This opponent (SC Paderborn 07) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SC Paderborn 07
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.07
2.67
0.93
1.07
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.78
1.39
2.64
1.27
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (7)
2.14
0.00
2.75
0.00
1.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.0%
Under 1.5
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.8%
@ 1.84-2.5%
Under 2.5
51.2%
@ 1.94+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.0%
Under 3.5
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.7%
No
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.0%
0-0
8.4%
1-0 ✓
6.4%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
5.0%
Regensburg goals ↓
SC Paderborn 07 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.4%
10%
9.0%
4.8%
1.9%
1
6.4%
13%
9.5%
5.0%
2.0%
2
4.0%
6.3%
4.9%
2.6%
1.0%
3
1.4%
2.2%
1.7%
0.9%
0.4%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Regensburg goals (down), columns = SC Paderborn 07 goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
SV Wehen
3.00
1. FC Heidenheim
2.03
Hamburger SV
2.00
SV Darmstadt 98
1.94
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.78
FC St. Pauli
1.69
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
Karlsruher SC
1.44
Hannover 96
1.33
1. FC Magdeburg
1.31
Hansa Rostock
1.31
Holstein Kiel
1.31
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.28
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.25
1. FC Nürnberg
1.19
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.03
Arminia Bielefeld
0.97
Jahn Regensburg
0.91
Regensburg
0.91
SV Sandhausen
0.86
Regensburg is 0.70 points worse than SC Paderborn 07 in terms of average points per game (0.91 vs 1.61).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SV Wehen
3.00
Hamburger SV
2.17
1. FC Heidenheim
2.08
SC Paderborn 07
1.97
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.81
Karlsruher SC
1.75
Holstein Kiel
1.64
FC St. Pauli
1.56
Hannover 96
1.44
SV Darmstadt 98
1.44
Arminia Bielefeld
1.42
1. FC Magdeburg
1.42
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.42
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.31
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.22
SV Sandhausen
1.06
Hansa Rostock
1.03
Jahn Regensburg
1.00
Regensburg
1.00
1. FC Nürnberg
0.92
Regensburg is 0.97 goals worse than SC Paderborn 07 in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SV Wehen
0.50
SV Darmstadt 98
0.97
FC St. Pauli
1.14
1. FC Heidenheim
1.17
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.19
SC Paderborn 07
1.25
Hamburger SV
1.31
Hansa Rostock
1.33
1. FC Nürnberg
1.36
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.42
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.47
Karlsruher SC
1.47
Hannover 96
1.56
1. FC Magdeburg
1.58
Jahn Regensburg
1.71
Regensburg
1.71
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.72
Holstein Kiel
1.75
SV Sandhausen
1.83
Arminia Bielefeld
1.89
Regensburg is 0.46 goals worse than SC Paderborn 07 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 1.25).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
R
Regensburg
For 4.1 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 13.4 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SC Paderborn 07
For 5.8 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.5 · Against 13.0 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
R
Regensburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.0
9.4
4.4
4.6
4.2
26.7
27.0
26.4
vs Stronger (37)
9.5
9.2
9.8
4.5
4.3
4.7
26.1
26.9
25.4
vs Similar (13)
8.4
8.6
8.2
3.8
5.1
2.3
28.2
27.1
29.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
44%
48%
70%
64%
76%
84%
88%
80%
% under line
54%
56%
52%
30%
36%
24%
16%
12%
20%
This opponent (SC Paderborn 07) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SC Paderborn 07
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
13.1
7.4
2.3
2.6
2.1
22.2
21.9
22.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (37)
10.3
13.4
7.2
2.0
2.4
1.7
21.8
21.0
22.5
vs Weaker (13)
10.8
12.8
7.8
3.2
3.0
3.6
22.9
23.0
22.8
% over line
54%
86%
17%
36%
38%
33%
62%
57%
67%
% under line
46%
14%
83%
64%
62%
67%
38%
43%
33%
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
1. FC Heidenheim
11.2
Hamburger SV
11.0
1. FC Nürnberg
10.7
Hannover 96
10.5
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10.2
SV Sandhausen
10.1
1. FC Kaiserslautern
9.9
SC Paderborn 07
9.9
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9.8
Holstein Kiel
9.8
Eintracht Braunschweig
9.8
Hansa Rostock
9.5
Arminia Bielefeld
9.4
Karlsruher SC
9.3
Regensburg
9.2
SV Darmstadt 98
9.2
FC St. Pauli
9.2
1. FC Magdeburg
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
1. FC Magdeburg
4.8
SV Darmstadt 98
4.7
Hansa Rostock
4.5
SV Sandhausen
4.4
Hamburger SV
4.4
Regensburg
4.4
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.3
SC Paderborn 07
4.3
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4.1
1. FC Nürnberg
4.1
Holstein Kiel
4.0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3.9
Karlsruher SC
3.9
Hannover 96
3.9
FC St. Pauli
3.8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
3.6
1. FC Heidenheim
3.5
Arminia Bielefeld
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
1. FC Kaiserslautern
28.2
Eintracht Braunschweig
26.7
Regensburg
26.7
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
26.0
1. FC Magdeburg
25.9
SV Darmstadt 98
25.1
Hansa Rostock
24.2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
23.7
SV Sandhausen
23.5
Hamburger SV
23.4
Hannover 96
23.3
FC St. Pauli
23.2
Karlsruher SC
23.2
1. FC Nürnberg
23.2
Arminia Bielefeld
22.6
SC Paderborn 07
22.3
Holstein Kiel
21.8
1. FC Heidenheim
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
42.8%
Under 9.5
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
63.5%
Under 3.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
72.8%
Under 21.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
R
Regensburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.73
0.53
0.73
0.40
0.73
vs Stronger (22)
0.45
0.68
0.50
0.50
0.42
0.83
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.88
0.60
1.20
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Paderborn 07) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SC Paderborn 07
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.73
1.00
0.80
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.96
1.00
1.09
0.42
0.83
vs Weaker (7)
0.71
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
R
Regensburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.97
0.40
0.93
0.60
1.00
vs Stronger (22)
0.41
1.14
0.40
1.10
0.42
1.17
vs Similar (8)
0.75
0.50
0.40
0.60
1.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Paderborn 07) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SC Paderborn 07
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.33
1.67
0.13
0.67
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.09
0.43
1.64
0.18
0.58
0.67
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.00
1.75
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
SC Paderborn 07
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marvin Pieringer43%
Florent Muslija30%
Robert Leipertz30%
Felix Platte25%
Sirlord Conteh18%
Julian Justvan15%
Maximilian Rohr12%
Jannis Heuer12%
Dennis Srbeny9%
Ron Schallenberg9%
Raphael Obermair7%
Kai Klefisch7%
Marcel Hoffmeier3%
Jonas Carls0%
Jasper van der Werff0%
Marcel Mehlem0%
Leopold Zingerle0%
Uwe Hünemeier0%
Tobias Müller0%
Jannik Huth0%
Sebastian Klaas0%
Marco Schuster0%
Kelvin Ofori0%
Richmond Tachie0%
Niclas Tibor Nadj0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tobias Müller25%
Ron Schallenberg24%
Marvin Pieringer22%
Maximilian Rohr21%
Florent Muslija18%
Niclas Tibor Nadj18%
Uwe Hünemeier14%
Marcel Hoffmeier12%
Jonas Carls11%
Marco Schuster11%
Felix Platte8%
Bashir Humphreys8%
Raphael Obermair7%
Kai Klefisch7%
Jannik Huth6%
Dennis Srbeny6%
Sirlord Conteh6%
Julian Justvan6%
Jannis Heuer4%
Jasper van der Werff0%
Marcel Mehlem0%
Leopold Zingerle0%
Robert Leipertz0%
Sebastian Klaas0%
Kelvin Ofori0%
Richmond Tachie0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sebastian Klaas40%
Marvin Pieringer30%
Florent Muslija18%
Julian Justvan18%
Raphael Obermair17%
Jonas Carls11%
Sirlord Conteh9%
Niclas Tibor Nadj9%
Felix Platte8%
Maximilian Rohr8%
Bashir Humphreys8%
Kai Klefisch7%
Dennis Srbeny6%
Jannis Heuer4%
Robert Leipertz3%
Marcel Hoffmeier3%
Ron Schallenberg3%
Jasper van der Werff0%
Marcel Mehlem0%
Leopold Zingerle0%
Uwe Hünemeier0%
Tobias Müller0%
Jannik Huth0%
Marco Schuster0%
Kelvin Ofori0%
Richmond Tachie0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marvin Pieringer43%
Florent Muslija33%
Felix Platte21%
Robert Leipertz17%
Julian Justvan15%
Dennis Srbeny9%
Sirlord Conteh9%
Kai Klefisch7%
Uwe Hünemeier5%
Ron Schallenberg3%
Jonas Carls0%
Jasper van der Werff0%
Raphael Obermair0%
Marcel Mehlem0%
Leopold Zingerle0%
Tobias Müller0%
Jannik Huth0%
Sebastian Klaas0%
Marco Schuster0%
Marcel Hoffmeier0%
Maximilian Rohr0%
Kelvin Ofori0%
Richmond Tachie0%
Jannis Heuer0%
Niclas Tibor Nadj0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Heidenheim
Hamburger SV
SV Darmstadt 98
Fortuna Düsseldorf
FC St. Pauli
Karlsruher SC
Hannover 96
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Magdeburg
Hansa Rostock
1. FC Kaiserslautern
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Nürnberg
Arminia Bielefeld
Eintracht Braunschweig
Jahn Regensburg
SV Sandhausen
SV Wehen