Saburtalo vs Dila Result & Analysis

Saburtalo are tipped to lift the win, with a 43% chance of triumph, 27% for a draw and 29% that Dila will come out on top. The model expects 2.8 goals in total, centring on a 2-goal average and a 1-1 scoreline that carries a 13% probability. Saburtalo, playing at home against a similarly ranked side, have averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded, while Dila, on the road, have netted 1.22 and given up 0.67 against comparable opposition. The model’s single selection is Over 1.5 goals, with a 78% chance of hitting that target. The match is expected to finish 1-1, but the final result last week was an away win for Dila, 1-2. Saburtalo’s recent form shows three straight defeats, and Dila’s last outing was a 2-2 draw.

The upset came as Saburtalo, the pre-match favourite, fell short, losing 1-2 to Dila. The model had tipped a home win with a 43% probability, but the prediction was wrong. The only other selection the model made was Over 1.5 goals, which hit with a 78% chance. The match finished 1-2, giving Dila the victory. Saburtalo’s recent form was a string of three losses, while Dila had come off a draw in their last game. The final score confirmed the away side’s win and the model’s sole other pick was a successful over.