This opponent (Girona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Girona
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.63
1.29
0.57
1.12
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.00
0.77
1.29
0.71
0.67
0.83
vs Weaker (17)
1.35
0.53
1.29
0.43
1.40
0.60
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
59.8%
Under 1.5
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
31.4%
Under 2.5
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.7%
Under 3.5
86.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.0%
No
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.3%
1-1
14.7%
1-0 ✓
14.1%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
5.3%
Rayo Vallecano goals ↓
Girona goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
11%
5.3%
1.5%
0.3%
1
14%
15%
5.8%
1.7%
0.4%
2
8.5%
7.3%
3.2%
0.9%
0.2%
3
3.1%
2.7%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.9%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rayo Vallecano goals (down), columns = Girona goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Levante
2.00
Girona
1.67
Getafe
1.62
Tenerife
1.57
Cadiz
1.52
Valladolid
1.50
Huesca
1.50
Oviedo
1.45
Reus Deportiu
1.31
Cordoba
1.31
Lugo
1.31
Rayo Vallecano
1.26
Sevilla B
1.26
Gimnastic
1.24
Almeria
1.21
Numancia
1.19
Alcorcon
1.19
Zaragoza
1.19
UCAM Murcia
1.14
Mallorca
1.07
Elche
1.02
Mirandes
0.98
Rayo Vallecano is 0.40 points worse than Girona in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Girona
1.55
Levante
1.36
Getafe
1.31
Cadiz
1.31
Sevilla B
1.31
Huesca
1.26
Valladolid
1.24
Tenerife
1.19
Zaragoza
1.19
Lugo
1.17
Elche
1.17
Oviedo
1.12
Gimnastic
1.12
Rayo Vallecano
1.05
Almeria
1.05
Cordoba
1.00
UCAM Murcia
1.00
Mallorca
1.00
Numancia
0.95
Mirandes
0.95
Alcorcon
0.76
Reus Deportiu
0.74
Rayo Vallecano is 0.50 goals worse than Girona in terms of goals scored per game (1.05 vs 1.55).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Reus Deportiu
0.69
Levante
0.76
Tenerife
0.88
Cadiz
0.95
Getafe
1.02
Huesca
1.02
Alcorcon
1.02
Rayo Vallecano
1.05
Girona
1.07
Valladolid
1.12
Oviedo
1.12
Numancia
1.17
Almeria
1.17
Mallorca
1.19
Gimnastic
1.21
UCAM Murcia
1.21
Cordoba
1.24
Lugo
1.24
Zaragoza
1.24
Sevilla B
1.33
Elche
1.50
Mirandes
1.57
Rayo Vallecano is 0.02 goals better than Girona in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 1.07).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rayo Vallecano
For 7.6 · Against 4.1 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 11.6 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Girona
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Rayo Vallecano
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (48)
11.0
10.2
11.8
4.2
4.5
4.0
27.4
28.1
26.8
vs Stronger (12)
10.9
9.7
12.2
4.7
5.5
3.8
25.5
27.0
24.0
vs Similar (34)
11.1
10.5
11.7
4.3
4.4
4.2
28.3
28.5
28.2
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
61%
53%
68%
71%
75%
67%
84%
89%
79%
% under line
39%
47%
32%
29%
25%
33%
16%
11%
21%
This opponent (Girona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Girona
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (30)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rayo Vallecano
11.0
Getafe
10.2
Levante
9.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Levante
5.9
Getafe
5.7
Rayo Vallecano
5.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Levante
27.8
Rayo Vallecano
27.4
Getafe
26.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rayo Vallecano
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.77
1.07
0.57
0.44
0.94
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.83
1.00
1.33
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.73
1.10
0.30
0.58
1.08
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Girona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Girona
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.30
0.43
0.14
0.44
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.38
0.71
0.14
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (17)
0.35
0.24
0.14
0.14
0.50
0.30
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Girona over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Girona over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Girona over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rayo Vallecano
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.86
0.57
0.62
0.88
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.33
0.67
1.67
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.73
0.55
0.80
0.10
0.67
0.92
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Girona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Girona
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.33
0.86
0.43
0.69
0.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.46
0.38
0.57
0.57
0.33
0.17
vs Weaker (17)
1.00
0.29
1.14
0.29
0.90
0.30
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Girona over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Girona over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Girona over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rayo Vallecano · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sergio Camello67%
Álvaro García33%
Florian Lejeune0%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Unai López0%
Randy Nteka0%
Jorge de Frutos0%
Fran Pérez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sergio Camello33%
Unai López33%
Álvaro García33%
Fran Pérez33%
Florian Lejeune0%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Randy Nteka0%
Jorge de Frutos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Unai López33%
Álvaro García33%
Jorge de Frutos33%
Sergio Camello0%
Florian Lejeune0%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Randy Nteka0%
Fran Pérez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sergio Camello33%
Florian Lejeune33%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Unai López0%
Álvaro García0%
Randy Nteka0%
Jorge de Frutos0%
Fran Pérez0%
Girona · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yáser Asprilla67%
Abel Ruíz33%
Fran Beltrán33%
Izan González33%
Paulo Gazzaniga0%
Bryan Gil0%
Álex Moreno0%
Alejandro Francés0%
Iván Morante0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bryan Gil33%
Fran Beltrán33%
Álex Moreno33%
Abel Ruíz0%
Paulo Gazzaniga0%
Alejandro Francés0%
Iván Morante0%
Yáser Asprilla0%
Izan González0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Abel Ruíz33%
Fran Beltrán33%
Paulo Gazzaniga0%
Bryan Gil0%
Álex Moreno0%
Alejandro Francés0%
Iván Morante0%
Yáser Asprilla0%
Izan González0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Gil67%
Álex Moreno33%
Abel Ruíz0%
Paulo Gazzaniga0%
Fran Beltrán0%
Alejandro Francés0%
Iván Morante0%
Yáser Asprilla0%
Izan González0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
COR (26)
€16m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
MIR (21)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Rayo Vallecano's squad is €38m less valuable than Girona's (€76m vs €114m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
LEV (10)
€51m
ALM (11)
€38m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
CAD (12)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
COR (9)
€4m
HUE (9)
€2m
MIR (6)
€2m
Rayo Vallecano's attack is €33m less valuable than Girona's (€30m vs €64m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
GET (6)
€28m
LEV (5)
€16m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
MIR (4)
€1m
Rayo Vallecano's midfield is €19m less valuable than Girona's (€9m vs €28m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RV (9)
€36m
ELC (9)
€33m
GET (13)
€26m
GIR (9)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
COR (12)
€7m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
HUE (8)
€2m
Rayo Vallecano's defence is €14m more valuable than Girona's (€36m vs €22m).
Spain: Segunda División 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →