This opponent (Gillingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gillingham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.33
0.87
1.20
1.00
1.47
vs Stronger (16)
0.88
1.62
0.75
1.38
1.00
1.88
vs Similar (13)
0.92
1.00
0.83
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotherham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.6%
Under 1.5
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
36.6%
@ 1.57-23.4%
Under 2.5
63.4%
@ 2.36+23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
17.3%
Under 3.5
82.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
37.1%
No
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.8%
2-0
13.8%
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.0%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
7.1%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
4.4%
Rotherham goals ↓
Gillingham goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
6.0%
2.2%
0.4%
0.1%
1
17%
12%
3.3%
0.7%
0.1%
2
14%
8.5%
2.6%
0.5%
0.1%
3
7.1%
4.4%
1.3%
0.3%
0.0%
4
2.8%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rotherham goals (down), columns = Gillingham goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Wigan
2.00
Rotherham
1.96
Milton Keynes Dons
1.93
Sheffield Weds
1.85
Sunderland
1.83
Wycombe
1.80
Plymouth
1.74
Oxford
1.65
Portsmouth
1.59
Bolton
1.59
Ipswich
1.52
Accrington
1.33
Charlton
1.28
Cambridge
1.26
Cheltenham
1.22
Burton
1.15
Lincoln
1.13
Shrewsbury
1.09
Morecambe
0.91
Gillingham
0.87
Fleetwood Town
0.87
Doncaster
0.83
AFC Wimbledon
0.80
Crewe
0.63
Rotherham is 1.09 points better than Gillingham in terms of average points per game (1.96 vs 0.87).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Oxford
1.78
Wigan
1.78
Sunderland
1.72
Sheffield Weds
1.70
Milton Keynes Dons
1.70
Wycombe
1.63
Bolton
1.61
Rotherham
1.52
Portsmouth
1.48
Plymouth
1.48
Ipswich
1.46
Cheltenham
1.43
Fleetwood Town
1.35
Accrington
1.33
Morecambe
1.24
Cambridge
1.22
Lincoln
1.20
Charlton
1.20
Burton
1.11
AFC Wimbledon
1.07
Shrewsbury
1.02
Crewe
0.80
Doncaster
0.80
Gillingham
0.76
Rotherham is 0.76 goals better than Gillingham in terms of goals scored per game (1.52 vs 0.76).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Rotherham
0.72
Wigan
0.96
Milton Keynes Dons
0.96
Ipswich
1.00
Plymouth
1.04
Sheffield Weds
1.09
Portsmouth
1.11
Shrewsbury
1.11
Wycombe
1.11
Sunderland
1.15
Bolton
1.24
Oxford
1.28
Charlton
1.28
Lincoln
1.37
Burton
1.46
Gillingham
1.50
Cambridge
1.61
AFC Wimbledon
1.63
Accrington
1.74
Cheltenham
1.74
Doncaster
1.78
Fleetwood Town
1.78
Crewe
1.80
Morecambe
1.91
Rotherham is 0.78 goals better than Gillingham in terms of goals conceded per game (0.72 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ipswich
59%
Milton Keynes Dons
59%
Bolton
57%
Sunderland
56%
Oxford
55%
Wigan
55%
Sheffield Weds
54%
Lincoln
53%
Plymouth
52%
Portsmouth
52%
Crewe
52%
Rotherham
51%
Charlton
50%
Accrington
50%
Cheltenham
48%
AFC Wimbledon
47%
Fleetwood Town
47%
Burton
46%
Wycombe
45%
Doncaster
45%
Cambridge
44%
Morecambe
43%
Shrewsbury
43%
Gillingham
38%
Rotherham is 12.2 percentage points better than Gillingham in terms of average possession (51% vs 38%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rotherham
For 7.0 · Against 2.6 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 10.7 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gillingham
For 5.7 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 9.6 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rotherham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.5
10.4
3.0
3.1
3.0
24.7
24.8
24.6
vs Stronger (36)
10.3
11.1
9.4
3.1
3.2
3.1
25.2
26.0
24.3
vs Similar (13)
10.5
9.0
12.3
2.8
3.0
2.5
23.4
21.6
25.5
vs Weaker (1)
17.0
-
17.0
4.0
-
4.0
25.0
-
25.0
% over line
58%
52%
64%
38%
40%
36%
74%
76%
72%
% under line
42%
48%
36%
62%
60%
64%
26%
24%
28%
This opponent (Gillingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gillingham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
9.5
11.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
24.5
24.0
25.1
vs Stronger (24)
10.3
9.3
11.2
3.0
3.2
2.8
24.0
22.4
25.5
vs Similar (23)
11.0
10.4
11.5
3.5
3.3
3.7
25.0
25.3
24.7
vs Weaker (3)
7.3
6.5
9.0
2.3
3.0
1.0
25.3
25.5
25.0
% over line
54%
50%
58%
38%
46%
31%
66%
67%
65%
% under line
46%
50%
42%
62%
54%
69%
34%
33%
35%
This opponent (Rotherham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Accrington
11.3
Doncaster
11.1
Burton
11.0
Morecambe
10.9
Plymouth
10.8
Wigan
10.7
Lincoln
10.7
Rotherham
10.5
Gillingham
10.4
Oxford
10.4
Bolton
10.3
Wycombe
10.2
Crewe
10.2
Charlton
10.1
Fleetwood Town
10.1
Sunderland
10.1
Sheffield Weds
10.1
Cambridge
10.0
Milton Keynes Dons
9.7
AFC Wimbledon
9.6
Cheltenham
9.5
Portsmouth
9.4
Shrewsbury
9.4
Ipswich
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Charlton
3.9
Lincoln
3.9
Accrington
3.8
Ipswich
3.5
Crewe
3.5
Sunderland
3.4
Fleetwood Town
3.4
Portsmouth
3.3
Wigan
3.3
Plymouth
3.3
Milton Keynes Dons
3.3
Gillingham
3.2
Bolton
3.2
Wycombe
3.2
Shrewsbury
3.1
Oxford
3.1
Cambridge
3.1
Burton
3.1
Sheffield Weds
3.1
Rotherham
3.0
Doncaster
3.0
Morecambe
2.9
AFC Wimbledon
2.9
Cheltenham
2.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sunderland
26.1
Portsmouth
25.9
Accrington
25.9
Charlton
25.5
Wycombe
24.9
Wigan
24.9
Rotherham
24.7
Ipswich
24.6
Shrewsbury
24.6
Gillingham
24.5
Lincoln
24.4
Oxford
24.3
Milton Keynes Dons
24.0
Bolton
23.9
Fleetwood Town
23.6
Cambridge
23.4
Doncaster
23.2
Crewe
23.0
Burton
22.8
Sheffield Weds
22.7
AFC Wimbledon
22.4
Morecambe
22.1
Plymouth
21.9
Cheltenham
