This opponent (AFC Wimbledon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AFC Wimbledon
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.70
1.21
0.57
0.81
0.81
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
0.33
1.50
0.25
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (22)
1.00
0.77
1.10
0.70
0.92
0.83
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Reading) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.8%
Under 1.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.0%
Under 2.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.1%
Under 3.5
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.2%
No
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-0
9.9%
2-1 ✓
9.7%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
5.6%
0-1
5.6%
3-0
5.6%
Reading goals ↓
AFC Wimbledon goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.0%
5.6%
3.3%
1.1%
0.3%
1
11%
13%
5.6%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.9%
9.7%
4.8%
1.6%
0.4%
3
5.6%
5.5%
2.7%
0.9%
0.2%
4
2.4%
2.3%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Reading goals (down), columns = AFC Wimbledon goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Newcastle
2.71
Sheffield Weds
2.50
Tottenham
2.40
Fleetwood Town
2.33
Crystal Palace
2.25
Coventry
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Fulham
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Watford
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Derby
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Arsenal
1.80
Southampton
1.75
Stoke
1.75
Preston
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Walsall
1.67
Cardiff
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
West Ham
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Birmingham
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Crawley Town
1.50
Chelsea
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Millwall
1.50
Norwich
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Harrogate
1.50
Oxford
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Barnsley
1.33
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Barrow
1.33
Leicester
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Exeter
1.00
Reading
1.00
Notts County
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Barnet
0.76
Oldham
0.70
Grimsby
0.50
Shrewsbury
0.50
Colchester
0.50
Bristol City
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Salford
0.00
Port Vale
0.00
Wrexham
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Burton
0.00
Stockport
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Cambridge
0.00
Accrington
0.00
West Brom
0.00
Bromley
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Gillingham
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Hull
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Newport County
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Lincoln
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Reading is 0.33 points worse than AFC Wimbledon in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester United
5.00
Blackburn
3.50
Stevenage
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Brighton
3.00
Watford
2.67
Cardiff
2.50
Southampton
2.50
Chelsea
2.50
Stoke
2.50
Huddersfield
2.50
Crystal Palace
2.50
Liverpool
2.50
Sheffield Weds
2.25
Arsenal
2.20
Sheffield United
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Wrexham
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Reading
2.00
Crawley Town
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Swindon
2.00
Preston
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Newcastle
1.86
Tottenham
1.80
Fleetwood Town
1.67
Rotherham
1.50
Shrewsbury
1.50
Fulham
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Brentford
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Wycombe
1.33
Walsall
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Coventry
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
West Ham
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Grimsby
1.00
Stockport
1.00
Cambridge
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Barrow
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Harrogate
1.00
Hull
1.00
Oxford
1.00
Derby
1.00
Chesterfield
1.00
Newport County
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
Colchester
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Barnet
0.99
Oldham
0.92
Barnsley
0.67
Birmingham
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Bristol City
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Salford
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Burton
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Reading is 0.67 goals better than AFC Wimbledon in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.43
Fulham
0.50
Everton
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Oxford
0.50
Derby
0.50
Coventry
0.67
Blackpool
0.67
Wycombe
0.67
Watford
0.67
Sheffield Weds
0.75
Bristol City
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Chelsea
1.00
Bournemouth
1.00
Swansea
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Plymouth
1.00
Stoke
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Preston
1.00
Luton
1.00
Charlton
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Liverpool
1.17
Crystal Palace
1.25
Brentford
1.25
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Leyton Orient
1.33
Arsenal
1.40
Doncaster
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Colchester
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Leicester
1.67
Brighton
1.67
Tottenham
1.80
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Salford
2.00
Southampton
2.00
Reading
2.00
Northampton
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
West Brom
2.00
Bromley
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Hull
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Tranmere
2.00
Crewe
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
Bolton
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
Burnley
2.00
Sunderland
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Barrow
2.33
Cardiff
2.50
West Ham
2.50
Shrewsbury
2.50
Middlesbrough
2.50
Barnet
2.54
Barnsley
2.67
Oldham
2.73
Cheltenham
3.00
Grimsby
3.00
Port Vale
3.00
Leeds
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Accrington
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Gillingham
3.00
Harrogate
3.00
Norwich
3.50
Wrexham
4.00
Burton
4.00
Stevenage
4.00
Swindon
4.00
Newport County
4.00
Milton Keynes Dons
5.00
Stockport
6.00
Reading is 0.67 goals worse than AFC Wimbledon in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Reading
For 4.8 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 12.1 · Total 23.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AFC Wimbledon
For 4.3 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.0 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 9.8 · Total 21.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Reading
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
9.8
11.0
3.2
3.4
3.1
22.9
23.4
22.5
vs Stronger (10)
7.5
6.2
8.8
3.1
2.3
4.2
25.2
22.8
27.8
vs Similar (38)
10.9
10.8
11.1
3.3
3.8
2.8
22.6
23.8
21.5
vs Weaker (2)
13.5
8.0
19.0
3.0
2.0
4.0
20.5
19.0
22.0
% over line
60%
50%
68%
46%
48%
44%
68%
73%
64%
% under line
40%
50%
32%
54%
52%
56%
32%
27%
36%
This opponent (AFC Wimbledon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AFC Wimbledon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.2
9.7
3.7
3.7
3.7
23.1
22.9
23.3
vs Stronger (10)
7.1
7.0
7.3
2.0
2.0
2.0
23.9
22.2
26.0
vs Similar (36)
9.3
8.4
10.1
4.2
4.2
4.2
23.0
23.3
22.8
vs Weaker (4)
9.5
9.5
9.5
3.0
3.0
3.0
22.8
21.0
24.5
% over line
43%
26%
58%
48%
46%
50%
57%
61%
54%
% under line
57%
74%
42%
52%
54%
50%
43%
39%
46%
This opponent (Reading) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.5
Tottenham
11.2
Sheffield Weds
11.1
Newcastle
11.1
Bournemouth
11.1
Portsmouth
11.0
Brentford
11.0
Huddersfield
10.9
Harrogate
10.9
Luton
10.8
Sheffield United
10.8
QPR
10.8
Barnsley
10.7
Doncaster
10.7
Bromley
10.6
Crawley Town
10.6
Millwall
10.5
Liverpool
10.4
Aston Villa
10.4
Everton
10.4
Oxford
10.3
Hull
10.3
Reading
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.3
Ipswich
10.3
Fulham
10.3
Stoke
10.2
Southampton
10.2
Middlesbrough
10.2
West Brom
10.2
Derby
10.1
Shrewsbury
10.1
Peterboro
10.1
Leicester
10.0
Manchester City
10.0
Newport County
10.0
Norwich
10.0
Watford
10.0
Crystal Palace
10.0
Leeds
10.0
Rotherham
10.0
Port Vale
10.0
Bristol Rvs
10.0
West Ham
9.9
Swindon
9.9
Barrow
9.9
Exeter
9.9
Manchester United
9.8
Walsall
9.8
Brighton
9.8
Wolves
9.7
Chesterfield
9.7
Grimsby
9.7
Charlton
9.7
Crewe
9.7
Bristol City
9.7
Cardiff
9.7
Chelsea
9.7
Sunderland
9.7
Blackburn
9.7
Barnet
9.7
Colchester
9.7
