This opponent (SCR Altach) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SCR Altach
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.07
1.23
1.00
1.24
1.12
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
0.91
1.00
1.20
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (18)
1.33
1.17
1.38
0.88
1.30
1.40
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
1.00
-
-
4.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Ried) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.6%
Under 1.5
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
36.4%
Under 2.5
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.1%
Under 3.5
82.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.7%
No
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.0%
1-0
11.6%
0-1
10.8%
2-1
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
6.3%
Ried goals ↓
SCR Altach goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
11%
6.3%
2.2%
0.6%
1
12%
15%
7.0%
2.4%
0.6%
2
7.2%
7.5%
3.9%
1.3%
0.3%
3
2.7%
2.8%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.7%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ried goals (down), columns = SCR Altach goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lask Linz
1.81
Sturm Graz
1.75
Red Bull Salzburg
1.50
Austria Vienna
1.47
Rapid Vienna
1.38
Ried
1.37
TSV Hartberg
1.31
SCR Altach
1.31
WSG Wattens
1.25
Wolfsberger AC
1.24
Grazer AK
1.16
FC BW Linz
0.91
Ried is 0.06 points better than SCR Altach in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.31).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lask Linz
1.75
Red Bull Salzburg
1.75
Sturm Graz
1.59
Austria Vienna
1.41
Grazer AK
1.31
Wolfsberger AC
1.27
TSV Hartberg
1.25
WSG Wattens
1.25
Ried
1.20
Rapid Vienna
1.18
FC BW Linz
1.16
SCR Altach
1.12
Ried is 0.07 goals better than SCR Altach in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 1.12).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sturm Graz
1.09
SCR Altach
1.22
TSV Hartberg
1.25
Rapid Vienna
1.26
Red Bull Salzburg
1.28
Lask Linz
1.31
Wolfsberger AC
1.33
Ried
1.34
Grazer AK
1.41
FC BW Linz
1.53
Austria Vienna
1.56
WSG Wattens
1.62
Ried is 0.12 goals worse than SCR Altach in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.22).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
60%
Rapid Vienna
56%
Sturm Graz
54%
SCR Altach
52%
Wolfsberger AC
51%
FC BW Linz
50%
Ried
49%
Lask Linz
49%
Austria Vienna
49%
Grazer AK
48%
WSG Wattens
44%
TSV Hartberg
39%
Ried is 2.4 percentage points worse than SCR Altach in terms of average possession (49% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ried
For 4.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 11.8 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SCR Altach
For 4.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 7.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.5 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 12.2 · Total 24.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ried
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.0
8.2
7.8
3.8
3.7
3.9
22.4
22.9
21.9
vs Stronger (7)
9.8
12.3
7.3
4.4
4.0
5.0
22.5
22.0
23.0
vs Similar (31)
7.4
7.5
7.2
4.1
4.1
4.1
22.0
22.2
21.8
vs Weaker (12)
8.7
7.0
10.0
2.8
2.4
3.0
23.4
26.7
21.0
% over line
26%
32%
20%
60%
54%
65%
64%
63%
65%
% under line
74%
68%
80%
40%
46%
35%
36%
37%
35%
This opponent (SCR Altach) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SCR Altach
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.5
8.7
5.1
5.3
4.8
25.0
25.8
24.2
vs Stronger (23)
8.4
8.3
8.6
4.8
4.9
4.8
24.1
24.5
23.8
vs Similar (26)
8.7
8.7
8.8
5.5
5.8
5.2
25.9
27.1
24.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
36%
26%
46%
74%
78%
70%
68%
70%
67%
% under line
64%
74%
54%
26%
22%
30%
32%
30%
33%
This opponent (Ried) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rapid Vienna
10.9
Austria Vienna
10.6
Lask Linz
9.9
WSG Wattens
9.8
Sturm Graz
9.6
Red Bull Salzburg
9.6
Wolfsberger AC
9.5
TSV Hartberg
9.5
FC BW Linz
9.4
Grazer AK
9.1
SCR Altach
8.5
Ried
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Grazer AK
5.7
SCR Altach
5.5
TSV Hartberg
5.4
Austria Vienna
5.2
Wolfsberger AC
4.9
Ried
4.8
WSG Wattens
4.7
Rapid Vienna
4.7
Sturm Graz
4.7
FC BW Linz
4.4
Lask Linz
4.4
Red Bull Salzburg
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SCR Altach
25.1
Sturm Graz
24.7
Grazer AK
24.3
Rapid Vienna
24.1
Austria Vienna
23.3
Ried
23.0
Wolfsberger AC
22.8
TSV Hartberg
22.7
WSG Wattens
22.1
FC BW Linz
21.8
Lask Linz
20.9
Red Bull Salzburg
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
40.7%
Under 9.5
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.3%
Under 3.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
61.9%
Under 21.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ried
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.43
0.64
0.57
0.75
0.31
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
1.50
0.67
2.00
1.33
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.18
0.38
0.12
0.56
0.22
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.14
1.33
0.33
0.75
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (SCR Altach) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SCR Altach
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.47
0.54
0.38
0.65
0.53
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
0.36
0.60
0.40
0.17
0.33
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.56
0.50
0.38
0.80
0.70
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Ried) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ried over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SCR Altach over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SCR Altach over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SCR Altach over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ried
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.60
0.71
0.43
1.19
0.75
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (17)
1.24
0.59
0.88
0.50
1.56
0.67
vs Weaker (7)
0.71
0.57
0.67
0.33
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (SCR Altach) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SCR Altach
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.69
0.62
0.59
0.59
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
0.55
0.40
0.80
0.50
0.33
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.61
0.88
0.50
0.50
0.70
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Ried) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ried over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SCR Altach over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SCR Altach over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SCR Altach over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ried
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kingstone Mutandwa34%
Mark Große15%
Peter Kiedl15%
Ante Bajić13%
Antonio Van Wyk10%
Philipp Pomer9%
Nikki Havenaar9%
Oliver Steurer6%
Fabian Rossdorfer4%
Joris Boguo4%
Michael Sollbauer0%
Christopher Wernitznig0%
Martin Rasner0%
Andreas Leitner0%
Jonathan Scherzer0%
Saliou Sané0%
Yusuf Maart0%
Dominik Kirnbauer0%
Ekain Azkune0%
Jonas Mayer0%
Nicolas Bajlicz0%
Evan Eghosa0%
Yussef Nasrawe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ante Bajić32%
Christopher Wernitznig20%
Nicolas Bajlicz20%
Peter Kiedl20%
Philipp Pomer19%
Kingstone Mutandwa19%
Martin Rasner19%
Michael Sollbauer18%
Joris Boguo16%
Mark Große15%
Jonas Mayer14%
Saliou Sané12%
Yussef Nasrawe12%
Nikki Havenaar12%
Oliver Steurer11%
Andreas Leitner9%
Fabian Rossdorfer4%
Yusuf Maart3%
Jonathan Scherzer0%
Dominik Kirnbauer0%
Ekain Azkune0%
Antonio Van Wyk0%
Evan Eghosa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ante Bajić16%
Philipp Pomer12%
Antonio Van Wyk10%
Peter Kiedl10%
Mark Große8%
Kingstone Mutandwa6%
Yussef Nasrawe6%
Nikki Havenaar6%
Fabian Rossdorfer4%
Jonas Mayer3%
Michael Sollbauer3%
Andreas Leitner3%
Oliver Steurer3%
Christopher Wernitznig0%
Martin Rasner0%
Jonathan Scherzer0%
Saliou Sané0%
Yusuf Maart0%
Dominik Kirnbauer0%
Ekain Azkune0%
Nicolas Bajlicz0%
Evan Eghosa0%
Joris Boguo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kingstone Mutandwa38%
Mark Große15%
Antonio Van Wyk7%
Ante Bajić6%
Yussef Nasrawe6%
Peter Kiedl5%
Fabian Rossdorfer4%
Michael Sollbauer0%
Christopher Wernitznig0%
Martin Rasner0%
Andreas Leitner0%
Jonathan Scherzer0%
Oliver Steurer0%
Saliou Sané0%
Nikki Havenaar0%
Yusuf Maart0%
Philipp Pomer0%
Dominik Kirnbauer0%
Ekain Azkune0%
Jonas Mayer0%
Nicolas Bajlicz0%
Evan Eghosa0%
Joris Boguo0%
SCR Altach
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Patrick Greil38%
Anteo Fetahu18%
Ousmane Diawara15%
Mohamed Ouédraogo14%
Srdjan Hrstić12%
Yann Massombo10%
Alexander Gorgon7%
Paul-Friedrich Koller6%
Vesel Demaku5%
Filip Milojevic5%
Erkin Yalcin5%
Sandro Ingolitsch3%
Benedikt Zech0%
Mike-Steven Bähre0%
Lukas Gugganig0%
Lukas Jäger0%
Dejan Stojanović0%
Leonardo Lukačević0%
Moritz Oswald0%
Marlon Mustapha0%
Rassa Rahmani0%
Precious Benjamin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mike-Steven Bähre27%
Mohamed Ouédraogo24%
Filip Milojevic23%
Lukas Jäger19%
Ousmane Diawara19%
Paul-Friedrich Koller18%
Patrick Greil17%
Leonardo Lukačević17%
Precious Benjamin14%
Sandro Ingolitsch13%
Dejan Stojanović12%
Moritz Oswald11%
Marlon Mustapha10%
Anteo Fetahu9%
Benedikt Zech7%
Yann Massombo6%
Erkin Yalcin5%
Vesel Demaku0%
Alexander Gorgon0%
Lukas Gugganig0%
Rassa Rahmani0%
Srdjan Hrstić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sandro Ingolitsch17%
Leonardo Lukačević17%
Yann Massombo16%
Vesel Demaku14%
Marlon Mustapha10%
Patrick Greil7%
Mike-Steven Bähre7%
Erkin Yalcin5%
Srdjan Hrstić4%
Mohamed Ouédraogo3%
Benedikt Zech0%
Paul-Friedrich Koller0%
Alexander Gorgon0%
Lukas Gugganig0%
Lukas Jäger0%
Dejan Stojanović0%
Ousmane Diawara0%
Moritz Oswald0%
Anteo Fetahu0%
Rassa Rahmani0%
Filip Milojevic0%
Precious Benjamin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Greil17%
Ousmane Diawara15%
Srdjan Hrstić12%
Marlon Mustapha10%
Alexander Gorgon7%
Paul-Friedrich Koller6%
Mohamed Ouédraogo3%
Yann Massombo3%
Vesel Demaku0%
Sandro Ingolitsch0%
Benedikt Zech0%
Mike-Steven Bähre0%
Lukas Gugganig0%
Lukas Jäger0%
Dejan Stojanović0%
Leonardo Lukačević0%
Moritz Oswald0%
Anteo Fetahu0%
Rassa Rahmani0%
Filip Milojevic0%
Erkin Yalcin0%
Precious Benjamin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
FBL (21)
€5m
Ried's squad is €2m less valuable than SCR Altach's (€7m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
RIE (7)
€2m
GA (7)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
Ried's attack is €1m less valuable than SCR Altach's (€2m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
FBL (4)
€1m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
Ried's midfield is €1m more valuable than SCR Altach's (€3m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
FBL (8)
€2m
Ried's defence is €2m less valuable than SCR Altach's (€3m vs €4m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
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Lask Linz
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
Austria Vienna
TSV Hartberg
Wolfsberger AC
WSG Wattens
Grazer AK
FC BW Linz