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Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja Prediction & Stats

Date: 07/09/2026
Time: 16:00
Rīgas FS
Rīgas FS
Vs
67%
19%
14%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FK Liepaja
FK Liepaja
Latvia: Virsliga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Rīga FS are the clear favourites, with the model giving them a 67% chance of victory, a 19% chance of a draw and a 14% chance of an away win. The prediction that the home side will win is reinforced by their strong home form: averaging four goals scored and just 1.33 conceded against weaker opposition, while FK Liepāja struggles on the road, scoring only half a goal and conceding 2.5 against stronger teams. The expected total is 3.6 goals, so a 3-goal match is most likely, with a 2-1 scoreline the single most probable outcome at 9.4%. The model’s suggested picks include an almost certain 99.1% chance of “Away under 2.5 HT goals”, a 98.4% chance of “Away under 2.5 2H goals”, a 97.4% chance of “Away under 3.5 goals”, a 96.9% chance of “Under 7.5” with a 4% edge, a 94.7% chance of “Home +2 handicap”, a 92.9% chance of “Away under 1.5 HT goals”, a 92.7% chance of “Under 6.5” with a 3% edge, and a 91.8% chance of “Home over 0.5 goals” with a 2% edge. Rīga FS’s recent win over Ogre United and FK Liepāja’s recent victory over Riga add momentum to the home side’s advantage.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rīgas FS win
67.0%
Avg Implied 69.3% · @ 1.30
Edge
-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.37
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Draw
18.8%
Avg Implied 18.4% · @ 4.89
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
5.25
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Unibet
4.60
FK Liepaja win
14.2%
Avg Implied 12.3% · @ 7.32
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.70
Marathonbet
7.40
Betano
6.70

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Rīgas FSRīgas FS

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-631W11D10W10W11D02L61W12L33D30WH·BFC30/06H·AUD04/07A·FS 20/07A·TUK27/07A·VES30/07A·FK 06/08H·GRO10/08H·FK 13/08H·RIG23/08A·OGR30/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.371.372.931.671.801.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.091.911.332.170.801.60
vs Weaker (19)3.111.054.001.332.300.80
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L40W13L20W13L12L21W31W01L32WA·SUP09/11H·OGR30/06A·BFC04/07A·FS 26/07A·AUS30/07A·TUK02/08A·SUP09/08H·GRO21/08A·AUD25/08H·RIG31/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.332.151.231.411.41
vs Stronger (5)1.602.402.332.330.502.50
vs Similar (12)1.751.002.330.501.171.50
vs Weaker (13)1.771.231.751.501.781.11
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Rīgas FS) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%08%119%221%319%414%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
88.2%
@ 1.09+4.2%
Under 1.5
11.8%
@ 5.67-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Under
1xBet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.75
Bet365
5.50
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69.7%
@ 1.38+3.8%
Under 2.5
30.3%
@ 2.67-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Unibet
1.35
Under
Unibet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.66
1xBet
2.66
Bet365
2.62
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
48.4%
@ 2.00+2.6%
Under 3.5
51.6%
@ 1.69-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Betano
1.98
Unibet
1.89
Under
Unibet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
Both teams to score
Yes
62.0%
@ 1.64+6.3%
No
38.0%
@ 2.07-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Unibet
1.50
No
Unibet
2.25
1xBet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.08
Bet365
1.83

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.4%@ 7.72+4.0%
2-0
8.5%@ 6.97+2.5%
1-1
8.3%@ 9.22+3.8%
3-1
7.8%@ 9.05+3.2%
3-0
7.1%@ 8.05+1.9%
1-0
6.1%@ 8.55+1.2%
2-2
5.2%@ 15.44+2.5%
4-1
4.9%@ 13.31+1.7%
Rīgas FS goals ↓
FK Liepaja goals →
01234
03.5%2.3%1.7%0.6%0.2%
16.1%8.3%4.2%1.5%0.4%
28.5%9.4%5.2%1.9%0.5%
37.1%7.8%4.3%1.6%0.4%
44.4%4.9%2.7%1.0%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rīgas FS goals (down), columns = FK Liepaja goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rīgas FS
2.43
Riga
2.29
Auda
2.00
FK Liepaja
1.88
BFC Daugavpils
1.62
Super Nova
1.33
Grobiņa
1.00
FS Jelgava
0.86
Ogre United
0.57
Tukums
0.38
Rīgas FS is 0.55 points better than FK Liepaja in terms of average points per game (2.43 vs 1.88).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Riga
3.00
Rīgas FS
2.57
FK Liepaja
2.00
BFC Daugavpils
1.50
Super Nova
1.17
Grobiņa
1.14
FS Jelgava
1.14
Auda
1.14
Ogre United
1.00
Tukums
0.75
Rīgas FS is 0.57 goals better than FK Liepaja in terms of goals scored per game (2.57 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Auda
0.57
Rīgas FS
0.86
BFC Daugavpils
0.88
Super Nova
1.00
Riga
1.14
FK Liepaja
1.25
FS Jelgava
1.71
Tukums
2.38
Grobiņa
2.57
Ogre United
3.00
Rīgas FS is 0.39 goals better than FK Liepaja in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rīgas FS or Draw
85.8%
Avg Implied 87.4% · @ 1.05
Edge
-1.6%
67%
19%
14%
covers Rīgas FS + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.09
Unibet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
Rīgas FS or FK Liepaja
81.2%
Avg Implied 82.1% · @ 1.12
Edge
-0.9%
67%
19%
14%
covers Rīgas FS + FK Liepaja
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw or FK Liepaja
33.0%
Avg Implied 30.5% · @ 3.01
Edge
+2.5%
67%
19%
14%
covers Draw + FK Liepaja
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.40
1xBet
3.00
Marathonbet
3.00
Betano
2.70

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rīgas FS over/under 0.5
Over
91.8%
@ 1.04+1.9%
Under
8.2%
@ 9.23-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Under
1xBet
9.70
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
8.50
Rīgas FS over/under 1.5
Over
71.2%
@ 1.29-0.1%
Under
28.8%
@ 3.19+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.25
Marathonbet
3.06
1xBet
3.06
Rīgas FS over/under 2.5
Over
45.5%
@ 1.98-1.1%
Under
54.5%
@ 1.73+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
1.91
Under
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Rīgas FS over/under 3.5
Over
24.1%
@ 3.48-2.3%
Under
75.9%
@ 1.25+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Under
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
FK Liepaja over/under 0.5
Over
66.8%
@ 1.57+8.3%
Under
33.2%
@ 2.22-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.57
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
Under
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
Betfair
2.25
Bet365
2.00
FK Liepaja over/under 1.5
Over
30.2%
@ 3.84+6.1%
Under
69.8%
@ 1.22-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
3.75
1xBet
3.64
Marathonbet
3.64
Under
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
FK Liepaja over/under 2.5
Over
10.0%
@ 10.00+0.7%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.03-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Under
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
FK Liepaja over/under 3.5
Over
2.6%
@ 21.00-97.4%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Rīgas FS, so a minus line means Rīgas FS give that many goals of a start and FK Liepaja receive them. At -1, Rīgas FS must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rīgas FS win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rīgas FS)
Rīgas FS -2
26.5%
@ 2.85-4.6%
Draw -2
19.6%
@ 4.10-2.0%
FK Liepaja +2
53.9%
@ 1.88+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.05
Betfair
2.88
Bet365
2.62
Draw
Marathonbet
4.30
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Away
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
1.83
Marathonbet
1.80
Handicap -1 (Rīgas FS)
Rīgas FS -1
46.1%
@ 1.81-3.8%
Draw -1
20.9%
@ 3.96-1.9%
FK Liepaja +1
33.0%
@ 3.32+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.88
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.73
Draw
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.88
Away
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.20
Marathonbet
3.00
Handicap +1 (Rīgas FS)
Rīgas FS +1
85.8%
@ 1.07-2.2%
Draw +1
8.8%
@ 12.00+1.0%
FK Liepaja -1
5.3%
@ 23.00+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Away
Bet365
23.00
Handicap +2 (Rīgas FS)
Rīgas FS +2
94.7%
Draw +2
3.8%
FK Liepaja -2
1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Rīgas FSRīgas FS