Cheltenham
9.7
Stevenage
9.7
Swansea
9.6
Blackpool
9.6
Burton
9.6
Lincoln
9.6
Bradford
9.6
Preston
9.6
Plymouth
9.6
Bolton
9.5
Wigan
9.5
Leyton Orient
9.5
Mansfield
9.5
Arsenal
9.4
Notts County
9.3
Wrexham
9.3
Oldham
9.3
Cambridge
9.3
Salford
9.3
Fleetwood Town
9.3
Wycombe
9.3
Burnley
9.1
AFC Wimbledon
9.1
Birmingham
9.0
Tranmere
8.9
Stockport
8.8
Northampton
8.8
Accrington
8.8
Milton Keynes Dons
8.6
Gillingham
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bolton
5.2
Accrington
5.0
Bournemouth
4.8
Bradford
4.8
Gillingham
4.7
Chelsea
4.7
Watford
4.6
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Crewe
4.5
Colchester
4.5
Grimsby
4.4
Wolves
4.4
Newcastle
4.4
Aston Villa
4.4
Brighton
4.4
Salford
4.4
Tranmere
4.4
Chesterfield
4.3
Sunderland
4.3
Manchester United
4.3
Portsmouth
4.3
Crystal Palace
4.2
Exeter
4.1
Crawley Town
4.1
Blackburn
4.1
Norwich
4.0
Cambridge
4.0
Liverpool
4.0
Stoke
4.0
Lincoln
4.0
Peterboro
4.0
Sheffield United
4.0
Stevenage
4.0
Preston
4.0
Shrewsbury
4.0
Barrow
4.0
Walsall
4.0
Ipswich
4.0
Stockport
3.9
Fleetwood Town
3.9
Doncaster
3.9
Bromley
3.9
Tottenham
3.9
Southampton
3.9
Luton
3.9
Burton
3.9
West Brom
3.9
Port Vale
3.9
Middlesbrough
3.9
Oldham
3.9
Notts County
3.8
Fulham
3.8
Charlton
3.8
Brentford
3.8
Wigan
3.8
AFC Wimbledon
3.8
Burnley
3.8
Barnet
3.8
Arsenal
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
Wycombe
3.8
Coventry
3.8
Northampton
3.7
Swansea
3.7
QPR
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Bristol Rvs
3.7
Cardiff
3.7
Huddersfield
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Plymouth
3.7
Newport County
3.7
West Ham
3.7
Barnsley
3.6
Mansfield
3.6
Cheltenham
3.6
Sheffield Weds
3.6
Oxford
3.6
Hull
3.6
Leyton Orient
3.6
Everton
3.5
Reading
3.5
Swindon
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Bristol City
3.5
Derby
3.5
Leeds
3.4
Rotherham
3.3
Blackpool
3.3
Millwall
3.2
Harrogate
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Oldham
28.5
Barnet
25.8
Accrington
25.7
Crewe
25.5
Bolton
25.4
Salford
25.3
Stevenage
25.2
Cheltenham
25.2
Birmingham
25.1
Colchester
24.8
Gillingham
24.7
Cambridge
24.7
Bradford
24.6
Wycombe
24.6
Grimsby
24.6
Millwall
24.5
Blackburn
24.5
Exeter
24.5
Stockport
24.4
Wolves
24.4
Rotherham
24.3
Bournemouth
24.3
Milton Keynes Dons
24.1
Wigan
24.1
Portsmouth
24.1
Luton
24.0
Doncaster
24.0
Preston
23.8
Lincoln
23.8
Swansea
23.8
Southampton
23.8
Mansfield
23.7
Peterboro
23.7
Charlton
23.6
Tottenham
23.6
Shrewsbury
23.5
Sheffield Weds
23.4
Sunderland
23.1
AFC Wimbledon
23.1
Watford
23.1
Burnley
23.1
Tranmere
23.0
Cardiff
23.0
Reading
23.0
Brighton
23.0
Crawley Town
22.9
Northampton
22.9
Fleetwood Town
22.9
QPR
22.9
Plymouth
22.9
Ipswich
22.8
Aston Villa
22.8
Huddersfield
22.8
Newcastle
22.7
Blackpool
22.7
Norwich
22.7
Bristol Rvs
22.6
Leeds
22.6
Newport County
22.6
Chesterfield
22.5
Sheffield United
22.5
Hull
22.2
Chelsea
22.1
Port Vale
22.1
West Ham
22.1
Barrow
22.1
Middlesbrough
22.0
Notts County
21.9
Manchester United
21.8
Bromley
21.8
Swindon
21.7
Walsall
21.6
Harrogate
21.6
West Brom
21.6
Everton
21.5
Crystal Palace
21.5
Burton
21.5
Leicester
21.4
Stoke
21.4
Nottingham Forest
21.3
Leyton Orient
21.3
Derby
21.3
Coventry
21.3
Oxford
21.3
Wrexham
21.2
Bristol City
21.2
Fulham
21.1
Arsenal
21.1
Barnsley
21.0
Liverpool
20.8
Brentford
19.0
Manchester City
17.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
59.2%
Under 9.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.7%
Under 3.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
59.3%
Under 21.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Reading or Draw✓ Hit
79.4%
Avg Implied -
53%
26%
21%
covers Reading + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Reading or AFC Wimbledon✓ Hit
73.6%
Avg Implied -
53%
26%
21%
covers Reading + AFC Wimbledon
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or AFC Wimbledon✗ Miss
47.0%
Avg Implied -
53%
26%
21%
covers Draw + AFC Wimbledon
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Reading over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.6%
Under
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
50.5%
Under
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
24.2%
Under
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.2%
Under
90.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Wimbledon over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
62.5%
Under
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Wimbledon over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
25.7%
Under
74.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Wimbledon over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.7%
Under
92.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Wimbledon over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Reading, so a minus line means Reading give that many goals of a start and AFC Wimbledon receive them. At -1, Reading must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Reading win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Reading)Actual: AFC Wimbledon
Reading -2
13.0%
Draw -2
16.7%
AFC Wimbledon +2
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Reading)Actual: Draw
Reading -1
29.7%
Draw -1
23.3%
AFC Wimbledon +1
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Reading)Actual: Reading
Reading +1
79.4%
Draw +1
13.0%
AFC Wimbledon -1
7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Reading)Actual: Reading
Reading +2
92.4%
Draw +2
5.6%
AFC Wimbledon -2
2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Reading
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.27
0.20
0.20
0.47
0.33
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.29
0.00
0.40
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (21)
0.29
0.29
0.22
0.11
0.33
0.42
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
80% (+56pp vs league)
This opponent (AFC Wimbledon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AFC Wimbledon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.10
0.57
0.07
0.38
0.12
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.41
0.09
0.40
0.10
0.42
0.08
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
90% (+66pp vs league)
This opponent (Reading) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Reading over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Wimbledon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Wimbledon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Wimbledon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Reading
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.90
0.87
0.93
0.87
0.87
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
0.57
1.00
0.40
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.86
1.00
0.89
1.22
0.83
0.83
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (AFC Wimbledon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AFC Wimbledon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.60
0.64
0.50
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.25
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.68
0.70
0.60
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Reading) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Reading over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Wimbledon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Wimbledon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Wimbledon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Reading
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jack Marriott58%
Lewis Wing21%
Andre Garcia17%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan16%
Mamadi Camara15%
Will Keane14%
Daniel Kyerewaa14%
Randell Williams13%
Kami Doyle9%
Paudie O’Connor8%
Haydon Roberts7%
Liam Fraser6%
Paddy Lane6%
Jeriel Dorsett5%
Charlie Savage4%
Matt Ritchie4%
Andy Yiadom0%
Joel Pereira0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Derrick Williams0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Jack Stevens0%
Tivonge Rushesha0%
Matty Jacob0%
Finley Burns0%
John Ryan0%
Ben Elliott0%
Michael Stickland0%
Kelvin Abrefa0%
Benn Ward0%
Kadan Young0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Sean Patton0%
Ashqar Ahmed0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
John Ryan33%
Paudie O’Connor31%
Ashqar Ahmed27%
Matty Jacob27%
Charlie Savage22%
Haydon Roberts21%
Derrick Williams21%
Andy Yiadom21%
Daniel Kyerewaa19%
Finley Burns18%
Matt Ritchie18%
Sean Patton17%
Jeriel Dorsett15%
Michael Stickland14%
Kadan Young14%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan14%
Benn Ward12%
Lewis Wing11%
Ryan Nyambe11%
Ben Elliott9%
Kami Doyle9%
Kelvin Abrefa8%
Andre Garcia8%
Mamadi Camara8%
Liam Fraser6%
Paddy Lane6%
Mark O'Mahony5%
Joel Pereira2%
Randell Williams0%
