Rīga FS are the clear favourites, with the model giving them a 67% chance of victory, a 19% chance of a draw and a 14% chance of an away win. The prediction that the home side will win is reinforced by their strong home form: averaging four goals scored and just 1.33 conceded against weaker opposition, while FK Liepāja struggles on the road, scoring only half a goal and conceding 2.5 against stronger teams. The expected total is 3.6 goals, so a 3-goal match is most likely, with a 2-1 scoreline the single most probable outcome at 9.4%. The model’s suggested picks include an almost certain 99.1% chance of “Away under 2.5 HT goals”, a 98.4% chance of “Away under 2.5 2H goals”, a 97.4% chance of “Away under 3.5 goals”, a 96.9% chance of “Under 7.5” with a 4% edge, a 94.7% chance of “Home +2 handicap”, a 92.9% chance of “Away under 1.5 HT goals”, a 92.7% chance of “Under 6.5” with a 3% edge, and a 91.8% chance of “Home over 0.5 goals” with a 2% edge. Rīga FS’s recent win over Ogre United and FK Liepāja’s recent victory over Riga add momentum to the home side’s advantage.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rīgas FS win
67.0%
Avg Implied 69.3% · @ 1.30
Edge
-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.37
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Draw
18.8%
Avg Implied 18.4% · @ 4.89
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
5.25
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Unibet
4.60
FK Liepaja win
14.2%
Avg Implied 12.3% · @ 7.32
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.70
Marathonbet
7.40
Betano
6.70
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Rīgas FS
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.37
1.37
2.93
1.67
1.80
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.09
1.91
1.33
2.17
0.80
1.60
vs Weaker (19)
3.11
1.05
4.00
1.33
2.30
0.80
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Liepaja
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.33
2.15
1.23
1.41
1.41
vs Stronger (5)
1.60
2.40
2.33
2.33
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (12)
1.75
1.00
2.33
0.50
1.17
1.50
vs Weaker (13)
1.77
1.23
1.75
1.50
1.78
1.11
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Rīgas FS) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
88.2%
@ 1.09+4.2%
Under 1.5
11.8%
@ 5.67-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Under
1xBet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.75
Bet365
5.50
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69.7%
@ 1.38+3.8%
Under 2.5
30.3%
@ 2.67-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Unibet
1.35
Under
Unibet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.66
1xBet
2.66
Bet365
2.62
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
48.4%
@ 2.00+2.6%
Under 3.5
51.6%
@ 1.69-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Betano
1.98
Unibet
1.89
Under
Unibet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
Both teams to score
Yes
62.0%
@ 1.64+6.3%
No
38.0%
@ 2.07-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Unibet
1.50
No
Unibet
2.25
1xBet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.08
Bet365
1.83
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.4%@ 7.72+4.0%
2-0
8.5%@ 6.97+2.5%
1-1
8.3%@ 9.22+3.8%
3-1
7.8%@ 9.05+3.2%
3-0
7.1%@ 8.05+1.9%
1-0
6.1%@ 8.55+1.2%
2-2
5.2%@ 15.44+2.5%
4-1
4.9%@ 13.31+1.7%
Rīgas FS goals ↓
FK Liepaja goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.5%
2.3%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
1
6.1%
8.3%
4.2%
1.5%
0.4%
2
8.5%
9.4%
5.2%
1.9%
0.5%
3
7.1%
7.8%
4.3%
1.6%
0.4%
4
4.4%
4.9%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rīgas FS goals (down), columns = FK Liepaja goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Rīgas FS
2.43
Riga
2.29
Auda
2.00
FK Liepaja
1.88
BFC Daugavpils
1.62
Super Nova
1.33
Grobiņa
1.00
FS Jelgava
0.86
Ogre United
0.57
Tukums
0.38
Rīgas FS is 0.55 points better than FK Liepaja in terms of average points per game (2.43 vs 1.88).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Riga
3.00
Rīgas FS
2.57
FK Liepaja
2.00
BFC Daugavpils
1.50
Super Nova
1.17
Grobiņa
1.14
FS Jelgava
1.14
Auda
1.14
Ogre United
1.00
Tukums
0.75
Rīgas FS is 0.57 goals better than FK Liepaja in terms of goals scored per game (2.57 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Auda
0.57
Rīgas FS
0.86
BFC Daugavpils
0.88
Super Nova
1.00
Riga
1.14
FK Liepaja
1.25
FS Jelgava
1.71
Tukums
2.38
Grobiņa
2.57
Ogre United
3.00
Rīgas FS is 0.39 goals better than FK Liepaja in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 1.25).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rīgas FS or Draw
85.8%
Avg Implied 87.4% · @ 1.05
Edge
-1.6%
67%
19%
14%
covers Rīgas FS + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.09
Unibet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
Rīgas FS or FK Liepaja
81.2%
Avg Implied 82.1% · @ 1.12
Edge
-0.9%
67%
19%
14%
covers Rīgas FS + FK Liepaja
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw or FK Liepaja
33.0%
Avg Implied 30.5% · @ 3.01
Edge
+2.5%
67%
19%
14%
covers Draw + FK Liepaja
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.40
1xBet
3.00
Marathonbet
3.00
Betano
2.70
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rīgas FS over/under 0.5
Over
91.8%
@ 1.04+1.9%
Under
8.2%
@ 9.23-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Under
1xBet
9.70
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
8.50
Rīgas FS over/under 1.5
Over
71.2%
@ 1.29-0.1%
Under
28.8%
@ 3.19+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.25
Marathonbet
3.06
1xBet
3.06
Rīgas FS over/under 2.5
Over
45.5%
@ 1.98-1.1%
Under
54.5%
@ 1.73+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
1.91
Under
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Rīgas FS over/under 3.5
Over
24.1%
@ 3.48-2.3%
Under
75.9%
@ 1.25+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Under
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
FK Liepaja over/under 0.5
Over
66.8%
@ 1.57+8.3%
Under
33.2%
@ 2.22-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.57
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
Under
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
Betfair
2.25
Bet365
2.00
FK Liepaja over/under 1.5
Over
30.2%
@ 3.84+6.1%
Under
69.8%
@ 1.22-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
3.75
1xBet
3.64
Marathonbet
3.64
Under
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
FK Liepaja over/under 2.5
Over
10.0%
@ 10.00+0.7%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.03-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Under
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
FK Liepaja over/under 3.5
Over
2.6%
@ 21.00-97.4%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Rīgas FS, so a minus line means Rīgas FS give that many goals of a start and FK Liepaja receive them. At -1, Rīgas FS must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rīgas FS win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rīgas FS)
Rīgas FS -2
26.5%
@ 2.85-4.6%
Draw -2
19.6%
@ 4.10-2.0%
FK Liepaja +2
53.9%
@ 1.88+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.05
Betfair
2.88
Bet365
2.62
Draw
Marathonbet
4.30
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Away
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
1.83
Marathonbet
1.80
Handicap -1 (Rīgas FS)
Rīgas FS -1
46.1%
@ 1.81-3.8%
Draw -1
20.9%
@ 3.96-1.9%
FK Liepaja +1
33.0%
@ 3.32+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.88
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.73
Draw
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.88
Away
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.20
Marathonbet
3.00
Handicap +1 (Rīgas FS)
Rīgas FS +1
85.8%
@ 1.07-2.2%
Draw +1
8.8%
@ 12.00+1.0%
FK Liepaja -1
5.3%
@ 23.00+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Away
Bet365
23.00
Handicap +2 (Rīgas FS)
Rīgas FS +2
94.7%
Draw +2
3.8%
FK Liepaja -2
1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rīgas FS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.67
1.40
0.93
0.93
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.91
0.50
1.33
0.40
0.40
vs Weaker (19)
1.58
0.53
2.00
0.67
1.20
0.40
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Liepaja
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.60
1.00
0.62
0.76
0.59
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.20
1.00
1.33
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (13)
1.15
0.62
1.00
1.00
1.22
0.44
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Rīgas FS) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.7%
@ 1.19+1.6%
Under 0.5
21.3%
@ 4.04-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.82
Marathonbet
3.82
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.3%
@ 2.04-3.6%
Under 1.5
58.7%
@ 1.67+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
1xBet
2.05
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Under
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Betano
1.60
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
18.0%
@ 4.41-2.9%
Under 2.5
82.0%
@ 1.16+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Under
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rīgas FS over/under 0.5 HT
Over
65.4%
@ 1.38-1.6%
Under
34.6%
@ 2.80+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
Under
1xBet
2.80
Rīgas FS over/under 1.5 HT
Over
29.5%
@ 2.83-2.7%
Under
70.5%
@ 1.35+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.97
1xBet
2.70
Under
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.31
Rīgas FS over/under 2.5 HT
Over
12.6%
@ 6.90-0.7%
Under
87.4%
@ 1.06+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.90
Under
1xBet
1.06
FK Liepaja over/under 0.5 HT
Over
37.4%
@ 2.77+4.2%
Under
62.6%
@ 1.38-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.63
Under
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.36
FK Liepaja over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.2%
Under
91.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Liepaja over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rīgas FS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.70
1.53
0.73
0.87
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.64
1.00
0.83
0.83
0.40
1.20
vs Weaker (19)
1.53
0.53
2.00
0.67
1.10
0.40
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Liepaja
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.73
1.15
0.62
0.65
0.82
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.20
1.33
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (12)
1.08
0.67
1.33
0.50
0.83
0.83
vs Weaker (13)
0.62
0.62
0.75
0.50
0.56
0.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Rīgas FS) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
84.4%
@ 1.11+1.2%
Under 0.5
15.6%
@ 5.50-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.08
Under
Marathonbet
5.70
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
57.6%
@ 1.61+0.6%
Under 1.5
42.4%
@ 2.13-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Under
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
Bet365
2.10
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
30.3%
@ 2.99-0.4%
Under 2.5
69.7%
@ 1.33+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
1xBet
2.86
Marathonbet
2.86
Under
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rīgas FS over/under 0.5 2H
Over
72.5%
@ 1.24-2.4%
Under
27.5%
@ 3.70+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.24
Under
1xBet
3.70
Rīgas FS over/under 1.5 2H
Over
41.0%
@ 2.16-1.5%
Under
59.0%
@ 1.59+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.18
1xBet
2.14
Under
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.56
Rīgas FS over/under 2.5 2H
Over
15.4%
@ 4.60-4.4%
Under
84.6%
@ 1.14+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.60
Under
1xBet
1.14
FK Liepaja over/under 0.5 2H
Over
42.3%
@ 2.31+2.5%
Under
57.7%
@ 1.52-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.44
Marathonbet
2.18
Under
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.49
FK Liepaja over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.4%
@ 8.50+0.6%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.02-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
FK Liepaja over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
96.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.1%
Home +2 handicap
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
92.7%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
+3.1%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
91.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
-
-
-
+1.9%
Away under 2.5 goals
90.0%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-
-0.7%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.6%
1.02
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
-0.6%
Over 1.5
88.2%
1.09
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
-
-
+4.2%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
87.4%
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
-
+0.7%
Home or Draw
85.8%
1.05
Betano
1.09
Unibet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
-1.6%
Home +1 handicap
85.8%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-2.2%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
84.6%
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-
+4.4%
Under 5.5
84.5%
1.08
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
-
-0.2%
Over 0.5 2H goals
84.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.08
-
-
+1.2%
Over 19.5 fouls
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
82.0%
1.16
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
+2.9%
Home or Away
81.2%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-0.9%
Over 0.5 HT goals
78.7%
1.19
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
-
+1.6%
Over 2.5 cards
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
75.9%
1.25
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-
+2.3%
Home over 0.5 2H goals
72.5%
1.24
1xBet
1.24
-
-
-
-
-2.4%
Home over 1.5 goals
71.2%
1.29
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
-
-0.1%
Under 11.5 corners
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
70.7%
1.27
Unibet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-
-1.3%
Over 21.5 fouls
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
70.5%
1.35
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.31
-
-
-
+2.7%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rīgas FS · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Žiga Lipušček14%
Roberts Savaļnieks12%
Jānis Ikaunieks12%
Lasha Odisharia12%
Adam Markhiyev12%
Fabrice Ondoa0%
Luka Silagadze0%
Stefan Panić0%
Herdi Prenga0%
Darko Lemajić0%
Elvis Stuglis0%
Alain Cedric Herve Kouadio0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs0%
Victor Osuagwu0%
Haruna Njie0%
Rostand Ndjiki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stefan Panić38%
Jānis Ikaunieks25%
Adam Markhiyev25%
Roberts Savaļnieks12%
Herdi Prenga12%
Lasha Odisharia12%
Fabrice Ondoa0%
Luka Silagadze0%
Darko Lemajić0%
Elvis Stuglis0%
Alain Cedric Herve Kouadio0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Žiga Lipušček0%
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs0%
Victor Osuagwu0%
Haruna Njie0%
Rostand Ndjiki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jānis Ikaunieks12%
Stefan Panić12%
Fabrice Ondoa0%
Luka Silagadze0%
Roberts Savaļnieks0%
Herdi Prenga0%
Darko Lemajić0%
Elvis Stuglis0%
Alain Cedric Herve Kouadio0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Žiga Lipušček0%
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs0%
Lasha Odisharia0%
Victor Osuagwu0%
Adam Markhiyev0%
Haruna Njie0%
Rostand Ndjiki0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jānis Ikaunieks25%
Darko Lemajić25%
Adam Markhiyev12%
Fabrice Ondoa0%
Luka Silagadze0%
Roberts Savaļnieks0%
Stefan Panić0%
Herdi Prenga0%
Elvis Stuglis0%
Alain Cedric Herve Kouadio0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Žiga Lipušček0%
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs0%
Lasha Odisharia0%
Victor Osuagwu0%
Haruna Njie0%
Rostand Ndjiki0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (27)
€16m
RF (29)
€11m
AUD (25)
€6m
FL (21)
€5m
OU (27)
€3m
SN (24)
€3m
GRO (25)
€3m
FJ (23)
€3m
BD (21)
€3m
TUK (20)
€2m
Rīgas FS's squad is €6m more valuable than FK Liepaja's (€11m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (10)
€7m
RF (15)
€6m
AUD (11)
€3m
FL (7)
€2m
OU (12)
€2m
GRO (10)
€1m
SN (8)
€1m
FJ (8)
€1m
TUK (7)
€1m
BD (7)
€1m
Rīgas FS's attack is €4m more valuable than FK Liepaja's (€6m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (5)
€3m
RF (4)
€2m
SN (6)
€1m
FL (4)
€1m
BD (6)
€1m
OU (4)
€1m
GRO (6)
€1m
FJ (5)
€0m
AUD (3)
€0m
TUK (3)
€0m
Rīgas FS and FK Liepaja have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (12)
€6m
RF (10)
€3m
AUD (11)
€3m
FL (10)
€2m
FJ (10)
€1m
GRO (9)
€1m
TUK (10)
€1m
OU (11)
€1m
BD (8)
€1m
SN (10)
€1m
Rīgas FS's defence is €1m more valuable than FK Liepaja's (€3m vs €2m).
Latvia: Virsliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: Virsliga stats & trends →