Rennes are tipped to win the match against Le Mans, with a 51 % chance of a home victory, a 26 % chance of a draw and a 23 % chance of an away win. The model expects 2.9 goals in total, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1 at 12.1 %. Rennes, playing at home against a weaker opponent, average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Le Mans, on the road, has shown a solid defensive record. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.7 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.9 %), Away under 3.5 goals (97.1 %), Under 6.5 (97.1 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (94.1 %), Away under 1.5 HT goals (92.8 % with a 2 % edge) and Under 5.5 (92.4 % with a 4 % edge). Rennes’ recent form shows a draw after a 2-2 draw with Paris Saint Germain, while Le Mans remain unbeaten in their last five, also ending 2-2 against Stade Brestois 29.
Results analysis
The Pythia model’s forecast proved spot on, with Rennes securing a 3-2 victory over Le Mans, extending their recent win streak. The model had named a home win as the favourite, assigning a 52% probability, and this call was correct. The predicted total of 2.9 goals materialised in a 5-goal match, well above the most likely 2-goal outcome. Every suggested pick from the model hit: Under 7.5 (99%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.9%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.2%), Under 6.5 (97%), Away under 1.5 HT goals (92.6%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (92.3%), and Under 5.5 (92.3%). The selections performed consistently, confirming the model’s accuracy across the board.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rennes win✓ Hit
51.9%
Avg Implied 66.8% · @ 1.42
Edge
-14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Dafabet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Draw✗ Miss
25.3%
Avg Implied 19.6% · @ 4.85
Edge
+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
5.08
Pinnacle
5.06
Superbet
5.00
Dafabet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Le Mans win✗ Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied 13.6% · @ 6.97
Edge
+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
7.50
BetVictor
7.50
1xBet
7.41
Marathonbet
7.30
10Bet
7.30
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Rennes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.47
1.93
1.07
1.80
1.87
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
2.67
2.50
1.50
0.00
5.00
vs Similar (20)
1.95
1.60
2.00
1.25
1.92
1.83
vs Weaker (7)
1.71
0.57
1.60
0.60
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Le Mans) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Le Mans
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.83
1.14
0.36
1.56
1.25
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
2.00
1.50
1.50
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.40
0.64
1.08
0.17
1.69
1.08
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.50
-
-
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Rennes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.1%
@ 1.16-0.9%
Under 1.5
19.9%
@ 4.91+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Under
Unibet
5.30
Superbet
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.0%
@ 1.55-4.7%
Under 2.5
44.0%
@ 2.40+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
10Bet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Under
Pinnacle
2.50
Unibet
2.48
Superbet
2.45
Betfair
2.45
Betano
2.42
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.6%
@ 2.40-5.9%
Under 3.5
66.4%
@ 1.57+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.47
Pinnacle
2.46
1xBet
2.46
Betfair
2.45
Superbet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Superbet
1.58
Unibet
1.58
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.6%
@ 1.73+3.6%
No
42.4%
@ 2.03-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.75
Betfair
1.75
Bet365
1.75
10Bet
1.73
No
William Hil
2.15
Unibet
2.05
Superbet
2.05
Betano
2.02
1xBet
2.02
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%@ 8.62+6.7%
2-1
9.8%@ 7.55+3.8%
2-0
8.6%@ 7.42+2.6%
1-0
8.5%@ 7.91+2.8%
0-0
6.4%@ 15.18+3.5%
1-2
6.2%@ 18.04+3.7%
3-1
5.9%@ 10.04+1.4%
2-2
5.5%@ 15.08+2.5%
Rennes goals ↓
Le Mans goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.4%
5.0%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
1
8.5%
12%
6.2%
2.3%
0.7%
2
8.6%
9.8%
5.5%
2.1%
0.6%
3
5.2%
5.9%
3.3%
1.2%
0.4%
4
2.3%
2.6%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rennes goals (down), columns = Le Mans goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.24
Lens
2.06
Lille
1.79
Lyon
1.76
Marseille
1.74
Rennes
1.74
Monaco
1.59
Strasbourg
1.56
