This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Nürnberg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.57
1.60
1.47
1.40
1.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.48
1.67
1.80
1.20
1.18
2.09
vs Weaker (9)
1.56
1.33
1.20
2.00
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.3%
Under 1.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.9%
@ 1.76+4.2%
Under 2.5
42.1%
@ 2.04-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.4%
Under 3.5
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.6%
No
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
0-1
6.3%
0-0 ✓
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
Regensburg goals ↓
1. FC Nürnberg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.1%
6.3%
5.5%
2.7%
1.0%
1
6.4%
12%
8.3%
4.1%
1.5%
2
5.7%
8.5%
6.3%
3.1%
1.2%
3
2.9%
4.3%
3.2%
1.6%
0.6%
4
1.1%
1.6%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Regensburg goals (down), columns = 1. FC Nürnberg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
SV Wehen
3.00
1. FC Heidenheim
2.03
Hamburger SV
2.00
SV Darmstadt 98
1.94
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.78
FC St. Pauli
1.69
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
Karlsruher SC
1.44
Hannover 96
1.33
1. FC Magdeburg
1.31
Hansa Rostock
1.31
Holstein Kiel
1.31
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.28
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.25
1. FC Nürnberg
1.19
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.03
Arminia Bielefeld
0.97
Jahn Regensburg
0.91
Regensburg
0.91
SV Sandhausen
0.86
Regensburg is 0.28 points worse than 1. FC Nürnberg in terms of average points per game (0.91 vs 1.19).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SV Wehen
3.00
Hamburger SV
2.17
1. FC Heidenheim
2.08
SC Paderborn 07
1.97
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.81
Karlsruher SC
1.75
Holstein Kiel
1.64
FC St. Pauli
1.56
Hannover 96
1.44
SV Darmstadt 98
1.44
Arminia Bielefeld
1.42
1. FC Magdeburg
1.42
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.42
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.31
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.22
SV Sandhausen
1.06
Hansa Rostock
1.03
Jahn Regensburg
1.00
Regensburg
1.00
1. FC Nürnberg
0.92
Regensburg is 0.08 goals better than 1. FC Nürnberg in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.92).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SV Wehen
0.50
SV Darmstadt 98
0.97
FC St. Pauli
1.14
1. FC Heidenheim
1.17
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.19
SC Paderborn 07
1.25
Hamburger SV
1.31
Hansa Rostock
1.33
1. FC Nürnberg
1.36
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.42
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.47
Karlsruher SC
1.47
Hannover 96
1.56
1. FC Magdeburg
1.58
Jahn Regensburg
1.71
Regensburg
1.71
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.72
Holstein Kiel
1.75
SV Sandhausen
1.83
Arminia Bielefeld
1.89
Regensburg is 0.34 goals worse than 1. FC Nürnberg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 1.36).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
R
Regensburg
For 3.4 · Against 5.1 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 13.5 · Total 27.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
1. FC Nürnberg
For 6.1 · Against 5.5 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 13.6 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
R
Regensburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.7
9.2
4.1
4.3
3.8
27.1
27.1
27.1
vs Stronger (34)
8.8
8.5
9.3
4.1
4.1
4.1
26.7
27.3
26.1
vs Similar (16)
9.1
9.3
9.0
4.1
5.0
3.5
27.8
26.5
28.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
32%
48%
62%
60%
64%
84%
80%
88%
% under line
60%
68%
52%
38%
40%
36%
16%
20%
12%
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Nürnberg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.8
10.8
3.9
4.0
3.8
22.9
23.7
22.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (35)
10.9
10.5
11.3
3.8
4.2
3.4
22.4
23.3
21.4
vs Weaker (15)
10.5
11.6
9.6
4.1
3.4
4.8
24.1
24.6
23.8
% over line
65%
71%
58%
50%
52%
48%
67%
83%
50%
% under line
35%
29%
42%
50%
48%
52%
33%
17%
50%
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
1. FC Heidenheim
11.2
Hamburger SV
11.1
1. FC Nürnberg
10.8
Hannover 96
10.6
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10.5
SV Sandhausen
10.4
SC Paderborn 07
10.0
Eintracht Braunschweig
9.8
Holstein Kiel
9.8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9.7
1. FC Kaiserslautern
9.7
Arminia Bielefeld
9.5
Karlsruher SC
9.5
Hansa Rostock
9.4
SV Darmstadt 98
9.2
FC St. Pauli
9.2
Regensburg
8.9
1. FC Magdeburg
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
1. FC Magdeburg
4.8
SV Darmstadt 98
4.7
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.4
SV Sandhausen
4.4
Hansa Rostock
4.4
Hamburger SV
4.3
SC Paderborn 07
4.2
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4.1
Regensburg
4.1
Holstein Kiel
4.0
1. FC Nürnberg
4.0
Karlsruher SC
4.0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.0
Hannover 96
3.8
FC St. Pauli
3.8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
3.6
1. FC Heidenheim
3.5
Arminia Bielefeld
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
1. FC Kaiserslautern
28.3
Regensburg
27.1
Eintracht Braunschweig
27.1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
26.1
1. FC Magdeburg
26.0
SV Darmstadt 98
24.8
Hansa Rostock
24.2
SV Sandhausen
23.5
Karlsruher SC
23.5
FC St. Pauli
23.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf
23.3
Hamburger SV
23.3
Hannover 96
23.1
1. FC Nürnberg
22.9
Arminia Bielefeld
22.2
SC Paderborn 07
22.1
Holstein Kiel
21.7
1. FC Heidenheim
20.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.9%
Under 9.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.2%
Under 3.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
69.0%
Under 21.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
R
Regensburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.57
0.60
0.53
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (20)
0.55
0.65
0.45
0.55
0.67
0.78
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.40
1.00
0.50
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Nürnberg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.77
0.67
0.73
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.81
0.70
0.60
0.45
1.00
vs Weaker (9)
0.78
0.67
0.60
1.00
1.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
R
Regensburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.97
1.00
1.20
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (20)
0.50
1.15
0.91
1.18
0.00
1.11
vs Similar (10)
1.20
0.60
1.25
1.25
1.17
0.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Nürnberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Nürnberg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.80
0.93
0.73
0.80
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.90
0.86
1.10
0.60
0.73
1.09
vs Weaker (9)
0.78
0.67
0.60
1.00
1.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Nürnberg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
1. FC Nürnberg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kwadwo Duah30%
Christoph Daferner10%
Felix Lohkemper10%
Enrico Valentini10%
Manuel Wintzheimer9%
Nathaniel Brown9%
Jens Castrop7%
Lukas Schleimer7%
Lino Tempelmann6%
Erik Shuranov6%
Florian Hübner6%
Fabian Nürnberger4%
Jan Gyamerah4%
Mats Møller Dæhli3%
Benjamin Goller0%
James Lawrence0%
Peter Vindahl Jensen0%
Christopher Schindler0%
Jannes Horn0%
Johannes Geis0%
Pascal Köpke0%
Christian Mathenia0%
Tim Handwerker0%
Taylan Duman0%
Erik Wekesser0%
Florian Flick0%
Carl Klaus0%
Jermain Nischalke0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Can Uzun0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jermain Nischalke33%
Fabian Nürnberger29%
Jannes Horn29%
Enrico Valentini25%
Tim Handwerker25%
Jan Gyamerah24%
Erik Wekesser24%
Florian Hübner22%
Sadik Fofana21%
Taylan Duman20%
Lino Tempelmann19%
Johannes Geis17%
Benjamin Goller14%
Jens Castrop14%
Florian Flick12%
Erik Shuranov12%
Christopher Schindler12%
Christoph Daferner10%
Kwadwo Duah9%
Nathaniel Brown9%
Peter Vindahl Jensen7%
Lukas Schleimer7%
Christian Mathenia6%
Felix Lohkemper5%
Mats Møller Dæhli3%
James Lawrence0%
Manuel Wintzheimer0%
Pascal Köpke0%
Carl Klaus0%
Can Uzun0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Taylan Duman20%
Mats Møller Dæhli17%
Pascal Köpke14%
Johannes Geis10%
Enrico Valentini10%
Nathaniel Brown9%
Fabian Nürnberger8%
Jens Castrop7%
Lukas Schleimer7%
Lino Tempelmann6%
Felix Lohkemper5%
Benjamin Goller0%
James Lawrence0%
Peter Vindahl Jensen0%
Christopher Schindler0%
Jannes Horn0%
Florian Hübner0%
Manuel Wintzheimer0%
Jan Gyamerah0%
Christian Mathenia0%
Christoph Daferner0%
Tim Handwerker0%
Kwadwo Duah0%
Erik Wekesser0%
Florian Flick0%
Carl Klaus0%
Erik Shuranov0%
Jermain Nischalke0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Can Uzun0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kwadwo Duah27%
Christoph Daferner17%
Felix Lohkemper15%
Lino Tempelmann13%
Nathaniel Brown9%
Fabian Nürnberger8%
Florian Flick6%
Erik Wekesser6%
Johannes Geis3%
Benjamin Goller0%
James Lawrence0%
Peter Vindahl Jensen0%
Christopher Schindler0%
Jannes Horn0%
Florian Hübner0%
Manuel Wintzheimer0%
Mats Møller Dæhli0%
Jan Gyamerah0%
Pascal Köpke0%
Christian Mathenia0%
Enrico Valentini0%
Tim Handwerker0%
Taylan Duman0%
Carl Klaus0%
Lukas Schleimer0%
Erik Shuranov0%
Jermain Nischalke0%
Jens Castrop0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Can Uzun0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Heidenheim
Hamburger SV
SV Darmstadt 98
Fortuna Düsseldorf
FC St. Pauli
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
Hannover 96
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Magdeburg
Hansa Rostock
1. FC Kaiserslautern
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Arminia Bielefeld
Eintracht Braunschweig
Jahn Regensburg
SV Sandhausen
SV Wehen