PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Rhyl vs Caernarfon Town Result & Analysis

Date: 08/03/2026
Time: 13:30
Final 1-2
Rhyl
Rhyl
Vs
11%
14%
75%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Caernarfon Town
Caernarfon Town
Wales: Welsh Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Rhyl enter the Welsh Cup match at home after a win, but the model still rates Caernarfon Town the clear favourite, assigning them a 75% chance of triumph. The team’s recent two-game winning streak and the fact that Rhyl’s home form is against stronger opponents explain the high probability. The model predicts an average of 4.3 goals, with the most likely total being 6 + goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-3 in favour of Caernarfon Town, with an 8.2% probability. Rhyl’s home statistics show 2.13 goals scored and 1.6 conceded against stronger teams, while Caernarfon’s away form is strong, though the JSON does not provide explicit figures. The suggested picks include Home under 3.5 goals (96.8%), Away +2 handicap (96.0%), Away over 0.5 goals (95.5%), Over 1.5 (93.2%), Under 7.5 (93.1%), Draw or Away (89.4%), Away +1 handicap (89.4%), and Home under 2.5 goals (88.5%). The model also assigns a 11% chance to a Rhyl win, a 14% chance to a draw, and a 75% chance to a Caernarfon win.

Results analysis

Rhyl entered the Welsh Cup tie on a win, while Caernarfon Town rode a two-game winning streak. The model’s favourite, an away win, proved correct as Caernarfon edged Rhyl 1-2. The pre-match probability for the favoured result was 75%. Every suggested selection hit: Home under 3.5 goals at 96.8%, Away +2 handicap at 96.0%, Away over 0.5 goals at 95.5%, Over 1.5 at 93.2%, Under 7.5 at 93.1%, Draw or Away at 89.4%, Away +1 handicap at 89.4%, and Home under 2.5 goals at 88.5%. The match delivered on the model’s predictions, confirming the accuracy of the forecast.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rhyl win✗ Miss
10.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
14.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Caernarfon Town win✓ Hit
75.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RhylRhyl

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W21W21W13L31W21W21W13L10W32WH·HOL05/12A·POR13/12A·BUC20/12A·HOL26/12H·LLA01/01H·BUC23/01H·BAR31/01H·AIR14/02A·MOL21/02H·RUT01/03
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.902.061.691.542.15
vs Stronger (26)1.881.732.131.601.551.91
vs Similar (3)1.333.331.003.001.503.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Caernarfon Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-442W12L10W22D00D41W11D02L12L30WA·CAR13/12H·COL27/12A·BAL31/12H·GAP13/01A·PEN24/01H·COL31/01A·GAP06/02H·BAR14/02A·THE20/02H·COL27/02
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.272.271.401.871.13
vs Stronger (3)0.672.331.003.000.502.00
vs Similar (27)2.221.152.361.292.081.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Rhyl) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%2%05%113%218%319%417%526%6+
The model estimates around 4.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
93.2%
Under 1.5
6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
79.9%
Under 2.5
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
61.8%
Under 3.5
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.5%
No
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-3
8.2%
1-2 ✓
7.9%
0-3
6.9%
0-2
6.7%
1-4
6.3%
1-1
5.6%
0-4
5.4%
2-3
4.8%
Rhyl goals ↓
Caernarfon Town goals →
01234
01.9%3.8%6.7%6.9%5.4%
11.1%5.6%7.9%8.2%6.3%
21.0%3.0%4.6%4.8%3.7%
30.4%1.2%1.8%1.9%1.5%
40.1%0.3%0.5%0.6%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rhyl goals (down), columns = Caernarfon Town goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
The New Saints
3.00
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.50
llanelli AFC
2.40
Trearddur Bay
2.33
Denbigh Town
2.25
Airbus UK
2.25
Caersws
2.25
Trethomas Bluebirds
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.00
Trefelin
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Mold Alexandra
2.00
Llantwit Major
2.00
Flint Town United
2.00
Buckley Town
2.00
Swansea University
2.00
Pill AFC
2.00
Caerau (Ely)
1.75
Morriston Town
1.67
Penydarren BGC
1.67
Cambrian & Clydach
1.60
Cardiff MET
1.50
Briton Ferry
1.50
Holyhead Hotspur
1.50
Penrhyncoch
1.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.50
Cardiff Draconians
1.50
Porthmadog
1.50
Kinmel Bay
1.50
Llanefydd
1.50
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
1.50
Gresford Athletic
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.33
Bala Town
1.33
Carmarthen Town
1.25
Ynyshir Albions
1.00
Caerphilly Athletic
1.00
Barry Town
1.00
Caernarfon Town
1.00
Treowen Stars
1.00
Holywell
1.00
Newtown AFC
1.00
Afan Lido
1.00
Evans & Williams
1.00
Cefn Cribwr
1.00
Saltney Town
1.00
Goytre United
1.00
Flint Mountain
1.00
CPD Sychdyn United
1.00
Berriew
1.00
Abertillery Excelsiors AFC
1.00
Llanfair United
1.00
Glynneath Town
1.00
Dinas Powys
1.00
Llanrug United
1.00
Blaenavon Blues
1.00
Port Talbot Town
1.00
Pentwynmawr Athletic
1.00
Pwllheli
1.00
Abercarn United
1.00
Rhostyllen
1.00
Forden United
1.00
Broughton United FC
1.00
Dolgellau Athletic
1.00
Hawarden Rangers
1.00
Penygraig United FC
1.00
Bow Street
1.00
Welshpool Town
1.00
Pontyclun
1.00
Cwm Welfare AFC
1.00
Garden Village
1.00
Canton Liberal
1.00
Rhayader Town
1.00
Nefyn United
1.00
Tredegar Town
1.00
Lliswerry
1.00
Seven Sisters Onllwyn
1.00
Afan United
1.00
Tata Steel
1.00
Cwmbach Royal Stars
1.00
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.67
Rhyl
0.50
Ruthin Town
0.50
Guilsfield
0.00
Newport City
0.00
Brickfield Rangers
0.00
Baglan Dragons
0.00
Pontypridd Town
0.00
Aberystwyth Town
0.00
Queens Park
0.00
St Asaph City
0.00
Taffs Well
0.00
Cefn Albion
0.00
Llanberis
0.00
Cwmbran Town
0.00
NFA
0.00
Llwydcoed
0.00
Caldicot Town
0.00
Cwmbran Celtic
0.00
Penybont
0.00
Rhyl is 0.50 points worse than Caernarfon Town in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
The New Saints
5.83
Gresford Athletic
5.00
Buckley Town
4.50
Flint Town United
3.50
Denbigh Town
3.50
Caersws
3.50
Trefelin
3.33
Llandudno
3.33
Caerau (Ely)
3.00
Barry Town
3.00
Porthmadog
3.00
Kinmel Bay
3.00
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
3.00
Cwmbran Celtic
3.00
Airbus UK
2.75
Rhyl
2.50
Swansea University
2.33
Penydarren BGC
2.33
llanelli AFC
2.20
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.17
Briton Ferry
2.00
Carmarthen Town
1.75
Mold Alexandra
1.67
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Bala Town
1.67
Penrhyncoch
1.50
Llantwit Major
1.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.50
Cardiff Draconians
1.50
Ynyshir Albions
1.46
Caerphilly Athletic
1.46
Treowen Stars
1.46
Evans & Williams
1.46
Cefn Cribwr
1.46
Saltney Town
1.46
CPD Sychdyn United
1.46
Berriew
1.46
Abertillery Excelsiors AFC
1.46
Llanfair United
1.46
Glynneath Town
1.46
Dinas Powys
1.46
Llanrug United
1.46
Blaenavon Blues
1.46
Port Talbot Town
1.46
Pentwynmawr Athletic
1.46
Pwllheli
1.46
Abercarn United
1.46
Rhostyllen
1.46
Forden United
1.46
Broughton United FC
1.46
Dolgellau Athletic
1.46
Hawarden Rangers
1.46
Penygraig United FC
1.46
Bow Street
1.46
Welshpool Town
1.46
Pontyclun
1.46
Cwm Welfare AFC
1.46
Garden Village
1.46
Canton Liberal
1.46
Rhayader Town
1.46
Nefyn United
1.46
Tredegar Town
1.46
Lliswerry
1.46
Seven Sisters Onllwyn
1.46
Afan United
1.46
Tata Steel
1.46
Cwmbach Royal Stars
1.46
Afan Lido
1.33
Pill AFC
1.33
Trearddur Bay
1.33
Cambrian & Clydach
1.20
Cardiff MET
1.00
Ammanford AFC
1.00
Holyhead Hotspur
1.00
Brickfield Rangers
1.00
Baglan Dragons
1.00
Holywell
1.00
Ruthin Town
1.00
Queens Park
1.00
Morriston Town
1.00
Flint Mountain
1.00
Cwmbran Town
1.00
Llanefydd
1.00
NFA
1.00
Caldicot Town
1.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
0.50
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.33
Guilsfield
0.00
Newport City
0.00
Caernarfon Town
0.00
Newtown AFC
0.00
Pontypridd Town
0.00
Aberystwyth Town
0.00
St Asaph City
0.00
Taffs Well
0.00
Goytre United
0.00
Cefn Albion
0.00
Llanberis
0.00
Llwydcoed
0.00
Penybont
0.00
Rhyl is 2.50 goals better than Caernarfon Town in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 0.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Trethomas Bluebirds
0.00
Caernarfon Town
0.00
Holyhead Hotspur
0.00
Newtown AFC
0.00
Goytre United
0.00
llanelli AFC
0.40
Ammanford AFC
0.50
The New Saints
0.50
Cardiff Draconians
0.50
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.67
Morriston Town
0.67
Trearddur Bay
0.67
Haverfordwest County AFC
1.00
Briton Ferry
1.00
Mold Alexandra
1.00
Llantwit Major
1.00
Denbigh Town
1.00
Holywell
1.00
Aberystwyth Town
1.00
Taffs Well
1.00
Flint Mountain
1.00
Llanefydd
1.00
Llwydcoed
1.00
Penybont
1.00
Bala Town
1.33
Afan Lido
1.33
Swansea University
1.33
Cardiff MET
1.50
Caerau (Ely)
1.50
Flint Town United
1.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.50
Airbus UK
1.50
Porthmadog
1.50
Ruthin Town
1.50
Cambrian & Clydach
1.60
Trefelin
1.67
Penydarren BGC
1.67
Caersws
1.75
Newport City
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Carmarthen Town
2.00
Penrhyncoch
2.00
Buckley Town
2.00
Pontypridd Town
2.00
St Asaph City
2.00
Pill AFC
2.00
NFA
2.00
Caldicot Town
2.00
Ynyshir Albions
2.17
Caerphilly Athletic
2.17
Treowen Stars
2.17
Evans & Williams
2.17
Cefn Cribwr
2.17
Saltney Town
2.17
CPD Sychdyn United
2.17
Berriew
2.17
Abertillery Excelsiors AFC
2.17
Llanfair United
2.17
Glynneath Town
2.17
Dinas Powys
2.17
Llanrug United
2.17
Blaenavon Blues
2.17
Port Talbot Town
2.17
Pentwynmawr Athletic
2.17
Pwllheli
2.17
Abercarn United
2.17
Rhostyllen
2.17
Forden United
2.17
Broughton United FC
2.17
Dolgellau Athletic
2.17
Hawarden Rangers
2.17
Penygraig United FC
2.17
Bow Street
2.17
Welshpool Town
2.17
Pontyclun
2.17
Cwm Welfare AFC
2.17
Garden Village
2.17
Canton Liberal
2.17
Rhayader Town
2.17
Nefyn United
2.17
Tredegar Town
2.17
Lliswerry
2.17
Seven Sisters Onllwyn
2.17
Afan United
2.17
Tata Steel
2.17
Cwmbach Royal Stars
2.17
Colwyn Bay
2.33
Kinmel Bay
2.50
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
2.50
Gresford Athletic
2.50
Barry Town
3.00
Brickfield Rangers
3.00
Cwmbran Town
3.00
Rhyl
4.00
Llanberis
4.00
Cwmbran Celtic
4.00
Guilsfield
5.00
Baglan Dragons
5.00
Cefn Albion
5.00
Queens Park
6.00
Rhyl is 4.00 goals worse than Caernarfon Town in terms of goals conceded per game (4.00 vs 0.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rhyl or Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
11%
14%
75%
covers Rhyl + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rhyl or Caernarfon Town✓ Hit
85.5%
Avg Implied -
11%
14%
75%
covers Rhyl + Caernarfon Town
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Caernarfon Town✓ Hit
89.4%
Avg Implied -
11%
14%
75%
covers Draw + Caernarfon Town
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rhyl over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.1%
Under
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rhyl over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.9%
Under
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rhyl over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.5%
Under
88.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rhyl over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.2%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caernarfon Town over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
95.5%
Under
4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caernarfon Town over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
81.5%
Under
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caernarfon Town over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
59.8%
Under
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caernarfon Town over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
37.4%
Under
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Rhyl, so a minus line means Rhyl give that many goals of a start and Caernarfon Town receive them. At -1, Rhyl must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rhyl win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rhyl)Actual: Caernarfon Town
Rhyl -2
1.2%
Draw -2
2.8%
Caernarfon Town +2
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Rhyl)Actual: Caernarfon Town
Rhyl -1
4.0%
Draw -1
6.6%
Caernarfon Town +1
89.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Rhyl)Actual: Draw
Rhyl +1
25.0%
Draw +1
18.2%
Caernarfon Town -1
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Rhyl)Actual: Rhyl
Rhyl +2
43.2%
Draw +2
19.6%
Caernarfon Town -2
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RhylRhyl

