Real Madrid’s dominance at home is the clear driver behind the model’s 79% probability of a win, especially after a five-game winning streak that included a 4-0 triumph over Malaga. The opponent, Rayo Vallecano, is playing away against a stronger side and has just suffered a defeat, making the venue a significant factor. The model therefore picks a Home win as the most likely outcome.
The expected total goals is 3.1, with the single most likely scoreline 2-0 at 14.4%. Real Madrid’s home form shows an average of 2.8 goals scored and only 0.7 conceded against weaker opposition, while Rayo Vallecano’s away form averages 1.0 goal scored and 2.33 conceded against stronger teams.
The model’s suggested picks include a 78.9% chance of a Home win with a 3% edge, an 82.0% chance of Over 1.5 goals, 86.1% for Over 2.5 cards, 87.2% for Over 19.5 fouls, 76.8% for Over 8.5 corners, 76.2% for Over 21.5 fouls, and 71.2% for Over 3.5 cards. The probabilities for the match result are 79%home win, 15% draw, and 6% away win.
Results analysis
Real Madrid’s five-game winning run continued as they edged Rayo Vallecano 2-1, confirming the model’s prediction of a home win with a 79% probability. The model’s favourite was correct, and the final score matched the expected 2-0 most likely outcome. The model’s selections performed strongly: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 87.2%, Over 2.5 cards at 86.1%, Over 1.5 goals at 82.0%, Home win at 78.9%, Over 8.5 corners at 76.8%, Over 21.5 fouls at 76.2%, and Over 3.5 cards at 71.2%. Each of these picks landed, underscoring the model’s accuracy in this match.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Real Madrid win✓ Hit
78.9%
Avg Implied 75.5% · @ 1.24
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
15.3%
Avg Implied 15.7% · @ 5.96
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano win✗ Miss
5.8%
Avg Implied 8.8% · @ 10.69
Edge
-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Real Madrid
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.33
1.13
2.46
0.77
2.24
1.41
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.33
2.17
1.33
1.00
1.33
3.33
vs Weaker (24)
2.58
0.88
2.80
0.70
2.43
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rayo Vallecano
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.27
1.43
0.79
1.31
1.69
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.60
0.50
0.50
1.00
2.33
vs Similar (22)
1.27
1.27
1.55
0.91
1.00
1.64
vs Weaker (3)
3.00
0.67
2.00
0.00
3.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.0%
Under 1.5
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.6%
@ 1.46-4.4%
Under 2.5
40.4%
@ 2.60+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.2%
Under 3.5
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
40.9%
No
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
14.4%
3-0
12.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1 ✓
8.3%
4-0
7.6%
1-1
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.2%
Real Madrid goals ↓
Rayo Vallecano goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.2%
2.0%
0.8%
0.1%
0.0%
1
11%
7.3%
1.9%
0.4%
0.1%
2
14%
8.3%
2.4%
0.5%
0.1%
3
12%
6.9%
2.0%
0.4%
0.1%
4
7.6%
4.4%
1.3%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Real Madrid goals (down), columns = Rayo Vallecano goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barcelona
2.47
Real Madrid
2.26
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.82
Real Betis
1.58
Celta Vigo
1.42
Getafe
1.34
Rayo Vallecano
1.32
Valencia
1.29
Real Sociedad
1.21
Espanyol
1.21
Athletic Club
1.18
Elche
1.13
Alaves
1.13
Sevilla
1.13
Levante
1.11
Mallorca
1.11
Osasuna
1.11
Girona
1.08
Oviedo
0.76
Real Madrid is 0.95 points better than Rayo Vallecano in terms of average points per game (2.26 vs 1.32).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barcelona
2.50
Real Madrid
2.03
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.63
Real Sociedad
1.55
Real Betis
1.55
Celta Vigo
1.39
Elche
1.29
Levante
1.24
Mallorca
1.24
Valencia
1.21
Sevilla
1.21
Osasuna
1.16
Alaves
1.16
Espanyol
1.13
Athletic Club
1.13
Rayo Vallecano
1.08
Girona
1.03
Getafe
0.84
Oviedo
0.68
Real Madrid is 0.95 goals better than Rayo Vallecano in terms of goals scored per game (2.03 vs 1.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Real Madrid
0.92
Barcelona
0.95
Getafe
1.00
Atletico Madrid
1.16
Rayo Vallecano
1.16
Villarreal
1.21
Real Betis
1.26
Celta Vigo
1.26
Osasuna
1.32
Valencia
1.45
Espanyol
1.45
Girona
1.45
Alaves
1.47
Elche
1.50
Mallorca
1.50
Athletic Club
1.53
Oviedo
1.58
Sevilla
1.58
Levante
1.61
Real Sociedad
1.61
Real Madrid is 0.24 goals better than Rayo Vallecano in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 1.16).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Barcelona
69%
Real Madrid
59%
Elche
58%
Rayo Vallecano
53%
Atletico Madrid
53%
Real Sociedad
51%
Sevilla
51%
Girona
51%
Celta Vigo
50%
Real Betis
50%
Athletic Club
49%
Alaves
48%
Valencia
48%
Mallorca
47%
Osasuna
47%
Oviedo
46%
Villarreal
45%
Levante
43%
Espanyol
42%
Getafe
40%
Real Madrid is 5.9 percentage points better than Rayo Vallecano in terms of average possession (59% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Real Madrid
For 7.2 · Against 4.7 · Total 11.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 13.8 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rayo Vallecano
For 6.3 · Against 3.5 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 13.1 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Real Madrid
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.4
12.0
10.9
4.6
4.1
5.0
23.9
23.6
24.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
12.2
13.0
11.6
6.4
5.0
7.4
27.5
27.2
27.7
vs Weaker (38)
11.2
11.7
10.6
4.0
3.8
4.1
22.8
22.6
22.9
% over line
60%
62%
58%
56%
46%
65%
66%
67%
65%
% under line
40%
38%
42%
44%
54%
35%
34%
33%
35%
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rayo Vallecano
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
10.7
11.3
4.8
4.3
5.2
24.4
22.9
25.7
vs Stronger (12)
10.1
10.5
9.9
4.7
5.2
4.4
23.9
25.0
23.4
vs Similar (35)
11.2
10.7
11.8
5.0
4.1
6.0
24.3
22.2
26.6
vs Weaker (3)
13.0
12.0
14.0
2.0
3.0
1.5
27.5
26.0
29.0
% over line
65%
65%
65%
70%
74%
67%
71%
70%
73%
% under line
35%
35%
35%
30%
26%
33%
29%
30%
27%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Real Madrid
11.4
Barcelona
11.0
Rayo Vallecano
10.9
Atletico Madrid
10.4
Real Sociedad
10.2
Valencia
10.0
Alaves
9.9
Levante
9.8
Mallorca
9.8
Real Betis
9.8
Sevilla
9.7
Girona
9.5
Espanyol
9.4
Athletic Club
9.2
Oviedo
9.1
Villarreal
9.1
Celta Vigo
8.8
Osasuna
8.7
Elche
8.5
Getafe
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Getafe
5.4
Sevilla
5.2
Alaves
5.1
Real Sociedad
5.0
Celta Vigo
4.9
Rayo Vallecano
4.8
Osasuna
4.8
Elche
4.8
Real Madrid
4.7
Real Betis
4.6
Levante
4.6
Valencia
4.5
Girona
4.5
Oviedo
4.5
Athletic Club
4.4
Villarreal
4.4
Mallorca
4.3
Barcelona
4.3
Espanyol
4.2
Atletico Madrid
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Alaves
29.8
Getafe
29.2
Elche
28.0
Sevilla
26.5
Oviedo
26.0
Real Sociedad
25.6
Athletic Club
25.1
Espanyol
24.9
Osasuna
24.7
Rayo Vallecano
24.4
Real Betis
24.4
Girona
24.4
Villarreal
24.2
Mallorca
24.2
Levante
24.2
Celta Vigo
24.2
Valencia
24.0
Real Madrid
23.9
Barcelona
22.5
Atletico Madrid
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
66.0%
Under 9.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.2%
Under 3.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
76.2%
Under 21.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Real Madrid
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.40
1.08
0.38
1.06
0.41
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.00
1.17
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.33
vs Weaker (24)
1.08
0.21
1.10
0.20
1.07
0.21
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rayo Vallecano
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.50
0.50
0.36
0.56
0.62
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.60
0.00
0.50
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (22)
0.45
0.50
0.45
0.36
0.45
0.64
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
2.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Real Madrid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Real Madrid
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.73
1.38
0.38
1.18
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.33
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.33
2.00
vs Weaker (24)
1.50
0.67
1.70
0.50
1.36
0.79
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rayo Vallecano
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
0.93
0.43
0.75
1.06
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.77
1.09
0.55
0.55
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Real Madrid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
78.9%
1.24
-
-
-
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Real Madrid
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kylian Mbappé65%
Vinícius Júnior31%
Jude Bellingham21%
Gonzalo García14%
Federico Valverde13%
Arda Güler10%
Éder Militão10%
Franco Mastantuono9%
Rodrygo8%
Raúl Asencio6%
Álvaro Carreras5%
Dean Huijsen5%
Eduardo Camavinga5%
Brahim Díaz5%
Fran García5%
Aurélien Tchouaméni4%
Antonio Rüdiger4%
Trent Alexander-Arnold0%
David Alaba0%
Ferland Mendy0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Daniel Carvajal0%
Dani Ceballos0%
Andriy Lunin0%
Manuel Ángel Morán0%
David Jiménez0%
Endrick0%
César Palacios0%
Thiago Pitarch Pinar0%
Jorge Cestero0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aurélien Tchouaméni23%
Dean Huijsen23%
Raúl Asencio22%
Álvaro Carreras21%
Rodrygo20%
Éder Militão19%
Vinícius Júnior18%
Trent Alexander-Arnold17%
Franco Mastantuono15%
César Palacios14%
Kylian Mbappé14%
Jude Bellingham13%
Thiago Pitarch Pinar12%
Eduardo Camavinga10%
Antonio Rüdiger8%
Brahim Díaz7%
David Alaba7%
Federico Valverde6%
Arda Güler6%
Gonzalo García5%
Dani Ceballos5%
Fran García5%
Thibaut Courtois2%
Ferland Mendy0%
Daniel Carvajal0%
Andriy Lunin0%
Manuel Ángel Morán0%
David Jiménez0%
Endrick0%
Jorge Cestero0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Arda Güler29%
Federico Valverde19%
Trent Alexander-Arnold17%
Brahim Díaz17%
Vinícius Júnior16%
Kylian Mbappé14%
Jude Bellingham13%
Rodrygo12%
Álvaro Carreras8%
Thiago Pitarch Pinar6%
Gonzalo García5%
Dean Huijsen5%
Éder Militão5%
Thibaut Courtois5%
Fran García5%
Daniel Carvajal4%
Aurélien Tchouaméni4%
Raúl Asencio3%
Eduardo Camavinga2%
David Alaba0%
Ferland Mendy0%
Dani Ceballos0%
Antonio Rüdiger0%
Andriy Lunin0%
Manuel Ángel Morán0%
David Jiménez0%
Endrick0%
César Palacios0%
Franco Mastantuono0%
Jorge Cestero0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kylian Mbappé72%
Vinícius Júnior39%
Éder Militão14%
Franco Mastantuono12%
Rodrygo12%
Federico Valverde11%
Jude Bellingham11%
Arda Güler8%
Gonzalo García5%
Brahim Díaz5%
Raúl Asencio3%
Aurélien Tchouaméni2%
Trent Alexander-Arnold0%
David Alaba0%
Ferland Mendy0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Daniel Carvajal0%
Fran García0%
Dani Ceballos0%
Eduardo Camavinga0%
Antonio Rüdiger0%
Andriy Lunin0%
Álvaro Carreras0%
Manuel Ángel Morán0%
David Jiménez0%
Dean Huijsen0%
Endrick0%
César Palacios0%
Thiago Pitarch Pinar0%
Jorge Cestero0%
Rayo Vallecano
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álvaro García22%
Alemão19%
Jorge de Frutos19%
Randy Nteka19%
Sergio Camello18%
Isi Palazón14%
Fran Pérez10%
Pacha9%
Nobel Mendy7%
Ilias Akhomach6%
Florian Lejeune6%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss5%
Unai López5%
Gerard Gumbau2%
Josep Chavarría2%
Pedro Díaz2%
Óscar Valentín2%
Andrei Rațiu2%
Luiz Felipe0%
Augusto Batalla0%
Abdul Mumin0%
Iván Balliu0%
Óscar Trejo0%
Dani Cárdenas0%
Jozhua Vertrouwd0%
Carlos Martín0%
Samu Becerra0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pathé Ismaël Ciss33%
Nobel Mendy32%
Ilias Akhomach31%
Óscar Trejo27%
Isi Palazón27%
Unai López24%
Andrei Rațiu22%
Randy Nteka19%
Augusto Batalla18%
Luiz Felipe18%
Florian Lejeune17%
Gerard Gumbau17%
Josep Chavarría16%
Dani Cárdenas14%
Sergio Camello13%
Óscar Valentín12%
Fran Pérez12%
Pacha11%
Alemão11%
Pedro Díaz11%
Álvaro García10%
Carlos Martín8%
Iván Balliu8%
Jorge de Frutos8%
Jozhua Vertrouwd6%
Abdul Mumin0%
Samu Becerra0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Álvaro García20%
Isi Palazón12%
Unai López12%
Andrei Rațiu8%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss7%
Gerard Gumbau7%
Josep Chavarría7%
Óscar Trejo7%
Pedro Díaz6%
Ilias Akhomach6%
Jorge de Frutos6%
Sergio Camello5%
Fran Pérez5%
Florian Lejeune4%
Pacha2%
Óscar Valentín2%
Augusto Batalla2%
Luiz Felipe0%
Abdul Mumin0%
Iván Balliu0%
Alemão0%
Randy Nteka0%
Dani Cárdenas0%
Jozhua Vertrouwd0%
Carlos Martín0%
Nobel Mendy0%
Samu Becerra0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jorge de Frutos19%
Álvaro García14%
Alemão14%
Sergio Camello13%
Carlos Martín8%
Isi Palazón8%
Ilias Akhomach6%
Andrei Rațiu6%
Florian Lejeune6%
Fran Pérez5%
Pedro Díaz4%
Gerard Gumbau2%
Pacha2%
Luiz Felipe0%
Augusto Batalla0%
Abdul Mumin0%
Iván Balliu0%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Unai López0%
Óscar Trejo0%
Randy Nteka0%
Dani Cárdenas0%
Josep Chavarría0%
Jozhua Vertrouwd0%
Nobel Mendy0%
Samu Becerra0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GIR (28)
€114m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
Real Madrid's squad is €1381m more valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€1456m vs €76m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
GIR (12)
€64m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
Real Madrid's attack is €812m more valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€842m vs €30m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GIR (7)
€28m
GET (6)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
LEV (5)
€16m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
OVI (4)
€6m
Real Madrid's midfield is €228m more valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€238m vs €9m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
GET (13)
€26m
GIR (9)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
OVI (8)
€10m
Real Madrid's defence is €341m more valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€377m vs €36m).
Spain: La Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Barcelona
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
Celta Vigo
Getafe
Valencia
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
Athletic Club
Elche
Alaves
Sevilla
Osasuna
Mallorca
Levante
Girona
Oviedo