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D10W10W11D01L40W12L01L10WH·BFC30/06H·AUD04/07A·FS 20/07A·TUK27/07A·VES30/07A·FK 06/08H·GRO10/08H·FK 13/08H·RIG23/08A·OGR30/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.671.400.930.930.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.450.910.501.330.400.40
vs Weaker (19)1.580.532.000.671.200.40
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L30W01L20W12L11D01L10W00D21WA·SUP09/11H·OGR30/06A·BFC04/07A·FS 26/07A·AUS30/07A·TUK02/08A·SUP09/08H·GRO21/08A·AUD25/08H·RIG31/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.601.000.620.760.59
vs Stronger (5)0.601.201.001.330.001.00
vs Similar (12)0.670.331.000.000.330.67
vs Weaker (13)1.150.621.001.001.220.44
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Rīgas FS) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.7%
@ 1.19+1.6%
Under 0.5
21.3%
@ 4.04-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.82
Marathonbet
3.82
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.3%
@ 2.04-3.6%
Under 1.5
58.7%
@ 1.67+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
1xBet
2.05
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Under
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Betano
1.60
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
18.0%
@ 4.41-2.9%
Under 2.5
82.0%
@ 1.16+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Under
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rīgas FS over/under 0.5 HT
Over
65.4%
@ 1.38-1.6%
Under
34.6%
@ 2.80+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
Under
1xBet
2.80
Rīgas FS over/under 1.5 HT
Over
29.5%
@ 2.83-2.7%
Under
70.5%
@ 1.35+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.97
1xBet
2.70
Under
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.31
Rīgas FS over/under 2.5 HT
Over
12.6%
@ 6.90-0.7%
Under
87.4%
@ 1.06+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.90
Under
1xBet
1.06
FK Liepaja over/under 0.5 HT
Over
37.4%
@ 2.77+4.2%
Under
62.6%
@ 1.38-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.63
Under
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.36
FK Liepaja over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.2%
Under
91.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Liepaja over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Rīgas FSRīgas FS

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D00D00D00D01L21W00D32W20WH·BFC30/06H·AUD04/07A·FS 20/07A·TUK27/07A·VES30/07A·FK 06/08H·GRO10/08H·FK 13/08H·RIG23/08A·OGR30/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.701.530.730.870.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.641.000.830.830.401.20
vs Weaker (19)1.530.532.000.671.100.40
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W12L00D01L01L20W21W01L11DA·SUP09/11H·OGR30/06A·BFC04/07A·FS 26/07A·AUS30/07A·TUK02/08A·SUP09/08H·GRO21/08A·AUD25/08H·RIG31/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.731.150.620.650.82
vs Stronger (5)1.001.201.331.000.501.50
vs Similar (12)1.080.671.330.500.830.83
vs Weaker (13)0.620.620.750.500.560.67
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Rīgas FS) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
84.4%
@ 1.11+1.2%
Under 0.5
15.6%
@ 5.50-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.08
Under
Marathonbet
5.70
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
57.6%
@ 1.61+0.6%
Under 1.5
42.4%
@ 2.13-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Under
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
Bet365
2.10
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
30.3%
@ 2.99-0.4%
Under 2.5
69.7%
@ 1.33+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
1xBet
2.86
Marathonbet
2.86
Under
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rīgas FS over/under 0.5 2H
Over
72.5%
@ 1.24-2.4%
Under
27.5%
@ 3.70+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.24
Under
1xBet
3.70
Rīgas FS over/under 1.5 2H
Over
41.0%
@ 2.16-1.5%
Under
59.0%
@ 1.59+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.18
1xBet
2.14
Under
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.56
Rīgas FS over/under 2.5 2H
Over
15.4%
@ 4.60-4.4%
Under
84.6%
@ 1.14+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.60
Under
1xBet
1.14
FK Liepaja over/under 0.5 2H
Over
42.3%
@ 2.31+2.5%
Under
57.7%
@ 1.52-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.44
Marathonbet
2.18
Under
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.49
FK Liepaja over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.4%
@ 8.50+0.6%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.02-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
FK Liepaja over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.0%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.5%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.4%-------
Under 7.596.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
---+4.1%
Home +2 handicap94.7%-------
Under 6.592.7%1.04
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
---+3.1%
Away under 1.5 HT goals91.8%-------
Home over 0.5 goals91.8%1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
---+1.9%
Away under 2.5 goals90.0%1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
----0.7%
Away under 1.5 2H goals88.6%1.02
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
----0.6%
Over 1.588.2%1.09
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
--+4.2%
Home under 2.5 HT goals87.4%1.06
1xBet
1.06
----+0.7%
Home or Draw85.8%1.05
Betano
1.09
Unibet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
-1.6%
Home +1 handicap85.8%1.07
Bet365
1.07
-----2.2%
Home under 2.5 2H goals84.6%1.14
1xBet
1.14
----+4.4%
Under 5.584.5%1.08
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
---0.2%
Over 0.5 2H goals84.4%1.11
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.08
--+1.2%
Over 19.5 fouls83.5%-------
Under 2.5 HT goals82.0%1.16
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-+2.9%
Home or Away81.2%1.12
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-0.9%
Over 0.5 HT goals78.7%1.19
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
-+1.6%
Over 2.5 cards77.7%-------
Under 5.5 cards76.9%-------
Home under 3.5 goals75.9%1.25
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-+2.3%
Home over 0.5 2H goals72.5%1.24
1xBet
1.24
-----2.4%
Home over 1.5 goals71.2%1.29
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
--0.1%
Under 11.5 corners70.7%-------
Under 4.570.7%1.27
Unibet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
--1.3%
Over 21.5 fouls70.7%-------
Home under 1.5 HT goals70.5%1.35
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.31
---+2.7%

🎽 13. Player market rates

Rīgas FS · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Žiga Lipušček14%
Roberts Savaļnieks12%
Jānis Ikaunieks12%
Lasha Odisharia12%
Adam Markhiyev12%
Fabrice Ondoa0%
Luka Silagadze0%
Stefan Panić0%
Herdi Prenga0%
Darko Lemajić0%
Elvis Stuglis0%
Alain Cedric Herve Kouadio0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs0%
Victor Osuagwu0%
Haruna Njie0%
Rostand Ndjiki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stefan Panić38%
Jānis Ikaunieks25%
Adam Markhiyev25%
Roberts Savaļnieks12%
Herdi Prenga12%
Lasha Odisharia12%
Fabrice Ondoa0%
Luka Silagadze0%
Darko Lemajić0%
Elvis Stuglis0%
Alain Cedric Herve Kouadio0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Žiga Lipušček0%
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs0%
Victor Osuagwu0%
Haruna Njie0%
Rostand Ndjiki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jānis Ikaunieks12%
Stefan Panić12%
Fabrice Ondoa0%
Luka Silagadze0%
Roberts Savaļnieks0%
Herdi Prenga0%
Darko Lemajić0%
Elvis Stuglis0%
Alain Cedric Herve Kouadio0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Žiga Lipušček0%
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs0%
Lasha Odisharia0%
Victor Osuagwu0%
Adam Markhiyev0%
Haruna Njie0%
Rostand Ndjiki0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jānis Ikaunieks25%
Darko Lemajić25%
Adam Markhiyev12%
Fabrice Ondoa0%
Luka Silagadze0%
Roberts Savaļnieks0%
Stefan Panić0%
Herdi Prenga0%
Elvis Stuglis0%
Alain Cedric Herve Kouadio0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Žiga Lipušček0%
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs0%
Lasha Odisharia0%
Victor Osuagwu0%
Haruna Njie0%
Rostand Ndjiki0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (27)
€16m
RF (29)
€11m
AUD (25)
€6m
FL (21)
€5m
OU (27)
€3m
SN (24)
€3m
GRO (25)
€3m
FJ (23)
€3m
BD (21)
€3m
TUK (20)
€2m
Rīgas FS's squad is €6m more valuable than FK Liepaja's (€11m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (10)
€7m
RF (15)
€6m
AUD (11)
€3m
FL (7)
€2m
OU (12)
€2m
GRO (10)
€1m
SN (8)
€1m
FJ (8)
€1m
TUK (7)
€1m
BD (7)
€1m
Rīgas FS's attack is €4m more valuable than FK Liepaja's (€6m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (5)
€3m
RF (4)
€2m
SN (6)
€1m
FL (4)
€1m
BD (6)
€1m
OU (4)
€1m
GRO (6)
€1m
FJ (5)
€0m
AUD (3)
€0m
TUK (3)
€0m
Rīgas FS and FK Liepaja have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (12)
€6m
RF (10)
€3m
AUD (11)
€3m
FL (10)
€2m
FJ (10)
€1m
GRO (9)
€1m
TUK (10)
€1m
OU (11)
€1m
BD (8)
€1m
SN (10)
€1m
Rīgas FS's defence is €1m more valuable than FK Liepaja's (€3m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
RF wins
1
Draws
1
FL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja · H/A from RF
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/25AFK Liepaja Vs RF2-2
04/07/25HRF Vs FK Liepaja2-1
14/05/25AFK Liepaja Vs RF2-1
29/03/25HRF Vs FK Liepaja4-1
20/09/24HRF Vs FK Liepaja2-0
01/07/24AFK Liepaja Vs RF1-3
10/05/24HRF Vs FK Liepaja4-1
30/03/24AFK Liepaja Vs RF0-3

Rīgas FSRīgas FS

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AOgre United Vs RF0-3
23/08/26HRF Vs Riga3-3
13/08/26HRF Vs FK Jablonec1-2
10/08/26HRF Vs Grobiņa6-1
06/08/26AFK Jablonec Vs RF2-0
30/07/26AVestri Vs RF1-1
27/07/26ATukums Vs RF0-1
20/07/26AFS Jelgava Vs RF0-1
04/07/26HRF Vs Auda1-1
30/06/26HRF Vs BFC Daugavpils3-1

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HFL Vs Riga3-2
25/08/26AAuda Vs FL1-0
21/08/26HFL Vs Grobiņa3-1
09/08/26ASuper Nova Vs FL1-2
02/08/26ATukums Vs FL2-1
30/07/26AAustria Vienna Vs FL3-1
26/07/26AFS Jelgava Vs FL0-2
04/07/26ABFC Daugavpils Vs FL3-1
30/06/26HFL Vs Ogre United4-0
09/11/25ASuper Nova Vs FL3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Rīgas FS
Rīgas FS
Latvia: Virsliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDW2.00
HomeWDWLD2.08
AwayWWDLW1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%64%60%
AVG goals3.503.803.20
Over 1.5 %72%80%64%
Over 2.5 %62%68%56%
Over 3.5 %48%52%44%
Scored2.342.642.04
Conceded1.161.161.16
BTTS58%64%52%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners8.509.008.00
Cards2.602.333.00
FK Liepaja
FK Liepaja
Latvia: Virsliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.74
HomeDDWWW2.00
AwayWLLWL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%57%48%
AVG goals3.243.353.15
Over 1.5 %84%83%85%
Over 2.5 %72%70%74%
Over 3.5 %44%52%37%
Scored1.742.091.44
Conceded1.501.261.70
BTTS62%61%63%
Clean Sheet24%35%15%
Corners11.00-11.00
Cards4.00-4.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS717
71%
2.4
186+12
3.4
71%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
6232.60.9
-
2RigaRiga716
71%
2.3
218+13
4.1
100%
86%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7363.01.1
-
3FK LiepajaFK Liepaja815
62%
1.9
1610+6
3.2
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.01.2
-
4AudaAuda714
57%
2.0
84+4
1.7
57%
14%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3031.10.6
-
5BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils813
50%
1.6
127+5
2.4
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.50.9
-
6Super NovaSuper Nova68
33%
1.3
76+1
2.2
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.0
-
7GrobiņaGrobiņa77
29%
1.0
818-10
3.7
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.12.6
-
8FS JelgavaFS Jelgava76
29%
0.9
812-4
2.9
71%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.11.7
-
9Ogre UnitedOgre United74
14%
0.6
721-14
4.0
100%
100%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.03.0
-
10TukumsTukums83
12%
0.4
619-13
3.1
88%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.82.4
-
Latvia: Virsliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: Virsliga stats & trends →

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