Toulouse
1.33
Lorient
1.32
Paris FC
1.29
Stade Brestois 29
1.15
Angers
1.06
Estac Troyes
1.04
Le Havre
1.03
Auxerre
1.00
Nice
1.00
Le Mans
0.83
Rennes is 0.91 points better than Le Mans in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 0.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.18
Lens
1.94
Marseille
1.85
Monaco
1.76
Rennes
1.74
Strasbourg
1.71
Lyon
1.56
Lille
1.53
Toulouse
1.42
Lorient
1.41
Paris FC
1.38
Stade Brestois 29
1.26
Nice
1.14
Estac Troyes
1.11
Auxerre
1.00
Le Havre
0.94
Le Mans
0.88
Angers
0.85
Rennes is 0.85 goals better than Le Mans in terms of goals scored per game (1.74 vs 0.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Paris Saint Germain
0.85
Lens
1.03
Lille
1.09
Lyon
1.18
Le Havre
1.29
Auxerre
1.29
Marseille
1.32
Strasbourg
1.38
Toulouse
1.39
Angers
1.41
Rennes
1.47
Paris FC
1.47
Lorient
1.50
Monaco
1.59
Stade Brestois 29
1.62
Nice
1.69
Estac Troyes
1.85
Le Mans
2.32
Rennes is 0.85 goals better than Le Mans in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 2.32).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Paris Saint Germain
69%
Marseille
57%
Lille
56%
Lyon
55%
Monaco
54%
Strasbourg
54%
Rennes
54%
Lens
51%
Paris FC
50%
Le Havre
47%
Nice
47%
Lorient
45%
Auxerre
44%
Stade Brestois 29
43%
Toulouse
42%
Angers
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rennes
For 7.0 · Against 4.3 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 11.1 · Total 23.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Le Mans
For 4.9 · Against 2.8 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.1 · Against 9.9 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rennes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
11.1
9.8
3.9
4.0
3.8
23.8
23.8
23.8
vs Stronger (4)
10.5
9.3
14.0
3.2
3.0
4.0
15.8
16.3
14.0
vs Similar (32)
10.0
10.1
10.0
4.2
4.0
4.4
24.2
24.2
24.3
vs Weaker (14)
11.4
14.7
8.9
3.5
4.5
2.8
25.2
26.7
24.1
% over line
62%
75%
50%
58%
62%
54%
64%
67%
62%
% under line
38%
25%
50%
42%
38%
46%
36%
33%
38%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Le Mans
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.8
9.2
3.6
3.2
4.0
27.0
25.6
28.4
vs Stronger (5)
6.0
4.5
7.5
1.6
1.0
2.5
21.2
21.5
21.0
vs Similar (40)
9.8
10.3
9.4
4.1
3.6
4.6
27.5
26.1
28.9
vs Weaker (5)
9.0
-
9.0
1.6
0.0
2.0
34.0
-
34.0
% over line
56%
62%
50%
52%
50%
54%
86%
81%
91%
% under line
44%
38%
50%
48%
50%
46%
14%
19%
9%
This opponent (Rennes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Nice
10.6
Rennes
10.4
Lens
10.3
Auxerre
10.0
Lyon
9.9
Stade Brestois 29
9.7
Lille
9.5
Monaco
9.5
Paris FC
9.4
Paris Saint Germain
9.3
Toulouse
9.3
Angers
9.2
Le Mans
9.1
Marseille
9.0
Le Havre
9.0
Strasbourg
8.9
Lorient
8.9
Estac Troyes
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Auxerre
4.8
Lyon
4.6
Marseille
4.5
Lens
4.5
Le Mans
4.5
Lille
4.4
Toulouse
4.4
Rennes
4.3
Monaco
4.3
Strasbourg
4.2
Nice
4.1
Le Havre
4.0
Paris FC
4.0
Lorient
4.0
Estac Troyes
3.9
Stade Brestois 29
3.7
Angers
3.4
Paris Saint Germain
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Le Mans
27.1
Estac Troyes
27.0
Le Havre
26.8
Auxerre
25.7
Toulouse
25.6
Lyon
25.1
Stade Brestois 29
25.0
Lens
24.8
Lille
24.0
Rennes
23.8
Nice
23.6
Monaco
23.5
Strasbourg
23.5
Marseille
23.3
Lorient
22.8
Angers
22.7
Paris FC
22.4
Paris Saint Germain
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.1%
@ 1.72+2.1%
Under 9.5
43.9%
@ 2.02-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.77
Superbet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Under
Betano
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.05
Unibet
2.04
Superbet
2.02
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
61.1%
@ 1.56+1.3%
Under 3.5
38.9%
@ 2.32-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.57
Betano
1.53
Superbet
1.49
Under
Superbet
2.45
Betano
2.40
Pinnacle
2.38
Unibet
2.06
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
68.1%
Under 21.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rennes or Draw✓ Hit
77.2%
Avg Implied 85.8% · @ 1.10
Edge
-8.5%
52%
25%
23%
covers Rennes + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Rennes or Le Mans✓ Hit
74.7%
Avg Implied 80.8% · @ 1.17
Edge
-6.2%
52%
25%
23%
covers Rennes + Le Mans
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Draw or Le Mans✗ Miss
48.1%
Avg Implied 33.4% · @ 2.82
Edge
+14.7%
52%
25%
23%
covers Draw + Le Mans
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
2.93
1xBet
2.92
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.82
BetVictor
2.80
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rennes over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.4%
@ 1.06-3.9%
Under
16.6%
@ 7.35+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Under
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
8.00
1xBet
7.50
Superbet
7.20
Unibet
7.00
Rennes over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
53.6%
@ 1.43-11.8%
Under
46.4%
@ 2.70+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.84
1xBet
2.76
Marathonbet
2.76
BetVictor
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Rennes over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
26.8%
@ 2.36-12.8%
Under
73.2%
@ 1.55+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.45
Betfair
2.40
Betano
2.40
1xBet
2.38
BetVictor
2.38
Under
Pinnacle
1.59
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Rennes over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.8%
@ 4.48-9.9%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.17+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.80
Bet365
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Under
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Le Mans over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.7%
@ 1.57+8.6%
Under
32.3%
@ 2.27-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.62
Superbet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.37
Betano
2.30
Unibet
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.25
Le Mans over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
31.2%
@ 3.82+6.7%
Under
68.8%
@ 1.24-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.05
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.92
Marathonbet
3.92
BetVictor
3.80
Under
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Le Mans over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.6%
@ 10.78+1.9%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.03-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
11.75
1xBet
11.70
Superbet
10.00
Unibet
10.00
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Le Mans over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 26.33-0.9%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.01+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
34.00
Superbet
32.00
Betano
13.00
Under
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Rennes, so a minus line means Rennes give that many goals of a start and Le Mans receive them. At -1, Rennes must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rennes win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rennes)Actual: Le Mans
Rennes -2
13.4%
@ 3.65-11.3%
Draw -2
16.2%
@ 4.19-5.3%
Le Mans +2
70.4%
@ 1.68+16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Superbet
3.65
Unibet
3.55
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
Superbet
4.30
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Away
Superbet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.68
Unibet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Handicap -1 (Rennes)Actual: Draw
Rennes -1
29.6%
@ 2.06-13.9%
Draw -1
22.2%
@ 3.65-2.4%
Le Mans +1
48.1%
@ 2.83+16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
Unibet
2.02
Draw
Superbet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.64
Unibet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Away
Marathonbet
2.93
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.87
10Bet
2.80
Unibet
2.75
Handicap +1 (Rennes)Actual: Rennes
Rennes +1
77.2%
@ 1.09-4.6%
Draw +1
13.6%
@ 7.61+1.8%
Le Mans -1
9.2%
@ 13.97+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
9.00
Unibet
8.00
10Bet
7.50
Marathonbet
4.55
Away
Betfair
18.00
Bet365
17.00
10Bet
15.00
Unibet
13.00
Marathonbet
6.85
Handicap +2 (Rennes)Actual: Rennes
Rennes +2
90.8%
@ 1.01-3.3%
Draw +2
6.4%
@ 22.00+2.1%
Le Mans -2
2.8%
@ 61.00+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
Draw
Betfair
23.00
Bet365
21.00
Away
Betfair
71.00
Bet365
51.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rennes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.57
0.80
0.40
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.67
1.50
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.65
0.75
0.62
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.29
0.60
0.20
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Le Mans) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Le Mans
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.40
0.57
0.14
0.94
0.62
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.28
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.54
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Rennes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.9%
@ 1.26-0.3%
Under 0.5
26.1%
@ 3.62+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
Superbet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.70
BetVictor
3.60
