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Saburtalo II vs Spaeri Result & Analysis

Date: 06/12/2025
Time: 09:30
Final 1-2
Saburtalo II
Saburtalo II
Vs
37%
36%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Spaeri
Spaeri
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Saburtalo II win✗ Miss
36.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
35.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spaeri win✓ Hit
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Saburtalo IISaburtalo II

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D01L02L00D02L00D21W21W23LH·MER01/10A·SPA05/10H·SAM17/10A·DIN21/10H·RUS26/10A·GON01/11H·SIO07/11A·MES21/11H·LOK25/11A·MER29/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.201.000.531.271.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.191.111.000.461.361.71
vs Weaker (3)0.672.001.001.000.004.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Spaeri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpaeriSpaeri

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W11D12L12L00D00D11D21W03L23LA·LOK01/10H·SAB05/10A·DIN17/10H·GON21/10A·MES26/10H·MER01/11A·SAM08/11H·RUS21/11A·SIO25/11H·LOK29/11
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.031.531.130.730.93
vs Stronger (2)0.003.500.005.000.002.00
vs Similar (25)1.280.841.690.850.830.83
vs Weaker (3)0.671.001.001.000.501.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Saburtalo II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%18%027%128%216%37%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
54.2%
Under 1.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
26.2%
Under 2.5
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
10.4%
Under 3.5
89.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
35.5%
No
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
18.3%
1-0
15.2%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
12.3%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
6.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-2 ✓
5.3%
Saburtalo II goals ↓
Spaeri goals →
01234
018%12%5.5%1.5%0.3%
115%15%5.3%1.4%0.3%
28.0%6.4%2.6%0.7%0.1%
32.6%2.1%0.8%0.2%0.0%
40.6%0.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Saburtalo II goals (down), columns = Spaeri goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Odishi 1919
2.00
Rustavi
1.97
Spaeri
1.78
Aragvi Dusheti
1.50
Meshakhte
1.44
Merani Martvili
1.39
Sioni
1.33
Samtredia
1.28
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.26
Saburtalo II
1.13
Gonio
1.03
Dinamo Tbilisi II
0.78
Saburtalo II is 0.65 points worse than Spaeri in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 1.78).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Odishi 1919
2.00
Rustavi
1.72
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.50
Aragvi Dusheti
1.50
Spaeri
1.50
Sioni
1.39
Samtredia
1.22
Gonio
1.17
Merani Martvili
1.14
Dinamo Tbilisi II
1.14
Saburtalo II
1.13
Meshakhte
0.94
Saburtalo II is 0.37 goals worse than Spaeri in terms of goals scored per game (1.13 vs 1.50).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Meshakhte
0.69
Rustavi
0.83
Spaeri
0.94
Samtredia
1.17
Sioni
1.22
Saburtalo II
1.26
Odishi 1919
1.50
Aragvi Dusheti
1.50
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.53
Merani Martvili
1.53
Gonio
1.58
Dinamo Tbilisi II
2.11
Saburtalo II is 0.32 goals worse than Spaeri in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 0.94).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Saburtalo IISaburtalo II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L00D00D00D00D11D11D22DH·MER01/10A·SPA05/10H·SAM17/10A·DIN21/10H·RUS26/10A·GON01/11H·SIO07/11A·MES21/11H·LOK25/11A·MER29/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.400.400.730.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.590.480.380.310.790.64
vs Weaker (3)0.331.670.501.000.003.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Spaeri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpaeriSpaeri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W01L10W00D00D10W00D03L10WA·LOK01/10H·SAB05/10A·DIN17/10H·GON21/10A·MES26/10H·MER01/11A·SAM08/11H·RUS21/11A·SIO25/11H·LOK29/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.430.600.470.400.40
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.003.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.560.280.690.230.420.33
vs Weaker (3)0.330.670.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Saburtalo II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Saburtalo II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saburtalo II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saburtalo II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Saburtalo IISaburtalo II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D02L00D02L00D10W10W01LH·MER01/10A·SPA05/10H·SAM17/10A·DIN21/10H·RUS26/10A·GON01/11H·SIO07/11A·MES21/11H·LOK25/11A·MER29/11
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.600.130.531.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.590.630.620.150.571.07
vs Weaker (3)0.330.330.500.000.001.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Spaeri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpaeriSpaeri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L11D02L00D00D01L21W00D13LA·LOK01/10H·SAB05/10A·DIN17/10H·GON21/10A·MES26/10H·MER01/11A·SAM08/11H·RUS21/11A·SIO25/11H·LOK29/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.930.670.330.53
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.720.561.000.620.420.50
vs Weaker (3)0.330.331.000.000.000.50
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Saburtalo II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Saburtalo II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saburtalo II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saburtalo II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.589.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.573.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (22)
€2m
MES (21)
€2m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
MES (7)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MES (5)
€1m
RUS (4)
€0m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (10)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
MES (9)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
SI wins
2
Draws
1
SPA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Saburtalo II vs Spaeri · H/A from SI
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/25ASpaeri Vs SI1-1
11/08/25HSI Vs Spaeri1-1
28/04/25ASpaeri Vs SI3-0

Saburtalo IISaburtalo II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/11/25AMerani Martvili Vs SI3-2
25/11/25HSI Vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi2-1
21/11/25AMeshakhte Vs SI1-2
07/11/25HSI Vs Sioni0-0
01/11/25AGonio Vs SI2-0
26/10/25HSI Vs Rustavi0-0
21/10/25ADinamo Tbilisi II Vs SI2-0
17/10/25HSI Vs Samtredia0-1
05/10/25ASpaeri Vs SI1-1
01/10/25HSI Vs Merani Martvili0-0

SpaeriSpaeri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/11/25HSPA Vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi2-3
25/11/25ASioni Vs SPA3-0
21/11/25HSPA Vs Rustavi2-1
08/11/25ASamtredia Vs SPA1-1
01/11/25HSPA Vs Merani Martvili0-0
26/10/25AMeshakhte Vs SPA0-0
21/10/25HSPA Vs Gonio1-2
17/10/25ADinamo Tbilisi II Vs SPA2-1
05/10/25HSPA Vs Saburtalo II1-1
01/10/25ALokomotivi Tbilisi Vs SPA0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Saburtalo II
Saburtalo II
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL1.24
HomeDLDDW1.50
AwayDLLWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%33%26%
AVG goals2.321.782.84
Over 1.5 %70%56%84%
Over 2.5 %41%33%47%
Over 3.5 %22%17%26%
Scored1.141.111.16
Conceded1.190.671.68
BTTS49%44%53%
Clean Sheet24%39%11%
Corners---
Cards---
Spaeri
Spaeri
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWLL1.58
HomeDLDWL1.68
AwayWLDDL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%44%40%
AVG goals2.603.042.16
Over 1.5 %76%80%72%
Over 2.5 %44%60%28%
Over 3.5 %22%36%8%
Scored1.481.801.16
Conceded1.121.241.00
BTTS50%60%40%
Clean Sheet36%36%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RustaviRustavi3671
58%
2.0
6230+32
2.6
81%
53%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.8
-
2SpaeriSpaeri3664
47%
1.8
5434+20
2.4
72%
44%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.50.9
-
3MeshakhteMeshakhte3652
36%
1.4
3425+9
1.6
47%
28%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.90.7
-
4Merani MartviliMerani Martvili3650
36%
1.4
4155-14
2.7
75%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
5SioniSioni3648
33%
1.3
5044+6
2.6
67%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
6Lokomotivi TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi3848
32%
1.3
5758-1
3.0
79%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.5
-
7SamtrediaSamtredia3646
31%
1.3
4442+2
2.4
72%
44%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
8Saburtalo IISaburtalo II3843
26%
1.1
4348-5
2.4
74%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
9GonioGonio3637
25%
1.0
4257-15
2.8
83%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
10Dinamo Tbilisi IIDinamo Tbilisi II3628
17%
0.8
4176-35
3.2
89%
72%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.1
-
11Odishi 1919Odishi 191924
50%
2.0
43+1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
12Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti23
50%
1.5
33+0
3.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.5
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 stats & trends →

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