Jack Marriott0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Will Keane0%
Jack Stevens0%
Tivonge Rushesha0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tivonge Rushesha33%
Lewis Wing21%
Matt Ritchie18%
Kami Doyle14%
Jack Marriott12%
Charlie Savage9%
Daniel Kyerewaa8%
Kelvin Abrefa8%
Andre Garcia8%
Haydon Roberts7%
Randell Williams7%
Paddy Lane6%
Derrick Williams4%
Jeriel Dorsett2%
Andy Yiadom0%
Joel Pereira0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Will Keane0%
Jack Stevens0%
Paudie O’Connor0%
Liam Fraser0%
Matty Jacob0%
Finley Burns0%
John Ryan0%
Ben Elliott0%
Michael Stickland0%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan0%
Mamadi Camara0%
Benn Ward0%
Kadan Young0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Sean Patton0%
Ashqar Ahmed0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jack Marriott21%
Lewis Wing13%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan11%
Paddy Lane8%
Daniel Kyerewaa6%
Charlie Savage4%
Kami Doyle2%
Andy Yiadom0%
Joel Pereira0%
Randell Williams0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Derrick Williams0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Will Keane0%
Jack Stevens0%
Paudie O’Connor0%
Liam Fraser0%
Tivonge Rushesha0%
Matty Jacob0%
Haydon Roberts0%
Finley Burns0%
Jeriel Dorsett0%
John Ryan0%
Ben Elliott0%
Michael Stickland0%
Kelvin Abrefa0%
Mamadi Camara0%
Benn Ward0%
Kadan Young0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Sean Patton0%
Ashqar Ahmed0%
Andre Garcia0%
AFC Wimbledon
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mathew Stevens31%
Marcus Browne28%
James Tilley15%
Omar Bugiel12%
Antwoine Hackford11%
Danilo Orsi-Dadomo10%
Ryan Johnson10%
Junior Nkeng6%
Zack Nelson5%
Myles Hippolyte5%
Callum Maycock5%
Alistair Smith4%
Nathan Asiimwe3%
Jake Reeves3%
Steve Seddon2%
Josh Kelly0%
Sam Hutchinson0%
Patrick Bauer0%
Nathan Bishop0%
Joe McDonnell0%
Joe Lewis0%
Layton Stewart0%
Osman Foyo0%
Riley Harbottle0%
Aron Sasu0%
Isaac Ogundere0%
Kai Jennings0%
Robert Junior Nkeng0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Johnson26%
Jake Reeves23%
Joe Lewis19%
Myles Hippolyte18%
Marcus Browne17%
Steve Seddon15%
Riley Harbottle14%
Robert Junior Nkeng12%
Isaac Ogundere10%
Aron Sasu10%
Alistair Smith9%
Patrick Bauer8%
Omar Bugiel7%
Nathan Asiimwe5%
Nathan Bishop5%
Mathew Stevens3%
Antwoine Hackford3%
Callum Maycock2%
Josh Kelly0%
Sam Hutchinson0%
Joe McDonnell0%
James Tilley0%
Danilo Orsi-Dadomo0%
Layton Stewart0%
Osman Foyo0%
Zack Nelson0%
Kai Jennings0%
Junior Nkeng0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Steve Seddon17%
James Tilley15%
Myles Hippolyte10%
Jake Reeves10%
Omar Bugiel10%
Mathew Stevens7%
Alistair Smith7%
Marcus Browne6%
Nathan Asiimwe5%
Zack Nelson5%
Callum Maycock5%
Danilo Orsi-Dadomo5%
Joe Lewis4%
Isaac Ogundere2%
Josh Kelly0%
Sam Hutchinson0%
Patrick Bauer0%
Nathan Bishop0%
Joe McDonnell0%
Ryan Johnson0%
Layton Stewart0%
Antwoine Hackford0%
Osman Foyo0%
Riley Harbottle0%
Aron Sasu0%
Kai Jennings0%
Robert Junior Nkeng0%
Junior Nkeng0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marcus Browne19%
Junior Nkeng12%
James Tilley8%
Mathew Stevens7%
Danilo Orsi-Dadomo5%
Omar Bugiel5%
Alistair Smith4%
Nathan Asiimwe3%
Myles Hippolyte3%
Callum Maycock0%
Josh Kelly0%
Sam Hutchinson0%
Patrick Bauer0%
Nathan Bishop0%
Joe McDonnell0%
Steve Seddon0%
Ryan Johnson0%
Jake Reeves0%
Joe Lewis0%
Layton Stewart0%
Antwoine Hackford0%
Osman Foyo0%
Riley Harbottle0%
Aron Sasu0%
Isaac Ogundere0%
Zack Nelson0%
Kai Jennings0%
Robert Junior Nkeng0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
Reading's squad is €4m more valuable than AFC Wimbledon's (€10m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
BAR (3)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
Reading and AFC Wimbledon have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
Reading's midfield is €2m more valuable than AFC Wimbledon's (€3m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
Reading's defence is €2m more valuable than AFC Wimbledon's (€4m vs €2m).
England: League One 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
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Lincoln
Cardiff
Bolton
Stockport
Bradford
Stevenage
Luton
Plymouth
Huddersfield
Mansfield
Wycombe
Blackpool
Doncaster
Barnsley
Wigan
Burton
Peterboro
Leyton Orient
Exeter
Port Vale
Rotherham
Northampton