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Real Succes vs Sporting Trestieni Result & Analysis

Date: 17/03/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 2-1
Real Succes
Real Succes
Vs
42%
22%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sporting Trestieni
Sporting Trestieni
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Succes win✓ Hit
42.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sporting Trestieni win✗ Miss
36.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Real SuccesReal Succes

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-722D17L13L61W04L02L21W07L13L14LH·OLI09/09H·VIC01/10H·VĂS04/10A·VĂS07/10H·SPA14/10A·OLI21/10H·SPE28/10A·VIC04/11A·SPE13/11H·SPE10/03
Avg total
4.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
3.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.273.271.173.501.403.00
vs Stronger (4)2.004.501.005.003.004.00
vs Similar (7)0.862.571.252.750.332.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Trestieni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sporting TrestieniSporting Trestieni

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-631W00D24L03L24L04L61W23L06L21WA·FĂL02/09H·SHE09/09H·FCM30/09A·FLO07/10H·FĂL15/10A·SHE22/10H·SUC28/10A·FCM04/11A·SUC13/11H·OLI11/03
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.732.552.331.831.003.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.402.001.331.671.502.50
vs Weaker (6)2.003.003.332.000.674.00
Clean sheet %9% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Succes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%2%05%114%219%319%416%524%6+
The model estimates around 4.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
92.7%
Under 1.5
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
78.6%
Under 2.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
59.9%
Under 3.5
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
77.3%
No
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
2-1 ✓
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
3-2
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
2-3
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
Real Succes goals ↓
Sporting Trestieni goals →
01234
02.2%2.4%3.1%2.1%1.0%
12.7%7.4%6.7%4.5%2.3%
23.6%7.3%7.3%4.9%2.4%
32.6%5.2%5.3%3.5%1.8%
41.4%2.8%2.8%1.9%1.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Real Succes goals (down), columns = Sporting Trestieni goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Spartanii Selemet
2.40
Victoria
2.40
Floreşti
2.10
Sheriff II
2.00
Făleşti
1.90
Sporting Trestieni
1.53
Văsieni
1.47
Speranța Drochia
1.35
FCM Ungheni
1.12
Real Succes
0.82
Olimp Comrat
0.76
Sucleia
0.76
Real Succes is 0.71 points worse than Sporting Trestieni in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 1.53).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Victoria
4.10
Sheriff II
3.06
Spartanii Selemet
2.50
Sporting Trestieni
2.29
Făleşti
2.20
Văsieni
1.82
Floreşti
1.50
FCM Ungheni
1.47
Speranța Drochia
1.41
Real Succes
1.29
Olimp Comrat
1.24
Sucleia
1.12
Real Succes is 1.00 goals worse than Sporting Trestieni in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 2.29).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff II
0.65
Floreşti
0.80
Victoria
0.90
Spartanii Selemet
1.10
Făleşti
1.60
Speranța Drochia
1.65
FCM Ungheni
1.94
Sporting Trestieni
1.94
Văsieni
2.24
Olimp Comrat
2.41
Real Succes
2.94
Sucleia
3.41
Real Succes is 1.00 goals worse than Sporting Trestieni in terms of goals conceded per game (2.94 vs 1.94).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Real SuccesReal Succes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Trestieni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sporting TrestieniSporting Trestieni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Succes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Real Succes over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Succes over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Succes over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Trestieni over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Trestieni over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Trestieni over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Real SuccesReal Succes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Trestieni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sporting TrestieniSporting Trestieni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Succes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Real Succes over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Succes over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Succes over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Trestieni over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Trestieni over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Trestieni over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.592.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.578.6%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes77.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (12)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
RS wins
0
Draws
0
ST wins

Head-to-head

Real Succes vs Sporting Trestieni · H/A from RS
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Real SuccesReal Succes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/03/23HRS Vs Speranța Drochia1-4
13/11/22ASperanța Drochia Vs RS3-1
04/11/22AVictoria Vs RS7-0
28/10/22HRS Vs Speranța Drochia2-1
21/10/22AOlimp Comrat Vs RS2-0
14/10/22HRS Vs Spartanii Selemet0-4
07/10/22AVăsieni Vs RS1-6
04/10/22HRS Vs Văsieni1-3
01/10/22HRS Vs Victoria1-7
09/09/22HRS Vs Olimp Comrat2-2

Sporting TrestieniSporting Trestieni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/03/23HST Vs Olimp Comrat2-1
13/11/22ASucleia Vs ST6-0
04/11/22AFCM Ungheni Vs ST3-2
28/10/22HST Vs Sucleia6-1
22/10/22ASheriff II Vs ST4-0
15/10/22HST Vs Făleşti2-4
07/10/22AFloreşti Vs ST3-0
30/09/22HST Vs FCM Ungheni2-4
09/09/22HST Vs Sheriff II0-0
02/09/22AFăleşti Vs ST1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Real Succes
Real Succes
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL0.64
HomeLLLWL0.67
AwayLWLLL0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%17%20%
AVG goals4.554.674.40
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %82%100%60%
Over 3.5 %73%83%60%
Scored1.271.171.40
Conceded3.273.503.00
BTTS64%83%40%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Sporting Trestieni
Sporting Trestieni
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.18
HomeDLLWW1.67
AwayWLLLL0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%50%20%
AVG goals4.274.174.40
Over 1.5 %91%83%100%
Over 2.5 %91%83%100%
Over 3.5 %64%50%80%
Scored1.732.331.00
Conceded2.551.833.40
BTTS64%83%40%
Clean Sheet9%17%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff IISheriff II1734
59%
2.0
5211+41
3.7
82%
65%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.10.6
-
2Sporting TrestieniSporting Trestieni1726
47%
1.5
3933+6
4.2
94%
88%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.9
-
3VăsieniVăsieni1725
47%
1.5
3138-7
4.1
94%
88%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.2
-
4VictoriaVictoria1024
80%
2.4
419+32
5.0
90%
80%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0004.10.9
-
5Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet1024
80%
2.4
2511+14
3.6
100%
90%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.51.1
-
6Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia1723
41%
1.4
2428-4
3.1
82%
76%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
7FloreştiFloreşti1021
70%
2.1
158+7
2.3
60%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.8
-
8FăleştiFăleşti1019
60%
1.9
2216+6
3.8
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.6
-
9FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni1719
35%
1.1
2533-8
3.4
82%
65%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.9
-
10Real SuccesReal Succes1714
24%
0.8
2250-28
4.2
94%
82%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.9
-
11Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat1713
18%
0.8
2141-20
3.6
94%
76%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
12SucleiaSucleia1713
24%
0.8
1958-39
4.5
88%
82%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.4
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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