Reims are the clear favourite, with the model assigning a 62% chance to a home win, 21% for a draw and 17% for a Guingamp victory. The prediction favours a 2-1 scoreline, the most likely result at 9.7%. The average goal tally is 3.4, so the expected total is three goals, a figure that sits comfortably in the 3-goal bracket. Reims’ home form is strong against weaker opposition, averaging 2.15 goals scored and 1.15 conceded, while Guingamp’s away form is modest, having drawn their last match 3-3 with Nantes. The suggested picks cover a range of outcomes: Away under 2.5 HT goals99.4%, Away under 2.5 2H goals98.0% with a 5% edge, Under 7.597.7%, Away under 3.5 goals97.2% with a 6% edge, Under 6.594.3% with a 1% edge, Home +2 handicap93.4% with a 5% edge, Away under 1.5 HT goals93.2% with a 5% edge, and Over 19.5 fouls93.0%. The model’s focus on Reims’ dominant home performance and Guingamp’s recent defensive fragility explains the high probability for a 2-1 home win.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Reims win
61.1%
Avg Implied 51.8% · @ 1.79
Edge
+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.84
Betano
1.83
Dafabet
1.82
Betfair
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Draw
21.3%
Avg Implied 25.6% · @ 3.63
Edge
-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.84
Betfair
3.80
1xBet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.75
Unibet
3.70
Guingamp win
17.6%
Avg Implied 22.6% · @ 4.10
Edge
-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
4.35
Unibet
4.30
Dafabet
4.30
Pinnacle
4.23
Marathonbet
4.20
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Reims
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
0.83
2.07
1.07
1.38
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.60
0.80
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (25)
1.92
0.84
2.15
1.15
1.67
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Guingamp) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Guingamp
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.27
1.07
1.07
1.38
1.44
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
0.50
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.26
1.22
1.17
0.92
1.33
1.47
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Reims) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.9%
@ 1.20+8.3%
Under 1.5
14.1%
@ 4.15-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.33
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
Betano
4.15
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65.5%
@ 1.69+10.0%
Under 2.5
34.5%
@ 2.11-10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.73
Unibet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.72
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Under
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Marathonbet
2.19
Pinnacle
2.14
10Bet
2.10
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
43.5%
@ 2.70+8.9%
Under 3.5
56.5%
@ 1.43-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Unibet
2.88
Pinnacle
2.78
BetVictor
2.75
10Bet
2.70
Under
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Both teams to score
Yes
61.6%
@ 1.62+4.3%
No
38.4%
@ 2.17-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.66
Betfair
1.65
Bet365
1.62
BetVictor
1.62
William Hil
1.62
No
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.21
Betfair
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.8%@ 7.67+3.9%
1-1
9.6%@ 6.72+2.9%
2-0
8.5%@ 9.06+3.6%
3-1
7.2%@ 12.35+3.6%
1-0
6.8%@ 7.89+1.1%
3-0
6.4%@ 14.51+3.3%
2-2
5.6%@ 12.17+1.9%
1-2
5.0%@ 12.53+1.4%
Reims goals ↓
Guingamp goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.3%
3.0%
2.2%
0.9%
0.2%
1
6.8%
9.6%
5.0%
1.9%
0.5%
2
8.5%
9.8%
5.6%
2.1%
0.6%
3
6.4%
7.2%
4.1%
1.6%
0.4%
4
3.5%
4.0%
2.3%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Reims goals (down), columns = Guingamp goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Nantes
1.92
Saint Etienne
1.75
Rodez
1.67
Reims
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Metz
1.64
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Sochaux
1.11
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Dijon
1.03
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Reims is 0.56 points better than Guingamp in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nantes
1.80
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
Metz
1.54
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Clermont Foot
1.11
Sochaux
1.05
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Dijon
0.97
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Reims is 0.33 goals better than Guingamp in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 1.22).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Nantes
0.85
Montpellier
0.92
Metz
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Sochaux
1.47
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
Dijon
1.58
PAU
1.81
Reims is 0.53 goals better than Guingamp in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.56).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Reims is 1.3 percentage points better than Guingamp in terms of average possession (58% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Reims
For 3.6 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 13.8 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Guingamp
For 4.2 · Against 3.3 · Total 7.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 17.0 · Total 29.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Reims
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
7.9
9.3
3.9
4.4
3.5
24.4
24.2
24.6
vs Stronger (1)
11.0
-
11.0
0.0
-
0.0
14.0
-
14.0
vs Similar (11)
9.5
8.5
10.1
3.5
4.8
2.9
25.8
25.2
26.1
vs Weaker (38)
8.3
7.7
8.9
4.1
4.3
3.9
24.2
23.9
24.6
% over line
40%
32%
46%
50%
59%
43%
71%
59%
81%
% under line
60%
68%
54%
50%
41%
57%
29%
41%
19%
This opponent (Guingamp) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Guingamp
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.6
8.5
4.2
4.5
3.9
27.7
27.2
28.2
vs Stronger (5)
9.2
10.0
8.0
4.6
4.7
4.5
24.4
25.7
22.5
vs Similar (43)
9.0
9.6
8.5
4.3
4.5
4.0
28.0
27.4
28.7
vs Weaker (2)
9.0
9.0
-
1.5
3.0
0.0
28.0
28.0
-
% over line
32%
38%
26%
60%
67%
54%
85%
83%
87%
% under line
68%
62%
74%
40%
33%
46%
15%
17%
13%
This opponent (Reims) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Laval
10.2
Rodez
10.0
Metz
9.5
Grenoble
9.5
PAU
9.4
Saint Etienne
9.4
Montpellier
9.4
Nancy
9.4
Dijon
9.3
Clermont Foot
9.2
Nantes
9.2
Sochaux
9.2
Guingamp
9.1
Reims
8.6
Annecy
8.6
Boulogne
8.5
Dunkerque
8.4
RED Star FC 93
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Guingamp
4.6
Nantes
4.4
Boulogne
4.4
PAU
4.4
Sochaux
4.2
Annecy
4.2
Montpellier
4.2
Reims
4.1
Rodez
4.1
Laval
4.0
Nancy
4.0
RED Star FC 93
4.0
Dunkerque
4.0
Metz
3.8
Clermont Foot
3.8
Grenoble
3.8
Dijon
3.8
Saint Etienne
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Montpellier
29.8
Nancy
29.1
Boulogne
28.3
Laval
28.3
Annecy
28.3
Guingamp
27.6
Dijon
27.6
Clermont Foot
26.7
Nantes
26.7
RED Star FC 93
26.7
Saint Etienne
26.3
Sochaux
26.1
Dunkerque
25.8
Grenoble
25.8
Rodez
25.7
PAU
25.6
Reims
24.6
Metz
23.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
34.2%
@ 2.35-5.1%
Under 9.5
65.8%
@ 1.51+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.47
1xBet
2.47
Betano
2.45
Unibet
2.00
Under
Unibet
1.68
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
64.1%
Under 3.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.5%
Under 21.5
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Reims or Draw
82.4%
Avg Implied 77.5% · @ 1.21
Edge
+5.0%
61%
21%
18%
covers Reims + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.24
William Hil
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Reims or Guingamp
78.7%
Avg Implied 75.0% · @ 1.25
Edge
+3.7%
61%
21%
18%
covers Reims + Guingamp
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Draw or Guingamp
38.9%
Avg Implied 47.5% · @ 1.97
Edge
-8.6%
61%
21%
18%
covers Draw + Guingamp
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.02
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
1xBet
1.99
Unibet
1.95
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Reims over/under 0.5
Over
89.3%
@ 1.13+7.4%
Under
10.7%
@ 5.11-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Under
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
1xBet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Reims over/under 1.5
Over
65.3%
@ 1.72+11.1%
Under
34.7%
@ 2.03-11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.80
10Bet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
BetVictor
1.73
Betano
1.72
Under
Betfair
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.01
Reims over/under 2.5
Over
38.5%
@ 3.26+10.1%
Under
61.5%
@ 1.30-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.50
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Unibet
3.25
Under
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Reims over/under 3.5
Over
18.7%
@ 6.90+5.2%
Under
81.3%
@ 1.07-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Guingamp over/under 0.5
Over
68.1%
@ 1.39+1.4%
Under
31.9%
@ 2.78-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.43
Unibet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Betano
1.39
Under
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.87
Marathonbet
2.80
10Bet
2.80
1xBet
2.80
Guingamp over/under 1.5
Over
31.6%
@ 2.97+0.3%
Under
68.4%
@ 1.35-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.19
Unibet
3.10
Bet365
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Marathonbet
2.91
Under
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Guingamp over/under 2.5
Over
10.8%
@ 7.31-1.9%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.07+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.50
BetVictor
7.00
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.06
Guingamp over/under 3.5
Over
2.9%
@ 17.38-2.6%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.01+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Reims, so a minus line means Reims give that many goals of a start and Guingamp receive them. At -1, Reims must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Reims win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Reims)
Reims -2
20.9%
@ 5.97+6.0%
Draw -2
18.5%
@ 4.96+0.6%
Guingamp +2
60.6%
@ 1.33-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
5.60
Marathonbet
5.50
Draw
Marathonbet
5.20
10Bet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.60
Away
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Handicap -1 (Reims)
Reims -1
39.4%
@ 2.99+9.4%
Draw -1
21.7%
@ 3.65-2.9%
Guingamp +1
38.9%
@ 1.97-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.88
Unibet
2.85
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.72
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Unibet
3.40
Away
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
10Bet
1.95
Betfair
1.91
Handicap +1 (Reims)
Reims +1
82.4%
@ 1.20+7.5%
Draw +1
10.7%
@ 5.91-4.6%
Guingamp -1
6.9%
@ 9.14-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
Unibet
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Away
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
8.70
Unibet
8.50
10Bet
8.50
Handicap +2 (Reims)
Reims +2
93.1%
@ 1.05+4.0%
Draw +2
4.9%
@ 13.00-2.4%
Guingamp -2
2.0%
@ 26.00-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
13.00
Away
Bet365
26.00
Betfair
26.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Reims
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.40
1.07
0.36
0.56
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.00
0.40
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (25)
0.96
0.40
1.15
0.38
0.75
0.42
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Guingamp) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Guingamp
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.64
0.50
0.62
0.88
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.50
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.67
0.63
0.75
0.33
0.60
0.87
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Reims) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.9%
@ 1.31+4.1%
Under 0.5
25.1%
@ 3.19-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.30
William Hil
3.30
1xBet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.15
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.5%
@ 2.46+0.7%
Under 1.5
61.5%
@ 1.49-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.57
Pinnacle
2.56
Betfair
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Unibet
2.48
Under
Betano
1.52
BetVictor
1.50
William Hil
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.2%
@ 5.85-0.6%
Under 2.5
84.8%
@ 1.10+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Betano
5.60
1xBet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Reims over/under 0.5 HT
Over
61.3%
@ 1.68+6.0%
Under
38.7%
@ 2.07-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.68
10Bet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Under
Pinnacle
2.14
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
Reims over/under 1.5 HT
Over
22.6%
@ 4.29+1.1%
Under
77.4%
@ 1.18-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Betano
4.25
1xBet
4.20
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Reims over/under 2.5 HT
Over
7.7%
@ 10.38-1.3%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.02+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
11.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Guingamp over/under 0.5 HT
Over
36.8%
@ 2.38-2.0%
Under
63.2%
@ 1.51+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.49
Betano
2.40
Unibet
2.40
10Bet
2.35
1xBet
2.34
Under
10Bet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Guingamp over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.4%
@ 8.12-4.0%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.04+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.60
1xBet
8.30
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Guingamp over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Reims
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.43
1.00
0.71
0.81
0.19
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.60
0.40
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (25)
0.96
0.44
1.00
0.77
0.92
0.08
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Guingamp) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Guingamp
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.43
0.57
0.75
0.56
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.59
0.42
0.58
0.73
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Reims) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
83.4%
@ 1.17+4.4%
Under 0.5
16.6%
@ 4.42-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Under
1xBet
4.55
Marathonbet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.50
William Hil
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
52.4%
@ 1.87+2.7%
Under 1.5
47.6%
@ 1.84-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.92
William Hil
1.91
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Under
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.89
Bet365
1.83
William Hil
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
22.6%
@ 3.63-3.0%
Under 2.5
77.4%
@ 1.25+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.90
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Reims over/under 0.5 2H
Over
72.6%
@ 1.46+9.1%
Under
27.4%
@ 2.54-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Under
Betano
2.57
10Bet
2.55
1xBet
2.50
Reims over/under 1.5 2H
Over
35.3%
@ 3.15+5.9%
Under
64.7%
@ 1.31-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.25
1xBet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.08
Betano
3.05
Under
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Reims over/under 2.5 2H
Over
11.7%
@ 7.83-0.2%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.05+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.50
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Guingamp over/under 0.5 2H
Over
41.4%
@ 1.93-6.7%
Under
58.6%
@ 1.78+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.93
10Bet
1.90
Betano
1.88
Under
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.73
Guingamp over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.6%
@ 5.71-4.5%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.10+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.10
Marathonbet
6.05
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Guingamp over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.9%
@ 15.12-4.4%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.4%
Under 7.5
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+2.6%
Under 6.5
94.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-0.4%
Home +2 handicap
93.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
-
-
-
+4.0%
Over 19.5 fouls
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.6%
1.04
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
+4.0%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
92.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+1.3%
Home over 0.5 goals
89.3%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Betfair
1.13
+7.4%
Away under 2.5 goals
89.2%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.06
+1.9%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.4%
1.10
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-
+4.5%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
88.3%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+0.2%
Under 5.5
87.4%
1.04
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
-2.5%
Over 1.5
85.9%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
+8.3%
Over 21.5 fouls
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
85.2%
1.15
Unibet
1.23
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-
+5.6%
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.8%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
+0.6%
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.4%
1.17
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
+4.4%
Home or Draw
82.4%
1.21
Betano
1.24
William Hil
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
+5.0%
Home +1 handicap
82.4%
1.20
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
+7.5%
Over 2.5 cards
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
81.3%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-5.2%
Home or Away
78.7%
1.25
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
+3.7%
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.4%
1.25
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
+3.0%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
77.4%
1.18
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-1.1%
Under 10.5 corners
76.8%
1.29
Unibet
1.40
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
-
+5.5%
Under 4.5
74.9%
1.15
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
-6.4%
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.9%
1.31
Betano
1.38
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
+4.1%
Over 23.5 fouls
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 2H goals
72.6%
1.46
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
-
-
+9.1%
Under 5.5 cards
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Reims
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Quentin Paris33%
Youssef El Kachati25%
Sambou Soumano25%
Samuel Kotto25%
Yaya Fofana25%
Ange Tia25%
Mohamed Daramy0%
Theo Leoni0%
Tom Hülsmann0%
Daouda Guindo0%
N'Tamon Elie Ahouonon0%
Jean Mambuku0%
Amine Kashi0%
John Otomewo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daouda Guindo50%
Quentin Paris33%
Youssef El Kachati25%
Samuel Kotto25%
N'Tamon Elie Ahouonon25%
Mohamed Daramy0%
Sambou Soumano0%
Theo Leoni0%
Tom Hülsmann0%
Yaya Fofana0%
Ange Tia0%
Jean Mambuku0%
Amine Kashi0%
John Otomewo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daouda Guindo75%
Amine Kashi33%
Mohamed Daramy0%
Youssef El Kachati0%
Sambou Soumano0%
Theo Leoni0%
Tom Hülsmann0%
Samuel Kotto0%
Yaya Fofana0%
Ange Tia0%
N'Tamon Elie Ahouonon0%
Quentin Paris0%
Jean Mambuku0%
John Otomewo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yaya Fofana25%
Mohamed Daramy0%
Youssef El Kachati0%
Sambou Soumano0%
Theo Leoni0%
Tom Hülsmann0%
Daouda Guindo0%
Samuel Kotto0%
Ange Tia0%
N'Tamon Elie Ahouonon0%
Quentin Paris0%
Jean Mambuku0%
Amine Kashi0%
John Otomewo0%
Guingamp
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Donatien Gomis25%
Albin Demouchy25%
Stanislas Kielt25%
Samir Ben Brahim25%
Erwin Koffi0%
Tom Ducrocq0%
Dylan Louiserre0%
Teddy Averlant0%
Adrián Ortolá0%
Florent Sanchez Da Silva0%
Amine Hemia0%
Amadou Samoura0%
Vimoj Muntu0%
Tanguy Ahile0%
Jérémie Matumona0%
Jasser Chamakh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Donatien Gomis50%
Albin Demouchy50%
Tom Ducrocq25%
Dylan Louiserre25%
Adrián Ortolá25%
Jasser Chamakh25%
Erwin Koffi0%
Teddy Averlant0%
Florent Sanchez Da Silva0%
Amine Hemia0%
Amadou Samoura0%
Stanislas Kielt0%
Vimoj Muntu0%
Tanguy Ahile0%
Jérémie Matumona0%
Samir Ben Brahim0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Amine Hemia33%
Jérémie Matumona33%
Teddy Averlant25%
Erwin Koffi0%
Tom Ducrocq0%
Dylan Louiserre0%
Donatien Gomis0%
Adrián Ortolá0%
Florent Sanchez Da Silva0%
Albin Demouchy0%
Amadou Samoura0%
Stanislas Kielt0%
Vimoj Muntu0%
Tanguy Ahile0%
Samir Ben Brahim0%
Jasser Chamakh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stanislas Kielt50%
Teddy Averlant25%
Erwin Koffi0%
Tom Ducrocq0%
Dylan Louiserre0%
Donatien Gomis0%
Adrián Ortolá0%
Florent Sanchez Da Silva0%
Amine Hemia0%
Albin Demouchy0%
Amadou Samoura0%
Vimoj Muntu0%
Tanguy Ahile0%
Jérémie Matumona0%
Samir Ben Brahim0%
Jasser Chamakh0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (30)
€93m
NAN (25)
€82m
REI (30)
€72m
MET (26)
€43m
MON (24)
€29m
ROD (23)
€15m
CF (21)
€15m
RSF (22)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
LAV (24)
€9m
BOU (23)
€8m
SOC (20)
€7m
DIJ (20)
€5m
Reims's squad is €61m more valuable than Guingamp's (€72m vs €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (10)
€54m
REI (12)
€38m
NAN (8)
€31m
MET (11)
€17m
MON (9)
€11m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
RSF (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
BOU (6)
€2m
CF (5)
€2m
LAV (7)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€1m
Reims's attack is €35m more valuable than Guingamp's (€38m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
REI (6)
€13m
SE (7)
€11m
MON (5)
€6m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
RSF (5)
€3m
ANN (6)
€3m
LAV (7)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
BOU (6)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
PAU (4)
€2m
DIJ (6)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
Reims's midfield is €8m more valuable than Guingamp's (€13m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (10)
€34m
SE (13)
€28m
REI (12)
€21m
MON (10)
€12m
CF (12)
€10m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
RSF (11)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
LAV (10)
€4m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
BOU (11)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
DIJ (7)
€2m
Reims's defence is €18m more valuable than Guingamp's (€21m vs €3m).
France: Ligue 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Saint Etienne
Montpellier
Rodez
Nancy
Annecy
Metz
RED Star FC 93
Sochaux
Dunkerque
PAU
Grenoble
Laval
Boulogne
Clermont Foot
Dijon
Nantes