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Rilindja 1974 vs Istogu Result & Analysis

Date: 22/03/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 0-0
Rilindja 1974
Rilindja 1974
Vs
45%
28%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Istogu
Istogu
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rilindja 1974 win✗ Miss
44.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Istogu win✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Rilindja 1974Rilindja 1974

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W04L01L02L02L02L11D02L22D14LH·SUH01/11A·DIN08/11H·TRE16/11A·LIR22/11H·TEF07/02A·VJO15/02H·KEK21/02A·VUS28/02H·FER07/03A·2 K14/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.921.831.171.500.672.17
vs Stronger (3)0.332.330.001.000.503.00
vs Similar (19)1.051.681.301.400.782.00
vs Weaker (2)0.502.501.003.000.002.00
Clean sheet %12% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Istogu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IstoguIstogu

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L02L10W23L12L23L03L11D31W01LA·2 K02/11A·TRE08/11H·PRI15/11H·TRE22/11A·RAM07/02H·VËL15/02A·FC 22/02H·KIK28/02A·SUH08/03H·DIN14/03
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.081.501.421.000.752.00
vs Stronger (5)0.601.801.002.000.331.67
vs Similar (18)1.281.441.500.801.002.25
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %21% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Rilindja 1974) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.7%
Under 1.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.8%
Under 2.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.8%
Under 3.5
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.5%
No
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-0 ✓
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
Rilindja 1974 goals ↓
Istogu goals →
01234
08.2%6.7%4.6%1.7%0.5%
19.4%13%6.9%2.6%0.8%
28.1%9.2%5.3%2.0%0.6%
34.1%4.7%2.7%1.0%0.3%
41.6%1.8%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rilindja 1974 goals (down), columns = Istogu goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vushtrria
2.21
Feronikeli
2.18
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Istogu
0.94
KEK-u
0.64
Prizreni
0.59
Rilindja 1974 and Istogu are level in average points per game (both 0.94).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Vushtrria
1.82
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Feronikeli
1.74
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Prizreni
0.82
KEK-u
0.76
Kika
0.74
Rilindja 1974 is 0.38 goals worse than Istogu in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.38).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Feronikeli
0.65
Vushtrria
0.76
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Liria Prizren
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Suhareka
1.79
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
KEK-u
1.91
Prizreni
1.94
Rilindja 1974 is 0.03 goals worse than Istogu in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 1.76).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Rilindja 1974Rilindja 1974

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L00D00D00D01L11D02L21W02LH·FC 22/10A·DIN08/11H·TRE16/11A·LIR22/11H·TEF07/02A·VJO15/02H·KEK21/02A·VUS28/02H·FER07/03A·2 K14/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.390.940.560.890.221.00
vs Stronger (3)0.331.330.000.000.502.00
vs Similar (13)0.460.690.710.860.170.50
vs Weaker (2)0.002.000.002.000.002.00
Clean sheet %39% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Istogu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IstoguIstogu

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L02L10W01L02L12L01L10W00DH·FER26/10A·2 K02/11A·TRE08/11H·PRI15/11H·TRE22/11A·RAM07/02H·VËL15/02A·FC 22/02H·KIK28/02H·DIN14/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.760.550.360.101.20
vs Stronger (4)0.251.250.501.000.001.50
vs Similar (16)0.380.690.560.220.141.29
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %52% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Rilindja 1974) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istogu over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istogu over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istogu over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Rilindja 1974Rilindja 1974

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L01L02L02L01L00D00D01L12LH·FC 22/10A·DIN08/11H·TRE16/11A·LIR22/11H·TEF07/02A·VJO15/02H·KEK21/02A·VUS28/02H·FER07/03A·2 K14/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.890.330.780.331.00
vs Stronger (3)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.380.920.290.710.501.17
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Istogu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IstoguIstogu

