Rubin’s home advantage and recent draw-heavy run give them the edge, with the model picking a home win at 46 %. The expected total of 2.4 goals points to a modestly active match, and the single most likely score is 1-1, a 13.9 % chance. Rubin averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.17 conceded at home against similar-strength opposition, while Dinamo Makhachkala, on the road, averages 1.33 scored and only 0.78 conceded. The probabilities for the match outcome are 46 % home win, 30 % draw, and 24 % away win. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 at 99.7 %, Under 6.5 at 98.9 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.5 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.4 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.8 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.3 %, Under 5.5 at 96.7 %, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.3 %. The match should be a tight affair with both sides likely to score.
Results analysis
Rubin’s unbeaten run in their last five fixtures extended as they beat Dinamo Makhachkala 3-1, confirming the model’s prediction of a home win. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was chosen with a 47% probability and proved correct. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 hit at 99.7%, Under 6.5 at 98.9%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.4%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.7%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.5%, Under 5.5 at 96.7%, while Home under 2.5 2H goals missed at 96.4%. The match’s final score of 3-1 matched the model’s expected outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rubin win✓ Hit
46.7%
Avg Implied 40.1% · @ 2.37
Edge
+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.43
Pinnacle
2.40
Marathonbet
2.38
Dafabet
2.38
Superbet
2.35
Draw✗ Miss
29.5%
Avg Implied 31.2% · @ 3.05
Edge
-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.12
Dafabet
3.10
Pinnacle
3.05
Superbet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
Dinamo Makhachkala win✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.32
Edge
-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.52
Pinnacle
3.46
Marathonbet
3.44
Dafabet
3.25
Superbet
3.20
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Rubin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.07
1.13
1.07
0.60
1.07
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.25
0.80
1.20
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (17)
1.06
1.12
1.43
1.00
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.60
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Makhachkala
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.13
1.00
0.86
1.06
1.38
vs Stronger (13)
0.62
1.46
0.50
0.67
0.71
2.14
vs Similar (17)
1.35
0.88
1.38
1.00
1.33
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Rubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.6%
@ 1.51+6.9%
Under 1.5
30.4%
@ 2.55-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.52
Marathonbet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.63
1xBet
2.59
Superbet
2.57
Marathonbet
2.41
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.0%
@ 2.58+5.3%
Under 2.5
58.0%
@ 1.50-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.68
1xBet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.60
Superbet
2.45
Under
Superbet
1.51
1xBet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.3%
@ 5.01+2.7%
Under 3.5
78.7%
@ 1.15-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
5.41
1xBet
4.95
Marathonbet
4.95
Superbet
4.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.6%
@ 2.09+3.2%
No
52.4%
@ 1.67-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.11
Superbet
2.05
No
Superbet
1.69
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.65
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%@ 5.60+6.1%
1-0
12.1%@ 5.55+4.3%
0-0
10.7%@ 6.22+3.7%
2-0
9.5%@ 9.51+4.9%
2-1
8.9%@ 9.61+4.4%
0-1
7.6%@ 6.95+1.4%
1-2
6.0%@ 12.10+2.4%
3-0
4.5%@ 23.33+2.6%
Rubin goals ↓
Dinamo Makhachkala goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
7.6%
4.2%
1.3%
0.3%
1
12%
14%
6.0%
1.9%
0.4%
2
9.5%
8.9%
4.2%
1.3%
0.3%
3
4.5%
4.2%
2.0%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.6%
1.5%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rubin goals (down), columns = Dinamo Makhachkala goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Krasnodar
3.00
Spartak Moscow
2.17
CSKA Moscow
2.00
Zenit
2.00
Dynamo
1.67
Baltika
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.50
Rubin
1.50
FC Orenburg
1.17
Krylia Sovetov
1.00
Akhmat
1.00
FC Rostov
0.83
Rodina Moskva
0.67
Akron
0.50
Lokomotiv
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Rubin and Dinamo Makhachkala are level in average points per game (both 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Zenit
2.17
Spartak Moscow
1.83
FC Krasnodar
1.83
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
Baltika
1.67
CSKA Moscow
1.50
Akhmat
1.50
Rubin
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Dynamo
1.33
Rodina Moskva
1.33
FC Rostov
1.17
Akron
1.00
Lokomotiv
0.83
FC Orenburg
0.83
Fakel
0.50
Rubin is 0.17 goals worse than Dinamo Makhachkala in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Krasnodar
0.67
Zenit
0.67
Spartak Moscow
0.83
CSKA Moscow
1.00
Baltika
1.00
Fakel
1.17
Dynamo
1.17
FC Orenburg
1.17
Akhmat
1.33
Lokomotiv
1.33
Rubin
1.33
Krylia Sovetov
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
FC Rostov
1.67
Akron
2.50
Rodina Moskva
2.83
Rubin is 0.33 goals better than Dinamo Makhachkala in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Dynamo
63%
Spartak Moscow
62%
Zenit
60%
CSKA Moscow
57%
FC Krasnodar
57%
Akron
54%
Lokomotiv
51%
FC Rostov
49%
Fakel
48%
Akhmat
47%
Rubin
47%
Krylia Sovetov
46%
Rodina Moskva
44%
Dinamo Makhachkala
40%
FC Orenburg
39%
Baltika
36%
Rubin is 6.7 percentage points better than Dinamo Makhachkala in terms of average possession (47% vs 40%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rubin
For 4.4 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 13.5 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dinamo Makhachkala
For 3.7 · Against 5.1 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 14.2 · Total 26.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rubin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
8.1
8.8
4.3
4.5
4.1
28.9
28.8
29.1
vs Stronger (13)
6.9
7.4
6.4
4.1
3.9
4.3
30.3
30.0
30.6
vs Similar (26)
8.3
7.2
9.1
4.6
5.1
4.2
29.1
29.7
28.6
vs Weaker (11)
10.8
10.4
11.3
3.9
4.3
3.4
26.8
25.6
28.7
% over line
32%
25%
38%
62%
62%
62%
95%
100%
90%
% under line
68%
75%
62%
38%
38%
38%
5%
0%
10%
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Makhachkala
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.3
9.5
4.1
4.5
3.7
28.4
29.1
27.8
vs Stronger (20)
8.7
8.6
8.9
4.2
4.6
3.8
26.1
25.8
26.4
vs Similar (30)
9.1
8.1
9.9
4.0
4.4
3.6
30.0
31.8
28.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
51%
44%
58%
54%
62%
46%
89%
89%
89%
% under line
49%
56%
42%
46%
38%
54%
11%
11%
11%
This opponent (Rubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rodina Moskva
10.8
CSKA Moscow
10.2
FC Orenburg
10.1
Dynamo
9.7
Zenit
9.6
Krylia Sovetov
9.5
Akhmat
9.4
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.1
Akron
9.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.0
Lokomotiv
8.8
FC Krasnodar
8.6
Rubin
8.5
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Spartak Moscow
5.3
Baltika
4.9
FC Krasnodar
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.6
FC Orenburg
4.6
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Dynamo
4.5
Akhmat
4.5
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.3
Zenit
4.1
Fakel
4.1
Akron
4.0
Rodina Moskva
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Baltika
30.1
Spartak Moscow
30.0
Dinamo Makhachkala
29.0
FC Rostov
28.9
Rubin
28.6
FC Orenburg
28.6
Akhmat
28.5
FC Krasnodar
28.3
Fakel
27.8
Dynamo
27.7
Lokomotiv
27.5
Akron
27.5
Zenit
27.4
CSKA Moscow
26.7
Rodina Moskva
26.6
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
40.4%
@ 2.14-2.9%
Under 9.5
59.6%
@ 1.63+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.17
Pinnacle
2.15
Marathonbet
2.14
Superbet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.67
Superbet
1.66
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.6%
Under 3.5
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.2%
Under 21.5
9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rubin or Draw✓ Hit
76.1%
Avg Implied 71.8% · @ 1.32
Edge
+4.3%
47%
29%
24%
covers Rubin + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
SBO
1.27
Rubin or Dinamo Makhachkala✓ Hit
70.5%
Avg Implied 69.1% · @ 1.37
Edge
+1.5%
47%
29%
24%
covers Rubin + Dinamo Makhachkala
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Superbet
1.36
SBO
1.29
Draw or Dinamo Makhachkala✗ Miss
53.3%
Avg Implied 59.1% · @ 1.60
Edge
-5.8%
47%
29%
24%
covers Draw + Dinamo Makhachkala
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.62
SBO
1.60
Superbet
1.55
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rubin over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.8%
@ 1.37+7.2%
Under
24.2%
@ 2.98-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Under
Pinnacle
3.10
Superbet
2.95
1xBet
2.93
Marathonbet
2.93
Rubin over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
41.4%
