Atert Bissen look poised to take the win on the road against Réssidence Walferdange, with the model assigning them a 75% chance of success. This is largely due to Walferdange's struggles at home, particularly against stronger opponents, where they have conceded an average of one goal per match. Bissen, on the other hand, have been in fine form away from home, scoring an average of 2.47 goals per match against weaker opponents.
The model predicts a 9% chance of a home win and a 16% chance of a draw. The expected total number of goals is 3.6, with the most likely score being 0-2 in favour of Atert Bissen, occurring 10.2% of the time.
Réssidence Walferdange's home form has been underwhelming, with an average of zero goals scored and one conceded. In contrast, Atert Bissen have been scoring freely on the road, but conceding an average of 1.13 goals per match.
The model's selections include Over 3.5 cards (89.4%), Over 1.5 goals (87.8%), Over 21.5 fouls (86.2%), and Away win (75.0%). Réssidence Walferdange have a 9% chance of winning, a 16% chance of drawing, and Atert Bissen have a 75% chance of winning.
The win for Atert Bissen extends their strong run, while R\u00e9sidence Walferdange come off a defeat. The final score was 1-2, an away win that matched the model’s pick. The pre-match favourite was an away win at 75 %, and the model’s call was correct. Every suggested selection landed: Home under 3.5 goals hit at 98.8 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.4 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.4 %, Away +2 handicap hit at 97.1 %, Under 7.5 hit at 97.1 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 95.7 %, and Home under 2.5 goals hit at 94.1 %. The model’s predictions were spot on, confirming its accuracy.
Résidence Walferdange| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.29 | 1.43 | 1.00 | 1.33 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| vs Similar (3) | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 0% (-26pp vs league) | |||||
Atert Bissen| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 2.30 | 0.90 | 2.19 | 0.88 | 2.43 | 0.93 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (17) | 1.94 | 1.06 | 1.73 | 0.82 | 2.33 | 1.50 |
| vs Weaker (13) | 2.77 | 0.69 | 3.20 | 1.00 | 2.50 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+17pp vs league) | |||||
| Atert Bissen goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 3.5% | 6.9% | 10% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.4% |
| 2 | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Résidence Walferdange
Atert Bissen
Résidence Walferdange| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (7) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Stronger (4) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (3) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - |
| % under line | - | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | - | - |
Atert Bissen| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (39) | 8.6 | 9.0 | 8.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 26.0 | 29.0 | 24.0 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (22) | 9.2 | 12.0 | 8.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 24.5 | 26.0 | 24.0 |
| vs Weaker (17) | 6.0 | 6.0 | - | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 32.0 | 32.0 | - |
| % over line | 40% | 50% | 33% | 13% | 11% | 15% | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| % under line | 60% | 50% | 67% | 87% | 89% | 85% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
Résidence Walferdange| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.57 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 0.50 | 1.25 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| vs Similar (3) | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 29% (+2pp vs league) | |||||
Atert Bissen| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.00 | 0.27 | 0.69 | 0.12 | 1.36 | 0.43 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (17) | 0.82 | 0.35 | 0.55 | 0.18 | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| vs Weaker (13) | 1.23 | 0.15 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.38 | 0.25 |
| Clean sheet % | 77% (+50pp vs league) | |||||
Résidence Walferdange| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.71 | 0.43 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 0.50 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| vs Similar (3) | 1.00 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+31pp vs league) | |||||
Atert Bissen| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.30 | 0.63 | 1.50 | 0.75 | 1.07 | 0.50 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (17) | 1.12 | 0.71 | 1.18 | 0.64 | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| vs Weaker (13) | 1.54 | 0.54 | 2.20 | 1.00 | 1.12 | 0.25 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+30pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home under 3.5 goals | 98.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Home under 2.5 HT goals | 97.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Home under 2.5 2H goals | 97.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Away +2 handicap | 97.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 7.5 | 97.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 2.5 cards | 96.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 HT goals | 95.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +7.0% | ✓ Hit |
| Home under 2.5 goals | 94.1% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +8.1% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 93.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away over 0.5 goals | 93.2% | 1.05 | 1.07 | 1.04 | - | - | - | +6.6% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 6.5 | 92.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Draw or Away | 90.9% | 1.07 | 1.12 | 1.10 | 1.09 | 1.07 | 1.07 | +5.5% | ✓ Hit |
| Away +1 handicap | 90.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Home under 1.5 HT goals | 89.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -0.6% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 3.5 cards | 89.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 2H goals | 88.0% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +5.1% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 87.8% | 1.13 | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.12 | - | - | +7.7% | ✓ Hit |
| Home under 1.5 2H goals | 87.4% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +0.5% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 86.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 11.5 corners | 85.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 2.5 HT goals | 85.0% | 1.16 | 1.17 | 1.16 | 1.14 | - | - | +5.2% | ✗ Miss |
| Under 5.5 | 84.8% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -0.9% | ✓ Hit |
| Home or Away | 84.1% | 1.14 | 1.20 | 1.18 | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.12 | +3.5% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 0.5 2H goals | 81.5% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -1.7% | ✗ Miss |
| Away under 1.5 HT goals | 80.8% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +11.3% | ✗ Miss |
| Over 4.5 cards | 78.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 1.5 goals | 78.0% | 1.26 | 1.28 | 1.27 | 1.24 | - | - | +5.4% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 10.5 corners | 77.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 23.5 fouls | 75.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away win | 75.0% | 1.38 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.41 | 1.40 | 1.39 | +9.4% | ✓ Hit |
| Away over 1.5 goals | 75.0% | 1.38 | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.37 | - | +9.0% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 2.5 2H goals | 73.2% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +4.8% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 0.5 HT goals | 72.6% | 1.21 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | -3.5% | ✓ Hit |
| Away under 3.5 goals | 71.6% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | -3.7% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 4.5 | 71.2% | 1.23 | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.24 | 1.22 | 1.20 | -2.6% | ✓ Hit |
| Away under 1.5 2H goals | 70.2% | 1.53 | 1.53 | - | - | - | - | +9.8% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| No games. | |||
Résidence Walferdange| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 09/08/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 02/08/26 | H | 3-2 | |
| 01/06/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 21/09/25 | A | 3-1 | |
| 10/11/24 | H | 0-1 | |
| 06/10/24 | A | 1-2 |
Atert Bissen| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/26 | H | 0-4 | |
| 09/08/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 04/08/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 23/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 17/05/26 | A | 0-5 | |
| 10/05/26 | H | 3-2 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 0-5 | |
| 26/04/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 22/04/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 19/04/26 | A | 0-3 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 5 | 15 | 100% | 3.0 | 10 | 1 | +9 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 0.2 | - |
| 2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 5 | 15 | 100% | 3.0 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 3.6 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2.4 | 1.2 | - |
| 3 | FC Differdange 03 | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 3.0 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 4 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 3.8 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.6 | 1.2 | - |
| 5 | Résidence Walferdange | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 3.4 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 6 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 4.4 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.6 | 1.8 | - |
| 7 | Progres Niederkorn | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 2.4 | 60% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | - |
| 8 | Atert Bissen | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 2.8 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | - |
| 9 | US Hostert | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 4.2 | 100% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 2.0 | - |
| 10 | F91 Dudelange | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2.6 | 80% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | - |
| 11 | US Rumelange | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4.0 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.6 | 2.4 | - |
| 12 | Wiltz | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4.2 | 100% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 2.2 | - |
| 13 | Victoria Rosport | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 4.4 | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 2.4 | - |
| 14 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 2.0 | - |
| 15 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3.0 | 60% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 2.6 | - |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 2 | 21 | -19 | 4.6 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 4.2 | - |