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
38.5%
@ 2.28-2.7%
Under 1.5
61.5%
@ 1.60+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
SBO
2.38
Pinnacle
2.36
1xBet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.35
Under
Superbet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
16.1%
@ 5.13-2.1%
Under 2.5
83.9%
@ 1.15+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
1xBet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.30
Betano
5.10
Under
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rennes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
58.7%
@ 1.49-3.9%
Under
41.3%
@ 2.50+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.51
1xBet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.46
Under
Pinnacle
2.60
10Bet
2.55
Superbet
2.52
1xBet
2.48
Unibet
2.48
Rennes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
26.5%
@ 3.32-1.4%
Under
73.5%
@ 1.28+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.45
Marathonbet
3.40
Unibet
3.35
1xBet
3.30
10Bet
3.25
Under
Superbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Rennes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.7%
@ 8.35-3.4%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.04+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.00
Unibet
8.50
Betano
8.00
Superbet
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Unibet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Le Mans over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
32.9%
@ 2.74-1.1%
Under
67.1%
@ 1.41+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.92
Marathonbet
2.76
Betano
2.72
Unibet
2.70
10Bet
2.70
Under
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Le Mans over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.4%
@ 10.37-1.6%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.03+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.75
1xBet
11.70
Unibet
10.00
Superbet
9.90
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Unibet
1.01
Le Mans over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 45.00-98.9%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
45.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rennes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.90
1.13
0.67
1.07
1.13
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.00
1.00
1.50
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (20)
1.15
0.95
1.25
0.62
1.08
1.17
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
0.29
1.00
0.40
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Le Mans) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Le Mans
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.43
0.57
0.21
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.36
0.58
0.17
0.69
0.54
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Rennes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.9%
@ 1.15+1.7%
Under 0.5
17.1%
@ 5.01-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Under
1xBet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.20
Superbet
5.15
Unibet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
52.6%
@ 1.78-0.3%
Under 1.5
47.4%
@ 2.00+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.83
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Under
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Unibet
2.02
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
24.0%
@ 3.38-3.7%
Under 2.5
76.0%
@ 1.30+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.60
Superbet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.36
1xBet
3.36
Under
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
William Hil
1.29
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rennes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
72.9%
@ 1.32+2.5%
Under
27.1%
@ 3.15-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Under
1xBet
3.20
Betano
3.15
Superbet
3.10
Rennes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
33.4%
@ 2.49-3.8%
Under
66.6%
@ 1.48+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.55
Superbet
2.52
Betano
2.47
1xBet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.46
Under
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Rennes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.8%
@ 5.71-1.5%
Under
85.2%
@ 1.10+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.90
Superbet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Le Mans over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
42.6%
@ 2.27+1.6%
Under
57.4%
@ 1.57-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.28
Marathonbet
2.27
Superbet
2.27
Betano
2.25
Under
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
Le Mans over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.3%
@ 7.55+0.1%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.05-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
8.00
Superbet
7.30
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Le Mans over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 19.75-2.6%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
27.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.0%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.0%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
Betfair
1.01
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.6%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Unibet
1.01
-
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
92.3%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Unibet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.3%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
10Bet
1.07
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
-
-
-3.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
89.4%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
89.2%
1.17
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
+9.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.7%
1.05
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
85.2%
1.10
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
83.9%
1.15
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
+2.1%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
83.4%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
-3.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.9%
1.15
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
82.7%
1.21
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
+5.2%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.1%
1.16
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.4%
1.23
Unibet
1.27
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.18
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
77.2%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
-8.5%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
77.2%
1.09
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
-4.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
76.0%
1.30
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
William Hil
1.29
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
74.7%
1.35
Betano
1.37
Pinnacle
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Unibet
1.30
-
+6.2%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
74.7%
1.17
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
-6.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.9%
1.26
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
73.5%
1.28
Superbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
+1.4%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
73.2%
1.55
Pinnacle
1.59
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.56
+12.8%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 2H goals
72.9%
1.32
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
70.4%
1.68
Superbet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.68
Unibet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.67
+16.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rennes · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Esteban Lepaul49%
Breel Embolo29%
Mousa Tamari19%
Mohamed Kader Meite16%
Ludovic Blas14%
Nordan Mukiele12%
Elias Legendre Quiñonez11%
Arnaud Nordin10%
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal10%
Seko Fofana8%
Quentin Merlin8%
Valentin Rongier6%
Sebastian Szymański6%
Mahdi Camara6%
Przemysław Frankowski5%
Anthony Rouault4%
Glen Kamara0%
Brice Samba0%
Lilian Brassier0%
Fabian Rieder0%
Alidu Seidu0%
Djaoui Cissé0%
Mathys Silistrie0%
Jérémy Jacquet0%
Mahamadou Nagida0%
Yassir Zabiri0%
Lucas Rosier0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Przemysław Frankowski26%
Jérémy Jacquet24%
Anthony Rouault21%
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal19%
Valentin Rongier18%
Brice Samba15%
Mahdi Camara14%
Djaoui Cissé12%
Breel Embolo12%
Sebastian Szymański12%
Mousa Tamari11%
Arnaud Nordin10%
Mahamadou Nagida10%
Esteban Lepaul9%
Alidu Seidu8%
Quentin Merlin8%
Lilian Brassier7%
Ludovic Blas3%
Glen Kamara0%
Seko Fofana0%
Fabian Rieder0%
Mathys Silistrie0%
Nordan Mukiele0%
Mohamed Kader Meite0%
Yassir Zabiri0%
Lucas Rosier0%
Elias Legendre Quiñonez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Arnaud Nordin30%
Mousa Tamari19%
Sebastian Szymański18%
Quentin Merlin17%
Ludovic Blas14%
Esteban Lepaul14%
Valentin Rongier12%
Przemysław Frankowski11%
Mohamed Kader Meite11%
Breel Embolo9%
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal5%
Anthony Rouault4%
Alidu Seidu4%
Lilian Brassier3%
Mahdi Camara3%
Glen Kamara0%
Brice Samba0%
Seko Fofana0%
Fabian Rieder0%
Djaoui Cissé0%
Mathys Silistrie0%
Jérémy Jacquet0%
Nordan Mukiele0%
Mahamadou Nagida0%
Yassir Zabiri0%
Lucas Rosier0%
Elias Legendre Quiñonez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Esteban Lepaul34%
Mousa Tamari22%
Breel Embolo15%
Ludovic Blas11%
Mohamed Kader Meite11%
Arnaud Nordin10%
Djaoui Cissé8%
Mahdi Camara6%
Alidu Seidu4%
Valentin Rongier3%
Glen Kamara0%
Przemysław Frankowski0%
Brice Samba0%
Seko Fofana0%
Sebastian Szymański0%
Lilian Brassier0%
Anthony Rouault0%
Fabian Rieder0%
Quentin Merlin0%
Mathys Silistrie0%
Jérémy Jacquet0%
Nordan Mukiele0%
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal0%
Mahamadou Nagida0%
Yassir Zabiri0%
Lucas Rosier0%
Elias Legendre Quiñonez0%
Le Mans · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dame Gueye25%
Antoine Rabillard21%
Erwan Colas20%
William Harhouz18%
Lucas Bretelle15%
Samuel Yohou12%
Jean Vercruysse11%
Lucas Buades10%
Taylor Luvambo8%
Milan Robin7%
Théo Eyoum7%
Lucas Calodat6%
Edwin Quarshie6%
Anthony Ribelin5%
Isaac Cossier4%
Harold Voyer4%
Martin Rossignol4%
Alexandre Lauray0%
Baptiste Guillaume0%
Nicolas Kocik0%
Leroy Abanda0%
Ewan Hatfout0%
Théo Eyoum0%
Brice Oggad0%
Mathis Hamdi0%
Malang Gomes0%
Noa Boissé0%
Adil Bourabaa0%
Izhak Hammoudi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mathis Hamdi50%
Malang Gomes50%
Alexandre Lauray40%
Samuel Yohou26%
Martin Rossignol22%
Izhak Hammoudi20%
Anthony Ribelin19%
Harold Voyer19%
Lucas Buades17%
Nicolas Kocik16%
Noa Boissé15%
Isaac Cossier15%
Leroy Abanda14%
Edwin Quarshie11%
Jean Vercruysse11%
Milan Robin10%
Théo Eyoum9%
Brice Oggad9%
William Harhouz9%
Lucas Calodat9%
Taylor Luvambo8%
Lucas Bretelle8%
Adil Bourabaa7%
Erwan Colas7%
Antoine Rabillard6%
Dame Gueye6%
Baptiste Guillaume0%
Ewan Hatfout0%
Théo Eyoum0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brice Oggad18%
Leroy Abanda14%
Antoine Rabillard12%
Lucas Calodat12%
Dame Gueye11%
Lucas Buades10%
Erwan Colas10%
Milan Robin10%
Lucas Bretelle8%
Adil Bourabaa7%
Alexandre Lauray6%
William Harhouz5%
Martin Rossignol4%
Edwin Quarshie3%
Samuel Yohou0%
Baptiste Guillaume0%
Nicolas Kocik0%
Anthony Ribelin0%
Jean Vercruysse0%
Harold Voyer0%
Taylor Luvambo0%
Ewan Hatfout0%
Théo Eyoum0%
Mathis Hamdi0%
Malang Gomes0%
Noa Boissé0%
Isaac Cossier0%
Théo Eyoum0%
Izhak Hammoudi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dame Gueye14%
Erwan Colas10%
Antoine Rabillard9%
Taylor Luvambo8%
Lucas Bretelle8%
Adil Bourabaa7%
Martin Rossignol4%
Milan Robin3%
Lucas Calodat3%
Alexandre Lauray0%
Samuel Yohou0%
Lucas Buades0%
Baptiste Guillaume0%
Nicolas Kocik0%
Edwin Quarshie0%
Anthony Ribelin0%
Jean Vercruysse0%
Leroy Abanda0%
Harold Voyer0%
Ewan Hatfout0%
Théo Eyoum0%
Brice Oggad0%
Mathis Hamdi0%
William Harhouz0%
Malang Gomes0%
Noa Boissé0%
Isaac Cossier0%
Théo Eyoum0%
Izhak Hammoudi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
MON (26)
€326m
LIL (27)
€312m
STR (32)
€304m
LYO (32)
€293m
REN (26)
€241m
MAR (22)
€225m
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
NIC (28)
€152m
TOU (24)
€115m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
ANG (23)
€73m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
ET (23)
€36m
LM (26)
€24m
Rennes's squad is €216m more valuable than Le Mans's (€241m vs €24m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (10)
€638m
MON (9)
€148m
LIL (13)
€133m
LYO (9)
€122m
STR (13)
€112m
MAR (9)
€91m
REN (8)
€87m
NIC (8)
€62m
PF (13)
€59m
LEN (8)
€52m
ANG (9)
€30m
TOU (7)
€30m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
LH (10)
€9m
ET (7)
€7m
LM (6)
€4m
Rennes's attack is €83m more valuable than Le Mans's (€87m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
LIL (4)
€102m
MON (5)
€84m
LYO (8)
€82m
MAR (5)
€68m
STR (6)
€56m
PF (7)
€54m
REN (5)
€44m
TOU (7)
€39m
LOR (5)
€32m
NIC (9)
€31m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
ANG (3)
€11m
ET (6)
€11m
LM (8)
€5m
Rennes's midfield is €39m more valuable than Le Mans's (€44m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (11)
€409m
STR (13)
€136m
LEN (14)
€112m
REN (13)
€109m
MON (12)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
LIL (10)
€76m
MAR (8)
€66m
PF (17)
€62m
NIC (11)
€60m
TOU (10)
€46m
LOR (11)
€35m
AUX (13)
€33m
ANG (11)
€32m
LH (10)
€23m
SB2 (8)
€19m
ET (10)
€17m
LM (12)
€15m
Rennes's defence is €94m more valuable than Le Mans's (€109m vs €15m).
France: Ligue 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →
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Lille
Monaco
Paris FC
Lyon
Estac Troyes
Lens
Marseille
Angers
Strasbourg
Stade Brestois 29
Paris Saint Germain
Le Havre
Lorient
Toulouse
Nice
Auxerre