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D00D22D10W11D02L01L01LH·FER26/10A·2 K02/11A·TRE08/11H·PRI15/11H·TRE22/11A·RAM07/02H·VËL15/02A·FC 22/02H·KIK28/02H·DIN14/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.760.820.550.401.00
vs Stronger (4)0.250.750.501.000.000.50
vs Similar (16)0.750.750.890.440.571.14
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %38% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Rilindja 1974) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istogu over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istogu over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istogu over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.572.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (14)
€3m
VUS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (7)
€1m
VUS (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (2)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (5)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
R1 wins
1
Draws
0
IST wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Rilindja 1974 vs Istogu · H/A from R1
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25AIstogu Vs R10-0

Rilindja 1974Rilindja 1974

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/03/26A2 Korriku Vs R14-1
07/03/26HR1 Vs Feronikeli2-2
28/02/26AVushtrria Vs R12-0
21/02/26HR1 Vs KEK-u1-1
15/02/26AVjosa Vs R12-0
07/02/26HR1 Vs Tefik Canga0-2
22/11/25ALiria Prizren Vs R12-0
16/11/25HR1 Vs Trepça'890-1
08/11/25ADinamo Ferizaj Vs R14-0
01/11/25HR1 Vs Suhareka2-1

IstoguIstogu

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/03/26HIST Vs Dinamo Ferizaj0-1
08/03/26ASuhareka Vs IST1-3
28/02/26HIST Vs Kika1-1
22/02/26AFC Besa Peja Vs IST3-0
15/02/26HIST Vs Vëllaznimi2-3
07/02/26ARamiz Sadiku Vs IST2-1
22/11/25HIST Vs Trepça Mitrovicë2-3
15/11/25HIST Vs Prizreni1-0
08/11/25ATrepça'89 Vs IST2-0
02/11/25A2 Korriku Vs IST3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Rilindja 1974
Rilindja 1974
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDL0.79
HomeWLLDD1.25
AwayLLLLL0.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %21%33%8%
AVG goals2.752.672.83
Over 1.5 %88%83%92%
Over 2.5 %54%50%58%
Over 3.5 %33%33%33%
Scored0.921.170.67
Conceded1.831.502.17
BTTS58%67%50%
Clean Sheet12%8%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Istogu
Istogu
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWL0.92
HomeWLLDL1.33
AwayLLLLW0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %21%33%8%
AVG goals2.582.422.75
Over 1.5 %71%50%92%
Over 2.5 %42%33%50%
Over 3.5 %29%33%25%
Scored1.081.420.75
Conceded1.501.002.00
BTTS50%42%58%
Clean Sheet21%42%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VushtrriaVushtrria3475
65%
2.2
6226+36
2.6
74%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.8
-
2FeronikeliFeronikeli3474
65%
2.2
5922+37
2.4
71%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.70.6
-
3Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren3471
62%
2.1
6029+31
2.6
65%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
4Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj3471
65%
2.1
6139+22
2.9
74%
53%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.1
-
5TrepçaTrepça'893470
59%
2.1
7233+39
3.1
82%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.0
-
6VëllaznimiVëllaznimi3470
62%
2.1
5832+26
2.6
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
7Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku3450
41%
1.5
3929+10
2.0
59%
32%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
8SuharekaSuhareka3444
38%
1.3
6061-1
3.6
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Tefik CangaTefik Canga3440
35%
1.2
4854-6
3.0
79%
56%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
102 Korriku2 Korriku3439
32%
1.1
5264-12
3.4
91%
68%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.9
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja3335
27%
1.1
3952-13
2.8
70%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
12VjosaVjosa3435
26%
1.0
3961-22
2.9
76%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
13Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë3434
26%
1.0
4962-13
3.3
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
14KikaKika3433
26%
1.0
2543-18
2.0
59%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
15IstoguIstogu3432
21%
0.9
4760-13
3.1
74%
50%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
16Rilindja 1974Rilindja 19743432
24%
0.9
3461-27
2.8
82%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
17KEK-uKEK-u3321
12%
0.6
2563-38
2.7
79%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
18PrizreniPrizreni3420
9%
0.6
2866-38
2.8
79%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

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