Real Sociedad II face Tenerife in a tightly balanced Segunda División clash, with the model favouring a home win. The odds sit at 38% for Real Sociedad II, 29% for a draw and 33% for Tenerife. The average goal output is 2.6, with the most probable total being two goals. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, carrying a 13.8% chance. In recent form, Real Sociedad II have scored 0.91 goals and conceded 1.27 against similar opposition at home, while Tenerife have managed 0.89 goals and allowed 1.22 away. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 99.5%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8% with a 6% edge, Under 6.5 at 98.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.7% with a 4% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.6% with a 3% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.3% with a 5% edge, and Over 19.5 fouls at 95.3%.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Real Sociedad II win
37.4%
Avg Implied 36.2% · @ 2.56
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.67
Dafabet
2.65
Unibet
2.63
1xBet
2.60
Pinnacle
2.59
Draw
29.0%
Avg Implied 29.6% · @ 3.13
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.29
Bet365
3.20
Dafabet
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
Tenerife win
33.6%
Avg Implied 34.1% · @ 2.72
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.87
1xBet
2.83
Betano
2.80
Dafabet
2.80
Bet365
2.75
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Real Sociedad II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.37
1.00
1.50
1.19
1.25
vs Stronger (6)
1.33
2.17
1.33
2.33
1.33
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.04
1.17
0.91
1.27
1.15
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.07
0.94
0.94
1.08
1.23
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
2.00
0.50
2.50
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (24)
0.96
0.92
1.00
0.73
0.89
1.22
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Sociedad II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.2%
@ 1.35+5.1%
Under 1.5
25.8%
@ 3.02-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.11
Betano
3.10
Betfair
3.10
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
47.8%
@ 2.13+3.6%
Under 2.5
52.2%
@ 1.69-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.22
Betano
2.18
Bet365
2.15
Betfair
2.15
Unibet
2.12
Under
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.73
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
26.0%
@ 3.88+2.0%
Under 3.5
74.0%
@ 1.23-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.10
BetVictor
4.10
Pinnacle
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
4.00
Under
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Both teams to score
Yes
53.8%
@ 1.81+2.8%
No
46.2%
@ 1.88-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Unibet
1.81
Betano
1.80
No
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.92
Betfair
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%@ 5.54+6.0%
0-0
8.8%@ 7.91+3.3%
1-0
8.8%@ 6.94+2.5%
2-1
8.4%@ 8.95+3.5%
0-1
8.2%@ 7.17+2.1%
1-2
7.9%@ 9.21+3.1%
2-0
6.7%@ 11.33+2.8%
0-2
5.9%@ 11.85+2.2%
Real Sociedad II goals ↓
Tenerife goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.8%
8.2%
5.9%
2.5%
0.8%
1
8.8%
14%
7.9%
3.3%
1.0%
2
6.7%
8.4%
5.2%
2.2%
0.7%
3
3.0%
3.7%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.0%
1.2%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Real Sociedad II goals (down), columns = Tenerife goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Girona
1.96
Almeria
1.72
Burgos
1.71
Mallorca
1.70
Las Palmas
1.68
Castellón
1.66
Eibar
1.60
Oviedo
1.58
Cordoba
1.45
Sporting Gijon
1.45
AD Ceuta FC
1.45
Albacete
1.40
FC Andorra
1.38
Tenerife
1.34
Sabadell
1.16
Granada CF
1.14
Celta de Vigo II
1.14
Eldense
1.13
Real Sociedad II
1.12
Valladolid
1.10
Leganes
1.10
Cadiz
1.02
Real Sociedad II is 0.22 points worse than Tenerife in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.34).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Girona
1.87
Almeria
1.87
Castellón
1.66
Mallorca
1.62
Oviedo
1.51
FC Andorra
1.48
Sporting Gijon
1.43
Cordoba
1.36
Albacete
1.33
Las Palmas
1.32
Tenerife
1.28
Eibar
1.24
Real Sociedad II
1.24
AD Ceuta FC
1.21
Granada CF
1.19
Burgos
1.14
Sabadell
1.10
Celta de Vigo II
1.09
Eldense
1.08
Valladolid
1.05
Leganes
1.02
Cadiz
0.98
Real Sociedad II is 0.04 goals worse than Tenerife in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.28).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Burgos
0.79
Girona
0.92
Eibar
0.95
Las Palmas
0.95
Mallorca
1.06
Oviedo
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Castellón
1.25
FC Andorra
1.29
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Albacete
1.31
Granada CF
1.33
Tenerife
1.35
Valladolid
1.36
Cordoba
1.45
Cadiz
1.45
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Almeria
1.48
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Sabadell
1.56
Celta de Vigo II
1.58
Eldense
1.59
Real Sociedad II is 0.11 goals worse than Tenerife in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 1.35).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
61%
Cordoba
58%
Las Palmas
56%
Castellón
55%
Almeria
52%
Leganes
51%
AD Ceuta FC
51%
Granada CF
50%
Valladolid
50%
Eibar
49%
Burgos
46%
Cadiz
46%
Sporting Gijon
46%
Real Sociedad II
44%
Albacete
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Real Sociedad II
For 4.4 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.9 · Against 12.5 · Total 28.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tenerife
For 4.4 · Against 3.5 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 10.9 · Total 24.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Real Sociedad II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
8.9
9.8
5.9
6.5
5.3
28.8
30.3
27.3
vs Stronger (12)
9.2
7.7
10.7
5.6
6.0
5.2
28.2
28.7
27.8
vs Similar (38)
9.5
9.3
9.6
5.9
6.6
5.3
28.9
30.9
27.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
46%
46%
76%
79%
73%
92%
96%
88%
% under line
54%
54%
54%
24%
21%
27%
8%
4%
12%
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
8.7
9.6
4.5
4.8
4.2
27.2
27.9
26.5
vs Stronger (7)
8.2
8.3
8.0
6.3
5.8
7.0
29.7
29.7
29.7
vs Similar (41)
9.3
8.8
9.8
4.4
4.7
4.2
26.9
27.6
26.1
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
40%
43%
36%
60%
60%
60%
80%
83%
77%
% under line
60%
57%
64%
40%
40%
40%
20%
17%
23%
This opponent (Real Sociedad II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Albacete
10.8
Cordoba
10.6
Mallorca
10.1
Castellón
10.0
Sporting Gijon
9.7
Cadiz
9.5
Almeria
9.5
Leganes
9.5
Real Sociedad II
9.4
Eibar
9.3
Eldense
9.3
Oviedo
9.3
Girona
9.2
Granada CF
9.2
Tenerife
9.1
Valladolid
9.1
FC Andorra
8.9
AD Ceuta FC
8.8
Sabadell
8.7
Burgos
8.5
Las Palmas
8.1
Celta de Vigo II
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Castellón
6.0
Real Sociedad II
5.9
Valladolid
5.7
Celta de Vigo II
5.7
Cordoba
5.6
Burgos
5.6
Almeria
5.6
Granada CF
5.5
FC Andorra
5.4
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Eibar
5.2
AD Ceuta FC
5.2
Cadiz
5.1
Leganes
5.0
Tenerife
4.8
Sabadell
4.7
Las Palmas
4.6
Albacete
4.5
Girona
4.5
Eldense
4.4
Mallorca
4.4
Oviedo
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cordoba
29.9
Real Sociedad II
28.8
Valladolid
28.6
Celta de Vigo II
28.3
Castellón
28.1
AD Ceuta FC
27.6
Las Palmas
27.6
FC Andorra
27.6
Sabadell
27.6
Granada CF
27.4
Tenerife
27.1
Almeria
26.6
Burgos
26.5
Leganes
26.0
Cadiz
25.6
Eibar
25.5
Girona
25.4
Oviedo
25.1
Eldense
24.4
Mallorca
24.3
Sporting Gijon
22.6
Albacete
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
43.9%
@ 1.81-7.4%
Under 9.5
56.1%
@ 1.91+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
2.00
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
78.3%
Under 3.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
89.6%
Under 21.5
10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Real Sociedad II or Draw
66.4%
Avg Implied 65.7% · @ 1.42
Edge
+0.7%
37%
29%
34%
covers Real Sociedad II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
Unibet
1.42
Real Sociedad II or Tenerife
71.0%
Avg Implied 70.4% · @ 1.32
Edge
+0.6%
37%
29%
34%
covers Real Sociedad II + Tenerife
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
Draw or Tenerife
62.6%
Avg Implied 63.9% · @ 1.46
Edge
-1.3%
37%
29%
34%
covers Draw + Tenerife
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Real Sociedad II over/under 0.5
Over
73.6%
@ 1.32+3.4%
Under
26.4%
@ 3.11-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.31
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Betano
3.15
Real Sociedad II over/under 1.5
Over
38.5%
@ 2.59+2.7%
Under
61.5%
@ 1.45-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.70
Unibet
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
BetVictor
2.60
Under
Marathonbet
1.49
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
10Bet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Real Sociedad II over/under 2.5
Over
15.0%
@ 6.28+0.2%
Under
85.0%
@ 1.09-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.60
BetVictor
6.50
Marathonbet
6.05
Betfair
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
Real Sociedad II over/under 3.5
Over
4.6%
@ 14.88-1.8%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.02+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Tenerife over/under 0.5
Over
71.4%
@ 1.35+2.7%
Under
28.6%
@ 2.96-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Under
Pinnacle
3.05
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
2.98
10Bet
2.95
Tenerife over/under 1.5
Over
35.6%
@ 2.71+1.3%
Under
64.4%
@ 1.41-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.96
BetVictor
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.68
Under
Betano
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
10Bet
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.40
Tenerife over/under 2.5
Over
13.2%
@ 6.64-0.8%
Under
86.8%
@ 1.08+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.10
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.60
10Bet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Tenerife over/under 3.5
Over
3.8%
@ 15.88-2.2%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.02+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Real Sociedad II, so a minus line means Real Sociedad II give that many goals of a start and Tenerife receive them. At -1, Real Sociedad II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Real Sociedad II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Real Sociedad II)
Real Sociedad II -2
6.3%
@ 11.95-1.2%
Draw -2
11.3%
@ 6.85-1.6%
Tenerife +2
82.4%
@ 1.11+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
14.00
Unibet
11.50
Marathonbet
7.30
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
7.50
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Away
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap -1 (Real Sociedad II)
Real Sociedad II -1
17.6%
@ 5.34+0.8%
Draw -1
19.9%
@ 4.07-2.2%
Tenerife +1
62.6%
@ 1.46+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Unibet
5.40
10Bet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.05
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Unibet
3.95
Away
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
Betfair
1.44
Unibet
1.42
Handicap +1 (Real Sociedad II)
Real Sociedad II +1
66.4%
@ 1.43+3.7%
Draw +1
18.6%
@ 4.15-3.1%
Tenerife -1
15.0%
@ 5.73-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
Betfair
1.40
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.90
Away
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.65
Unibet
5.25
Handicap +2 (Real Sociedad II)
Real Sociedad II +2
85.0%
@ 1.10+3.3%
Draw +2
10.0%
@ 7.67-1.8%
Tenerife -2
5.1%
@ 13.83-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Betfair
1.08
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Unibet
7.00
Away
Betfair
15.00
Bet365
15.00
Unibet
11.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Real Sociedad II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.63
0.43
0.86
0.50
0.44
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.83
0.33
1.00
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (24)
0.50
0.58
0.45
0.82
0.54
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.37
0.47
0.35
0.38
0.38
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.60
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (24)
0.42
0.33
0.47
0.27
0.33
0.44
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Sociedad II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.2%
@ 1.44+4.5%
Under 0.5
30.8%
@ 2.63-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
BetVictor
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Under
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.74
10Bet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.62
William Hil
2.62
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.5%
@ 3.06+2.0%
Under 1.5
67.5%
@ 1.34-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.23
Betano
3.20
William Hil
3.10
Betfair
3.00
Under
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.36
BetVictor
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.6%
@ 8.16-0.8%
Under 2.5
89.4%
@ 1.05+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
9.00
William Hil
9.00
Bet365
9.00
1xBet
7.60
Marathonbet
7.60
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
William Hil
1.06
BetVictor
1.04
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Real Sociedad II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.9%
@ 2.19+3.5%
Under
54.1%
@ 1.61-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.24
1xBet
2.20
Unibet
2.17
10Bet
2.15
Under
Pinnacle
1.64
Marathonbet
1.62
10Bet
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Real Sociedad II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.9%
@ 7.30-0.8%
Under
88.1%
@ 1.06+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.40
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Real Sociedad II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.0%
@ 19.25-3.0%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Tenerife over/under 0.5 HT
Over
39.5%
@ 2.21-2.3%
Under
60.5%
@ 1.59+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.31
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Unibet
2.16
Under
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Unibet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.58
Tenerife over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.7%
@ 7.42-2.8%
Under
90.3%
@ 1.06+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.90
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
Tenerife over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.4%
@ 12.50-6.1%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Real Sociedad II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.57
0.64
0.69
0.81
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.58
0.45
0.45
0.62
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.47
0.59
0.69
0.85
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.40
0.00
1.50
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.58
0.53
0.47
0.56
0.78
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Sociedad II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.7%
@ 1.27+5.5%
Under 0.5
21.3%
@ 3.46-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Under
Betano
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.25
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
43.6%
@ 2.27+2.7%
Under 1.5
56.4%
@ 1.57-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.33
William Hil
2.30
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Under
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
Bet365
1.57
William Hil
1.55
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.7%
@ 5.13-0.4%
Under 2.5
82.3%
@ 1.14+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
4.95
1xBet
4.95
Betano
4.75
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Real Sociedad II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
53.3%
@ 1.80+1.9%
Under
46.7%
@ 1.90-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Under
Betano
1.95
10Bet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Real Sociedad II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.5%
@ 5.03-1.9%
Under
83.5%
@ 1.13+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.15
Marathonbet
5.15
10Bet
5.00
Betano
4.80
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Real Sociedad II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.5%
@ 12.88-3.8%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Tenerife over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.4%
@ 1.85-1.4%
Under
51.6%
@ 1.84+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Under
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
10Bet
1.83
Tenerife over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.5%
@ 5.40-3.6%
Under
86.5%
@ 1.11+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.55
Marathonbet
5.55
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Tenerife over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.5%
@ 14.88-2.9%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.02+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.1%
Under 6.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.0%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.9%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.8%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+2.2%
Home under 3.5 goals
95.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+1.8%
Over 19.5 fouls
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
95.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+1.3%
Over 2.5 cards
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.3%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+2.8%
Over 21.5 fouls
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.4%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
William Hil
1.06
BetVictor
1.04
+0.8%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.1%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
-
+0.8%
Under 4.5
88.0%
1.06
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Marathonbet
1.04
-0.0%
Away under 2.5 goals
86.8%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
+0.8%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.5%
1.11
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
+3.6%
Home +2 handicap
85.0%
1.10
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Betfair
1.08
-
-
+3.3%
Home under 2.5 goals
85.0%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
-0.2%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.5%
1.13
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-
+1.9%
Away +2 handicap
82.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+2.8%
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.3%
1.14
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
+0.4%
Over 23.5 fouls
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.7%
1.27
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
+5.5%
Over 3.5 cards
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
78.3%
1.30
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Unibet
1.24
-
+7.9%
Over 1.5
74.2%
1.35
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
+5.1%
Under 3.5
74.0%
1.23
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-2.0%
Home over 0.5 goals
73.6%
1.32
1xBet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+3.4%
Away over 0.5 goals
71.4%
1.35
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
+2.7%
Home or Away
71.0%
1.32
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
+0.6%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Real Sociedad II
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gorka Gorosabel67%
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena33%
Jon Balda0%
Unax Agote0%
Aitor Fraga0%
Kazunari Kita0%
Dani Díaz0%
Jon Garro0%
Lander Astiazaran0%
Tomy Carbonell0%
Ibai Aguirre0%
Jon Eceizabarrena0%
Javier Soroeta0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jon Balda33%
Unax Agote33%
Jon Garro33%
Lander Astiazaran33%
Aitor Fraga0%
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena0%
Kazunari Kita0%
Dani Díaz0%
Gorka Gorosabel0%
Tomy Carbonell0%
Ibai Aguirre0%
Jon Eceizabarrena0%
Javier Soroeta0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dani Díaz67%
Jon Eceizabarrena33%
Jon Balda0%
Unax Agote0%
Aitor Fraga0%
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena0%
Kazunari Kita0%
Jon Garro0%
Gorka Gorosabel0%
Lander Astiazaran0%
Tomy Carbonell0%
Ibai Aguirre0%
Javier Soroeta0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gorka Gorosabel33%
Jon Balda0%
Unax Agote0%
Aitor Fraga0%
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena0%
Kazunari Kita0%
Dani Díaz0%
Jon Garro0%
Lander Astiazaran0%
Tomy Carbonell0%
Ibai Aguirre0%
Jon Eceizabarrena0%
Javier Soroeta0%
Tenerife
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Enric Gallego67%
Jesús Álvarez33%
Dani Martín0%
Nacho Gil0%
José León0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Noel Lopez0%
Anes Krdzalic0%
Víctor Moreno0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jesús Álvarez67%
David Rodríguez Ramos67%
Dani Martín0%
Nacho Gil0%
Enric Gallego0%
José León0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
Noel Lopez0%
Anes Krdzalic0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nacho Gil67%
Anes Krdzalic33%
Dani Martín0%
Enric Gallego0%
José León0%
Jesús Álvarez0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Noel Lopez0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Enric Gallego67%
Dani Martín0%
Nacho Gil0%
José León0%
Jesús Álvarez0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Noel Lopez0%
Anes Krdzalic0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
RSI (25)
€23m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
BUR (22)
€17m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
EIB (24)
€15m
FA (26)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ACF (22)
€10m
SAB (28)
€8m
CDV (22)
€8m
ELD (20)
€7m
Real Sociedad II's squad is €11m more valuable than Tenerife's (€23m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
MAL (11)
€23m
RSI (10)
€15m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
CAS (10)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
FA (10)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
TEN (13)
€5m
COR (9)
€4m
CDV (9)
€4m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (8)
€3m
Real Sociedad II's attack is €10m more valuable than Tenerife's (€15m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
RSI (6)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
FA (5)
€3m
SAB (6)
€2m
ACF (4)
€1m
ELD (3)
€1m
CDV (3)
€1m
Real Sociedad II and Tenerife have a similar midfield value (both €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
COR (12)
€7m
FA (11)
€7m
BUR (9)
€6m
ALB (10)
€5m
EIB (10)
€5m
RSI (9)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (9)
€3m
ACF (8)
€3m
CDV (10)
€2m
Real Sociedad II and Tenerife have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Spain: Segunda División 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Granada CF
Castellón
Leganes
Sporting Gijon
Mallorca
Las Palmas
Eibar
Sabadell
Girona
Celta de Vigo II
Burgos
Oviedo
FC Andorra
Almeria
Cadiz
Cordoba
Valladolid
Eldense
Albacete
AD Ceuta FC