This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
K. Lierse S.K.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
1.90
2.80
1.20
1.40
2.60
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (7)
2.29
2.57
3.00
1.67
1.75
3.25
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (RWDM) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.8%
Under 1.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.7%
Under 2.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.5%
Under 3.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.3%
No
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
1-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
3-0 ✓
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
RWDM goals ↓
K. Lierse S.K. goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.7%
3.4%
2.5%
1.0%
0.3%
1
7.1%
10%
5.3%
2.1%
0.6%
2
8.5%
9.8%
5.7%
2.2%
0.6%
3
6.0%
6.9%
4.0%
1.5%
0.4%
4
3.2%
3.7%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = RWDM goals (down), columns = K. Lierse S.K. goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
RWDM
2.16
SK Beveren
2.12
Lommel United
1.59
Club Brugge II
1.53
Deinze
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
K. Lierse S.K.
1.44
Dender
1.22
RSC Anderlecht II
1.16
Standard Liège II
0.84
KRC Genk II
0.81
Excelsior Virton
0.78
RWDM is 0.72 points better than K. Lierse S.K. in terms of average points per game (2.16 vs 1.44).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SK Beveren
2.38
RWDM
2.03
Lommel United
1.66
K. Lierse S.K.
1.66
Club Brugge II
1.59
Deinze
1.53
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Beerschot VA
1.34
Dender
1.28
KRC Genk II
1.12
Excelsior Virton
1.00
Standard Liège II
0.97
RWDM is 0.38 goals better than K. Lierse S.K. in terms of goals scored per game (2.03 vs 1.66).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
RWDM
0.91
SK Beveren
1.06
Beerschot VA
1.28
Lommel United
1.44
Deinze
1.47
Dender
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.50
Excelsior Virton
1.59
RSC Anderlecht II
1.75
KRC Genk II
1.81
K. Lierse S.K.
1.84
Standard Liège II
1.88
RWDM is 0.94 goals better than K. Lierse S.K. in terms of goals conceded per game (0.91 vs 1.84).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
RWDM
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
K. Lierse S.K.
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
RWDM
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (10)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
K. Lierse S.K.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (10)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (RWDM) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Beerschot VA
11.0
SK Beveren
9.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Beerschot VA
4.6
SK Beveren
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SK Beveren
25.9
Beerschot VA
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
RWDM
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.30
0.60
0.20
0.20
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.38
0.38
0.60
0.20
0.00
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
-
-
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
K. Lierse S.K.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.80
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.29
1.29
1.67
1.33
1.00
1.25
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (RWDM) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
RWDM over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWDM over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWDM over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
RWDM
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.80
1.20
0.60
1.60
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.25
0.75
1.20
0.60
1.33
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
K. Lierse S.K.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.90
0.80
0.20
0.60
1.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.00
1.29
1.33
0.33
0.75
2.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (RWDM) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
RWDM over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWDM over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RWDM over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
RWDM · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mamadou Usman Simbakoli44%
Aïman Maurer29%
Gaëtan Robail29%
Kwasi Poku22%
Noah Dodeigne20%
Valentin Adamo17%
Jacob Montes11%
Matías Segovia11%
Huguinho7%
Tibo Persyn6%
Mats Lemmens6%
Olivier Dumont6%
Manoël Verhaeghe5%
Pjotr Kestens5%
Bill Lathouwers0%
Ali Loune0%
Justin Bengui0%
Ilyes Ziani0%
Madiou Keita0%
Yacine Chaib0%
Sapata0%
Djovkar Doudaev0%
Francisco Montoro0%
Tom Moore0%
Bilal Sanhaji0%
Oskar Szulc0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ali Loune33%
Tom Moore33%
Oskar Szulc33%
Justin Bengui29%
Huguinho27%
Matías Segovia22%
Yacine Chaib21%
Aïman Maurer18%
Mats Lemmens18%
Ilyes Ziani17%
Bilal Sanhaji17%
Bill Lathouwers14%
Gaëtan Robail14%
Madiou Keita12%
Mamadou Usman Simbakoli11%
Noah Dodeigne10%
Sapata9%
Djovkar Doudaev8%
Tibo Persyn6%
Manoël Verhaeghe5%
Pjotr Kestens5%
Jacob Montes0%
Valentin Adamo0%
Olivier Dumont0%
Kwasi Poku0%
Francisco Montoro0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ilyes Ziani33%
Gaëtan Robail29%
Sapata18%
Huguinho13%
Aïman Maurer12%
Ali Loune11%
Mamadou Usman Simbakoli11%
Pjotr Kestens10%
Valentin Adamo8%
Oskar Szulc8%
Djovkar Doudaev8%
Bill Lathouwers7%
Tibo Persyn6%
Olivier Dumont6%
Jacob Montes0%
Matías Segovia0%
Justin Bengui0%
Kwasi Poku0%
Mats Lemmens0%
Noah Dodeigne0%
Madiou Keita0%
Yacine Chaib0%
Francisco Montoro0%
Manoël Verhaeghe0%
Tom Moore0%
Bilal Sanhaji0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aïman Maurer35%
Gaëtan Robail29%
Mamadou Usman Simbakoli22%
Pjotr Kestens10%
Sapata9%
Valentin Adamo8%
Mats Lemmens6%
Bill Lathouwers0%
Jacob Montes0%
Tibo Persyn0%
Matías Segovia0%
Ali Loune0%
Justin Bengui0%
Olivier Dumont0%
Ilyes Ziani0%
Kwasi Poku0%
Noah Dodeigne0%
Madiou Keita0%
Yacine Chaib0%
Djovkar Doudaev0%
Francisco Montoro0%
Manoël Verhaeghe0%
Tom Moore0%
Huguinho0%
Bilal Sanhaji0%
Oskar Szulc0%
K. Lierse S.K. · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexandre Stanic36%
Mauro Lenaerts33%
Daan De Peuter29%
Jenthe Mertens24%
Emmanuel Matuta17%
Pietro Perdichizzi14%
Bryan Adinany14%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne14%
Samih El Touile8%
Dirk Asare7%
Victor Daguin5%
Jarno De Smet0%
Mansour Sy0%
Wout De Buyser0%
Pieter De Schrijver0%
Kiany Vroman0%
Toni Lun Bončina0%
Noam Mayoka-Tika0%
Dylan Demuynck0%
Jano Willems0%
Sam Vanderhallen0%
Yann Gboua0%
Thiebe Van Elsuwege0%
Elton Yeboah0%
Yassin Hidraoui0%
Hugo Masaki0%
Tiago Vermeulen0%
Bo De Kerf0%
Vincent De Vos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Thiebe Van Elsuwege40%
Jenthe Mertens35%
Daan De Peuter29%
Victor Daguin27%
Wout De Buyser25%
Yassin Hidraoui25%
Hugo Masaki25%
Noam Mayoka-Tika23%
Dirk Asare20%
Alexandre Stanic18%
Samih El Touile17%
Bo De Kerf17%
Mauro Lenaerts17%
Pietro Perdichizzi14%
Bryan Adinany14%
Elton Yeboah14%
Jano Willems12%
Kiany Vroman11%
Sam Vanderhallen8%
Vincent De Vos7%
Emmanuel Matuta6%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne5%
Jarno De Smet0%
Mansour Sy0%
Pieter De Schrijver0%
Toni Lun Bončina0%
Dylan Demuynck0%
Yann Gboua0%
Tiago Vermeulen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bryan Adinany21%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne14%
Dirk Asare13%
Jenthe Mertens12%
Victor Daguin9%
Emmanuel Matuta6%
Noam Mayoka-Tika5%
Jarno De Smet0%
Pietro Perdichizzi0%
Mansour Sy0%
Wout De Buyser0%
Pieter De Schrijver0%
Kiany Vroman0%
Toni Lun Bončina0%
Alexandre Stanic0%
Dylan Demuynck0%
Jano Willems0%
Sam Vanderhallen0%
Samih El Touile0%
Yann Gboua0%
Thiebe Van Elsuwege0%
Elton Yeboah0%
Yassin Hidraoui0%
Hugo Masaki0%
Tiago Vermeulen0%
Daan De Peuter0%
Bo De Kerf0%
Mauro Lenaerts0%
Vincent De Vos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexandre Stanic36%
Bryan Adinany36%
Samih El Touile17%
Mauro Lenaerts17%
Toni Lun Bončina11%
Victor Daguin9%
Pietro Perdichizzi7%
Dirk Asare7%
Emmanuel Matuta6%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne5%
Jarno De Smet0%
Jenthe Mertens0%
Mansour Sy0%
Wout De Buyser0%
Pieter De Schrijver0%
Kiany Vroman0%
Noam Mayoka-Tika0%
Dylan Demuynck0%
Jano Willems0%
Sam Vanderhallen0%
Yann Gboua0%
Thiebe Van Elsuwege0%
Elton Yeboah0%
Yassin Hidraoui0%
Hugo Masaki0%
Tiago Vermeulen0%
Daan De Peuter0%
Bo De Kerf0%
Vincent De Vos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (25)
€26m
SB (24)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
DEN (19)
€8m
RAI (19)
€8m
KGI (18)
€7m
KLS (21)
€5m
RWD (7)
€2m
EV (11)
€2m
RWDM's squad is €3m less valuable than K. Lierse S.K.'s (€2m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (10)
€8m
SB (9)
€4m
BV (13)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KGI (9)
€2m
KLS (7)
€2m
DEN (4)
€1m
RWD (2)
€1m
EV (4)
€1m
RWDM and K. Lierse S.K. have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (5)
€15m
DEN (6)
€3m
SB (5)
€3m
KGI (1)
€2m
RAI (3)
€2m
KLS (3)
€1m
BV (2)
€0m
RWD (1)
€0m
EV (1)
€0m
RWDM and K. Lierse S.K. have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BV (11)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
DEN (9)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KLS (11)
€3m
KGI (8)
€2m
EV (6)
€1m
RWD (4)
€1m
RWDM's defence is €2m less valuable than K. Lierse S.K.'s (€1m vs €3m).
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
SK Beveren
Lommel United
Club Brugge II
Deinze
Beerschot VA
Dender
RSC Anderlecht II
Standard Liège II
KRC Genk II
Excelsior Virton