@ 2.77+7.4%
Under
58.6%
@ 1.43-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.89
Marathonbet
2.78
Superbet
2.72
1xBet
2.70
Under
Pinnacle
1.44
Superbet
1.43
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
Rubin over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
17.1%
@ 6.90+3.6%
Under
82.9%
@ 1.07-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.20
Marathonbet
6.90
Superbet
6.60
Under
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Rubin over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 13.75-1.3%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.01+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
Marathonbet
10.50
Under
Superbet
1.01
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
61.1%
@ 1.54+0.3%
Under
38.9%
@ 2.40-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Under
Pinnacle
2.50
Superbet
2.42
Marathonbet
2.34
1xBet
2.34
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
24.4%
@ 3.63-1.5%
Under
75.6%
@ 1.27+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.94
Marathonbet
3.70
1xBet
3.50
Superbet
3.40
Under
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.0%
@ 10.13-2.1%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.02+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Marathonbet
10.50
Superbet
8.90
Under
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 27.00-98.4%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
27.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Rubin, so a minus line means Rubin give that many goals of a start and Dinamo Makhachkala receive them. At -1, Rubin must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rubin win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rubin)Actual: Draw
Rubin -2
9.0%
@ 8.85-0.6%
Draw -2
14.5%
@ 5.40-1.2%
Dinamo Makhachkala +2
76.6%
@ 1.14+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
11.00
Marathonbet
6.70
Draw
Superbet
6.40
Marathonbet
4.40
Away
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
Handicap -1 (Rubin)Actual: Rubin
Rubin -1
23.4%
@ 4.75+4.4%
Draw -1
23.3%
@ 3.73-1.0%
Dinamo Makhachkala +1
53.3%
@ 1.59-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.85
Superbet
4.65
Draw
Superbet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.72
Away
Marathonbet
1.62
Superbet
1.57
Handicap +1 (Rubin)Actual: Rubin
Rubin +1
76.1%
@ 1.33+8.2%
Draw +1
15.1%
@ 4.62-4.5%
Dinamo Makhachkala -1
8.8%
@ 7.25-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Draw
Marathonbet
4.70
Superbet
4.55
Away
Marathonbet
7.80
Superbet
6.70
Handicap +2 (Rubin)Actual: Rubin
Rubin +2
91.2%
Draw +2
6.4%
Dinamo Makhachkala -2
2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rubin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.40
0.47
0.40
0.47
0.40
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.50
0.60
0.40
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.47
0.43
0.57
0.70
0.40
vs Weaker (5)
0.20
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Makhachkala
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.36
0.43
0.69
0.62
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
0.46
0.17
0.17
0.43
0.71
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.59
0.50
0.62
0.89
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Rubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
66.1%
@ 1.58+6.3%
Under 0.5
33.9%
@ 2.35-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.56
Superbet
1.55
Under
Pinnacle
2.42
Superbet
2.35
1xBet
2.31
Marathonbet
2.31
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
27.0%
@ 3.65+1.5%
Under 1.5
73.0%
@ 1.25-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.70
Superbet
3.55
Under
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
8.8%
@ 9.98-0.6%
Under 2.5
91.2%
@ 1.04+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
10.20
Superbet
9.50
Under
Superbet
1.04
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rubin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
49.8%
@ 2.27+8.8%
Under
50.2%
@ 1.58-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.31
1xBet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.27
Superbet
2.22
Under
Pinnacle
1.62
Superbet
1.58
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
Rubin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.8%
@ 7.90+1.1%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.05-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.20
Marathonbet
8.20
Superbet
7.30
Under
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Rubin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 27.00-97.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
27.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
33.0%
@ 2.70-1.5%
Under
67.0%
@ 1.43+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.83
Marathonbet
2.69
1xBet
2.69
Superbet
2.60
Under
Pinnacle
1.44
Superbet
1.44
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.5%
@ 10.62-2.2%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.02+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.25
1xBet
11.20
Superbet
9.40
Under
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 40.00-98.6%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
40.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rubin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.13
0.67
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.75
0.20
0.80
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.65
1.00
0.43
0.10
0.80
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.60
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Makhachkala
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.60
0.64
0.43
0.38
0.75
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
1.00
0.33
0.50
0.29
1.43
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.29
0.88
0.38
0.44
0.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Rubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.6%
@ 1.36+5.7%
Under 0.5
25.4%
@ 3.01-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Under
1xBet
3.02
Marathonbet
3.02
Superbet
3.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
36.2%
@ 2.68+1.3%
Under 1.5
63.8%
@ 1.44-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.70
Marathonbet
2.70
Superbet
2.65
Under
Superbet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
14.4%
@ 6.40-0.0%
Under 2.5
85.6%
@ 1.08+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Superbet
6.20
Under
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rubin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
54.0%
@ 1.89+4.9%
Under
46.0%
@ 1.81-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
Under
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Superbet
1.80
Rubin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
17.3%
@ 5.63+0.9%
Under
82.7%
@ 1.10-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.70
Marathonbet
5.70
Superbet
5.50
Under
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Rubin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
3.6%
@ 18.00-1.7%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.01+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
Under
Superbet
1.01
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
44.0%
@ 2.20+1.9%
Under
56.0%
@ 1.60-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.21
1xBet
2.21
Superbet
2.17
Under
Superbet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.0%
@ 7.53-1.3%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.06+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.90
Marathonbet
7.90
Superbet
6.80
Under
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 25.00-97.7%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
25.00
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.7%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.4%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.7%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.4%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.5%
1.02
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
93.0%
1.02
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.2%
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-
-
-
-
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
90.9%
1.02
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-0.0%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.0%
1.06
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
-
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.2%
1.05
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.6%
1.08
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
-
+0.0%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
82.9%
1.07
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-3.6%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
82.7%
1.10
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
-
-0.9%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
80.9%
1.20
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.7%
1.15
Pinnacle
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-2.7%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
76.6%
1.14
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
-
+1.9%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
76.1%
1.32
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
SBO
1.27
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
76.1%
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
