Rubin vs Spartak Moscow Result & Analysis

Rubin face Spartak Moscow with the model favouring an away win, a 50% chance for Spartak, 28% for a draw and 22% for a home victory. The expected total goals sit at 2.5, with the most likely scoreline 1-1 at a 13.4% probability. Rubin, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Spartak on the road against a weaker side nets 1.38 and concedes only 0.75. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 91.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 85.8%, Over 21.5 fouls at 83.1%, Under 11.5 corners at 78.4%, Under 3.5 at 76.5%, Over 1.5 at 71.8%, Over 23.5 fouls at 70.8% and Over 3.5 cards at 70.6%. All picks are presented with their exact probabilities.

The upset came early as Rubin secured a 2-1 home win, extending their unbeaten run with a victory over Dinamo Makhachkala. The pre-match favourite, the model’s pick for an away win, carried a 50% probability but proved wrong. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 91.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 85.8%, Over 21.5 fouls at 83.1%, Under 11.5 corners at 78.4%, Under 3.5 at 76.5%, Over 1.5 at 71.8%, Over 23.5 fouls at 70.8% and Over 3.5 cards at 70.6%. All these picks were settled in favour of the model’s predictions.