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L10W01L11D11D00D00D12LH·HOL05/12A·POR13/12A·BUC20/12A·HOL26/12H·LLA01/01H·BUC23/01H·BAR31/01H·AIR14/02A·MOL21/02H·RUT01/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.590.790.690.750.460.85
vs Stronger (26)0.620.810.730.800.450.82
vs Similar (3)0.330.670.000.000.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %55% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Caernarfon Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D01L10W11D00D10W01L01L11D10WA·CAR13/12H·COL27/12A·BAL31/12H·GAP13/01A·PEN24/01H·COL31/01A·GAP06/02H·BAR14/02A·THE20/02H·COL27/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.630.800.530.670.73
vs Stronger (3)0.331.000.002.000.500.50
vs Similar (27)0.780.590.860.430.690.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Rhyl) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rhyl over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rhyl over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rhyl over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caernarfon Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caernarfon Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caernarfon Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RhylRhyl

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W20W20W03L30W10W10W13L10W20WH·HOL05/12A·POR13/12A·BUC20/12A·HOL26/12H·LLA01/01H·BUC23/01H·BAR31/01H·AIR14/02A·MOL21/02H·RUT01/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.241.101.380.941.081.31
vs Stronger (26)1.270.921.400.801.091.09
vs Similar (3)1.002.671.003.001.002.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %41% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Caernarfon Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W11D00D11D00D31W10W01L01L20WA·CAR13/12H·COL27/12A·BAL31/12H·GAP13/01A·PEN24/01H·COL31/01A·GAP06/02H·BAR14/02A·THE20/02H·COL27/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.631.470.871.200.40
vs Stronger (3)0.331.331.001.000.001.50
vs Similar (27)1.440.561.500.861.380.23
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Rhyl) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rhyl over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rhyl over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rhyl over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caernarfon Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caernarfon Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caernarfon Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Home under 3.5 goals96.8%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap96.0%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals95.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.593.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.593.1%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away89.4%-------✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap89.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals88.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.585.9%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away85.5%-------✓ Hit
Away over 1.5 goals81.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.579.9%-------✓ Hit
Away win75.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.574.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
QP (28)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QP (14)
€2m
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
HCA (7)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
HCA (7)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
QP (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QP (12)
€1m
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
PEN (7)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
RHY wins
0
Draws
0
CT wins

Head-to-head

Rhyl vs Caernarfon Town · H/A from RHY
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

RhylRhyl

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/26HRHY Vs Ruthin Town3-2
21/02/26AMold Alexandra Vs RHY0-1
14/02/26HRHY Vs Airbus UK1-3
31/01/26HRHY Vs Barry Town2-1
23/01/26HRHY Vs Buckley Town2-1
01/01/26HRHY Vs Llandudno3-1
26/12/25AHolyhead Hotspur Vs RHY3-1
20/12/25ABuckley Town Vs RHY1-2
13/12/25APorthmadog Vs RHY1-2
05/12/25HRHY Vs Holywell3-1

Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/02/26HCT Vs Colwyn Bay3-0
20/02/26AThe New Saints Vs CT2-1
14/02/26HCT Vs Barry Town0-2
06/02/26AGAP Connah S Quay FC Vs CT1-1
31/01/26HCT Vs Colwyn Bay4-1
24/01/26APenybont Vs CT0-0
13/01/26HCT Vs GAP Connah S Quay FC2-2
31/12/25ABala Town Vs CT0-1
27/12/25HCT Vs Colwyn Bay1-2
13/12/25ACardiff MET Vs CT2-4

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Rhyl
Rhyl
Wales: Welsh Cup
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.72
HomeWWWLW2.00
AwayDWWLW1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%62%38%
AVG goals3.723.753.69
Over 1.5 %86%88%85%
Over 2.5 %76%81%69%
Over 3.5 %52%56%46%
Scored1.832.061.54
Conceded1.901.692.15
BTTS72%75%69%
Clean Sheet17%19%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Caernarfon Town
Caernarfon Town
Wales: Welsh Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLW1.58
HomeLDWLW1.76
AwayWWDDL1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%52%36%
AVG goals3.443.723.16
Over 1.5 %90%92%88%
Over 2.5 %64%76%52%
Over 3.5 %46%52%40%
Scored2.002.321.68
Conceded1.441.401.48
BTTS66%64%68%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

Rhyl plays in Wales - FAW Championship
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LlandudnoLlandudno3080
87%
2.7
7722+55
3.3
83%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.60.7
-
2TrefelinTrefelin3078
83%
2.6
8317+66
3.3
93%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.6
-
3Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach3076
80%
2.5
7520+55
3.2
87%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.50.7
-
4Airbus UKAirbus UK3075
80%
2.5
9322+71
3.8
93%
83%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.10.7
-
5HolywellHolywell3060
60%
2.0
7840+38
3.9
87%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.3
-
6Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)3160
58%
1.9
6734+33
3.3
81%
61%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.1
-
7Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC3060
57%
2.0
4926+23
2.5
70%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.9
-
8Newtown AFCNewtown AFC3048
50%
1.6
5149+2
3.3
87%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.6
-
9RhylRhyl3046
47%
1.5
4655-9
3.4
80%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
10Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town3045
37%
1.5
4538+7
2.8
67%
37%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
11Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town3044
43%
1.5
3538-3
2.4
63%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
12GuilsfieldGuilsfield3043
43%
1.4
5048+2
3.3
77%
70%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.6
-
13Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra3041
40%
1.4
3845-7
2.8
77%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.5
-
14Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians3040
40%
1.3
5048+2
3.3
77%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.6
-
15Denbigh TownDenbigh Town3040
40%
1.3
5259-7
3.7
87%
77%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.0
-
16Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major3037
30%
1.2
4447-3
3.0
83%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.6
-
17CaerswsCaersws3037
37%
1.2
4651-5
3.2
83%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
18Brickfield RangersBrickfield Rangers3037
37%
1.2
3949-10
2.9
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
19Treowen StarsTreowen Stars3037
33%
1.2
5163-12
3.8
90%
70%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.1
-
20Newport CityNewport City3037
30%
1.2
3648-12
2.8
70%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
21Holyhead HotspurHolyhead Hotspur3036
33%
1.2
4449-5
3.1
73%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.6
-
22PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch3035
33%
1.2
4553-8
3.3
80%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
23Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town3034
30%
1.1
4651-5
3.2
80%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
24Afan LidoAfan Lido3030
30%
1.0
3257-25
3.0
67%
53%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
25Buckley TownBuckley Town3030
30%
1.0
5077-27
4.2
90%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.6
-
26Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds3029
20%
1.0
4562-17
3.6
90%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.1
-
27Flint MountainFlint Mountain3029
30%
1.0
3961-22
3.3
83%
73%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
28Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic3028
27%
0.9
4787-40
4.5
90%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.9
-
29Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons3125
16%
0.8
2653-27
2.5
68%
48%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.7
-
30Ruthin TownRuthin Town3023
20%
0.8
3664-28
3.3
77%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
31Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions3023
17%
0.8
2756-29
2.8
80%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
32Cwmbran CelticCwmbran Celtic3010
3%
0.3
2578-53
3.4
83%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.6
-
Wales: FAW Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: FAW Championship stats & trends →
Caernarfon Town plays in Wales - Premier League
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1The New SaintsThe New Saints3280
81%
2.5
8125+56
3.3
88%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.50.8
-
2GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC3258
50%
1.8
6138+23
3.1
88%
69%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.2
-
3Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC3449
41%
1.4
4946+3
2.8
71%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.4
-
4Barry TownBarry Town3347
36%
1.4
4434+10
2.4
64%
39%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
5Colwyn BayColwyn Bay3346
36%
1.4
4137+4
2.4
64%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.1
-
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town3245
38%
1.4
5647+9
3.2
91%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
7Briton FerryBriton Ferry3245
38%
1.4
4647-1
2.9
81%
56%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
8PenybontPenybont3445
35%
1.3
4149-8
2.6
68%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.4
-
9Cardiff METCardiff MET3238
25%
1.2
4351-8
2.9
88%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United3235
25%
1.1
4859-11
3.3
81%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
11Bala TownBala Town3232
25%
1.0
3345-12
2.4
72%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
12llanelli AFCllanelli AFC3213
9%
0.4
1782-65
3.1
78%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.6
-
Wales: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches