Ross County’s home form is the clear advantage for the Pythia model, which rates a home win at 62 %. The team averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded against stronger opposition at home, while East Kilbride, playing away, averages 1.78 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against weaker teams. The model’s favourite result is a Ross County victory, reflected in the 62 % home win probability, 22 % draw, and 16 % away win. The expected total goals is 3.1, but the most likely total is 2, with a 22 % chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.3 % probability. Suggested picks include Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99 %, Under 7.5 at 98.5 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.1 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.6 %, Under 6.5 at 96.0 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 94.7 %, Home +2 handicap at 94.1 %, and Away under 2.5 2H goals at 92.9 %. Each pick’s edge is noted where provided. Ross County’s five-game winning streak and a recent 3-1 victory over Airdrie United underline the model’s confidence, while East Kilbride’s recent loss to Montrose suggests they may struggle to overturn the home advantage.
Results analysis
Ross County extended their five-game winning streak with a 4-0 triumph over East Kilbride, confirming the model’s prediction of a home win at 62%. The favourite was correct, and the result matched the expected outcome. The model’s selections performed strongly: Under 7.5 goals hit, as did Away under 3.5 goals, Away under 2.5 HT goals, Home under 2.5 HT goals, Under 6.5, Away under 2.5 2H goals, Home +2 handicap, and Away under 2.5 goals. Each hit was recorded once, with probabilities expressed as percentages: 98.5%, 98.1%, 97.6%, 97.3%, 96.0%, 95.6%, 94.1%, and 91.9% respectively. The match reinforced Ross County’s dominant form and the model’s accuracy.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ross County win✓ Hit
61.8%
Avg Implied 59.6% · @ 1.52
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.55
William Hil
1.55
Dafabet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Draw✗ Miss
22.0%
Avg Implied 21.5% · @ 4.22
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.69
1xBet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Dafabet
4.40
Betfair
4.33
East Kilbride win✗ Miss
16.2%
Avg Implied 19.0% · @ 4.78
Edge
-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
Dafabet
5.00
Betano
4.85
1xBet
4.84
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ross County
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.10
1.67
1.08
1.17
1.11
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.21
1.11
1.55
1.09
1.00
1.12
vs Weaker (2)
3.50
1.00
3.00
1.00
4.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
East Kilbride
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.33
1.43
2.73
1.40
1.93
1.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
2.20
1.90
2.25
1.50
2.17
2.17
vs Weaker (20)
2.40
1.20
2.91
1.36
1.78
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ross County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.7%
@ 1.16+3.6%
Under 1.5
17.3%
@ 4.42-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
Under
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.33
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.3%
@ 1.57+1.3%
Under 2.5
39.7%
@ 2.27-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
Unibet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Under
Betfair
2.38
Bet365
2.35
Pinnacle
2.31
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.9%
@ 2.43+0.1%
Under 3.5
62.1%
@ 1.48-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.48
Betano
2.47
Unibet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.42
Under
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.52
BetVictor
1.51
Betfair
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.7%
@ 1.66+1.0%
No
43.3%
@ 2.09-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.68
William Hil
1.67
Unibet
1.65
No
Betfair
2.20
BetVictor
2.15
1xBet
2.10
William Hil
2.10
Marathonbet
2.09
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%@ 8.09+4.8%
2-1
9.9%@ 7.56+4.0%
2-0
9.9%@ 8.06+4.3%
1-0
8.4%@ 8.04+2.8%
3-1
7.0%@ 11.11+2.9%
3-0
6.9%@ 11.38+3.0%
0-0
5.4%@ 14.81+2.3%
2-2
5.0%@ 14.24+1.8%
Ross County goals ↓
East Kilbride goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
3.5%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
1
8.4%
10%
4.7%
1.6%
0.4%
2
9.9%
9.9%
5.0%
1.7%
0.4%
3
6.9%
7.0%
3.5%
1.2%
0.3%
4
3.7%
3.7%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ross County goals (down), columns = East Kilbride goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Airdrie United
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Alloa Athletic
1.28
Queen of the South
1.28
Ross County
1.25
Peterhead
1.19
Montrose
1.17
Cove Rangers
1.06
East Fife
1.00
Ross County is 0.02 points worse than East Kilbride in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 1.28).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Airdrie United
1.36
East Kilbride
1.36
Alloa Athletic
1.36
Queen of the South
1.36
Montrose
1.33
Peterhead
1.33
Ross County
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.14
East Fife
0.94
Ross County is 0.03 goals worse than East Kilbride in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.36).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
1.22
Airdrie United
1.44
East Kilbride
1.44
Alloa Athletic
1.44
Queen of the South
1.44
Ross County
1.47
Hamilton Academical
1.50
East Fife
1.69
Peterhead
1.78
Montrose
1.86
Ross County is 0.03 goals worse than East Kilbride in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.44).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ross County
For 4.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 10.4 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
East Kilbride
For 4.9 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.1 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ross County
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.8
8.3
7.3
1.1
1.4
0.8
21.6
19.7
24.2
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
7.8
8.3
7.3
1.1
1.5
0.9
21.6
19.7
24.2
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
23%
29%
17%
18%
26%
11%
67%
57%
80%
% under line
77%
71%
83%
82%
74%
89%
33%
43%
20%
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
East Kilbride
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.4
10.4
4.0
3.8
4.2
26.4
24.7
28.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
9.5
8.2
10.8
2.2
2.5
1.9
24.6
23.8
25.5
vs Weaker (31)
10.6
11.0
10.3
5.1
4.4
6.1
27.0
24.9
29.0
% over line
58%
56%
61%
60%
56%
64%
81%
78%
83%
% under line
42%
44%
39%
40%
44%
36%
19%
22%
17%
This opponent (Ross County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Ross County
10.9
Hamilton Academical
10.5
East Kilbride
10.4
Airdrie United
10.1
Alloa Athletic
10.0
East Fife
9.6
Cove Rangers
9.4
Peterhead
8.9
Montrose
8.5
Queen of the South
6.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Peterhead
5.0
Montrose
3.7
East Fife
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Cove Rangers
3.2
Queen of the South
3.0
Hamilton Academical
2.7
Alloa Athletic
1.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.3
East Kilbride
26.4
East Fife
22.9
Montrose
22.2
Alloa Athletic
22.0
Cove Rangers
21.0
Ross County
21.0
Queen of the South
20.0
Airdrie United
20.0
Hamilton Academical
16.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.5%
@ 1.74-6.9%
Under 9.5
53.5%
@ 1.99+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Under
Betano
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.0%
Under 3.5
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
64.4%
Under 21.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ross County or Draw✓ Hit
83.8%
Avg Implied 81.1% · @ 1.13
Edge
+2.7%
62%
22%
16%
covers Ross County + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Ross County or East Kilbride✓ Hit
78.0%
Avg Implied 79.0% · @ 1.16
Edge
-1.1%
62%
22%
16%
covers Ross County + East Kilbride
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Draw or East Kilbride✗ Miss
38.2%
Avg Implied 39.9% · @ 2.30
Edge
-1.7%
62%
22%
16%
covers Draw + East Kilbride
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.50
Betano
2.47
William Hil
2.40
BetVictor
2.38
1xBet
2.31
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ross County over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.9%
@ 1.09+3.3%
Under
12.1%
@ 6.02-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Under
BetVictor
6.50
1xBet
6.45
Bet365
6.00
Betano
5.70
Superbet
5.45
Ross County over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
62.4%
@ 1.52+1.7%
Under
37.6%
@ 2.34-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Unibet
1.52
Under
Pinnacle
2.46
BetVictor
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.35
Ross County over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
35.4%
@ 2.63+0.3%
Under
64.6%
@ 1.42-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.72
1xBet
2.64
BetVictor
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.62
Under
Betano
1.45
BetVictor
1.44
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.41
Superbet
1.41
Ross County over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
16.4%
@ 4.90-2.5%
Under
83.6%
@ 1.14+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.90
1xBet
4.80
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
East Kilbride over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
63.4%
@ 1.47+0.8%
Under
36.6%
@ 2.47-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
BetVictor
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Under
Pinnacle
2.53
1xBet
2.51
BetVictor
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.47
East Kilbride over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.7%
@ 3.21-2.1%
Under
73.3%
@ 1.30+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
Betano
3.25
1xBet
3.14
Superbet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
East Kilbride over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.1%
@ 7.66-3.8%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.04+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.90
Marathonbet
7.70
Betano
7.40
Superbet
7.30
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
East Kilbride over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 13.50-5.0%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ross County, so a minus line means Ross County give that many goals of a start and East Kilbride receive them. At -1, Ross County must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ross County win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ross County)Actual: Ross County
Ross County -2
20.3%
@ 4.13-0.4%
Draw -2
19.0%
@ 4.20-1.4%
East Kilbride +2
60.7%
@ 1.45+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.55
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
3.85
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Unibet
3.65
Away
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.44
Unibet
1.38
Handicap -1 (Ross County)Actual: Ross County
Ross County -1
39.3%
@ 2.34+2.5%
Draw -1
22.5%
@ 3.44-2.5%
East Kilbride +1
38.2%
@ 2.26+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.43
Betfair
2.40
Bet365
2.30
Unibet
2.23
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.34
Unibet
3.05
Away
Betfair
2.40
Bet365
2.30
Marathonbet
2.24
Unibet
2.10
Handicap +1 (Ross County)Actual: Ross County
Ross County +1
83.8%
@ 1.12+8.4%
Draw +1
10.2%
@ 5.72-4.6%
East Kilbride -1
5.9%
@ 8.78-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
4.45
Away
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
6.55
Handicap +2 (Ross County)Actual: Ross County
Ross County +2
94.1%
@ 1.04+2.9%
Draw +2
4.3%
@ 17.00-1.3%
East Kilbride -2
1.6%
@ 29.00-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Away
Bet365
29.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ross County
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
1.08
0.92
0.39
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.61
0.68
1.00
0.91
0.35
0.53
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
East Kilbride
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.60
1.47
0.60
1.07
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.60
0.75
0.75
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (20)
1.55
0.60
1.73
0.55
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Ross County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.4%
@ 1.26-0.8%
Under 0.5
27.6%
@ 3.44+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.60
William Hil
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
36.8%
@ 2.28-3.8%
Under 1.5
63.2%
@ 1.55+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.42
Pinnacle
2.33
1xBet
2.28
Marathonbet
2.28
Superbet
2.27
Under
Betfair
1.57
William Hil
1.57
Bet365
1.57
BetVictor
1.56
Pinnacle
1.56
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.6%
@ 5.10-1.5%
Under 2.5
83.4%
@ 1.13+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Betano
5.10
Bet365
5.00
William Hil
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.13
BetVictor
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ross County over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
49.9%
@ 1.56-9.5%
Under
50.1%
@ 2.29+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Under
Pinnacle
2.33
1xBet
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Betano
2.25
Ross County over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.7%
@ 3.65-9.5%
Under
84.3%
@ 1.23+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.70
Marathonbet
3.65
1xBet
3.60
Under
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Ross County over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 9.50-7.1%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.03+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
East Kilbride over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
44.5%
@ 2.46+7.0%
Under
55.5%
@ 1.48-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.56
Betano
2.55
Superbet
2.47
1xBet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.34
Under
1xBet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.50
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.45
East Kilbride over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.8%
@ 8.43+0.8%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.03-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.70
Marathonbet
8.60
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
East Kilbride over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ross County
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.43
0.58
0.17
0.78
0.61
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.61
0.43
0.55
0.18
0.65
0.59
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
East Kilbride
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.83
1.27
0.80
0.87
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.50
1.30
1.50
0.75
1.50
1.67
vs Weaker (20)
0.85
0.60
1.18
0.82
0.44
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Ross County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.5%
@ 1.16+0.5%
Under 0.5
19.5%
@ 4.65-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Betano
4.75
William Hil
4.33
Superbet
4.25
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
46.3%
@ 1.82-4.7%
Under 1.5
53.7%
@ 1.90+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Betano
1.80
Under
Betano
1.98
Bet365
1.91
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
20.8%
@ 3.45-6.1%
Under 2.5
79.2%
@ 1.27+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.70
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.40
Superbet
3.35
1xBet
3.30
Under
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.24
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ross County over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
54.5%
@ 1.37-12.6%
Under
45.5%
@ 2.81+12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Under
Betano
2.87
1xBet
2.85
Superbet
2.70
Ross County over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
32.2%
@ 2.73-1.5%
Under
67.8%
@ 1.39+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.84
Superbet
2.72
1xBet
2.70
Betano
2.67
Under
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.39
Superbet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Ross County over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
8.9%
@ 6.35-5.7%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.08+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.80
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.06
East Kilbride over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
47.6%
@ 2.07+3.0%
Under
52.4%
@ 1.67-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.10
Betano
2.10
Marathonbet
2.05
1xBet
2.03
Under
1xBet
1.70
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.64
East Kilbride over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.2%
@ 6.30+1.6%
Under
83.8%
@ 1.08-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.50
1xBet
6.40
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
East Kilbride over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.4%
@ 12.00-3.5%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.02+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.3%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.6%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
94.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.9%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
91.1%
1.08
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
+5.7%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
90.4%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.04
1xBet
1.02
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.2%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
87.9%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
1xBet
1.07
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.3%
1.23
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-
+9.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
83.8%
1.13
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
83.8%
1.12
Marathonbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
+8.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
83.8%
1.08
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
-
-
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
83.6%
1.14
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
-
-
+2.5%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
83.4%
1.13
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.13
BetVictor
1.11
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.7%
1.16
Betano
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.5%
1.16
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
79.5%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
Superbet
1.16
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.2%
1.27
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.24
+6.1%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
78.0%
1.16
Betano
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.2%
1.35
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.34
-
-
-
+7.8%
-
Away under 1.5 goals
73.3%
1.30
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.4%
1.26
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Betfair
1.25
-0.8%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ross County · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ronan Hale31%
Jordan White16%
Kieran Phillips12%
Akil Wright11%
Noah Chilvers10%
Alex Samuel9%
Joshua Nisbet8%
Michee Efete5%
George Harmon4%
Elijah Campbell4%
Connor Randall3%
William Nightingale0%
Eamonn Brophy0%
Jack Hamilton0%
Ross Laidlaw0%
Charles Telfer0%
Scott Allardice0%
James Brown0%
Victor Loturi0%
Ryan Leak0%
Josh Reid0%
Kacper Łopata0%
Jonathan Tomkinson0%
Zachary Ashworth0%
Nohan Kenneh0%
Aidan Denholm0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Jack Grieves0%
Dylan Smith0%
George Robesten0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Connor Randall30%
Elijah Campbell21%
Kacper Łopata20%
Zachary Ashworth20%
Ryan Leak19%
James Brown19%
Victor Loturi18%
Michee Efete15%
Noah Chilvers13%
Nohan Kenneh13%
Akil Wright13%
Ronan Hale11%
George Harmon9%
Jordan White8%
Jonathan Tomkinson8%
Jack Grieves5%
Joshua Nisbet0%
Alex Samuel0%
William Nightingale0%
Eamonn Brophy0%
Jack Hamilton0%
Ross Laidlaw0%
Charles Telfer0%
Scott Allardice0%
Josh Reid0%
Kieran Phillips0%
Aidan Denholm0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Dylan Smith0%
George Robesten0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Noah Chilvers17%
Kieran Phillips12%
Zachary Ashworth10%
Jack Grieves9%
George Harmon9%
Nohan Kenneh7%
Aidan Denholm7%
Joshua Nisbet6%
Alex Samuel5%
Kacper Łopata3%
Akil Wright3%
William Nightingale0%
Eamonn Brophy0%
Jack Hamilton0%
Ross Laidlaw0%
Jordan White0%
Charles Telfer0%
Scott Allardice0%
James Brown0%
Victor Loturi0%
Michee Efete0%
Connor Randall0%
Ronan Hale0%
Ryan Leak0%
Josh Reid0%
Jonathan Tomkinson0%
Elijah Campbell0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Dylan Smith0%
George Robesten0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ronan Hale36%
Noah Chilvers10%
Michee Efete10%
Jordan White8%
Nohan Kenneh7%
Joshua Nisbet0%
Alex Samuel0%
William Nightingale0%
Eamonn Brophy0%
Jack Hamilton0%
Ross Laidlaw0%
Charles Telfer0%
Scott Allardice0%
James Brown0%
Victor Loturi0%
Akil Wright0%
Connor Randall0%
Ryan Leak0%
Josh Reid0%
Kieran Phillips0%
Kacper Łopata0%
George Harmon0%
Jonathan Tomkinson0%
Zachary Ashworth0%
Elijah Campbell0%
Aidan Denholm0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Jack Grieves0%
Dylan Smith0%
George Robesten0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (11)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Ross County and East Kilbride have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Ross County and East Kilbride have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (3)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Ross County and East Kilbride have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (7)
€1m
QOT (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Ross County and East Kilbride have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Scotland: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hamilton Academical
Alloa Athletic
Peterhead
East Fife
Montrose
Cove Rangers
Airdrie United
Queen of the South