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RB Leipzig vs Bayern München Result & Analysis

Date: 03/05/2025
Time: 13:30
Final 3-3
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Vs
37%
25%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bayern München
Bayern München
Germany: Bundesliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

RB Leipzig win✗ Miss
37.2%
Avg Implied 21.2% · @ 4.49
Edge
+16.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.3%
Avg Implied 20.8% · @ 4.57
Edge
+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bayern München win✗ Miss
37.5%
Avg Implied 58.0% · @ 1.64
Edge
-20.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D22D12L00D20W01L31W32W11D04LA·FC 14/02H·1. 23/02H·FSV01/03A·SC 08/03H·BOR15/03A·BOR29/03H·18905/04A·VFL11/04H·HOL19/04A·EIN26/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.671.801.471.001.87
vs Stronger (1)1.005.00--1.005.00
vs Similar (9)1.221.671.601.400.752.00
vs Weaker (20)1.501.501.901.501.101.50
Clean sheet %23% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L20W11D32W31W12L22D22D40W30WH·VFL08/03A·BAY11/03A·UNI15/03H·FC 29/03A·FC 04/04H·INT08/04H·BOR12/04A·INT16/04A·1. 19/04H·FSV26/04
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.471.102.941.191.931.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)1.331.331.001.002.002.00
vs Weaker (27)2.591.073.211.211.920.92
Clean sheet %33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.4%
Under 1.5
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.8%
@ 1.34-7.5%
Under 2.5
37.2%
@ 3.17+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.6%
Under 3.5
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.3%
No
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
0-1
5.3%
1-0
5.3%
0-2
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
RB Leipzig goals ↓
Bayern München goals →
01234
05.0%5.3%5.2%2.8%1.1%
15.3%11%8.3%4.5%1.8%
25.1%8.3%6.7%3.6%1.5%
32.8%4.5%3.6%2.0%0.8%
41.1%1.8%1.5%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = RB Leipzig goals (down), columns = Bayern München goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bayern München
2.41
Bayer Leverkusen
2.03
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.76
Borussia Dortmund
1.68
SC Freiburg
1.62
FSV Mainz 05
1.53
RB Leipzig
1.50
Werder Bremen
1.50
VfB Stuttgart
1.47
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.32
FC Augsburg
1.26
VfL Wolfsburg
1.26
Union Berlin
1.21
FC St. Pauli
0.94
1899 Hoffenheim
0.94
1. FC Heidenheim
0.92
Holstein Kiel
0.74
VfL Bochum
0.68
SV Elversberg
0.50
RB Leipzig is 0.91 points worse than Bayern München in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.41).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bayern München
2.91
Bayer Leverkusen
2.12
Borussia Dortmund
2.09
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.00
VfB Stuttgart
1.88
VfL Wolfsburg
1.65
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.62
FSV Mainz 05
1.62
Werder Bremen
1.59
RB Leipzig
1.56
SV Elversberg
1.50
Holstein Kiel
1.44
SC Freiburg
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.35
1. FC Heidenheim
1.14
Union Berlin
1.06
FC Augsburg
1.03
VfL Bochum
0.94
FC St. Pauli
0.82
RB Leipzig is 1.35 goals worse than Bayern München in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 2.91).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bayern München
0.94
FC St. Pauli
1.21
FSV Mainz 05
1.26
Bayer Leverkusen
1.26
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.35
RB Leipzig
1.41
Union Berlin
1.47
FC Augsburg
1.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.50
VfB Stuttgart
1.56
SC Freiburg
1.56
VfL Wolfsburg
1.59
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.68
Werder Bremen
1.68
1. FC Heidenheim
1.86
SV Elversberg
2.00
VfL Bochum
2.00
1899 Hoffenheim
2.00
Holstein Kiel
2.35
RB Leipzig is 0.47 goals worse than Bayern München in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 0.94).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Bayern München
68%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
Borussia Dortmund
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
SV Elversberg
55%
RB Leipzig
52%
FSV Mainz 05
50%
Werder Bremen
50%
Eintracht Frankfurt
50%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
50%
SC Freiburg
49%
1899 Hoffenheim
49%
VfL Wolfsburg
46%
VfL Bochum
45%
FC St. Pauli
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
Holstein Kiel
44%
1. FC Heidenheim
43%
Union Berlin
40%
RB Leipzig is 16.0 percentage points worse than Bayern München in terms of average possession (52% vs 68%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

