Rīgas FS vs Riga Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2026

Time: 16:00

Final 3-3

Rīgas FS

38%

27%

35%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Riga

Latvia: Virsliga

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 13 Player market rates 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Riga FC face a stern test at home against Riga's local rivals, Riga FS, who have been unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including a 6-1 thrashing of Grobiņa. Their opponents, Riga FC, have also been on a roll, remaining unbeaten in their last 5. This finely balanced encounter has Riga FS narrowly favoured to win at home, with a 38% chance of victory, compared to Riga FC's 35% chance and a 27% draw probability. The model predicts a Home win as the most likely match result.

The expected total number of goals is 3.0, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.4% probability. Riga FS have a strong home record, scoring an average of 0.67 goals per match and conceding 1.33, while Riga FC have struggled away from home, scoring an average of 0 goals and conceding 1. The model's selection for Over 1.5 goals has a 80.9% probability. Riga FS have a 38% chance of winning, a 27% chance of drawing, and a 35% chance of losing.

Results analysis

The 3-3 draw stunned fans, as the pre-match favourite - a home win with a 38 % probability - failed to materialise. The model’s call was wrong. The match ended in a stalemate, extending Riga’s unbeaten run and leaving Rīga FS to finish coming off a draw. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 7.5 goals (98.9 %) was correct, as were Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.7 %), Under 6.5 (96.7 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.7 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.1 %), Away under 3.5 goals (93.9 %) and Home under 3.5 goals (93.2 %). Only Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.6 %) missed. The expected total of three goals was not reached, but the low-scoring predictions remained largely accurate.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rīgas FS win✗ Miss

37.9%

Avg Implied 40.0% · @ 2.26

Edge

-2.1%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

2.36

Betfair

2.30

Dafabet

2.30

William Hil

2.30

BetVictor

2.30

Draw✓ Hit

26.6%

Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.32

Edge

-0.6%

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

3.50

Bet365

3.50

Marathonbet

3.40

1xBet

3.40

BetVictor

3.40

Riga win✗ Miss

35.5%

Avg Implied 32.8% · @ 2.76

Edge

+2.7%

Best 5 market prices

Dafabet

2.90

Superbet

2.82

Pinnacle

2.81

BetVictor

2.80

Betano

2.80

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Rīgas FS

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.3

Avg scored

2.1

Avg conceded

1.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	2.23	1.27	2.80	1.47	1.67	1.07
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (12)	0.92	1.50	1.00	1.67	0.83	1.33
vs Weaker (18)	3.11	1.11	4.00	1.33	2.22	0.89
Clean sheet %	27% (-2pp vs league)

This opponent (Riga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Riga

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.0

Avg scored

2.2

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	2.17	0.87	2.62	0.62	1.64	1.14
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (5)	0.80	1.20	2.00	2.00	0.00	0.67
vs Weaker (25)	2.44	0.80	2.71	0.43	2.09	1.27
Clean sheet %	53% (+25pp vs league)

