Real Betis vs Getafe Result & Analysis

Real Betis are the clear favourites, with a 44% chance of victory, a 28% chance of a draw and a 29% chance of Getafe winning. The model expects an average of 2.7 goals, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.2% probability. Betis, playing at home against a weaker side, normally scores 1.4 goals and concedes 1.0, whereas Getafe, away against a stronger opponent, averages 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 96.8%, Over 21.5 fouls at 92.4%, Over 2.5 cards at 89.6%, Over 23.5 fouls at 84.9%, Over 3.5 cards at 77.0%, Over 1.5 goals at 76.7%, Under 11.5 corners at 76.6% and Over 25.5 fouls at 73.8%. All figures are presented as percentages.

The pre-match favourite, Real Betis, failed to deliver, as the game finished 2-2, a draw that left the model’s Home win call incorrect. Betis, coming off a 2-5 loss, had a 44% chance to win, while the odds for a draw were 28%. The model’s prediction of a 2-goal total was wrong, as the match produced four goals. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 96.8%, Over 21.5 fouls at 92.4%, Over 2.5 cards at 89.6%, Over 23.5 fouls at 84.9%, Over 3.5 cards at 77.0%, Over 1.5 at 76.7%, Under 11.5 corners at 76.6%, but Over 25.5 fouls missed at 73.8%. Getafe’s away form, after two straight defeats, mirrored the unexpected parity.