1.19
Alcorcon
1.19
Zaragoza
1.19
UCAM Murcia
1.14
Mallorca
1.07
Elche
1.02
Mirandes
0.98
Rayo Vallecano is 0.36 points worse than Getafe in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.62).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Girona
1.55
Levante
1.36
Getafe
1.31
Cadiz
1.31
Sevilla B
1.31
Huesca
1.26
Valladolid
1.24
Tenerife
1.19
Zaragoza
1.19
Lugo
1.17
Elche
1.17
Oviedo
1.12
Gimnastic
1.12
Rayo Vallecano
1.05
Almeria
1.05
Cordoba
1.00
UCAM Murcia
1.00
Mallorca
1.00
Numancia
0.95
Mirandes
0.95
Alcorcon
0.76
Reus Deportiu
0.74
Rayo Vallecano is 0.26 goals worse than Getafe in terms of goals scored per game (1.05 vs 1.31).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Reus Deportiu
0.69
Levante
0.76
Tenerife
0.88
Cadiz
0.95
Getafe
1.02
Huesca
1.02
Alcorcon
1.02
Rayo Vallecano
1.05
Girona
1.07
Valladolid
1.12
Oviedo
1.12
Numancia
1.17
Almeria
1.17
Mallorca
1.19
Gimnastic
1.21
UCAM Murcia
1.21
Cordoba
1.24
Lugo
1.24
Zaragoza
1.24
Sevilla B
1.33
Elche
1.50
Mirandes
1.57
Rayo Vallecano is 0.02 goals worse than Getafe in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 1.02).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rayo Vallecano
For 7.6 · Against 4.1 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 11.6 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Getafe
For 4.6 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.9 · Against 9.8 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rayo Vallecano
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (43)
11.0
10.2
11.8
4.7
5.1
4.3
27.4
28.1
26.8
vs Stronger (12)
10.9
9.7
12.2
4.7
5.5
3.8
25.5
27.0
24.0
vs Similar (31)
11.1
10.5
11.7
4.7
4.9
4.5
28.3
28.5
28.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
61%
53%
68%
79%
86%
73%
84%
89%
79%
% under line
39%
47%
32%
21%
14%
27%
16%
11%
21%
This opponent (Getafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Getafe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (43)
10.2
10.4
10.0
5.0
4.8
5.2
26.0
25.5
26.5
vs Stronger (14)
10.1
10.6
9.6
5.1
5.3
4.9
24.3
23.6
25.0
vs Similar (27)
10.3
10.3
10.2
5.3
5.2
5.4
27.0
26.7
27.3
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
63%
68%
58%
77%
77%
76%
74%
74%
74%
% under line
37%
32%
42%
23%
23%
24%
26%
26%
26%
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rayo Vallecano
11.0
Getafe
10.2
Levante
9.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Levante
5.9
Getafe
5.7
Rayo Vallecano
5.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Levante
27.8
Rayo Vallecano
27.4
Getafe
26.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
55.7%
Under 9.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.7%
Under 3.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.2%
Under 21.5
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rayo Vallecano
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.83
1.00
0.57
0.62
1.06
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
1.00
0.80
1.00
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.75
1.11
0.33
0.64
1.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Getafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Getafe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
1.00
0.20
0.40
0.27
1.60
vs Stronger (10)
0.10
1.40
0.00
0.80
0.20
2.00
vs Similar (18)
0.33
0.89
0.38
0.25
0.30
1.40
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Getafe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Getafe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Getafe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rayo Vallecano
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.07
0.57
0.79
0.56
1.31
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.90
0.60
1.60
0.20
2.20
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.65
0.56
0.33
0.73
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Getafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Getafe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.80
0.73
0.73
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
0.90
0.60
0.80
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.78
0.88
0.75
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Getafe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Getafe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Getafe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rayo Vallecano · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sergio Camello67%
Álvaro García33%
Florian Lejeune0%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Unai López0%
Randy Nteka0%
Jorge de Frutos0%
Fran Pérez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sergio Camello33%
Unai López33%
Álvaro García33%
Fran Pérez33%
Florian Lejeune0%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Randy Nteka0%
Jorge de Frutos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Unai López33%
Álvaro García33%
Jorge de Frutos33%
Sergio Camello0%
Florian Lejeune0%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Randy Nteka0%
Fran Pérez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sergio Camello33%
Florian Lejeune33%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Unai López0%
Álvaro García0%
Randy Nteka0%
Jorge de Frutos0%
Fran Pérez0%
Getafe · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Enes Ünal60%
Johan Mojica25%
Andrés García20%
Kiko Femenía0%
Orel Mangala0%
Abdel Abqar0%
David Soria0%
Djené0%
Borja Mayoral0%
Francho Serrano0%
Zaid Romero0%
Ramón Terrats0%
Martín Satriano0%
Saba Sazonov0%
Alberto Risco0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Borja Mayoral50%
Saba Sazonov50%
Orel Mangala40%
Djené40%
Abdel Abqar33%
Kiko Femenía25%
Johan Mojica25%
Enes Ünal20%
Zaid Romero20%
Martín Satriano20%
David Soria0%
Francho Serrano0%
Ramón Terrats0%
Andrés García0%
Alberto Risco0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Johan Mojica25%
Martín Satriano20%
Kiko Femenía0%
Orel Mangala0%
Abdel Abqar0%
David Soria0%
Djené0%
Borja Mayoral0%
Enes Ünal0%
Francho Serrano0%
Zaid Romero0%
Ramón Terrats0%
Saba Sazonov0%
Andrés García0%
Alberto Risco0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ramón Terrats40%
Kiko Femenía0%
Orel Mangala0%
Abdel Abqar0%
David Soria0%
Djené0%
Borja Mayoral0%
Enes Ünal0%
Johan Mojica0%
Francho Serrano0%
Zaid Romero0%
Martín Satriano0%
Saba Sazonov0%
Andrés García0%
Alberto Risco0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
COR (26)
€16m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
MIR (21)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Rayo Vallecano's squad is €14m less valuable than Getafe's (€76m vs €90m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
LEV (10)
€51m
ALM (11)
€38m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
CAD (12)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
COR (9)
€4m
HUE (9)
€2m
MIR (6)
€2m
Rayo Vallecano's attack is €6m less valuable than Getafe's (€30m vs €36m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
GET (6)
€28m
LEV (5)
€16m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
MIR (4)
€1m
Rayo Vallecano's midfield is €19m less valuable than Getafe's (€9m vs €28m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RV (9)
€36m
ELC (9)
€33m
GET (13)
€26m
GIR (9)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
COR (12)
€7m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
HUE (8)
€2m
Rayo Vallecano's defence is €10m more valuable than Getafe's (€36m vs €26m).
Spain: Segunda División 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Levante
Girona
Tenerife
Cadiz
Huesca
Valladolid
Oviedo
Lugo
Cordoba
Gimnastic
Almeria
Zaragoza
Numancia
Alcorcon
UCAM Murcia
Mallorca
Elche
Mirandes