-
-
-
+8.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
75.8%
1.37
1xBet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
-
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
75.6%
1.27
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.6%
1.36
Superbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
-
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals
73.0%
1.25
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
-
-
-1.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
71.4%
1.36
Superbet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.5%
1.37
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Superbet
1.36
SBO
1.29
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rubin
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jacques Siwe40%
Bogdan Jočić33%
Aleksandar Jukić25%
Ilya Rozhkov20%
Anderson Arroyo17%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Ignacio Saavedra0%
Denil Maldonado0%
Ilya Samoshnikov0%
Igor Vujačić0%
Ugochukwu Iwu0%
Evgeniy Staver0%
Veldin Hodža0%
Egor Teslenko0%
Ruslan Bezrukov0%
Daniil Kuznetsov0%
Nikita Lobov0%
Maksim Ignatjev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksandar Jukić50%
Veldin Hodža33%
Igor Vujačić20%
Ilya Rozhkov20%
Ignacio Saavedra17%
Anderson Arroyo17%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Denil Maldonado0%
Ilya Samoshnikov0%
Ugochukwu Iwu0%
Evgeniy Staver0%
Bogdan Jočić0%
Egor Teslenko0%
Jacques Siwe0%
Ruslan Bezrukov0%
Daniil Kuznetsov0%
Nikita Lobov0%
Maksim Ignatjev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ilya Samoshnikov25%
Ilya Rozhkov20%
Ignacio Saavedra17%
Evgeniy Staver17%
Anderson Arroyo17%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Aleksandar Jukić0%
Denil Maldonado0%
Igor Vujačić0%
Ugochukwu Iwu0%
Bogdan Jočić0%
Veldin Hodža0%
Egor Teslenko0%
Jacques Siwe0%
Ruslan Bezrukov0%
Daniil Kuznetsov0%
Nikita Lobov0%
Maksim Ignatjev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ugochukwu Iwu33%
Aleksandar Jukić25%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Ignacio Saavedra0%
Denil Maldonado0%
Ilya Samoshnikov0%
Igor Vujačić0%
Evgeniy Staver0%
Anderson Arroyo0%
Bogdan Jočić0%
Veldin Hodža0%
Egor Teslenko0%
Jacques Siwe0%
Ruslan Bezrukov0%
Daniil Kuznetsov0%
Ilya Rozhkov0%
Nikita Lobov0%
Maksim Ignatjev0%
Dinamo Makhachkala
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gamid Agalarov33%
Nikita Glushkov33%
Miro33%
Daniil Lesovoy17%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk17%
Andrés Alarcón17%
Soslan Kagermazov0%
Mutalip Alibekov0%
Temirkan Sundukov0%
Marat Apshatsev0%
Timur Magomedov0%
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue0%
Mohamed Azzi0%
Egor Smelov0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
Ilyas Akhmedov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Temirkan Sundukov33%
Marat Apshatsev33%
Andrés Alarcón33%
Ilyas Akhmedov33%
Mutalip Alibekov17%
Daniil Lesovoy17%
Gamid Agalarov17%
Miro17%
Soslan Kagermazov0%
Nikita Glushkov0%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk0%
Timur Magomedov0%
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue0%
Mohamed Azzi0%
Egor Smelov0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikita Glushkov33%
Daniil Lesovoy17%
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue17%
Soslan Kagermazov0%
Mutalip Alibekov0%
Gamid Agalarov0%
Temirkan Sundukov0%
Marat Apshatsev0%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk0%
Timur Magomedov0%
Mohamed Azzi0%
Andrés Alarcón0%
Egor Smelov0%
Miro0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
Ilyas Akhmedov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Temirkan Sundukov17%
Soslan Kagermazov0%
Mutalip Alibekov0%
Daniil Lesovoy0%
Gamid Agalarov0%
Nikita Glushkov0%
Marat Apshatsev0%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk0%
Timur Magomedov0%
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue0%
Mohamed Azzi0%
Andrés Alarcón0%
Egor Smelov0%
Miro0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
Ilyas Akhmedov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FAK (26)
€14m
Rubin's squad is €25m more valuable than Dinamo Makhachkala's (€45m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
FAK (10)
€5m
Rubin's attack is €1m less valuable than Dinamo Makhachkala's (€8m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
FAK (4)
€2m
Rubin's midfield is €9m more valuable than Dinamo Makhachkala's (€12m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
AKH (10)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
Rubin's defence is €17m more valuable than Dinamo Makhachkala's (€25m vs €8m).
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
Akron
Fakel