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Real Madrid vs Villarreal Result & Analysis

Date: 17/12/2023
Time: 20:00
Final 4-1
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Vs
64%
22%
14%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Villarreal
Villarreal
Spain: La Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid win✓ Hit
64.0%
Avg Implied 74.5% · @ 1.29
Edge
-10.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.2%
Avg Implied 15.3% · @ 6.29
Edge
+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Villarreal win✗ Miss
13.8%
Avg Implied 10.2% · @ 9.40
Edge
+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Real MadridReal Madrid

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W21W00D30W51W30W42W20W11D32WA·SC 24/10A·BAR28/10H·RAY05/11H·SC 08/11H·VAL11/11A·CAD26/11H·NAP29/11H·GRA02/12A·REA09/12A·UNI12/12
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.900.932.140.571.691.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.832.172.501.501.502.50
vs Weaker (24)1.920.622.080.421.750.83
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VillarrealVillarreal

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W23L21W13L31W32W11D00D03L32WA·GRA30/10H·ATH05/11A·MAC09/11A·ATL12/11H·OSA26/11H·PAN30/11A·SEV03/12H·MAC06/12H·REA09/12A·REN14/12
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.532.001.591.311.46
vs Stronger (3)2.003.002.503.001.003.00
vs Similar (13)1.771.622.001.751.401.40
vs Weaker (14)1.571.141.861.001.291.29
Clean sheet %17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.4%
Under 1.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.2%
@ 1.38-13.7%
Under 2.5
44.8%
@ 3.06+13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.9%
Under 3.5
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.9%
No
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.5%
1-1
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
Real Madrid goals ↓
Villarreal goals →
01234
06.5%3.8%2.0%0.6%0.1%
110%11%4.1%1.2%0.2%
212%9.8%4.2%1.2%0.3%
37.8%6.7%2.9%0.8%0.2%
44.0%3.4%1.5%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Real Madrid goals (down), columns = Villarreal goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Real Madrid
2.50
Barcelona
2.24
Girona
2.13
Atletico Madrid
2.00
Athletic Club
1.79
Real Sociedad
1.58
Real Betis
1.50
Villarreal
1.39
Valencia
1.29
Alaves
1.21
Osasuna
1.18
Getafe
1.13
Celta Vigo
1.08
Sevilla
1.08
Mallorca
1.05
Las Palmas
1.05
Rayo Vallecano
1.00
Cadiz
0.87
Granada CF
0.55
Almeria
0.55
Real Madrid is 1.11 points better than Villarreal in terms of average points per game (2.50 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Real Madrid
2.29
Girona
2.24
Barcelona
2.08
Atletico Madrid
1.84
Villarreal
1.71
Athletic Club
1.61
Real Sociedad
1.34
Real Betis
1.26
Sevilla
1.26
Celta Vigo
1.21
Osasuna
1.18
Almeria
1.13
Getafe
1.11
Valencia
1.05
Granada CF
1.00
Alaves
0.95
Mallorca
0.87
Las Palmas
0.87
Rayo Vallecano
0.76
Cadiz
0.68
Real Madrid is 0.58 goals better than Villarreal in terms of goals scored per game (2.29 vs 1.71).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Real Madrid
0.68
Athletic Club
0.97
Real Sociedad
1.03
Atletico Madrid
1.13
Mallorca
1.16
Barcelona
1.16
Valencia
1.18
Real Betis
1.18
Girona
1.21
Alaves
1.21
Las Palmas
1.24
Rayo Vallecano
1.26
Getafe
1.42
Sevilla
1.42
Cadiz
1.45
Osasuna
1.47
Celta Vigo
1.50
Villarreal
1.71
Almeria
1.97
Granada CF
2.08
Real Madrid is 1.03 goals better than Villarreal in terms of goals conceded per game (0.68 vs 1.71).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Barcelona
65%
Las Palmas
60%
Real Madrid
59%
Girona
57%
Real Sociedad
56%
Atletico Madrid
51%
Real Betis
50%
Sevilla
50%
Athletic Club
50%
Villarreal
50%
Rayo Vallecano
49%
Osasuna
47%
Celta Vigo
46%
Almeria
46%
Granada CF
46%
Getafe
45%
Mallorca
45%
Valencia
44%
Cadiz
43%
Alaves
41%
Real Madrid is 9.8 percentage points better than Villarreal in terms of average possession (59% vs 50%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Real MadridReal Madrid