For 6.6 · Against 5.7 · Total 12.3

🚩 Corners

170489758828531262717498121613101315881117A·EINH·HOLA·VFLH·189A·BORH·BORA·SC H·FSVH·1. A·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

603112324223331133124354463263A·EINH·HOLA·VFLH·189A·BORH·BORA·SC H·FSVH·1. A·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 10.8 · Total 21.8

⚠️ Fouls

300131059131410129514101168151515121223142722142417233024A·EINH·HOLA·VFLH·189A·BORH·BORA·SC H·FSVH·1. A·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Bayern MünchenBayern München

For 6.3 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

2004444656551425414261493881111669162012H·FSVA·1. A·INTH·BORH·INTA·FC H·FC A·UNIA·BAYH·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 3.2 · Total 4.9

🟨 Cards

702213221453213416254445533777H·FSVA·1. A·INTH·INTA·FC H·FC A·UNIA·BAYH·VFLH·BAY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 11.2 · Total 21.8

⚠️ Fouls

37013171181610859988134813132471430192613181617213721H·FSVA·1. A·INTH·BORH·INTA·FC H·FC A·UNIA·BAYH·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.89.94.33.94.721.220.621.7
vs Stronger (2)10.0-10.06.5-6.523.0-23.0
vs Similar (13)11.211.610.84.63.75.720.819.322.7
vs Weaker (35)10.010.59.64.14.04.221.221.221.2
% over line60%75%46%66%54%77%46%38%54%
% under line40%25%54%34%46%23%54%62%46%
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bayern MünchenBayern München

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.48.810.13.63.33.819.518.021.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (7)9.68.511.04.05.22.321.019.523.0
vs Weaker (43)9.48.910.03.53.04.019.217.720.7
% over line48%40%56%52%40%64%30%20%40%
% under line52%60%44%48%60%36%70%80%60%
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
VfL Bochum
11.0
SV Elversberg
10.7
Holstein Kiel
10.6
1899 Hoffenheim
10.5
RB Leipzig
10.3
FC Augsburg
10.1
Eintracht Frankfurt
10.1
VfB Stuttgart
10.0
Borussia Dortmund
10.0
FSV Mainz 05
10.0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9.9
Union Berlin
9.8
VfL Wolfsburg
9.6
Bayern München
9.4
Werder Bremen
9.4
Bayer Leverkusen
9.4
1. FC Heidenheim
9.4
FC St. Pauli
9.3
SC Freiburg
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Werder Bremen
5.2
FSV Mainz 05
5.2
VfB Stuttgart
5.1
VfL Wolfsburg
4.8
Holstein Kiel
4.8
SV Elversberg
4.4
Bayer Leverkusen
4.4
1. FC Heidenheim
4.4
RB Leipzig
4.3
Union Berlin
4.3
FC Augsburg
4.1
VfL Bochum
4.1
Borussia Dortmund
4.0
FC St. Pauli
3.9
SC Freiburg
3.9
Bayern München
3.8
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.8
1899 Hoffenheim
3.8
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
VfL Bochum
24.1
1. FC Heidenheim
24.0
FSV Mainz 05
24.0
VfB Stuttgart
22.9
VfL Wolfsburg
22.9
Werder Bremen
22.8
FC Augsburg
22.6
Holstein Kiel
22.4
1899 Hoffenheim
22.4
Union Berlin
22.3
SV Elversberg
22.1
RB Leipzig
21.2
Borussia Mönchengladbach
21.1
Borussia Dortmund
20.6
Bayer Leverkusen
20.6
FC St. Pauli
20.2
SC Freiburg
19.8
Bayern München
19.5
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.8%
Under 9.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.2%
Under 3.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
41.6%
Under 21.5
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L10W00D10W00D21W20W01L01LA·FC 14/02H·1. 23/02H·FSV01/03A·SC 08/03H·BOR15/03A·BOR29/03H·18905/04A·VFL11/04H·HOL19/04A·EIN26/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.800.870.930.800.67
vs Stronger (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (9)0.780.890.800.800.751.00
vs Weaker (20)0.850.650.901.000.800.30
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D00D11D11D01L00D00D30W20WH·VFL08/03A·BAY11/03A·UNI15/03H·FC 29/03A·FC 04/04H·INT08/04H·BOR12/04A·INT16/04A·1. 19/04H·FSV26/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.401.250.310.640.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.330.330.500.500.000.00
vs Weaker (27)1.040.411.360.290.690.54
Clean sheet %63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
RB Leipzig over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W02L00D10W01L10W12L10W03LA·FC 14/02H·1. 23/02H·FSV01/03A·SC 08/03H·BOR15/03A·BOR29/03H·18905/04A·VFL11/04H·HOL19/04A·EIN26/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.930.530.201.20
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (9)0.440.780.800.600.001.00
vs Weaker (20)0.650.851.000.500.301.20
Clean sheet %53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L20W11D21W20W11D22D22D10W10WH·VFL08/03A·BAY11/03A·UNI15/03H·FC 29/03A·FC 04/04H·INT08/04H·BOR12/04A·INT16/04A·1. 19/04H·FSV26/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.500.701.690.881.290.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)1.001.000.500.502.002.00
vs Weaker (27)1.560.671.860.931.230.38
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
RB Leipzig over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls85.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.584.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards78.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards76.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls73.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

RB Leipzig
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Benjamin Šeško42%
Xavi Simons27%
Loïs Openda24%
Antonio Nusa14%
Yussuf Poulsen14%
Willi Orbán13%
Christoph Baumgartner12%
Ridle Baku10%
André Silva7%
David Raum3%
Kevin Kampl3%
Lukas Klostermann3%
Lutsharel Geertruida3%
Benjamin Henrichs0%
Xaver Schlager0%
Péter Gulácsi0%
Amadou Haidara0%
Eljif Elmas0%
Maarten Vandevoordt0%
Nicolas Seiwald0%
Castello Lukeba0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Arthur Vermeeren0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Assan Ouédraogo0%
Tidiam Gomis0%
Viggo Gebel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Raum28%
Benjamin Henrichs25%
Amadou Haidara22%
Tidiam Gomis22%
Xaver Schlager20%
Castello Lukeba19%
Xavi Simons18%
Arthur Vermeeren18%
Eljif Elmas17%
Christoph Baumgartner16%
Kevin Kampl15%
Lukas Klostermann14%
Willi Orbán13%
Lutsharel Geertruida11%
Loïs Openda11%
Nicolas Seiwald10%
Kosta Nedeljković9%
Maarten Vandevoordt8%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu7%
Ridle Baku5%
Benjamin Šeško4%
Yussuf Poulsen3%
Péter Gulácsi0%
André Silva0%
Antonio Nusa0%
Assan Ouédraogo0%
Viggo Gebel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
André Silva20%
Xavi Simons18%
David Raum17%
Eljif Elmas17%
Loïs Openda16%
Benjamin Šeško13%
Antonio Nusa11%
Tidiam Gomis11%
Ridle Baku10%
Benjamin Henrichs8%
Arthur Vermeeren5%
Amadou Haidara5%
Christoph Baumgartner5%
Lutsharel Geertruida3%
Willi Orbán3%
Nicolas Seiwald2%
Xaver Schlager0%
Péter Gulácsi0%
Lukas Klostermann0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Yussuf Poulsen0%
Maarten Vandevoordt0%
Castello Lukeba0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Assan Ouédraogo0%
Viggo Gebel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Loïs Openda38%
Benjamin Šeško27%
Xavi Simons15%
Christoph Baumgartner9%
Yussuf Poulsen7%
Benjamin Henrichs4%
Willi Orbán3%
Amadou Haidara2%
Xaver Schlager0%
Péter Gulácsi0%
Lukas Klostermann0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Eljif Elmas0%
Maarten Vandevoordt0%
André Silva0%
Nicolas Seiwald0%
David Raum0%
Ridle Baku0%
Lutsharel Geertruida0%
Castello Lukeba0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Antonio Nusa0%
Arthur Vermeeren0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Assan Ouédraogo0%
Tidiam Gomis0%
Viggo Gebel0%
Bayern München
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Harry Kane54%
Jamal Musiala38%
Michael Olise28%
Leroy Sané24%
Kingsley Coman17%
Serge Gnabry17%
Hiroki Itō12%
Raphaël Guerreiro12%
Thomas Müller11%
Eric Dier11%
Leon Goretzka10%
Alphonso Davies10%
Konrad Laimer7%
Min-jae Kim7%
Dayot Upamecano6%
Joshua Kimmich6%
Aleksandar Pavlović4%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sacha Boey0%
João Palhinha0%
Josip Stanišić0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Mathys Tel0%
Gabriel Vidović0%
Arijon Ibrahimović0%
Adam Aznou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dayot Upamecano24%
Konrad Laimer24%
Daniel Peretz20%
Leon Goretzka18%
Harry Kane13%
Hiroki Itō12%
Joshua Kimmich10%
Jamal Musiala10%
Min-jae Kim9%
Thomas Müller9%
Leroy Sané9%
João Palhinha8%
Michael Olise8%
Eric Dier7%
Aleksandar Pavlović7%
Raphaël Guerreiro6%
Sacha Boey6%
Kingsley Coman5%
Serge Gnabry5%
Manuel Neuer0%
Alphonso Davies0%
Josip Stanišić0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Mathys Tel0%
Gabriel Vidović0%
Arijon Ibrahimović0%
Adam Aznou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michael Olise32%
Harry Kane22%
Joshua Kimmich20%
Serge Gnabry19%
Thomas Müller14%
Sacha Boey12%
Leroy Sané11%
Jamal Musiala10%
Kingsley Coman10%
Alphonso Davies10%
Josip Stanišić10%
Raphaël Guerreiro9%
Konrad Laimer7%
Mathys Tel7%
Leon Goretzka5%
Eric Dier4%
Manuel Neuer0%
Dayot Upamecano0%
Min-jae Kim0%
Hiroki Itō0%
João Palhinha0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Gabriel Vidović0%
Arijon Ibrahimović0%
Aleksandar Pavlović0%
Adam Aznou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Harry Kane48%
Jamal Musiala32%
Michael Olise22%
Leroy Sané20%
Serge Gnabry14%
Leon Goretzka12%
Kingsley Coman10%
Thomas Müller9%
Mathys Tel7%
Joshua Kimmich4%
Raphaël Guerreiro3%
Eric Dier0%
Manuel Neuer0%
Alphonso Davies0%
Dayot Upamecano0%
Konrad Laimer0%
Sacha Boey0%
Min-jae Kim0%
Hiroki Itō0%
João Palhinha0%
Josip Stanišić0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Gabriel Vidović0%
Arijon Ibrahimović0%
Aleksandar Pavlović0%
Adam Aznou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
SE (27)
€52m
FSP (27)
€46m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
VB (24)
€19m
RB Leipzig's squad is €570m less valuable than Bayern München's (€506m vs €1076m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
SE (12)
€33m
1FH (11)
€15m
HK (12)
€12m
FSP (7)
€10m
VB (9)
€6m
RB Leipzig's attack is €341m less valuable than Bayern München's (€212m vs €554m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
FSP (8)
€15m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
VB (4)
€5m
SE (3)
€4m
RB Leipzig's midfield is €78m less valuable than Bayern München's (€109m vs €187m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
WB (15)
€41m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
SE (12)
€14m
1FH (11)
€12m
VB (11)
€8m
RB Leipzig's defence is €151m less valuable than Bayern München's (€185m vs €336m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
RL wins
2
Draws
5
BM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

RB Leipzig vs Bayern München · H/A from RL
DateH/AGameScore
20/12/24ABayern München Vs RL5-1
24/02/24ABayern München Vs RL2-1
30/09/23HRL Vs Bayern München2-2
20/05/23ABayern München Vs RL1-3
20/01/23HRL Vs Bayern München1-1
05/02/22ABayern München Vs RL3-2
11/09/21HRL Vs Bayern München1-4
03/04/21HRL Vs Bayern München0-1

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/25AEintracht Frankfurt Vs RL4-0
19/04/25HRL Vs Holstein Kiel1-1
11/04/25AVfL Wolfsburg Vs RL2-3
05/04/25HRL Vs 1899 Hoffenheim3-1
29/03/25ABorussia Mönchengladbach Vs RL1-0
15/03/25HRL Vs Borussia Dortmund2-0
08/03/25ASC Freiburg Vs RL0-0
01/03/25HRL Vs FSV Mainz 051-2
23/02/25HRL Vs 1. FC Heidenheim2-2
14/02/25AFC Augsburg Vs RL0-0

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/25HBM Vs FSV Mainz 053-0
19/04/25A1. FC Heidenheim Vs BM0-4
16/04/25AInter Vs BM2-2
12/04/25HBM Vs Borussia Dortmund2-2
08/04/25HBM Vs Inter1-2
04/04/25AFC Augsburg Vs BM1-3
29/03/25HBM Vs FC St. Pauli3-2
15/03/25AUnion Berlin Vs BM1-1
11/03/25ABayer Leverkusen Vs BM0-2
08/03/25HBM Vs VfL Bochum2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL1.50
HomeDLWWD1.79
AwayDDLWL1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%50%31%
AVG goals2.942.962.92
Over 1.5 %74%79%69%
Over 2.5 %56%58%54%
Over 3.5 %40%42%38%
Scored1.621.831.42
Conceded1.321.121.50
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet32%38%27%
Corners10.3410.839.88
Cards4.343.924.73
Bayern München
Bayern München
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWW2.10
HomeLWLDW2.44
AwayWDWDW1.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%76%52%
AVG goals3.743.923.56
Over 1.5 %88%92%84%
Over 2.5 %74%76%72%
Over 3.5 %52%52%52%
Scored2.582.962.20
Conceded1.160.961.36
BTTS58%52%64%
Clean Sheet38%48%28%
Corners9.448.8010.08
Cards3.813.614.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bayern MünchenBayern München3482
74%
2.4
9932+67
3.9
91%
76%
59%
9.1
38%
3.6
53%
19.2
26%
1076
5541873362.90.9
68%
2Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen3469
56%
2.0
7243+29
3.4
82%
62%
53%
9.8
56%
4.0
55%
20.4
35%
499
246911622.11.3
59%
3Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt3460
50%
1.8
6846+22
3.4
88%
65%
50%
10.0
59%
3.4
41%
19.6
38%
323
17478722.01.4
50%
4Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund3457
50%
1.7
7151+20
3.6
94%
71%
50%
9.6
50%
4.5
64%
20.2
41%
529
1701462142.11.5
59%
5SC FreiburgSC Freiburg3455
47%
1.6
4953-4
3.0
74%
68%
47%
8.2
29%
3.5
41%
19.4
29%
243
96361101.41.6
49%
6FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053452
41%
1.5
5543+12
2.9
88%
53%
32%
9.9
56%
4.9
71%
22.3
50%
175
4980471.61.3
50%
7RB LeipzigRB Leipzig3451
38%
1.5
5348+5
3.0
71%
56%
44%
10.2
53%
4.4
71%
21.2
50%
506
2121091851.61.4
52%
8Werder BremenWerder Bremen3451
41%
1.5
5457-3
3.3
76%
65%
47%
9.5
53%
4.9
71%
22.3
59%
119
5028411.61.7
50%
9VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3450
41%
1.5
6453+11
3.4
82%
71%
53%
10.0
65%
5.5
79%
23.1
56%
430
193921451.91.6
58%
10Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach3445
38%
1.3
5557-2
3.3
85%
62%
38%
9.9
53%
3.3
52%
19.9
41%
129
5822491.61.7
50%
11VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg3443
32%
1.3
5654+2
3.2
74%
59%
50%
10.1
59%
4.5
58%
21.4
50%
154
5632661.61.6
46%
12FC AugsburgFC Augsburg3443
32%
1.3
3551-16
2.5
74%
53%
32%
9.6
53%
4.1
55%
21.4
53%
161
6423741.01.5
44%
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3441
29%
1.2
3650-14
2.5
74%
50%
18%
9.4
50%
4.0
55%
21.9
41%
123
4626501.11.5
40%
141. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim3633
25%
0.9
4167-26
3.0
78%
58%
39%
8.9
42%
4.3
66%
23.1
58%
33
157121.11.9
43%
15FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli3432
24%
0.9
2841-13
2.0
68%
29%
12%
8.9
35%
4.0
55%
21.2
41%
46
1015210.81.2
44%
161899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim3432
21%
0.9
4668-22
3.4
85%
59%
53%
10.2
65%
4.0
50%
22.8
56%
309
111105921.42.0
49%
17Holstein KielHolstein Kiel3425
18%
0.7
4980-31
3.8
94%
76%
56%
10.1
50%
4.6
68%
22.9
62%
34
127161.42.4
44%
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3423
15%
0.7
3268-36
2.9
76%
47%
38%
10.3
62%
3.7
52%
22.6
53%
19
6580.92.0
45%
19SV ElversbergSV Elversberg21
0%
0.5
34-1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
6.5
0%
2.5
50%
21.0
50%
52
334141.52.0
55%
Germany: Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches