Red Bull Salzburg’s recent 2-game winning streak fuels the model’s confidence in a home win, with a 52% chance of victory, a 25% chance of a draw and a 23% chance of an Austria Vienna win. The expected total of 3.0 goals aligns with a most likely total of 2 goals, a 24% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, occurring with 11.8% probability, distinct from the overall goal expectation. Salzburg’s home form against weaker opposition shows an average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded, while Austria Vienna’s away record against stronger teams yields 1.0 goal scored and 1.5 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.4%, Under 7.5 at 98.8% with a 2% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.9% with a 2% edge, Under 6.5 at 96.7% with a 4% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.0% with a 2% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.0% with a 7% edge, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 93.4% with a 4% edge, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.1% with an 11% edge.
Results analysis
Red Bull Salzburg extended their four-game winning run with a 4-1 victory over Austria Vienna, confirming the model’s home win pick at 52%. The pre-match favourite was indeed the home side, and the prediction proved correct. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99%, Under 7.5 hit at 98.8%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 96.9%, Under 6.5 hit at 96.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.3%, Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 92.8%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 92.4%. Only Home under 2.5 HT goals missed, coming in at 95.2%. The final score of 4-1 matched the actual result, with Salzburg’s dominance evident from their recent form.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Red Bull Salzburg win✓ Hit
51.8%
Avg Implied 70.5% · @ 1.33
Edge
-18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.35
Dafabet
1.35
Unibet
1.34
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Draw✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied 17.6% · @ 5.31
Edge
+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
5.60
Pinnacle
5.60
BetVictor
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Austria Vienna win✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied 11.9% · @ 7.86
Edge
+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
9.22
William Hil
8.50
10Bet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
8.20
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Red Bull Salzburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.07
1.31
1.08
1.94
1.06
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.67
vs Weaker (26)
1.77
1.00
1.33
1.08
2.14
0.93
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Vienna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.43
1.29
1.50
1.56
1.38
vs Stronger (8)
1.25
1.88
1.50
2.25
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (19)
1.42
1.37
1.33
1.33
1.50
1.40
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Bull Salzburg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.9%
@ 1.11-2.6%
Under 1.5
19.1%
@ 5.65+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.14
Betano
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Under
Betfair
6.50
Pinnacle
6.06
BetVictor
6.00
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.3%
@ 1.42-8.3%
Under 2.5
42.7%
@ 2.71+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.48
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.41
Under
Pinnacle
2.91
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.75
Superbet
2.70
Unibet
2.70
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.9%
@ 2.08-10.1%
Under 3.5
65.1%
@ 1.70+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.15
Betano
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
Betfair
1.73
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.7%
@ 1.68+3.6%
No
41.3%
@ 2.06-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.70
Betano
1.70
No
Unibet
2.12
William Hil
2.10
BetVictor
2.10
Betfair
2.10
1xBet
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%@ 9.94+7.2%
2-1
9.8%@ 7.91+4.0%
2-0
8.4%@ 7.44+2.3%
1-0
8.1%@ 8.90+3.1%
1-2
6.2%@ 20.51+4.0%
0-0
6.1%@ 18.09+3.6%
3-1
5.9%@ 9.41+1.1%
2-2
5.7%@ 15.60+2.8%
Red Bull Salzburg goals ↓
Austria Vienna goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.1%
4.8%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
1
8.1%
12%
6.2%
2.4%
0.7%
2
8.4%
9.8%
5.7%
2.2%
0.6%
3
5.1%
5.9%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
4
2.3%
2.7%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Red Bull Salzburg goals (down), columns = Austria Vienna goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
2.60
Rapid Vienna
2.40
Sturm Graz
1.60
WSG Wattens
1.40
TSV Hartberg
1.20
Wolfsberger AC
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
Grazer AK
0.80
Ried
0.80
Austria Vienna
0.60
SCR Altach
0.60
Red Bull Salzburg is 2.00 points better than Austria Vienna in terms of average points per game (2.60 vs 0.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Rapid Vienna
3.00
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
2.80
WSG Wattens
1.40
Sturm Graz
1.20
Wolfsberger AC
1.20
Ried
1.20
TSV Hartberg
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
SCR Altach
0.80
Austria Vienna
0.60
Grazer AK
0.40
Red Bull Salzburg is 2.20 goals better than Austria Vienna in terms of goals scored per game (2.80 vs 0.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lask Linz
0.40
Red Bull Salzburg
0.60
Sturm Graz
1.00
Wolfsberger AC
1.20
Rapid Vienna
1.40
WSG Wattens
1.40
TSV Hartberg
1.60
SCR Altach
1.60
Austria Lustenau
1.80
Austria Vienna
2.00
Ried
2.00
Grazer AK
2.60
Red Bull Salzburg is 1.40 goals better than Austria Vienna in terms of goals conceded per game (0.60 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
66%
Lask Linz
58%
Rapid Vienna
56%
Sturm Graz
55%
Ried
52%
Grazer AK
50%
SCR Altach
49%
Austria Vienna
45%
WSG Wattens
45%
TSV Hartberg
42%
Wolfsberger AC
42%
Austria Lustenau
41%
Red Bull Salzburg is 20.6 percentage points better than Austria Vienna in terms of average possession (66% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Red Bull Salzburg
For 8.8 · Against 3.0 · Total 11.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.6 · Against 2.6 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.9 · Against 10.0 · Total 17.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Austria Vienna
For 3.9 · Against 5.9 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 12.5 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Red Bull Salzburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.9
8.6
3.2
3.7
2.8
20.3
19.5
21.1
vs Stronger (1)
10.0
10.0
-
5.0
5.0
-
22.0
22.0
-
vs Similar (9)
8.2
11.3
6.7
3.4
3.0
3.7
21.6
20.3
22.2
vs Weaker (40)
9.5
9.7
9.3
3.1
3.8
2.5
19.9
19.3
20.7
% over line
43%
55%
32%
38%
46%
31%
34%
32%
36%
% under line
57%
45%
68%
62%
54%
69%
66%
68%
64%
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Vienna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.2
9.8
3.8
4.4
3.2
23.2
24.3
22.2
vs Stronger (11)
8.7
9.2
8.3
4.0
5.2
3.0
24.4
25.0
23.8
vs Similar (31)
10.6
10.7
10.5
4.1
4.6
3.6
22.7
23.8
21.5
vs Weaker (8)
9.2
9.0
9.5
2.1
2.0
2.2
24.5
26.5
22.5
% over line
48%
48%
48%
54%
62%
46%
50%
61%
39%
% under line
52%
52%
52%
46%
38%
54%
50%
39%
61%
This opponent (Red Bull Salzburg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Austria Vienna
10.3
Lask Linz
10.2
WSG Wattens
10.0
Sturm Graz
9.9
TSV Hartberg
9.9
Austria Lustenau
9.8
Wolfsberger AC
9.6
Rapid Vienna
9.6
Red Bull Salzburg
9.3
Grazer AK
9.1
SCR Altach
8.9
Ried
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SCR Altach
5.0
Austria Lustenau
4.9
Sturm Graz
4.7
Wolfsberger AC
4.7
Grazer AK
4.6
Ried
4.6
TSV Hartberg
4.6
Austria Vienna
4.4
WSG Wattens
4.3
Rapid Vienna
4.1
Red Bull Salzburg
3.9
Lask Linz
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rapid Vienna
24.0
Sturm Graz
23.8
Grazer AK
23.3
Austria Lustenau
23.3
Austria Vienna
23.1
SCR Altach
23.0
Wolfsberger AC
22.8
Ried
22.5
WSG Wattens
22.5
TSV Hartberg
21.8
Lask Linz
21.0
Red Bull Salzburg
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.5%
@ 1.74+0.9%
Under 9.5
45.5%
@ 2.00-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.88
10Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.72
Unibet
1.72
Superbet
1.71
Under
Pinnacle
2.08
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.03
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.01
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.5%
Under 3.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
40.2%
Under 21.5
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Red Bull Salzburg or Draw✓ Hit
76.9%
Avg Implied 87.4% · @ 1.07
Edge
-10.5%
52%
25%
23%
covers Red Bull Salzburg + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Unibet
1.07
Red Bull Salzburg or Austria Vienna✓ Hit
74.9%
Avg Implied 83.2% · @ 1.13
Edge
-8.3%
52%
25%
23%
covers Red Bull Salzburg + Austria Vienna
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Draw or Austria Vienna✗ Miss
48.2%
Avg Implied 29.4% · @ 3.19
Edge
+18.8%
52%
25%
23%
covers Draw + Austria Vienna
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.40
William Hil
3.30
Marathonbet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
1xBet
3.25
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.9%
@ 1.05-5.7%
Under
16.1%
@ 9.00+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Under
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
8.80
Superbet
8.30
Betano
7.40
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
54.4%
@ 1.32-16.1%
Under
45.6%
@ 3.15+16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.32
Under
Pinnacle
3.46
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
27.6%
@ 2.03-18.5%
Under
72.4%
@ 1.73+18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.07
Betano
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
Under
Pinnacle
1.79
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
BetVictor
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
11.3%
@ 3.59-14.6%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.25+14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.01
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.70
BetVictor
3.60
Betano
3.50
Under
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
Austria Vienna over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.7%
@ 1.57+9.5%
Under
31.3%
@ 2.27-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.63
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
Under
BetVictor
2.38
Unibet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.35
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Austria Vienna over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.3%
@ 3.78+7.8%
Under
67.7%
@ 1.23-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.13
10Bet
3.95
Marathonbet
3.92
1xBet
3.92
Betfair
3.75
Under
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Austria Vienna over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.2%
@ 10.34+2.2%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.03-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
10.50
Betfair
10.00
Superbet
9.80
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Austria Vienna over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 25.50-0.8%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.01+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
34.00
Superbet
30.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Red Bull Salzburg, so a minus line means Red Bull Salzburg give that many goals of a start and Austria Vienna receive them. At -1, Red Bull Salzburg must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Red Bull Salzburg win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Red Bull Salzburg)Actual: Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg -2
13.6%
@ 3.03-15.8%
Draw -2
16.1%
@ 4.05-5.8%
Austria Vienna +2
70.2%
@ 1.83+21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.10
Betfair
3.00
Unibet
3.00
Superbet
3.00
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.15
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Away
Superbet
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Handicap -1 (Red Bull Salzburg)Actual: Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg -1
29.8%
@ 1.84-19.0%
Draw -1
22.0%
@ 3.83-1.4%
Austria Vienna +1
48.2%
@ 3.22+20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.87
Superbet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Draw
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.70
Away
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.30
10Bet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.25
Superbet
3.10
Handicap +1 (Red Bull Salzburg)Actual: Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg +1
76.9%
@ 1.09-6.5%
Draw +1
13.6%
@ 8.57+3.1%
Austria Vienna -1
9.5%
@ 14.97+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.12
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Betfair
19.00
Bet365
19.00
Marathonbet
6.90
Handicap +2 (Red Bull Salzburg)Actual: Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg +2
90.5%
@ 1.01-3.8%
Draw +2
6.6%
@ 23.00+2.4%
Austria Vienna -2
2.9%
@ 63.50+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Draw
Bet365
23.00
Betfair
23.00
Away
Betfair
76.00
Bet365
51.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Red Bull Salzburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.62
0.62
0.88
0.59
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.75
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (26)
0.77
0.65
0.58
0.67
0.93
0.64
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Vienna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.83
0.64
0.64
0.75
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.00
0.75
1.25
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.79
0.67
0.44
0.70
1.10
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Bull Salzburg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.4%
@ 1.22-3.5%
Under 0.5
27.6%
@ 3.84+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
10Bet
3.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
38.5%
@ 2.06-6.8%
Under 1.5
61.5%
@ 1.70+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.18
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.08
10Bet
2.05
Under
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.70
William Hil
1.70
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
14.9%
@ 4.42-6.1%
Under 2.5
85.1%
@ 1.17+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.80
BetVictor
4.80
William Hil
4.50
Betano
4.35
Bet365
4.33
Under
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
56.9%
@ 1.40-9.6%
Under
43.1%
@ 2.77+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.41
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
2.96
10Bet
2.80
Superbet
2.77
Unibet
2.75
1xBet
2.75
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
22.8%
@ 2.86-9.6%
Under
77.2%
@ 1.37+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.00
Marathonbet
2.88
1xBet
2.80
Superbet
2.80
10Bet
2.80
Under
Superbet
1.39
10Bet
1.38
1xBet
1.37
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
4.8%
@ 6.92-8.6%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.07+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.20
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.80
Superbet
6.70
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Austria Vienna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.0%
@ 2.75+2.2%
Under
64.0%
@ 1.40-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.05
10Bet
2.85
Betano
2.72
Marathonbet
2.72
1xBet
2.70
Under
Unibet
1.43
Superbet
1.42
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.39
Austria Vienna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.2%
@ 10.00-2.1%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.03+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
10.50
10Bet
10.00
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Austria Vienna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 45.00-99.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
45.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Red Bull Salzburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.47
0.69
0.46
1.06
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.25
1.25
0.00
1.00
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (26)
1.00
0.35
0.75
0.42
1.21
0.29
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Vienna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.60
0.64
0.86
0.81
0.38
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.88
0.75
1.00
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.58
0.67
0.89
0.80
0.30
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Bull Salzburg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.3%
@ 1.12-3.4%
Under 0.5
20.7%
@ 5.40+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Under
Bet365
6.00
Betano
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Superbet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
43.9%
@ 1.66-12.2%
Under 1.5
56.1%
@ 2.12+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Under
Betano
2.22
1xBet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.14
Superbet
2.12
Unibet
2.10
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.4%
@ 3.02-10.4%
Under 2.5
79.6%
@ 1.34+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.25
Superbet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.89
1xBet
2.89
Under
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
64.7%
@ 1.26-9.0%
Under
35.3%
@ 3.52+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Under
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.55
10Bet
3.50
Superbet
3.45
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
24.5%
@ 2.22-17.3%
Under
75.5%
@ 1.59+17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.25
10Bet
2.25
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
Under
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Superbet
1.58
10Bet
1.57
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 4.80-11.7%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.15+11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.00
Superbet
4.90
1xBet
4.80
Betano
4.50
Under
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Austria Vienna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
44.4%
@ 2.26+3.4%
Under
55.6%
@ 1.57-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.27
10Bet
2.25
Superbet
2.25
Betano
2.22
Under
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.58
10Bet
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.53
Austria Vienna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.7%
@ 7.46+0.3%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.06-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.00
1xBet
7.90
10Bet
7.50
Superbet
7.30
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Austria Vienna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 21.83+0.3%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.01-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
27.00
10Bet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.8%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.7%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.3%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.2%
1.07
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
-
+8.6%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.8%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.4%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
-
+11.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.8%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.5%
1.01
Betfair
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-3.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.8%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-2.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
88.7%
1.25
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
+14.6%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.3%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.1%
1.17
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
+6.1%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
83.9%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-5.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
81.8%
1.28
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Unibet
1.28
+9.0%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
80.9%
1.11
10Bet
1.14
Betano
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-2.6%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.6%
1.34
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
+10.4%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.3%
1.12
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.11
-3.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
77.2%
1.37
Superbet
1.39
10Bet
1.38
1xBet
1.37
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
+9.6%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
76.9%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Unibet
1.07
-10.5%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
76.9%
1.09
Marathonbet
1.12
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
-
-
-6.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
75.5%
1.59
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Superbet
1.58
10Bet
1.57
+17.3%
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.9%
1.13
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
-8.3%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
72.4%
1.73
Pinnacle
1.79
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
BetVictor
1.73
Bet365
1.73
+18.5%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.4%
1.22
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-3.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Red Bull Salzburg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
K. Konaté75%
H. Tabaković50%
Y. Vertessen40%
Frans Krätzig33%
Edmund Baidoo33%
Sota Kitano25%
N. Veratschnig20%
B. Mazurek20%
D. Schmid0%
Abubakr Barry0%
Kévin Boma0%
Damir Redzic0%
Tim Drexler0%
L. Morgalla0%
A. Camara0%
Valentin Zabransky0%
Christian Zawieschitzky0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
D. Schmid25%
A. Camara25%
H. Tabaković0%
Y. Vertessen0%
Abubakr Barry0%
Kévin Boma0%
Frans Krätzig0%
N. Veratschnig0%
Damir Redzic0%
Sota Kitano0%
Tim Drexler0%
L. Morgalla0%
K. Konaté0%
B. Mazurek0%
Valentin Zabransky0%
Christian Zawieschitzky0%
Edmund Baidoo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Abubakr Barry40%
Frans Krätzig33%
D. Schmid25%
Kévin Boma25%
Sota Kitano25%
A. Camara25%
Y. Vertessen20%
N. Veratschnig20%
B. Mazurek20%
H. Tabaković0%
Damir Redzic0%
Tim Drexler0%
L. Morgalla0%
K. Konaté0%
Valentin Zabransky0%
Christian Zawieschitzky0%
Edmund Baidoo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
K. Konaté100%
H. Tabaković50%
A. Camara50%
Kévin Boma25%
Sota Kitano25%
Y. Vertessen20%
N. Veratschnig20%
D. Schmid0%
Abubakr Barry0%
Frans Krätzig0%
Damir Redzic0%
Tim Drexler0%
L. Morgalla0%
B. Mazurek0%
Valentin Zabransky0%
Christian Zawieschitzky0%
Edmund Baidoo0%
Austria Vienna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kelvin Boateng20%
Jonas Feddersen14%
Daniel Nnodim12%
S. Saljic11%
V. Markovic11%
R. Ranftl10%
M. Fischer10%
Julian Hettwer10%
Aleksandar Dragović0%
Johannes Handl0%
Johannes Eggestein0%
S. Şahin-Radlinger0%
Lee Kang-Hee0%
Lee Tae-Seok0%
F. Wustinger0%
I. Buhari0%
Moritz Wels0%
Matteo Schablas0%
Philipp Maybach0%
H. Deshihsku0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matteo Schablas67%
R. Ranftl30%
Lee Tae-Seok29%
Kelvin Boateng20%
F. Wustinger20%
Philipp Maybach17%
Aleksandar Dragović14%
Lee Kang-Hee12%
Daniel Nnodim12%
Johannes Handl11%
M. Fischer10%
Johannes Eggestein0%
S. Şahin-Radlinger0%
Julian Hettwer0%
I. Buhari0%
Moritz Wels0%
S. Saljic0%
Jonas Feddersen0%
V. Markovic0%
H. Deshihsku0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
M. Fischer20%
Philipp Maybach17%
Lee Tae-Seok14%
Daniel Nnodim12%
F. Wustinger10%
Aleksandar Dragović0%
Johannes Handl0%
R. Ranftl0%
Johannes Eggestein0%
S. Şahin-Radlinger0%
Julian Hettwer0%
Lee Kang-Hee0%
Kelvin Boateng0%
I. Buhari0%
Moritz Wels0%
S. Saljic0%
Matteo Schablas0%
Jonas Feddersen0%
V. Markovic0%
H. Deshihsku0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Moritz Wels25%
Kelvin Boateng20%
M. Fischer10%
Julian Hettwer10%
Aleksandar Dragović0%
Johannes Handl0%
R. Ranftl0%
Johannes Eggestein0%
S. Şahin-Radlinger0%
Lee Kang-Hee0%
Lee Tae-Seok0%
F. Wustinger0%
I. Buhari0%
S. Saljic0%
Matteo Schablas0%
Philipp Maybach0%
Daniel Nnodim0%
Jonas Feddersen0%
V. Markovic0%
H. Deshihsku0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
AL (22)
€5m
Red Bull Salzburg's squad is €82m more valuable than Austria Vienna's (€105m vs €23m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RIE (7)
€2m
GA (7)
€2m
Red Bull Salzburg's attack is €38m more valuable than Austria Vienna's (€47m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
Red Bull Salzburg's midfield is €22m more valuable than Austria Vienna's (€29m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
AL (9)
€2m
Red Bull Salzburg's defence is €22m more valuable than Austria Vienna's (€29m vs €7m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lask Linz
Rapid Vienna
Sturm Graz
WSG Wattens
TSV Hartberg
Wolfsberger AC
Austria Lustenau
Ried
Grazer AK
SCR Altach