Rilindja 1974 are tipped to win, with a 47 % chance of triumph, a 28 % chance of a draw, and a 25 % chance of a Vjosa victory. The model projects an average of 2.7 goals, centring on a 2-goal total that is 26 % likely. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.2 % probability, reflecting the balanced offensive and defensive figures: Rilindja average 1.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded at home against similar opposition, while Vjosa averages 0.73 scored and 1.09 conceded away. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.4 %), Under 6.5 (98.1 %), Away under 3.5 goals (97.5 %), Under 5.5 (94.7 %), Home under 3.5 goals (92.5 %), Away under 2.5 goals (90.4 %), Home +2 handicap (90.0 %), and Under 4.5 (86.9 %). Rilindja’s recent draw against Ferizaj and Vjosa’s win over Prishtina e Re set a narrative of a cautious yet potentially open encounter.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rilindja 1974 win
47.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vjosa win
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Rilindja 1974
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.67
1.14
1.21
0.69
2.06
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
3.00
1.33
2.00
0.50
3.75
vs Similar (22)
0.95
1.23
1.09
1.00
0.82
1.45
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Vjosa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vjosa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.50
1.60
1.53
0.87
1.47
vs Stronger (4)
1.75
2.25
2.50
2.00
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (24)
1.12
1.33
1.50
1.50
0.75
1.17
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
2.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Rilindja 1974) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
75.8%
Under 1.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50.0%
Under 2.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
28.0%
Under 3.5
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
53.9%
No
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.1%
Rilindja 1974 goals ↓
Vjosa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.1%
6.3%
4.1%
1.5%
0.4%
1
9.8%
13%
6.5%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.7%
9.4%
5.1%
1.9%
0.5%
3
4.6%
5.0%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.8%
2.0%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rilindja 1974 goals (down), columns = Vjosa goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Mitrovica
1.39
Prishtina e Re
1.39
Ferizaj
1.39
KF Lepenci
1.39
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Istogu
0.94
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Rilindja 1974 is 0.09 points worse than Vjosa in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Mitrovica
1.40
Prishtina e Re
1.40
Ferizaj
1.40
KF Lepenci
1.40
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Kika
0.74
Rilindja 1974 is 0.15 goals worse than Vjosa in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.15).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
Mitrovica
1.41
Prishtina e Re
1.41
Ferizaj
1.41
KF Lepenci
1.41
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
Rilindja 1974 and Vjosa are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.79).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rilindja 1974 or Draw
75.2%
Avg Implied -
48%
27%
25%
covers Rilindja 1974 + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 or Vjosa
72.6%
Avg Implied -
48%
27%
25%
covers Rilindja 1974 + Vjosa
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Vjosa
52.2%
Avg Implied -
48%
27%
25%
covers Draw + Vjosa
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 0.5
Over
79.6%
Under
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 1.5
Over
47.1%
Under
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 2.5
Over
21.3%
Under
78.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 3.5
Over
7.7%
Under
92.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 0.5
Over
66.2%
Under
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 1.5
Over
29.5%
Under
70.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 2.5
Over
9.7%
Under
90.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 3.5
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Rilindja 1974, so a minus line means Rilindja 1974 give that many goals of a start and Vjosa receive them. At -1, Rilindja 1974 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rilindja 1974 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rilindja 1974)
Rilindja 1974 -2
10.5%
Draw -2
14.9%
Vjosa +2
74.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Rilindja 1974)
Rilindja 1974 -1
25.5%
Draw -1
22.4%
Vjosa +1
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Rilindja 1974)
Rilindja 1974 +1
75.2%
Draw +1
14.9%
Vjosa -1
9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Rilindja 1974)
Rilindja 1974 +2
90.1%
Draw +2
7.0%
Vjosa -2
2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rilindja 1974
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.34
0.83
0.47
0.67
0.21
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.43
0.33
0.33
0.50
2.25
vs Similar (20)
0.35
0.50
0.55
0.64
0.11
0.33
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
48% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Vjosa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vjosa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.62
0.75
0.43
0.29
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.20
0.00
1.50
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.39
0.77
0.69
0.40
0.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Rilindja 1974) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rilindja 1974
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.52
0.97
0.67
0.80
0.36
1.14
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.57
1.00
1.67
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.80
0.55
0.55
0.56
1.11
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
41% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Vjosa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vjosa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.07
1.06
0.69
0.43
1.50
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
2.00
2.50
0.50
0.33
3.00
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.83
0.85
0.69
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Rilindja 1974) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilindja 1974 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vjosa over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Vëllaznimi
Dinamo Ferizaj
Trepça'89
Liria Prizren
Suhareka
2 Korriku
Ramiz Sadiku
Kika
FC Besa Peja
Trepça Mitrovicë
Prishtina e Re
Istogu
KF Lepenci
Mitrovica
Ferizaj
Tefik Canga