Rennes vs Paris Saint Germain Result & Analysis

Paris Saint Germain are the clear favourites, with the model picking an away win. The expected total of 2.9 goals points to a lively match, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%. Rennes will look to keep the defence tight, having conceded only 1.0 goal on the road against weaker opposition, while PSG will rely on their 2.71 average goals scored away. Home win probability sits at 32%, draw at 27% and away win at 42%. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 89.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 83.6%, Over 1.5 goals at 80.1%, Over 21.5 fouls at 79.4% and Under 11.5 corners at 72.8%. Rennes entered the game on a win, while PSG came off a draw. The match should see PSG dominate, but Rennes’ recent form suggests they will fight hard.

Rennes’ recent win over Le Mans gave them a brief lift, yet the model’s prediction that Paris Saint Germain would triumph proved correct as the hosts fell 1-4. The pre-match favourite, away win, carried a 42% probability and the outcome matched the model’s call. The model’s selections largely came in: Over 1.5 goals hit at 80.1%, Over 19.5 fouls at 89.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 83.6%, and Over 21.5 fouls at 79.4%. Only the Under 11.5 corners, at 72.8%, missed. The final score of 1-4 confirmed the favoured result and the bulk of the model’s picks.