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
28.4%
Under 9.5
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.4%
Under 3.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
76.6%
Under 21.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rotherham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.27
0.88
0.38
0.50
0.14
vs Stronger (18)
0.61
0.33
0.55
0.45
0.71
0.14
vs Similar (11)
0.91
0.18
1.60
0.20
0.33
0.17
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
77% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Gillingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gillingham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.57
0.53
0.60
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (16)
0.62
0.75
0.50
0.62
0.75
0.88
vs Similar (13)
0.62
0.31
0.50
0.50
0.71
0.14
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotherham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rotherham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotherham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotherham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gillingham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gillingham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gillingham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rotherham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.57
0.81
0.81
0.43
0.29
vs Stronger (18)
0.61
0.56
0.91
0.73
0.14
0.29
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.64
0.60
1.00
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Gillingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gillingham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.77
0.33
0.60
0.27
0.93
vs Stronger (16)
0.25
0.88
0.25
0.75
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.31
0.69
0.33
0.50
0.29
0.86
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotherham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rotherham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotherham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotherham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gillingham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gillingham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gillingham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 11.5 corners
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 9.5 corners
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rotherham · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fábio Tavares50%
Tom Bradshaw33%
Ewan Otoo33%
P. Mullin25%
J. Rafferty0%
D. Hall0%
Ar'Jany Martha0%
Ted Cann0%
K. Spence0%
Brandon Cover0%
K. Ngwenya0%
Sonny Aljofree0%
Jili Buyabu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Brandon Cover75%
Jili Buyabu67%
Fábio Tavares25%
Sonny Aljofree25%
P. Mullin0%
J. Rafferty0%
Tom Bradshaw0%
D. Hall0%
Ar'Jany Martha0%
Ted Cann0%
K. Spence0%
K. Ngwenya0%
Ewan Otoo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ar'Jany Martha50%
Ewan Otoo33%
K. Spence25%
P. Mullin0%
J. Rafferty0%
Tom Bradshaw0%
Fábio Tavares0%
D. Hall0%
Ted Cann0%
Brandon Cover0%
K. Ngwenya0%
Sonny Aljofree0%
Jili Buyabu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fábio Tavares25%
P. Mullin0%
J. Rafferty0%
Tom Bradshaw0%
D. Hall0%
Ar'Jany Martha0%
Ted Cann0%
K. Spence0%
Brandon Cover0%
K. Ngwenya0%
Ewan Otoo0%
Sonny Aljofree0%
Jili Buyabu0%
Gillingham · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Conor McManus25%
J. Brophy0%
Robbie McKenzie0%
Nick Freeman0%
Omar Beckles0%
Ronan Hale0%
Will Goodwin0%
C. Antwi0%
A. Smith0%
Sheldon Kendall0%
Harry Waldock0%
Logan Dobbs0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
J. Brophy25%
Robbie McKenzie25%
Omar Beckles25%
Will Goodwin25%
Nick Freeman0%
Ronan Hale0%
C. Antwi0%
A. Smith0%
Conor McManus0%
Sheldon Kendall0%
Harry Waldock0%
Logan Dobbs0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nick Freeman25%
J. Brophy0%
Robbie McKenzie0%
Omar Beckles0%
Ronan Hale0%
Will Goodwin0%
C. Antwi0%
A. Smith0%
Conor McManus0%
Sheldon Kendall0%
Harry Waldock0%
Logan Dobbs0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Will Goodwin25%
J. Brophy0%
Robbie McKenzie0%
Nick Freeman0%
Omar Beckles0%
Ronan Hale0%
C. Antwi0%
A. Smith0%
Conor McManus0%
Sheldon Kendall0%
Harry Waldock0%
Logan Dobbs0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (30)
€392m
IPS (31)
€280m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
WYC (24)
€10m
WIG (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
MOR (1)
€0m
Rotherham's squad is €1m more valuable than Gillingham's (€5m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
CHA (13)
€18m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
SHR (3)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Rotherham's attack is €1m more valuable than Gillingham's (€2m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
IPS (7)
€66m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
MOR (1)
€0m
Rotherham and Gillingham have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (15)
€125m
IPS (13)
€85m
POR (13)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
MOR (0)
€0m
Rotherham and Gillingham have a similar defence value (both €2m).
England: League One 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
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Wigan
Milton Keynes Dons
Sheffield Weds
Sunderland
Wycombe
Plymouth
Oxford
Bolton
Portsmouth
Ipswich
Accrington
Charlton
Cambridge
Cheltenham
Burton
Lincoln
Shrewsbury
Morecambe
Fleetwood Town
Doncaster
AFC Wimbledon
Crewe