For 5.9 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

1308367654444472111365511136988912910A·UNIA·REAH·GRAH·NAPA·CADH·VALH·SC H·RAYA·BARA·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

80221221233131351224332641832A·UNIA·REAH·GRAH·NAPA·CADH·VALH·SC H·RAYA·BARA·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 13.6 · Total 23.6

⚠️ Fouls

330510714101261416167261171215151511715212220323318273018A·UNIA·REAH·GRAH·NAPA·CADH·VALH·SC H·RAYA·BARA·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

VillarrealVillarreal

For 4.1 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

120345353483324366693147881266912125A·RENH·REAH·MACA·SEVH·PANH·OSAA·ATLA·MACH·ATHA·GRA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.1

🟨 Cards

803421323321233444437356326847A·RENH·REAH·MACA·SEVH·PANA·ATLA·MACH·ATHA·GRAH·ALA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 13.1 · Total 25.8

⚠️ Fouls

32015121022141216616139148813121118151427322622292316252929A·RENH·REAH·MACA·SEVH·PANH·OSAA·ATLA·MACH·ATHA·GRA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Real MadridReal Madrid

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.210.52.22.02.423.122.223.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (12)11.511.011.82.92.63.123.221.524.3
vs Weaker (38)9.79.99.61.91.82.123.122.623.6
% over line50%38%60%34%28%40%57%54%60%
% under line50%62%40%66%72%60%43%46%40%
This opponent (Villarreal) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VillarrealVillarreal

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.810.19.52.52.42.726.626.826.4
vs Stronger (6)8.58.09.01.31.51.021.026.016.0
vs Similar (21)10.410.99.52.62.72.426.828.923.2
vs Weaker (23)9.59.49.72.82.33.227.424.030.2
% over line54%46%64%38%36%41%88%92%82%
% under line46%54%36%62%64%59%12%8%18%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Real Madrid
10.2
Real Betis
10.2
Sevilla
10.2
Atletico Madrid
10.1
Athletic Club
9.8
Almeria
9.8
Rayo Vallecano
9.7
Villarreal
9.7
Las Palmas
9.6
Alaves
9.6
Barcelona
9.4
Cadiz
9.2
Osasuna
9.2
Celta Vigo
9.1
Real Sociedad
9.0
Valencia
9.0
Granada CF
9.0
Mallorca
8.8
Girona
8.6
Getafe
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Valencia
6.9
Getafe
6.5
Cadiz
6.0
Mallorca
6.0
Granada CF
5.7
Las Palmas
5.6
Rayo Vallecano
5.5
Sevilla
5.5
Girona
5.4
Atletico Madrid
5.3
Barcelona
5.2
Athletic Club
5.2
Celta Vigo
5.1
Villarreal
5.1
Real Sociedad
4.9
Alaves
4.9
Osasuna
4.8
Almeria
4.8
Real Betis
4.6
Real Madrid
3.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Valencia
30.4
Mallorca
29.2
Las Palmas
29.0
Rayo Vallecano
29.0
Getafe
28.0
Cadiz
27.2
Celta Vigo
26.5
Girona
26.4
Real Sociedad
26.2
Alaves
26.2
Athletic Club
26.2
Granada CF
26.0
Sevilla
26.0
Real Betis
25.4
Almeria
25.3
Villarreal
25.3
Osasuna
24.5
Atletico Madrid
23.9
Barcelona
23.3
Real Madrid
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.5%
Under 9.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.5%
Under 3.5
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
76.0%
Under 21.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Real MadridReal Madrid

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D10W20W10W21W10W00D01LA·SC 24/10A·BAR28/10H·RAY05/11H·SC 08/11H·VAL11/11A·CAD26/11H·NAP29/11H·GRA02/12A·REA09/12A·UNI12/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.430.710.210.690.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.001.171.500.500.751.50
vs Weaker (24)0.620.250.580.170.670.33
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VillarrealVillarreal

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W03L01L11D00D20W00D00D03L11DA·GRA30/10H·ATH05/11A·MAC09/11A·ATL12/11H·OSA26/11H·PAN30/11A·SEV03/12H·MAC06/12H·REA09/12A·REN14/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.830.760.880.620.77
vs Stronger (3)1.331.331.501.501.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.690.920.881.120.400.60
vs Weaker (14)0.570.640.430.430.710.86
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Real Madrid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Real MadridReal Madrid

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W00D20W31W20W21W10W11D31WA·SC 24/10A·BAR28/10H·RAY05/11H·SC 08/11H·VAL11/11A·CAD26/11H·NAP29/11H·GRA02/12A·REA09/12A·UNI12/12
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.501.430.361.000.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.831.001.001.000.751.00
vs Weaker (24)1.290.381.500.251.080.50
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VillarrealVillarreal

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W20W02L31W12L11D00D00D21WA·GRA30/10H·ATH05/11A·MAC09/11A·ATL12/11H·OSA26/11H·PAN30/11A·SEV03/12H·MAC06/12H·REA09/12A·REN14/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.701.240.710.690.69
vs Stronger (3)0.671.671.001.500.002.00
vs Similar (13)1.080.691.120.621.000.80
vs Weaker (14)1.000.501.430.570.570.43
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Real Madrid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls87.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards85.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls76.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards70.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Real Madrid
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Arda Güler50%
Jude Bellingham49%
Vinícius Júnior44%
Joselu27%
Rodrygo26%
Brahim Díaz22%
Nico Paz14%
Daniel Carvajal13%
Aurélien Tchouaméni9%
Lucas Vázquez8%
Federico Valverde6%
Luka Modrić5%
Dani Ceballos4%
Fran García3%
Toni Kroos2%
Antonio Rüdiger2%
Éder Militão0%
David Alaba0%
Ferland Mendy0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Nacho Fernández0%
Eduardo Camavinga0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
Andriy Lunin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aurélien Tchouaméni29%
Eduardo Camavinga29%
Vinícius Júnior28%
Daniel Carvajal18%
Jude Bellingham18%
David Alaba18%
Ferland Mendy18%
Antonio Rüdiger16%
Nacho Fernández12%
Toni Kroos11%
Kepa Arrizabalaga11%
Arda Güler10%
Dani Ceballos9%
Fran García7%
Andriy Lunin7%
Lucas Vázquez5%
Luka Modrić5%
Rodrygo4%
Federico Valverde4%
Joselu2%
Éder Militão0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Brahim Díaz0%
Nico Paz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jude Bellingham26%
Toni Kroos22%
Vinícius Júnior19%
Fran García17%
Lucas Vázquez16%
Brahim Díaz15%
Luka Modrić14%
Rodrygo13%
David Alaba12%
Daniel Carvajal11%
Dani Ceballos9%
Federico Valverde8%
Eduardo Camavinga7%
Antonio Rüdiger4%
Joselu4%
Aurélien Tchouaméni3%
Nacho Fernández2%
Éder Militão0%
Ferland Mendy0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
Andriy Lunin0%
Arda Güler0%
Nico Paz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vinícius Júnior53%
Rodrygo36%
Joselu29%
Jude Bellingham23%
Arda Güler10%
Federico Valverde8%
David Alaba6%
Brahim Díaz5%
Toni Kroos4%
Lucas Vázquez3%
Eduardo Camavinga2%
Luka Modrić2%
Éder Militão0%
Ferland Mendy0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Daniel Carvajal0%
Nacho Fernández0%
Fran García0%
Dani Ceballos0%
Aurélien Tchouaméni0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
Antonio Rüdiger0%
Andriy Lunin0%
Nico Paz0%
Villarreal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexander Sørloth48%
Gerard Moreno28%
José Luis Morales17%
Yerson Mosquera17%
Gonçalo Guedes16%
Dani Parejo10%
Alejandro Baena10%
Bertrand Traoré9%
Jorge Cuenca9%
Ilias Akhomach8%
Juan Foyth7%
Alberto Moreno6%
Santi Comesaña6%
Étienne Capoue5%
Aïssa Mandi5%
Alfonso Pedraza4%
Raúl Albiol0%
Eric Bailly0%
Francis Coquelin0%
Denis Suárez0%
Pepe Reina0%
Manu Trigueros0%
Kiko Femenía0%
Ben Brereton Díaz0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Yéremy Pino0%
Carlos Romero0%
Ramón Terrats0%
Filip Jörgensen0%
Jorge Pascual0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yéremy Pino50%
Bertrand Traoré36%
Eric Bailly33%
Alejandro Baena33%
Alfonso Pedraza30%
Kiko Femenía30%
Yerson Mosquera28%
Adrià Altimira27%
Santi Comesaña26%
Raúl Albiol24%
Francis Coquelin24%
Jorge Cuenca24%
Étienne Capoue23%
Pepe Reina22%
Alberto Moreno19%
Aïssa Mandi19%
Ramón Terrats18%
Matteo Gabbia15%
Carlos Romero14%
Ilias Akhomach14%
Juan Foyth13%
Dani Parejo12%
Alexander Sørloth12%
Filip Jörgensen11%
Ben Brereton Díaz11%
Gerard Moreno3%
Gonçalo Guedes0%
Denis Suárez0%
Manu Trigueros0%
José Luis Morales0%
Jorge Pascual0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alejandro Baena36%
Gerard Moreno17%
Gonçalo Guedes16%
Alexander Sørloth12%
Alberto Moreno10%
Ramón Terrats9%
Alfonso Pedraza9%
Ilias Akhomach8%
Dani Parejo8%
Juan Foyth7%
Yerson Mosquera6%
Kiko Femenía4%
Raúl Albiol3%
Jorge Cuenca3%
José Luis Morales3%
Étienne Capoue3%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Eric Bailly0%
Francis Coquelin0%
Denis Suárez0%
Aïssa Mandi0%
Pepe Reina0%
Manu Trigueros0%
Ben Brereton Díaz0%
Santi Comesaña0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Yéremy Pino0%
Carlos Romero0%
Filip Jörgensen0%
Jorge Pascual0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexander Sørloth22%
Gerard Moreno22%
Bertrand Traoré18%
Alejandro Baena17%
Yéremy Pino10%
Jorge Cuenca6%
José Luis Morales6%
Yerson Mosquera6%
Ilias Akhomach6%
Gonçalo Guedes5%
Alberto Moreno3%
Étienne Capoue3%
Juan Foyth0%
Raúl Albiol0%
Eric Bailly0%
Francis Coquelin0%
Dani Parejo0%
Denis Suárez0%
Aïssa Mandi0%
Pepe Reina0%
Alfonso Pedraza0%
Manu Trigueros0%
Kiko Femenía0%
Ben Brereton Díaz0%
Santi Comesaña0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Carlos Romero0%
Ramón Terrats0%
Filip Jörgensen0%
Jorge Pascual0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
GIR (28)
€114m
GET (24)
€90m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
LP (27)
€30m
CAD (29)
€27m
GC (18)
€17m
Real Madrid's squad is €1132m more valuable than Villarreal's (€1456m vs €325m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
GIR (12)
€64m
CV (9)
€57m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ALM (11)
€38m
GET (5)
€36m
RV (10)
€30m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
MAL (11)
€23m
LP (12)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
GC (5)
€6m
Real Madrid's attack is €718m more valuable than Villarreal's (€842m vs €124m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
GIR (7)
€28m
GET (6)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
OSA (4)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
ALM (4)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
Real Madrid's midfield is €186m more valuable than Villarreal's (€238m vs €52m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
GET (13)
€26m
GIR (9)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
GC (10)
€9m
Real Madrid's defence is €229m more valuable than Villarreal's (€377m vs €148m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
RM wins
4
Draws
2
VIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Real Madrid vs Villarreal · H/A from RM
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/23HRM Vs Villarreal2-3
07/01/23AVillarreal Vs RM2-1
12/02/22AVillarreal Vs RM0-0
25/09/21HRM Vs Villarreal0-0
22/05/21HRM Vs Villarreal2-1
21/11/20AVillarreal Vs RM1-1
16/07/20HRM Vs Villarreal2-1
01/09/19AVillarreal Vs RM2-2

Real MadridReal Madrid

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/12/23AUnion Berlin Vs RM2-3
09/12/23AReal Betis Vs RM1-1
02/12/23HRM Vs Granada CF2-0
29/11/23HRM Vs Napoli4-2
26/11/23ACadiz Vs RM0-3
11/11/23HRM Vs Valencia5-1
08/11/23HRM Vs SC Braga3-0
05/11/23HRM Vs Rayo Vallecano0-0
28/10/23ABarcelona Vs RM1-2
24/10/23ASC Braga Vs RM1-2

VillarrealVillarreal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/12/23ARennes Vs VIL2-3
09/12/23HVIL Vs Real Sociedad0-3
06/12/23HVIL Vs Maccabi Haifa0-0
03/12/23ASevilla Vs VIL1-1
30/11/23HVIL Vs Panathinaikos3-2
26/11/23HVIL Vs Osasuna3-1
12/11/23AAtletico Madrid Vs VIL3-1
09/11/23AMaccabi Haifa Vs VIL1-2
05/11/23HVIL Vs Athletic Club2-3
30/10/23AGranada CF Vs VIL2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Spain: La Liga
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW2.20
HomeDWWWW2.48
AwayWWWDW1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %68%76%60%
AVG goals2.882.882.88
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %50%48%52%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored2.002.281.72
Conceded0.880.601.16
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet46%56%36%
Corners10.3610.2310.47
Cards3.863.773.93
Villarreal
Villarreal
Spain: La Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLW1.52
HomeLWWDL1.54
AwayWWLDW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%46%41%
AVG goals2.942.962.91
Over 1.5 %82%79%86%
Over 2.5 %58%61%55%
Over 3.5 %30%29%32%
Scored1.541.611.45
Conceded1.401.361.45
BTTS68%64%73%
Clean Sheet20%18%23%
Corners9.8310.089.55
Cards5.485.505.45

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Real MadridReal Madrid3895
76%
2.5
8726+61
3.0
79%
55%
37%
9.4
42%
4.4
66%
24.1
66%
1456
8422383772.30.7
59%
2BarcelonaBarcelona3885
68%
2.2
7944+35
3.2
74%
61%
39%
10.2
58%
5.1
68%
23.8
58%
1282
5903243682.11.2
65%
3GironaGirona3881
66%
2.1
8546+39
3.4
76%
63%
42%
8.4
34%
4.8
63%
23.7
63%
114
6428222.21.2
57%
4Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid3876
63%
2.0
7043+27
3.0
79%
61%
32%
9.7
47%
4.7
65%
23.9
53%
653
2901552081.81.1
51%
5Athletic ClubAthletic Club3868
50%
1.8
6137+24
2.6
79%
42%
29%
9.7
42%
4.5
66%
25.4
79%
241
10657771.61.0
50%
6Real SociedadReal Sociedad3860
42%
1.6
5139+12
2.4
66%
39%
21%
8.8
42%
5.6
78%
28.2
95%
247
11058791.31.0
56%
7Real BetisReal Betis3857
37%
1.5
4845+3
2.4
76%
39%
21%
10.8
55%
5.0
61%
25.0
63%
235
13133701.31.2
50%
8VillarrealVillarreal3853
37%
1.4
6565+0
3.4
87%
66%
42%
9.8
61%
5.7
84%
25.6
82%
325
124521481.71.7
50%
9ValenciaValencia3849
34%
1.3
4045-5
2.2
55%
42%
24%
8.1
26%
4.8
67%
25.7
66%
125
4046391.11.2
44%
10AlavesAlaves3846
32%
1.2
3646-10
2.2
63%
29%
16%
9.3
39%
5.1
74%
25.2
76%
68
2422220.91.2
41%
11OsasunaOsasuna3845
32%
1.2
4556-11
2.7
82%
42%
24%
9.1
39%
5.0
75%
24.7
74%
71
2512331.21.5
47%
12GetafeGetafe3843
26%
1.1
4254-12
2.5
68%
42%
26%
8.3
29%
6.8
79%
29.3
87%
90
3628261.11.4
45%
13SevillaSevilla3841
26%
1.1
4854-6
2.7
74%
50%
24%
9.9
50%
5.1
68%
24.8
66%
134
4523651.31.4
50%
14Celta VigoCelta Vigo3841
26%
1.1
4657-11
2.7
71%
55%
29%
9.8
61%
4.5
57%
25.2
66%
163
5735711.21.5
46%
15MallorcaMallorca3840
21%
1.1
3344-11
2.0
53%
29%
18%
8.6
32%
4.4
62%
26.3
79%
48
239160.91.2
45%
16Las PalmasLas Palmas3840
26%
1.1
3347-14
2.1
66%
29%
11%
9.7
47%
5.1
70%
24.6
66%
30
143130.91.2
60%
17Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano3838
21%
1.0
2948-19
2.0
63%
37%
13%
9.0
50%
5.9
79%
29.5
92%
76
309360.81.3
49%
18CadizCadiz3833
16%
0.9
2655-29
2.1
66%
26%
18%
9.1
45%
5.7
87%
29.0
87%
27
113120.71.4
43%
19AlmeriaAlmeria3821
8%
0.6
4375-32
3.1
76%
66%
42%
10.2
53%
4.6
68%
26.0
68%
54
384111.12.0
46%
20Granada CFGranada CF3821
11%
0.6
3879-41
3.1
79%
47%
34%
9.2
42%
5.2
71%
27.6
89%
17
6391.02.1
46%
Spain: La Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches