This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.17
1.27
1.33
0.73
1.00
vs Stronger (19)
0.89
1.16
1.22
1.56
0.60
0.80
vs Similar (11)
1.18
1.18
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
56.5%
Under 1.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
28.3%
@ 2.64-7.5%
Under 2.5
71.7%
@ 1.47+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
11.7%
Under 3.5
88.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
37.7%
No
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
17.1%
1-1
14.8%
0-1
13.4%
1-0
13.0%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-1
6.1%
Reggiana goals ↓
Cosenza goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
17%
13%
6.9%
2.2%
0.5%
1
13%
15%
6.3%
2.0%
0.5%
2
6.6%
6.1%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
3
2.0%
1.9%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Reggiana goals (down), columns = Cosenza goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Parma
2.00
Como
1.92
Venezia
1.90
Cremonese
1.71
Catanzaro
1.51
Sampdoria
1.46
Palermo
1.44
Brescia
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.24
Modena
1.24
Reggiana
1.24
Cittadella
1.21
Pisa
1.21
Spezia
1.16
Bari
1.12
Ternana
1.10
Ascoli
1.08
FeralpiSalo
0.87
Lecco
0.68
Reggiana and Cosenza are level in average points per game (both 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Venezia
1.74
Parma
1.74
Palermo
1.59
Catanzaro
1.56
Como
1.53
Sampdoria
1.36
Pisa
1.34
Cremonese
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.21
Brescia
1.18
FeralpiSalo
1.16
Ternana
1.10
Modena
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Bari
1.05
Ascoli
1.00
Reggiana
1.00
Spezia
0.95
Lecco
0.92
Reggiana is 0.24 goals worse than Cosenza in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.86
Parma
0.92
Como
1.05
Brescia
1.08
Cosenza
1.11
Ascoli
1.11
Venezia
1.12
Reggiana
1.18
Cittadella
1.24
Modena
1.24
Bari
1.25
Sudtirol
1.26
Spezia
1.29
Sampdoria
1.33
Ternana
1.35
Palermo
1.37
Catanzaro
1.41
Pisa
1.42
FeralpiSalo
1.71
Lecco
1.95
Reggiana is 0.08 goals worse than Cosenza in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Catanzaro
58%
Pisa
56%
Cremonese
56%
Venezia
52%
Reggiana
52%
Como
51%
Spezia
51%
Sampdoria
51%
Parma
50%
Bari
50%
Palermo
50%
Modena
50%
Cosenza
49%
Brescia
48%
Sudtirol
48%
Cittadella
47%
Lecco
47%
FeralpiSalo
45%
Ascoli
45%
Ternana
44%
Reggiana is 2.2 percentage points better than Cosenza in terms of average possession (52% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Reggiana
For 4.2 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.1 · Against 14.7 · Total 29.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cosenza
For 5.5 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 11.6 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Reggiana
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
10.0
9.2
5.4
6.0
4.8
30.0
28.8
31.0
vs Stronger (17)
9.9
9.1
10.4
5.3
6.3
4.6
28.6
27.1
29.7
vs Similar (29)
9.4
10.2
8.5
5.4
5.7
5.0
30.7
29.8
31.7
vs Weaker (4)
9.2
11.0
7.5
5.8
7.0
4.5
30.0
27.5
32.5
% over line
50%
58%
42%
76%
83%
69%
94%
96%
92%
% under line
50%
42%
58%
24%
17%
31%
6%
4%
8%
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.6
10.3
4.3
4.2
4.4
27.2
26.2
28.4
vs Stronger (30)
9.5
9.4
9.5
4.5
4.4
4.7
28.0
26.6
29.3
vs Similar (20)
10.8
9.9
12.0
4.0
4.1
3.8
25.9
25.6
26.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
41%
62%
60%
64%
56%
79%
82%
75%
% under line
48%
59%
38%
40%
36%
44%
21%
18%
25%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Parma
10.4
Venezia
10.4
Ternana
10.4
Palermo
10.0
Cremonese
9.9
Brescia
9.9
Modena
9.8
Bari
9.8
Spezia
9.7
Lecco
9.6
Cosenza
9.6
Pisa
9.6
Reggiana
9.5
FeralpiSalo
9.5
Ascoli
9.4
Como
9.3
Catanzaro
9.1
Cittadella
9.0
Sampdoria
8.7
Sudtirol
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cosenza
6.3
Pisa
6.3
Cittadella
5.9
Spezia
5.8
Modena
5.8
Lecco
5.7
Sampdoria
5.6
Ascoli
5.6
Bari
5.5
Sudtirol
5.5
Parma
5.4
Catanzaro
5.4
Reggiana
5.4
Cremonese
5.3
FeralpiSalo
5.2
Palermo
5.1
Como
5.1
Brescia
5.0
Venezia
5.0
Ternana
4.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cittadella
32.2
Ascoli
31.8
Sampdoria
30.2
Sudtirol
30.1
Reggiana
30.0
Spezia
29.5
Palermo
29.5
Bari
29.4
Como
29.2
Catanzaro
28.9
Pisa
28.6
Modena
28.5
Brescia
28.1
Lecco
28.1
Cosenza
27.5
Cremonese
27.4
Ternana
27.3
Parma
27.2
FeralpiSalo
26.6
Venezia
25.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.6%
Under 9.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
87.1%
Under 3.5
12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.3%
Under 21.5
10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Reggiana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.47
0.40
0.40
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
0.50
0.80
0.40
0.80
0.60
vs Similar (16)
0.19
0.56
0.12
0.50
0.25
0.62
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.43
0.67
0.47
0.40
0.40
vs Stronger (19)
0.42
0.47
0.56
0.67
0.30
0.30
vs Similar (11)
0.73
0.36
0.83
0.17
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Reggiana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Reggiana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.47
0.67
0.67
0.53
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.60
0.40
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.69
0.50
0.75
0.75
0.62
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.73
0.60
0.87
0.33
0.60
vs Stronger (19)
0.47
0.68
0.67
0.89
0.30
0.50
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.82
0.50
0.83
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Reggiana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5
71.7%
1.47
-
-
-
-
-
+7.5%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Reggiana
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luca Vido33%
Natan Girma19%
Cedric Gondo16%
Janis Antiste14%
Manolo Portanova14%
Eric Lanini12%
Edoardo Pieragnolo12%
Stefano Pettinari11%
Alessandro Bianco6%
Luca Cigarini5%
Paolo Rozzio4%
Elvis Kabashi4%
Filippo Melegoni4%
Riccardo Fiamozzi3%
Alessandro Marcandalli3%
Tobías Reinhart0%
Giacomo Satalino0%
Filippo Romagna0%
Filippo Nardi0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Marko Pajač0%
Francesco Bardi0%
Przemysław Szymiński0%
Álex Blanco0%
Domen Črnigoj0%
Orji Okwonkwo0%
Lorenzo Libutti0%
Jacopo Da Riva0%
Muhamed Varela Djamanca0%
Antonio Vergara0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luca Cigarini43%
Alessandro Bianco43%
Elvis Kabashi31%
Natan Girma31%
Paolo Rozzio25%
Edoardo Pieragnolo24%
Manolo Portanova22%
Domen Črnigoj19%
Cedric Gondo16%
Filippo Romagna15%
Przemysław Szymiński14%
Alessandro Marcandalli14%
Antonio Vergara14%
Mario Sampirisi12%
Filippo Melegoni11%
Lorenzo Libutti11%
Filippo Nardi8%
Janis Antiste7%
Riccardo Fiamozzi7%
Francesco Bardi7%
Muhamed Varela Djamanca4%
Tobías Reinhart0%
Giacomo Satalino0%
Stefano Pettinari0%
Marko Pajač0%
Luca Vido0%
Eric Lanini0%
Álex Blanco0%
Orji Okwonkwo0%
Jacopo Da Riva0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Riccardo Fiamozzi10%
Edoardo Pieragnolo9%
Manolo Portanova8%
Filippo Romagna8%
Mario Sampirisi8%
Elvis Kabashi8%
Domen Črnigoj6%
Stefano Pettinari5%
Luca Cigarini5%
Muhamed Varela Djamanca4%
Natan Girma4%
Filippo Melegoni4%
Janis Antiste4%
Alessandro Marcandalli3%
Alessandro Bianco3%
Tobías Reinhart0%
Giacomo Satalino0%
Filippo Nardi0%
Marko Pajač0%
Francesco Bardi0%
Luca Vido0%
Przemysław Szymiński0%
Eric Lanini0%
Álex Blanco0%
Orji Okwonkwo0%
Lorenzo Libutti0%
Cedric Gondo0%
Paolo Rozzio0%
Jacopo Da Riva0%
Antonio Vergara0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cedric Gondo13%
Manolo Portanova8%
Elvis Kabashi8%
Janis Antiste7%
Luca Cigarini5%
Paolo Rozzio4%
Natan Girma4%
Tobías Reinhart0%
Giacomo Satalino0%
Filippo Romagna0%
Filippo Nardi0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Stefano Pettinari0%
Marko Pajač0%
Francesco Bardi0%
Luca Vido0%
Filippo Melegoni0%
Przemysław Szymiński0%
Riccardo Fiamozzi0%
Eric Lanini0%
Álex Blanco0%
Domen Črnigoj0%
Orji Okwonkwo0%
Lorenzo Libutti0%
Jacopo Da Riva0%
Muhamed Varela Djamanca0%
Alessandro Marcandalli0%
Alessandro Bianco0%
Edoardo Pieragnolo0%
Antonio Vergara0%
Cosenza
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gennaro Tutino46%
Alessandro Arioli25%
Gianluca Frabotta20%
Massimo Zilli17%
Simone Mazzocchi11%
Francesco Forte10%
Idriz Voca9%
Mirko Antonucci8%
Michael Venturi7%
Manuel Marras6%
Michele Camporese5%
Valerio Crespi5%
Luigi Canotto4%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Giacomo Calò3%
Christian D'Urso0%
Bright Gyamfi0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mattia Viviani0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Andrea Rispoli0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Aldo Florenzi0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Pietro Martino0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Michael Venturi50%
Tommaso D'Orazio44%
Mateusz Praszelik42%
Alessandro Fontanarosa33%
Aldo Florenzi29%
Mattia Viviani27%
Gianluca Frabotta27%
Michele Camporese26%
Alessandro Arioli25%
Federico Zuccon24%
Gennaro Tutino23%
Manuel Marras21%
Alessandro Micai19%
Giacomo Calò19%
Bright Gyamfi18%
Luigi Canotto17%
Idriz Voca15%
Simone Mazzocchi14%
Francesco Forte13%
Filippo Sgarbi12%
Baldovino Cimino12%
Pietro Martino10%
Andrea Meroni9%
Mirko Antonucci8%
Valerio Crespi5%
Christian D'Urso0%
Andrea Rispoli0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian D'Urso33%
Giacomo Calò22%
Manuel Marras18%
Federico Zuccon10%
Bright Gyamfi9%
Simone Mazzocchi9%
Gennaro Tutino9%
Tommaso D'Orazio8%
Mirko Antonucci8%
Andrea Rispoli8%
Gianluca Frabotta7%
Baldovino Cimino6%
Idriz Voca6%
Aldo Florenzi4%
Francesco Forte3%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mattia Viviani0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Luigi Canotto0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Arioli0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Valerio Crespi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gennaro Tutino31%
Simone Mazzocchi14%
Francesco Forte13%
Gianluca Frabotta7%
Valerio Crespi5%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Aldo Florenzi4%
Giacomo Calò3%
Manuel Marras3%
Christian D'Urso0%
Bright Gyamfi0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mattia Viviani0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Mirko Antonucci0%
Andrea Rispoli0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Luigi Canotto0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Idriz Voca0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Arioli0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Venezia
Parma
Como
Cremonese
Catanzaro
Palermo
Sampdoria
Brescia
Sudtirol
Modena
Pisa
Cittadella
Bari
Ternana
Spezia
Ascoli
FeralpiSalo
Lecco