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Rilindja 1974 vs Dinamo Ferizaj Result & Analysis

Date: 16/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 3-4
Rilindja 1974
Rilindja 1974
Vs
34%
30%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dinamo Ferizaj
Dinamo Ferizaj
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Rilindja 1974 and Dinamo Ferizaj is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. The expected total of 2.5 goals points to a modestly high-scoring affair, yet the most likely total remains two. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.1% chance. Rilindja, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 0.67 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Dinamo, on the road against a weaker opponent, nets 1.57 and concedes 1.43. Home win probability stands at 34%, draw at 30%, and away win at 37%. Suggested picks include Under 3.5 with a 76.0% probability and Over 1.5 with a 72.3% probability. The model’s selection for the match result is an away win. The recent form shows Rilindja coming off a draw, whereas Dinamo is on a two-game winning streak, adding to the uncertainty of the outcome.

Results analysis

Rilindja 1974 entered the match on a streak of one draw and a string of losses, while Dinamo Ferizaj rode a two-game winning run. The final score of 3-4 gave the away side a win, exactly as the model predicted, confirming the model_pick of Away win with a 37% probability. The total goals, 7, far exceeded the expected 2.5 and the most likely 2, showing a high-scoring affair. The model’s suggested picks were mixed: Under 3.5, with a 76% chance, missed, whereas Over 1.5, at 72.3%, hit. The model’s overall call was correct, but the goal tally proved much higher than anticipated.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rilindja 1974 win✗ Miss
33.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Ferizaj win✓ Hit
36.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Rilindja 1974Rilindja 1974

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D14L00D00D21W10W11D11D20W13LH·FER07/03A·2 K14/03H·IST22/03A·PRI29/03H·TRE06/04A·RAM11/04H·VËL19/04A·FC 26/04H·KIK03/05A·SUH09/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.471.201.130.671.80
vs Stronger (6)0.671.500.671.000.672.00
vs Similar (22)1.051.361.361.000.731.73
vs Weaker (2)0.502.501.003.000.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Ferizaj) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W10W20W32W20W12L32W10W32W02LH·2 K08/03A·IST14/03H·PRI22/03A·TRE29/03H·RAM05/04A·VËL11/04H·FC 19/04A·KIK25/04H·SUH03/05A·TRE09/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.002.070.531.531.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.501.502.001.001.002.00
vs Weaker (28)1.820.962.070.501.571.43
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Rilindja 1974) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.3%
Under 1.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.3%
Under 2.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.0%
Under 3.5
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.9%
No
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.6%
0-1
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
Rilindja 1974 goals ↓
Dinamo Ferizaj goals →
01234
09.6%9.3%6.7%2.9%0.9%
18.8%14%8.2%3.5%1.1%
26.1%7.8%5.0%2.1%0.7%
32.5%3.2%2.0%0.9%0.3%
40.8%1.0%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rilindja 1974 goals (down), columns = Dinamo Ferizaj goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vushtrria
2.21
Feronikeli
2.18
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Istogu
0.94
KEK-u
0.64
Prizreni
0.59
Rilindja 1974 is 1.15 points worse than Dinamo Ferizaj in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 2.09).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Vushtrria
1.82
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Liria Prizren
1.76
Suhareka
1.76
Feronikeli
1.74
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Vjosa
1.15
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Prizreni
0.82
KEK-u
0.76
Kika
0.74
Rilindja 1974 is 0.79 goals worse than Dinamo Ferizaj in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.79).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Feronikeli
0.65
Vushtrria
0.76
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Vjosa
1.79
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
KEK-u
1.91
Prizreni
1.94
Rilindja 1974 is 0.65 goals worse than Dinamo Ferizaj in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 1.15).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Rilindja 1974Rilindja 1974

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L21W02L00D00D10W00D11D00D00DA·VUS28/02H·FER07/03A·2 K14/03H·IST22/03A·PRI29/03H·TRE06/04A·RAM11/04H·VËL19/04H·KIK03/05A·SUH09/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.360.720.540.690.170.75
vs Stronger (5)0.401.000.500.500.331.33
vs Similar (18)0.390.500.600.600.120.38
vs Weaker (2)0.002.000.002.000.002.00
Clean sheet %52% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Ferizaj) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D10W10W00D20W10W11D00DH·VUS21/02A·FER28/02A·IST14/03H·PRI22/03H·RAM05/04A·VËL11/04H·FC 19/04A·KIK25/04H·SUH03/05A·TRE09/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.790.311.070.200.500.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.000.002.000.000.000.00
vs Weaker (27)0.780.331.000.210.540.46
Clean sheet %76% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Rilindja 1974) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Rilindja 1974Rilindja 1974

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L12L00D00D11D10W00D20W13LA·VUS28/02H·FER07/03A·2 K14/03H·IST22/03A·PRI29/03H·TRE06/04A·RAM11/04H·VËL19/04H·KIK03/05A·SUH09/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.440.800.460.620.421.00
vs Stronger (5)0.200.600.000.500.330.67
vs Similar (18)0.500.890.500.600.501.25
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %44% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Ferizaj) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L10W10W10W12L12L00D21W02LH·VUS21/02A·FER28/02A·IST14/03H·PRI22/03H·RAM05/04A·VËL11/04H·FC 19/04A·KIK25/04H·SUH03/05A·TRE09/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.860.660.800.330.931.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)0.501.500.001.001.002.00
vs Weaker (27)0.890.590.860.290.920.92
Clean sheet %52% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Rilindja 1974) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.572.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (27)
€2m
VUS (19)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
R1 wins
0
Draws
1
DF wins

Head-to-head

Rilindja 1974 vs Dinamo Ferizaj · H/A from R1
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/25ADinamo Ferizaj Vs R14-0

Rilindja 1974Rilindja 1974

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26ASuhareka Vs R13-1
03/05/26HR1 Vs Kika2-0
26/04/26AFC Besa Peja Vs R11-1
19/04/26HR1 Vs Vëllaznimi1-1
11/04/26ARamiz Sadiku Vs R10-1
06/04/26HR1 Vs Trepça Mitrovicë2-1
29/03/26APrizreni Vs R10-0
22/03/26HR1 Vs Istogu0-0
14/03/26A2 Korriku Vs R14-1
07/03/26HR1 Vs Feronikeli2-2

Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26ATrepça'89 Vs DF2-0
03/05/26HDF Vs Suhareka3-2
25/04/26AKika Vs DF0-1
19/04/26HDF Vs FC Besa Peja3-2
11/04/26AVëllaznimi Vs DF2-1
05/04/26HDF Vs Ramiz Sadiku2-0
29/03/26ATrepça Mitrovicë Vs DF2-3
22/03/26HDF Vs Prizreni2-0
14/03/26AIstogu Vs DF0-1
08/03/26HDF Vs 2 Korriku4-1

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Rilindja 1974
Rilindja 1974
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWL1.00
HomeDDWDW1.44
AwayLDWDL0.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%38%12%
AVG goals2.502.442.56
Over 1.5 %81%81%81%
Over 2.5 %47%44%50%
Over 3.5 %28%25%31%
Scored0.941.190.69
Conceded1.561.251.88
BTTS56%62%50%
Clean Sheet22%19%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Dinamo Ferizaj
Dinamo Ferizaj
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL2.12
HomeWWWWW2.62
AwayWWLWL1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%81%50%
AVG goals2.722.562.88
Over 1.5 %72%81%62%
Over 2.5 %50%44%56%
Over 3.5 %31%25%38%
Scored1.752.001.50
Conceded0.970.561.38
BTTS50%44%56%
Clean Sheet41%56%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VushtrriaVushtrria3475
65%
2.2
6226+36
2.6
74%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.8
-
2FeronikeliFeronikeli3474
65%
2.2
5922+37
2.4
71%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.70.6
-
3Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren3471
62%
2.1
6029+31
2.6
65%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
4Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj3471
65%
2.1
6139+22
2.9
74%
53%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.1
-
5TrepçaTrepça'893470
59%
2.1
7233+39
3.1
82%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.0
-
6VëllaznimiVëllaznimi3470
62%
2.1
5832+26
2.6
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
7Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku3450
41%
1.5
3929+10
2.0
59%
32%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
8SuharekaSuhareka3444
38%
1.3
6061-1
3.6
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Tefik CangaTefik Canga3440
35%
1.2
4854-6
3.0
79%
56%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
102 Korriku2 Korriku3439
32%
1.1
5264-12
3.4
91%
68%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.9
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja3335
27%
1.1
3952-13
2.8
70%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
12VjosaVjosa3435
26%
1.0
3961-22
2.9
76%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
13Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë3434
26%
1.0
4962-13
3.3
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
14KikaKika3433
26%
1.0
2543-18
2.0
59%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
15IstoguIstogu3432
21%
0.9
4760-13
3.1
74%
50%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
16Rilindja 1974Rilindja 19743432
24%
0.9
3461-27
2.8
82%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
17KEK-uKEK-u3321
12%
0.6
2563-38
2.7
79%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
18PrizreniPrizreni3420
9%
0.6
2866-38
2.8
79%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

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