This highly anticipated match between Ružomberok and Podbrezová in the Slovakia: Super Liga promises to be a closely contested affair, with both teams having endured recent defeats. Ružomberok is coming off a loss to Skalica, while Podbrezová suffered a 0-3 defeat at the hands of Slovan Bratislava.
The model predicts a home win for Ružomberok, with a 37% chance of this outcome, followed by a 36% chance of an away win and a 28% chance of a draw. The expected total number of goals in this match is 2.8, with the most likely score being 2 goals.
Ružomberok has a relatively strong home form, scoring an average of 1.12 goals and conceding 0.88 goals against similar opponents. Podbrezová, on the other hand, has a decent away form, scoring 2.33 goals and conceding 0.83 goals against similar opponents.
The model's selection for this match is the home win, with the most likely score being 1-1, occurring with a 13.2% probability. Additionally, the model suggests Over 21.5 fouls (80.7% probability) and Over 1.5 goals (77.8% probability, with a 1% edge), as its selections. The home win percentage stands at 37%, the draw percentage at 28%, and the away win percentage at 36%.
The away team Podbrezová pulled off a stunning upset, securing a 1-4 win over Ružomberok, a result that will be remembered for a while. This victory extends their run of scoring at least two goals in each of their last five matches. The model's selection, a Home win, was incorrect, with the pre-match probability of 37% now looking generous. In contrast, the model's call to back Over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 77.8%. Another suggested pick, Over 1.5, also came to fruition, as the final score was 1-4. The model's selection, Home win, was wrong, while the suggested pick Over 1.5 hit, highlighting the unpredictability of this match.
Ružomberok| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.27 | 1.40 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.40 | 1.67 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.33 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (24) | 1.25 | 1.50 | 1.17 | 1.08 | 1.33 | 1.92 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 1.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (-0pp vs league) | |||||
Podbrezová| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.83 | 1.50 | 1.67 | 1.53 | 2.00 | 1.47 |
| vs Stronger (13) | 1.00 | 1.92 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.83 |
| vs Similar (16) | 2.50 | 1.19 | 2.25 | 1.12 | 2.75 | 1.25 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 2.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (-0pp vs league) | |||||
| Podbrezová goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 13% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Ružomberok
Podbrezová
Ružomberok| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.5 | 9.9 | 11.1 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 26.1 | 26.2 | 25.9 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 9.6 | 8.5 | 10.3 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 24.6 | 21.0 | 27.0 |
| vs Similar (42) | 10.8 | 10.2 | 11.3 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 26.4 | 27.3 | 25.6 |
| vs Weaker (1) | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 62% | 42% | 79% | 24% | 29% | 19% | 77% | 83% | 71% |
| % under line | 38% | 58% | 21% | 76% | 71% | 81% | 23% | 17% | 29% |
Podbrezová| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.7 | 11.2 | 10.3 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 26.8 | 25.6 | 27.9 |
| vs Stronger (21) | 12.1 | 11.8 | 12.5 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 27.4 | 27.2 | 27.8 |
| vs Similar (28) | 9.9 | 10.7 | 9.4 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 26.5 | 24.3 | 28.0 |
| vs Weaker (1) | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 56% | 54% | 57% | 38% | 39% | 37% | 78% | 69% | 86% |
| % under line | 44% | 46% | 43% | 62% | 61% | 63% | 22% | 31% | 14% |
Ružomberok| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.67 | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.73 | 0.80 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.71 | 0.75 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.75 | 0.83 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+26pp vs league) | |||||
Podbrezová| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.87 | 0.67 | 0.73 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| vs Stronger (13) | 0.54 | 1.00 | 0.43 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (16) | 1.19 | 0.38 | 1.00 | 0.38 | 1.38 | 0.38 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 0.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+23pp vs league) | |||||
Ružomberok| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.67 | 0.87 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 0.80 | 0.60 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.54 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 0.42 | 0.58 | 1.08 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 1.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+30pp vs league) | |||||
Podbrezová| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.97 | 0.83 | 0.93 | 0.87 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| vs Stronger (13) | 0.46 | 0.92 | 0.57 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.83 |
| vs Similar (16) | 1.31 | 0.81 | 1.25 | 0.75 | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 2.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+23pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 90.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 2.5 cards | 86.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 82.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 77.8% | 1.21 | 1.24 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.22 | +1.4% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 11.5 corners | 73.3% | 1.43 | 1.45 | 1.44 | 1.43 | 1.40 | - | +8.9% | - |
| Over 3.5 cards | 71.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 | A | 5-0 | |
| 28/09/25 | H | 1-0 | |
| 14/12/24 | A | 2-0 | |
| 15/09/24 | H | 1-0 | |
| 27/04/24 | H | 3-2 | |
| 16/03/24 | A | 0-2 | |
| 02/03/24 | H | 2-1 | |
| 21/10/23 | A | 5-0 |
Ružomberok| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 26/07/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 16/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 4-3 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 11/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 21/03/26 | A | 3-1 |
Podbrezová| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 25/07/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 16/05/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 03/05/26 | H | 0-3 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 14/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 11/04/26 | H | 1-5 | |
| 05/04/26 | A | 4-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Dunajska Streda | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 17 | 2 | +15 | 3.8 | 100% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 15 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 3.4 | 0.4 | - |
| 2 | Spartak Trnava | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 3.0 | 100% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 3 | Žilina | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 4.5 | 83% | 83% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 12 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 2.5 | 2.0 | - |
| 4 | Slovan Bratislava | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 15 | 3 | +12 | 3.6 | 100% | 100% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 3.0 | 0.6 | - |
| 5 | Podbrezová | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 3.7 | 100% | 83% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.7 | 2.0 | - |
| 6 | Zemplín Michalovce | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2.0 | 83% | 17% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 7 | Skalica | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 4.0 | 100% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 2.5 | - |
| 8 | FK Košice | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 5.4 | 100% | 100% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2.8 | 2.6 | - |
| 9 | AS Trencin | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3.6 | 100% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1.4 | 2.2 | - |
| 10 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3.5 | 83% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 2.5 | - |
| 11 | Komárno | 6 | 3 | 0% | 0.5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 2.8 | 100% | 67% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.8 | - |
| 12 | Ružomberok | 6 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 3.2 | 83% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 | 2.5 | - |