This opponent (Rīgas FS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

80.9%

@ 1.20+4.4%

Under 1.5

19.1%

@ 3.90-4.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.22

BetVictor

1.22

Betfair

1.22

Unibet

1.19

Marathonbet

1.18

Under

Betfair

4.20

Bet365

4.00

Marathonbet

3.84

1xBet

3.84

Superbet

3.80

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

57.2%

@ 1.71+3.0%

Under 2.5

42.8%

@ 2.02-3.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

SBO

1.79

Bet365

1.75

Pinnacle

1.74

BetVictor

1.72

Superbet

1.70

Under

Betfair

2.10

Pinnacle

2.06

Bet365

2.05

Unibet

2.05

Superbet

2.02

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

34.8%

@ 2.73+1.2%

Under 3.5

65.2%

@ 1.39-1.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

2.88

BetVictor

2.88

Pinnacle

2.79

Bet365

2.75

Marathonbet

2.70

Under

Superbet

1.40

Bet365

1.40

Pinnacle

1.40

Unibet

1.40

Betfair

1.40

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

61.1%

@ 1.57+2.3%

38.9%

@ 2.23-2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Bet365

1.62

Betfair

1.60

Superbet

1.57

BetVictor

1.57

Marathonbet

1.56

William Hil

2.30

Superbet

2.25

BetVictor

2.25

Betfair

2.25

Unibet

2.23

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

12.4%@ 6.11+5.4%

2-1

8.6%@ 8.14+3.3%

1-2

8.2%@ 9.17+3.6%

1-0

6.6%@ 8.46+1.5%

0-1

6.3%@ 9.39+1.7%

2-2

6.3%@ 11.02+2.4%

0-0

6.2%@ 11.40+2.5%

2-0

5.8%@ 11.08+2.0%

Rīgas FS goals ↓

	Riga goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.2%	6.3%	5.4%	2.6%	1.0%
1	6.6%	12%	8.2%	4.0%	1.5%
2	5.8%	8.6%	6.3%	3.1%	1.1%
3	3.0%	4.3%	3.2%	1.5%	0.6%
4	1.1%	1.6%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rīgas FS goals (down), columns = Riga goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Rīgas FS

2.43

Riga

2.29

Auda

2.00

FK Liepaja

1.88

BFC Daugavpils

1.62

Super Nova

1.33

Grobiņa

1.00

FS Jelgava

0.86

Ogre United

0.57

Tukums

0.38

Rīgas FS is 0.14 points better than Riga in terms of average points per game (2.43 vs 2.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Riga

3.00

Rīgas FS

2.57

FK Liepaja

2.00

BFC Daugavpils

1.50

Super Nova

1.17

Grobiņa

1.14

FS Jelgava

1.14

Auda

1.14

Ogre United

1.00

Tukums

0.75

Rīgas FS is 0.43 goals worse than Riga in terms of goals scored per game (2.57 vs 3.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Auda

0.57

Rīgas FS

0.86

BFC Daugavpils

0.88

Super Nova

1.00

Riga

1.14

FK Liepaja

1.25

FS Jelgava

1.71

Tukums

2.38

Grobiņa

2.57

Ogre United

3.00

Rīgas FS is 0.29 goals better than Riga in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 1.14).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Rīgas FS or Draw✓ Hit

64.5%

Avg Implied 67.2% · @ 1.35

Edge

-2.6%

38%

27%

35%

covers Rīgas FS + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

1.40

William Hil

1.40

Marathonbet

1.36

Bet365

1.36

BetVictor

1.36

Rīgas FS or Riga✗ Miss

73.4%

Avg Implied 72.9% · @ 1.25

Edge

+0.5%

38%

27%

35%

covers Rīgas FS + Riga

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.30

BetVictor

1.29

Betano

1.29

Superbet

1.25

SBO

1.24

Draw or Riga✓ Hit

62.1%

Avg Implied 60.0% · @ 1.52

Edge

+2.2%

38%

27%

35%

covers Draw + Riga

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.57

Bet365

1.55

Betfair

1.53

BetVictor

1.53

Marathonbet

1.51

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Rīgas FS over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

78.1%

@ 1.20+1.4%

Under

21.9%

@ 3.94-1.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.22

Marathonbet

1.19

1xBet

1.18

Under

Bet365

4.00

1xBet

3.94

Marathonbet

3.88

Rīgas FS over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

44.8%

@ 2.06-0.2%

Under

55.2%

@ 1.69+0.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.17

Marathonbet

2.04

1xBet

2.04

Bet365

2.00

Under

Bet365

1.73

1xBet

1.68

Marathonbet

1.68

Pinnacle

1.67

Rīgas FS over/under 2.5Actual: Over

Over

19.6%

@ 4.33-1.6%

Under

80.4%

@ 1.16+1.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

4.33

Marathonbet

4.33

1xBet

4.33

Under

Bet365

1.20

1xBet

1.14

Marathonbet

1.14

Rīgas FS over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

6.8%

@ 9.25-3.2%

Under

93.2%

@ 1.03+3.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

10.00

Bet365

8.50

Under

Bet365

1.05

1xBet

1.01

Riga over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

76.8%

@ 1.26+3.8%

Under

23.2%

@ 3.41-3.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.30

1xBet

1.24

Marathonbet

1.24

Under

1xBet

3.42

Marathonbet

3.42

Bet365

3.40

Riga over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

43.0%

@ 2.34+3.3%

Under

57.0%

@ 1.54-3.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.38

Pinnacle

2.36

Marathonbet

2.31

1xBet

2.31

Under

Pinnacle

1.57

Bet365

1.53

Marathonbet

1.53

1xBet

1.53

Riga over/under 2.5Actual: Over

Over

18.2%

@ 5.17+0.5%

Under

81.8%

@ 1.11-0.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.25

Marathonbet

5.25

Bet365

5.00

Under

Bet365

1.14

Marathonbet

1.09

1xBet

1.09

Riga over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

6.1%

@ 10.00-3.2%

Under

93.9%

@ 1.03+3.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

10.00

Under

Bet365

1.03

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Rīgas FS, so a minus line means Rīgas FS give that many goals of a start and Riga receive them. At -1, Rīgas FS must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rīgas FS win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Rīgas FS)Actual: Riga

Rīgas FS -2

7.4%

@ 8.80-2.7%

Draw -2

11.6%

@ 6.55-2.0%

Riga +2

81.1%

@ 1.16+4.7%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

9.10

Bet365

8.50

Draw

Marathonbet

6.60

Bet365

6.50

Away

Bet365

1.18

Marathonbet

1.14

Handicap -1 (Rīgas FS)Actual: Riga

Rīgas FS -1

18.9%

@ 4.27-1.7%

Draw -1

18.9%

@ 4.06-2.8%

Riga +1

62.1%

@ 1.53+4.5%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

4.50

Marathonbet

4.30

Bet365

4.00

Draw

Betfair

4.20

Bet365

4.00

Marathonbet

3.98

Away

Bet365

1.55

Betfair

1.53

Marathonbet

1.51

Handicap +1 (Rīgas FS)Actual: Rīgas FS

Rīgas FS +1

64.5%

@ 1.36+0.2%

Draw +1

18.2%

@ 4.45-1.4%

Riga -1

17.3%

@ 5.47+1.3%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

1.36

Bet365

1.36

Draw

Bet365

4.50

Marathonbet

4.40

Away

Bet365

5.50

Marathonbet

5.45

Handicap +2 (Rīgas FS)Actual: Rīgas FS

Rīgas FS +2

82.7%

@ 1.11+1.5%

Draw +2

10.7%

@ 8.00-0.5%

Riga -2

6.5%

@ 12.00-1.0%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.11

Draw

Bet365

8.00

Away

Bet365

12.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Rīgas FS

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.6

Avg scored

1.2

Avg conceded

0.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.13	0.63	1.40	0.87	0.87	0.40
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (12)	0.42	0.75	0.50	1.17	0.33	0.33
vs Weaker (18)	1.61	0.56	2.00	0.67	1.22	0.44
Clean sheet %	60% (+32pp vs league)

This opponent (Riga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Riga

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.4

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.83	0.40	0.88	0.31	0.79	0.50
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (5)	0.00	0.60	0.00	1.00	0.00	0.33
vs Weaker (25)	1.00	0.36	1.00	0.21	1.00	0.55
Clean sheet %	67% (+38pp vs league)

This opponent (Rīgas FS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

73.2%

@ 1.31+2.6%

Under 0.5

26.8%

@ 3.14-2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.33

Bet365

1.33

Pinnacle

1.32

Betfair

1.30

William Hil

1.30

Under

William Hil

3.25

Bet365

3.25

Betfair

3.20

Pinnacle

3.12

BetVictor

3.10

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

33.7%

@ 2.50-3.1%

Under 1.5

66.3%

@ 1.45+3.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

2.63

BetVictor

2.55

Pinnacle

2.54

Bet365

2.50

1xBet

2.47

Under

Bet365

1.50

Pinnacle

1.49

BetVictor

1.45

William Hil

1.44

Marathonbet

1.44

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

13.6%

@ 6.13-1.5%

Under 2.5

86.4%

@ 1.09+1.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

7.00

William Hil

6.00

Bet365

6.00

Betfair

6.00

1xBet

5.90

Under

Bet365

1.11

Betfair

1.11

William Hil

1.11

Marathonbet

1.07

BetVictor

1.07

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Rīgas FS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

47.1%

@ 1.87-2.1%

Under

52.9%

@ 1.81+2.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.91

Marathonbet

1.85

1xBet

1.85

Under

Pinnacle

1.85

Marathonbet

1.79

1xBet

1.79

Rīgas FS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

13.8%

@ 5.70-2.1%

Under

86.2%

@ 1.08+2.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

5.70

1xBet

5.70

Under

Marathonbet

1.08

1xBet

1.08

Rīgas FS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

3.3%

Under

96.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Riga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

49.1%

@ 2.03+3.7%

Under

50.9%

@ 1.69-3.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.07

1xBet

2.01

Marathonbet

2.01

Under

Pinnacle

1.72

1xBet

1.67

Marathonbet

1.67

Riga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

13.9%

@ 6.55-0.0%

Under

86.1%

@ 1.06+0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

6.55

1xBet

6.55

Under

1xBet

1.06

Marathonbet

1.06

Riga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

3.3%

Under

96.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Rīgas FS

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.7

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.10	0.63	1.40	0.60	0.80	0.67
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (12)	0.50	0.75	0.50	0.50	0.50	1.00
vs Weaker (18)	1.50	0.56	2.00	0.67	1.00	0.44
Clean sheet %	50% (+22pp vs league)

This opponent (Riga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Riga

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.6

Avg scored

1.3

Avg conceded

0.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.33	0.47	1.75	0.31	0.86	0.64
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (5)	0.80	0.60	2.00	1.00	0.00	0.33
vs Weaker (25)	1.44	0.44	1.71	0.21	1.09	0.73
Clean sheet %	67% (+38pp vs league)

This opponent (Rīgas FS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

80.5%

@ 1.18+2.5%

Under 0.5

19.5%

@ 4.18-2.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.20

Bet365

1.20

Marathonbet

1.16

1xBet

1.16

Under

Bet365

4.33

1xBet

4.20

Marathonbet

4.20

William Hil

4.00

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

42.3%

@ 1.93-5.7%

Under 1.5

57.7%

@ 1.77+5.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.95

Marathonbet

1.92

1xBet

1.92

Bet365

1.91

Under

Bet365

1.80

Marathonbet

1.77

1xBet

1.77

William Hil

1.75

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

20.2%

@ 3.92-3.2%

Under 2.5

79.8%

@ 1.20+3.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

4.00

Bet365

4.00

Marathonbet

3.84

1xBet

3.84

Under

Bet365

1.22

William Hil

1.20

1xBet

1.18

Marathonbet

1.18

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Rīgas FS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

51.8%

@ 1.62-4.8%

Under

48.2%

@ 2.12+4.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.64

Marathonbet

1.60

Under

1xBet

2.12

Marathonbet

2.11

Rīgas FS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over

Over

15.1%

@ 4.10-7.2%

Under

84.9%

@ 1.18+7.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

4.10

1xBet

4.10

Under

1xBet

1.18

Marathonbet

1.17

Rīgas FS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over

Over

3.4%

Under

96.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Riga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

58.4%

@ 1.74+5.5%

Under

41.6%

@ 1.95-5.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.76

Marathonbet

1.71

Under

Marathonbet

1.95

1xBet

1.95

Riga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over

Over

20.0%

@ 4.75+0.7%

Under

80.0%

@ 1.14-0.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

4.80

Marathonbet

4.70

Under

1xBet

1.14

Marathonbet

1.13

Riga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

4.9%

Under

95.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	98.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	96.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	96.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+4.0%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	96.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	96.6%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 2H goals	95.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	93.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.2%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	93.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.05	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+3.2%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	91.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.05	Betfair 1.04	1xBet 1.04	-	-	+1.4%	✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals	86.4%	1.09	Bet365 1.11	Betfair 1.11	William Hil 1.11	Marathonbet 1.07	BetVictor 1.07	+1.5%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	86.2%	1.08	Marathonbet 1.08	1xBet 1.08	-	-	-	+2.1%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	86.1%	1.06	1xBet 1.06	Marathonbet 1.06	-	-	-	+0.0%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	84.9%	1.18	1xBet 1.18	Marathonbet 1.17	-	-	-	+7.2%	✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap	82.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+1.5%	✓ Hit
Under 4.5	81.9%	1.12	Bet365 1.14	Betfair 1.14	Marathonbet 1.11	1xBet 1.11	-	-0.1%	✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals	81.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.14	Marathonbet 1.09	1xBet 1.09	-	-	-0.5%	✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls	81.6%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Away +2 handicap	81.1%	1.16	Bet365 1.18	Marathonbet 1.14	-	-	-	+4.7%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	80.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.22	BetVictor 1.22	Betfair 1.22	Unibet 1.19	Marathonbet 1.18	+4.4%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	80.5%	1.18	William Hil 1.20	Bet365 1.20	Marathonbet 1.16	1xBet 1.16	-	+2.5%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals	80.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.20	1xBet 1.14	Marathonbet 1.14	-	-	+1.6%	✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals	80.0%	1.14	1xBet 1.14	Marathonbet 1.13	-	-	-	-0.7%	✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals	79.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.22	William Hil 1.20	1xBet 1.18	Marathonbet 1.18	-	+3.2%	✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards	78.4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Home over 0.5 goals	78.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.22	Marathonbet 1.19	1xBet 1.18	-	-	+1.4%	✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals	76.8%	1.26	Bet365 1.30	1xBet 1.24	Marathonbet 1.24	-	-	+3.8%	✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards	76.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Over 8.5 corners	74.2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Home or Away	73.4%	1.25	William Hil 1.30	BetVictor 1.29	Betano 1.29	Superbet 1.25	SBO 1.24	+0.5%	✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals	73.2%	1.31	BetVictor 1.33	Bet365 1.33	Pinnacle 1.32	Betfair 1.30	William Hil 1.30	+2.6%	✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Rīgas FS · 2024/25

Anytime goalscorer

Matches in which the player scored

Žiga Lipušček14%

Roberts Savaļnieks12%

Jānis Ikaunieks12%

Lasha Odisharia12%

Adam Markhiyev12%

Fabrice Ondoa0%

Luka Silagadze0%

Stefan Panić0%

Herdi Prenga0%

Darko Lemajić0%

Elvis Stuglis0%

Alain Cedric Herve Kouadio0%

Daniels Balodis0%

Dmitrijs Zelenkovs0%

Victor Osuagwu0%

Haruna Njie0%

Rostand Ndjiki0%

To be booked (yellow)

Matches in which the player was booked

Stefan Panić38%

Jānis Ikaunieks25%

Adam Markhiyev25%

Roberts Savaļnieks12%

Herdi Prenga12%

Lasha Odisharia12%

Fabrice Ondoa0%

Luka Silagadze0%

Darko Lemajić0%

Elvis Stuglis0%

Alain Cedric Herve Kouadio0%

Daniels Balodis0%

Žiga Lipušček0%

Dmitrijs Zelenkovs0%

Victor Osuagwu0%

Haruna Njie0%

Rostand Ndjiki0%

Anytime assist

Matches in which the player assisted

Jānis Ikaunieks12%

Stefan Panić12%

Fabrice Ondoa0%

Luka Silagadze0%

Roberts Savaļnieks0%

Herdi Prenga0%

Darko Lemajić0%

Elvis Stuglis0%

Alain Cedric Herve Kouadio0%

Daniels Balodis0%

Žiga Lipušček0%

Dmitrijs Zelenkovs0%

Lasha Odisharia0%

Victor Osuagwu0%

Adam Markhiyev0%

Haruna Njie0%

Rostand Ndjiki0%

Over 2.5 shots

Matches with 3+ shots taken

Jānis Ikaunieks25%

Darko Lemajić25%

Adam Markhiyev12%

Fabrice Ondoa0%

Luka Silagadze0%

Roberts Savaļnieks0%

Stefan Panić0%

Herdi Prenga0%

Elvis Stuglis0%

Alain Cedric Herve Kouadio0%

Daniels Balodis0%

Žiga Lipušček0%

Dmitrijs Zelenkovs0%

Lasha Odisharia0%

Victor Osuagwu0%

Haruna Njie0%

Rostand Ndjiki0%

Riga · 2023/24

Anytime goalscorer

Matches in which the player scored

Ngonda Muzinga33%

Mouhamed El Bachir Ngom33%

Anthony Contreras25%

Gauthier Mankenda25%

Mikael Soisalo0%

Petar Bosančić0%

Douglas Aurélio0%

Miloš Jojić0%

Antonijs Černomordijs0%

Abdulrahman Taiwo0%

Raivis Jurkovskis0%

Nils Purins0%

Marko Regža0%

Hrvoje Babec0%

Eduards Daskevics0%

Baba Musah0%

Brian Peña0%

To be booked (yellow)

Matches in which the player was booked

Antonijs Černomordijs50%

Baba Musah50%

Ngonda Muzinga33%

Anthony Contreras25%

Petar Bosančić25%

Abdulrahman Taiwo25%

Gauthier Mankenda25%

Mikael Soisalo0%

Douglas Aurélio0%

Miloš Jojić0%

Raivis Jurkovskis0%

Nils Purins0%

Marko Regža0%

Hrvoje Babec0%

Eduards Daskevics0%

Mouhamed El Bachir Ngom0%

Brian Peña0%

Anytime assist

Matches in which the player assisted

Ngonda Muzinga33%

Douglas Aurélio25%

Gauthier Mankenda25%

Mikael Soisalo0%

Anthony Contreras0%

Petar Bosančić0%

Miloš Jojić0%

Antonijs Černomordijs0%

Abdulrahman Taiwo0%

Raivis Jurkovskis0%

Nils Purins0%

Marko Regža0%

Hrvoje Babec0%

Eduards Daskevics0%

Baba Musah0%

Mouhamed El Bachir Ngom0%

Brian Peña0%

Over 2.5 shots

Matches with 3+ shots taken

Anthony Contreras25%

Antonijs Černomordijs25%

Baba Musah25%

Ngonda Muzinga0%

Mikael Soisalo0%

Petar Bosančić0%

Douglas Aurélio0%

Miloš Jojić0%

Abdulrahman Taiwo0%

Raivis Jurkovskis0%

Nils Purins0%

Marko Regža0%

Gauthier Mankenda0%

Hrvoje Babec0%

Eduards Daskevics0%

Mouhamed El Bachir Ngom0%

Brian Peña0%

Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RIG (27)

€16m

RF (29)

€11m

AUD (25)

€6m

FL (21)

€5m

OU (27)

€3m

SN (24)

€3m

GRO (25)

€3m

FJ (23)

€3m

BD (21)

€3m

TUK (20)

€2m

Rīgas FS's squad is €4m less valuable than Riga's (€11m vs €16m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RIG (10)

€7m

RF (15)

€6m

AUD (11)

€3m

FL (7)

€2m

OU (12)

€2m

GRO (10)

€1m

SN (8)

€1m

FJ (8)

€1m

TUK (7)

€1m

BD (7)

€1m

Rīgas FS and Riga have a similar attack value (both €6m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RIG (5)

€3m

RF (4)

€2m

SN (6)

€1m

FL (4)

€1m

BD (6)

€1m

OU (4)

€1m

GRO (6)

€1m

FJ (5)

€0m

AUD (3)

€0m

TUK (3)

€0m

Rīgas FS and Riga have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RIG (12)

€6m

RF (10)

€3m

AUD (11)

€3m

FL (10)

€2m

FJ (10)

€1m

GRO (9)

€1m

TUK (10)

€1m

OU (11)

€1m

BD (8)

€1m

SN (10)

€1m

Rīgas FS's defence is €3m less valuable than Riga's (€3m vs €6m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings

RF wins

Draws

RIG wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Rīgas FS vs Riga · H/A from RF

Date	H/A	Game	Score
07/11/25	A	Riga Vs RF	3-4
25/09/25	H	RF Vs Riga	0-0
18/06/25	A	Riga Vs RF	3-1
26/04/25	H	RF Vs Riga	0-1
10/11/24	H	RF Vs Riga	1-2
25/08/24	A	Riga Vs RF	0-0
16/06/24	H	RF Vs Riga	2-2
27/04/24	A	Riga Vs RF	1-2

Rīgas FS

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
13/08/26	H	RF Vs FK Jablonec	1-2
10/08/26	H	RF Vs Grobiņa	6-1
06/08/26	A	FK Jablonec Vs RF	2-0
30/07/26	A	Vestri Vs RF	1-1
27/07/26	A	Tukums Vs RF	0-1
20/07/26	A	FS Jelgava Vs RF	0-1
04/07/26	H	RF Vs Auda	1-1
30/06/26	H	RF Vs BFC Daugavpils	3-1
07/11/25	A	Riga Vs RF	3-4
02/11/25	A	Super Nova Vs RF	1-3

Riga

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
20/08/26	A	KI Klaksvik Vs RIG	0-0
13/08/26	A	Gyori ETO FC Vs RIG	1-1
09/08/26	H	RIG Vs Ogre United	4-1
06/08/26	H	RIG Vs Gyori ETO FC	1-0
02/08/26	H	RIG Vs Grobiņa	4-0
18/07/26	H	RIG Vs Tukums	3-1
03/07/26	H	RIG Vs FS Jelgava	3-0
29/06/26	A	Auda Vs RIG	0-2
07/11/25	H	RIG Vs Rīgas FS	3-4
02/11/25	A	Grobiņa Vs RIG	1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Rīgas FS

Latvia: Virsliga

Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WDLWL	2.04
Home	WWDWL	2.16
Away	WWWDL	1.92

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	64%	68%	60%
AVG goals	3.48	3.76	3.20
Over 1.5 %	72%	80%	64%
Over 2.5 %	62%	68%	56%
Over 3.5 %	48%	52%	44%
Scored	2.34	2.68	2.00
Conceded	1.14	1.08	1.20
BTTS	60%	64%	56%
Clean Sheet	28%	32%	24%
Corners	8.50	9.00	8.00
Cards	2.60	2.33	3.00

Riga

Latvia: Virsliga

Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WWWDD	2.36
Home	WWWWW	2.46
Away	WDWDD	2.25

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	72%	77%	67%
AVG goals	3.02	3.04	3.00
Over 1.5 %	80%	88%	71%
Over 2.5 %	54%	62%	46%
Over 3.5 %	34%	31%	38%
Scored	2.26	2.42	2.08
Conceded	0.76	0.62	0.92
BTTS	44%	38%	50%
Clean Sheet	54%	62%	46%
Corners	12.33	9.00	14.00
Cards	3.00	2.00	3.50

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Rīgas FS	7	17	71%	2.4	18	6	+12	3.4	71%	57%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	11	6	2	3	2.6	0.9	-
2	Riga	7	16	71%	2.3	21	8	+13	4.1	100%	86%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	16	7	3	6	3.0	1.1	-
3	FK Liepaja	8	15	62%	1.9	16	10	+6	3.2	88%	75%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	2	1	2	2.0	1.2	-
4	Auda	7	14	57%	2.0	8	4	+4	1.7	57%	14%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	3	0	3	1.1	0.6	-
5	BFC Daugavpils	8	13	50%	1.6	12	7	+5	2.4	62%	50%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.5	0.9	-
6	Super Nova	6	8	33%	1.3	7	6	+1	2.2	83%	50%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.2	1.0	-
7	Grobiņa	7	7	29%	1.0	8	18	-10	3.7	86%	71%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.1	2.6	-
8	FS Jelgava	7	6	29%	0.9	8	12	-4	2.9	71%	57%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	0	1	1.1	1.7	-
9	Ogre United	7	4	14%	0.6	7	21	-14	4.0	100%	100%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	2	1	1	1.0	3.0	-
10	Tukums	8	3	12%	0.4	6	19	-13	3.1	88%	75%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	0.8	2.4	-

Latvia: Virsliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: Virsliga stats & trends →

← all matches

Rīgas FS vs Riga Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Rīgas FS

Riga

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Rīgas FS

Riga

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Rīgas FS

Riga

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

🎽 13. Player market rates

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Rīgas FS

Riga

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature