This opponent (Ingolstadt) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ingolstadt
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.27
1.53
1.47
1.27
1.07
vs Stronger (22)
1.45
1.09
1.80
1.20
1.17
1.00
vs Similar (8)
1.25
1.75
1.00
2.00
1.67
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.1%
Under 1.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.6%
Under 2.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.2%
Under 3.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.8%
No
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
7.6%
0-0
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
Regensburg goals ↓
Ingolstadt goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
6.4%
5.0%
2.2%
0.7%
1
7.6%
13%
7.7%
3.4%
1.1%
2
6.8%
9.0%
5.9%
2.6%
0.9%
3
3.5%
4.6%
3.0%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.3%
1.8%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Regensburg goals (down), columns = Ingolstadt goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.85
1. FC Nürnberg
1.76
Holstein Kiel
1.65
Arminia Bielefeld
1.41
VfL Bochum
1.41
Duisburg
1.41
Regensburg
1.41
Union Berlin
1.38
Ingolstadt
1.32
FC St. Pauli
1.26
SV Darmstadt 98
1.26
SV Sandhausen
1.26
1. FC Heidenheim
1.24
Dynamo Dresden
1.21
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.18
Erzgebirge Aue
1.18
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.15
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.03
Regensburg is 0.09 points better than Ingolstadt in terms of average points per game (1.41 vs 1.32).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Holstein Kiel
2.09
1. FC Nürnberg
1.79
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.68
Union Berlin
1.59
Regensburg
1.56
Duisburg
1.53
Arminia Bielefeld
1.50
1. FC Heidenheim
1.47
SV Darmstadt 98
1.38
Ingolstadt
1.38
Dynamo Dresden
1.24
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.24
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.09
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.09
VfL Bochum
1.09
FC St. Pauli
1.03
Erzgebirge Aue
1.03
SV Sandhausen
1.03
Regensburg is 0.18 goals better than Ingolstadt in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 1.38).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SV Sandhausen
0.97
1. FC Nürnberg
1.15
VfL Bochum
1.18
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.26
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.29
Holstein Kiel
1.29
SV Darmstadt 98
1.32
Ingolstadt
1.32
Union Berlin
1.35
Arminia Bielefeld
1.38
FC St. Pauli
1.41
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.41
Erzgebirge Aue
1.44
Dynamo Dresden
1.53
Regensburg
1.56
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.62
Duisburg
1.65
1. FC Heidenheim
1.65
Regensburg is 0.24 goals worse than Ingolstadt in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 1.32).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
R
Regensburg
For 6.9 · Against 2.8 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.2 · Against 14.0 · Total 30.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ingolstadt
For 5.9 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 14.6 · Total 27.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
R
Regensburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (19)
9.6
10.1
9.1
5.1
4.7
5.6
31.6
30.5
32.9
vs Stronger (11)
9.7
10.7
8.6
4.2
4.0
4.4
31.7
30.8
32.8
vs Similar (8)
9.5
9.2
9.8
6.4
5.8
7.0
31.5
30.0
33.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
47%
50%
44%
79%
80%
78%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
53%
50%
56%
21%
20%
22%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Ingolstadt) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ingolstadt
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.8
8.7
4.3
3.9
4.6
31.7
31.3
32.0
vs Stronger (42)
9.0
9.6
8.4
4.1
3.9
4.4
32.3
31.9
32.6
vs Similar (8)
10.6
10.6
10.7
4.9
4.2
6.0
28.6
29.2
27.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
52%
32%
64%
48%
80%
94%
92%
96%
% under line
58%
48%
68%
36%
52%
20%
6%
8%
4%
This opponent (Regensburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
1. FC Heidenheim
10.6
FC St. Pauli
10.1
SV Darmstadt 98
10.1
Arminia Bielefeld
10.0
Eintracht Braunschweig
9.9
1. FC Nürnberg
9.8
Holstein Kiel
9.7
Dynamo Dresden
9.7
Regensburg
9.6
Union Berlin
9.6
Erzgebirge Aue
9.5
1. FC Kaiserslautern
9.4
Ingolstadt
9.2
VfL Bochum
9.2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
9.2
SV Sandhausen
8.9
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
8.6
Duisburg
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fortuna Düsseldorf
5.4
Holstein Kiel
5.3
Regensburg
5.1
1. FC Heidenheim
4.9
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.8
Erzgebirge Aue
4.7
SV Sandhausen
4.7
Duisburg
4.6
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4.3
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.3
Dynamo Dresden
4.3
VfL Bochum
4.3
Ingolstadt
4.3
SV Darmstadt 98
4.2
FC St. Pauli
4.1
1. FC Nürnberg
3.8
Union Berlin
3.7
Arminia Bielefeld
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SV Sandhausen
34.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf
32.5
Ingolstadt
31.7
Regensburg
31.6
1. FC Kaiserslautern
31.2
1. FC Heidenheim
30.4
Holstein Kiel
30.2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
30.0
Erzgebirge Aue
30.0
Eintracht Braunschweig
29.7
SV Darmstadt 98
29.6
Union Berlin
29.3
VfL Bochum
28.6
Dynamo Dresden
28.2
Duisburg
27.1
Arminia Bielefeld
26.3
FC St. Pauli
26.3
1. FC Nürnberg
25.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.6%
Under 9.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.6%
Under 3.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.0%
Under 21.5
5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
R
Regensburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.84
0.63
1.00
0.80
0.67
0.44
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
0.82
0.83
1.00
0.80
0.60
vs Similar (8)
0.88
0.38
1.25
0.50
0.50
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ingolstadt) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ingolstadt
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
0.60
0.53
0.80
0.60
vs Stronger (22)
0.73
0.55
0.80
0.50
0.67
0.58
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.62
0.20
0.60
1.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ingolstadt over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ingolstadt over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ingolstadt over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
R
Regensburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.68
0.79
0.60
0.60
0.78
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
0.55
0.33
0.50
0.80
0.60
vs Similar (8)
0.88
1.12
1.00
0.75
0.75
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ingolstadt) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ingolstadt
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
0.93
0.93
0.47
0.47
vs Stronger (22)
0.73
0.55
1.00
0.70
0.50
0.42
vs Similar (8)
0.62
1.12
0.80
1.40
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ingolstadt over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ingolstadt over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ingolstadt over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →