Saburtalo vs Dinamo Batumi Result & Analysis

Saburtalo are tipped to win this Georgia Erovnuli Liga clash, with the model assigning a 45% chance to a home victory, 30% to a draw and 25% to a Dinamo Batumi win. The expected total goals hover at 2.3, with the most likely single scoreline 1-1, carrying a 14.1% probability. Saburtalo’s home form shows they average 1.44 goals scored and 0.89 conceded against similar opposition, while Dinamo Batumi, on the road, averages 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. The recent run for Saburtalo has been shaky - four losses in a row ending with a 0-2 defeat to Gagra - whereas Dinamo Batumi come off a three-game winning streak, having beaten Spaeri 3-0. The model’s selection for this match is Under 3.5 goals, with a 79.5% probability. The predicted outcome is a home win, a 2.3 expected total, a 1-1 scoreline, and an Under 3.5 selection.

The upset came early as the pre-match favourite, Saburtalo, failed to secure the win, ending a string of four consecutive defeats in their last five games. The match finished 0-0, a draw that left the model’s pick wrong. The model had given Saburtalo a 45% chance of victory, but the result was a stalemate. The only other selection was the model’s Under 3.5 goals call, which hit with a 79.5% probability. Dinamo Batumi, on a three-game winning run, held their opponents to a clean sheet, while Saburtalo’s attack struggled to convert any chances. The final score of 0-0 matched the model’s most likely total of two goals, but the outcome was a draw.