PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Rudes vs Sesvete Result & Analysis

Date: 29/05/2026
Time: 15:30
Final 3-1
Rudes
Rudes
Vs
40%
32%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sesvete
Sesvete
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Top picks for this game10 Squad value11 Games History12 Overall Statistics13 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Rudes a 40% win probability against Sesvete in the Croatia: First NL on 2026-05-29, with 32% for the draw and 28% for Sesvete. The model estimates around 2.2 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (28%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (14.6%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (83%).

Results analysis

Rudes finished 3-1 against Sesvete (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 40% home win, 32% draw and 28% away win. Missed: Under 3.5 (83%).

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Rudes win✓ Hit
39.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sesvete win✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

RudesRudes

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W23L10W11D21W20W11D30W23L30WH·BSK21/03A·ORI29/03H·JAR04/04A·OPA10/04H·HRV19/04A·CRO26/04H·DUB02/05A·KAR08/05H·HNK15/05A·DUG23/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.500.901.600.731.401.07
vs Stronger (3)1.330.332.000.001.000.50
vs Similar (27)1.520.961.570.791.461.15
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Sesvete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SesveteSesvete

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W20W10W24L11D31W30W02L12L21WH·ORI20/03A·JAR28/03H·OPA02/04A·HRV11/04H·CRO18/04A·DUB25/04H·KAR01/05A·HNK09/05H·DUG16/05H·BSK22/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.801.440.561.211.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.290.621.460.381.090.91
vs Weaker (6)1.501.501.331.331.671.67
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%310%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.9%
Under 1.5
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
36.7%
Under 2.5
63.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
17.3%
Under 3.5
82.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.6%
No
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.4%
Rudes goals ↓
Sesvete goals →
01234
013%9.8%5.4%1.7%0.4%
112%15%6.5%2.1%0.5%
28.2%7.9%3.8%1.2%0.3%
33.3%3.2%1.5%0.5%0.1%
41.0%0.9%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rudes goals (down), columns = Sesvete goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rudes
1.97
HNK Cibalia
1.76
Sesvete
1.73
Dugopolje
1.64
Dubrava Zagreb
1.42
Karlovac 1919
1.27
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Opatija
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.15
Hrvace
1.09
Croatia Zmijavci
1.06
Jarun
1.00
Rudes is 0.24 points better than Sesvete in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 1.73).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
HNK Cibalia
1.55
Rudes
1.48
Sesvete
1.27
Karlovac 1919
1.21
Dugopolje
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Hrvace
1.09
Jarun
1.03
Croatia Zmijavci
0.97
Opatija
0.94
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Rudes is 0.21 goals better than Sesvete in terms of goals scored per game (1.48 vs 1.27).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sesvete
0.85
Rudes
0.88
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
HNK Cibalia
1.00
Opatija
1.15
Dugopolje
1.15
Orijent 1919
1.24
Jarun
1.27
Karlovac 1919
1.36
Croatia Zmijavci
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Hrvace
1.45
Rudes is 0.03 goals worse than Sesvete in terms of goals conceded per game (0.88 vs 0.85).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RudesRudes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D22D00D00D21W10W10W10W13L20WH·BSK21/03A·ORI29/03H·JAR04/04A·OPA10/04H·HRV19/04A·CRO26/04H·DUB02/05A·KAR08/05H·HNK15/05A·DUG23/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.330.930.330.870.33
vs Stronger (3)0.330.001.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.960.370.930.361.000.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Sesvete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SesveteSesvete

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W00D01L00D20W30W01L01L10WH·ORI20/03A·JAR28/03H·OPA02/04A·HRV11/04H·CRO18/04A·DUB25/04H·KAR01/05A·HNK09/05H·DUG16/05H·BSK22/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.300.620.190.640.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.620.290.620.150.640.45
vs Weaker (6)0.670.330.670.330.670.33
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (38)
€5m
SES (57)
€5m
O1 (36)
€5m
BBB (30)
€4m
RUD (35)
€4m
DUG (43)
€4m
CZ (43)
€4m
HC (29)
€4m
K1 (44)
€4m
HRV (52)
€3m
OPA (39)
€3m
Rudes and Sesvete have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (0)
€0m
BBB (0)
€0m
CZ (0)
€0m
DZ (0)
€0m
DUG (0)
€0m
HC (0)
€0m
HRV (0)
€0m
K1 (0)
€0m
OPA (0)
€0m
O1 (0)
€0m
SES (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (0)
€0m
BBB (0)
€0m
CZ (0)
€0m
DZ (0)
€0m
DUG (0)
€0m
HC (0)
€0m
HRV (0)
€0m
K1 (0)
€0m
OPA (0)
€0m
O1 (0)
€0m
SES (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (0)
€0m
BBB (0)
€0m
CZ (0)
€0m
DZ (0)
€0m
DUG (0)
€0m
HC (0)
€0m
HRV (0)
€0m
K1 (0)
€0m
OPA (0)
€0m
O1 (0)
€0m
SES (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Rudes vs Sesvete · H/A from RUD
DateH/AGameScore
24/10/25ASesvete Vs RUD0-1
17/08/25HRUD Vs Sesvete0-0
01/06/25HRUD Vs Sesvete1-3
28/02/25ASesvete Vs RUD1-0
05/10/24HRUD Vs Sesvete2-0

RudesRudes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26ADugopolje Vs RUD0-3
15/05/26HRUD Vs HNK Cibalia2-3
08/05/26AKarlovac 1919 Vs RUD0-3
02/05/26HRUD Vs Dubrava Zagreb1-1
26/04/26ACroatia Zmijavci Vs RUD0-2
19/04/26HRUD Vs Hrvace2-1
10/04/26AOpatija Vs RUD1-1
04/04/26HRUD Vs Jarun1-0
29/03/26AOrijent 1919 Vs RUD3-2
21/03/26HRUD Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo2-0

SesveteSesvete

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/05/26HSES Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo2-1
16/05/26HSES Vs Dugopolje1-2
09/05/26AHNK Cibalia Vs SES2-0
01/05/26HSES Vs Karlovac 19193-0
25/04/26ADubrava Zagreb Vs SES1-3
18/04/26HSES Vs Croatia Zmijavci1-1
11/04/26AHrvace Vs SES4-2
02/04/26HSES Vs Opatija1-0
28/03/26AJarun Vs SES0-2
20/03/26HSES Vs Orijent 19192-1

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Rudes
Rudes
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLW1.66
HomeWWWDL1.96
AwayLDWWW1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%58%35%
AVG goals2.202.082.31
Over 1.5 %62%62%62%
Over 2.5 %34%33%35%
Over 3.5 %22%17%27%
Scored1.281.331.23
Conceded0.920.751.08
BTTS38%33%42%
Clean Sheet50%54%46%
Corners---
Cards---
Sesvete
Sesvete
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.66
HomeWDWLW1.67
AwayWWLWL1.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%48%48%
AVG goals2.022.071.96
Over 1.5 %60%59%61%
Over 2.5 %36%44%26%
Over 3.5 %12%11%13%
Scored1.181.261.09
Conceded0.840.810.87
BTTS36%37%35%
Clean Sheet44%44%43%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RudesRudes3365
58%
2.0
4929+20
2.4
64%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.50.9
-
2HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3358
52%
1.8
5133+18
2.5
73%
52%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.51.0
-
3SesveteSesvete3357
48%
1.7
4228+14
2.1
67%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.30.8
-
4DugopoljeDugopolje3354
48%
1.6
4038+2
2.4
70%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.21.2
-
5Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3347
39%
1.4
3946-7
2.6
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.21.4
-
6Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3342
33%
1.3
3030+0
1.8
58%
27%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0000.90.9
-
7Karlovac 1919Karlovac 19193342
39%
1.3
4045-5
2.6
73%
55%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.21.4
-
8OpatijaOpatija3340
30%
1.2
3138-7
2.1
70%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.91.2
-
9Orijent 1919Orijent 19193338
27%
1.2
4041-1
2.5
73%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.21.2
-
10HrvaceHrvace3336
30%
1.1
3648-12
2.5
70%
61%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.11.5
-
11Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3335
27%
1.1
3246-14
2.4
70%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.01.4
-
12JarunJarun3333
24%
1.0
3442-8
2.3
76%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
Croatia: First NL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

← all matches