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Saburtalo vs Shukura Result & Analysis

Date: 15/08/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 5-1
Saburtalo
Saburtalo
Vs
62%
21%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Shukura
Shukura
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Saburtalo win✓ Hit
61.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Shukura win✗ Miss
17.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

SaburtaloSaburtalo

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-533D32W11D20W21W51W30W21W12L13LH·DIN30/04A·SHU05/05A·DIL09/05H·SAM14/05A·GAG20/05H·SAM24/05A·TEL28/05H·DIN01/06A·DIN05/06H·TOR08/08
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.231.791.211.881.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.411.651.251.751.561.56
vs Weaker (13)2.380.692.500.502.290.86
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Shukura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ShukuraShukura

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-514L23L00D23L44D22D21W34L22D05LA·SAM30/04H·SAB05/05A·TEL10/05H·DIL15/05A·DIN20/05H·SAM24/05A·TOR28/05H·GAG01/06H·SAM06/06A·DIN05/08
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.771.641.931.311.62
vs Stronger (2)1.001.500.002.002.001.00
vs Similar (24)1.422.001.642.091.231.92
vs Weaker (4)2.000.502.501.001.500.00
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Saburtalo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.6%
Under 1.5
13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.7%
Under 2.5
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
44.9%
Under 3.5
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.3%
No
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
1-0
6.5%
3-0
6.4%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
Saburtalo goals ↓
Shukura goals →
01234
04.1%2.9%2.1%0.8%0.2%
16.5%9.3%4.9%1.9%0.5%
28.4%9.7%5.6%2.1%0.6%
36.4%7.4%4.2%1.6%0.5%
43.7%4.2%2.4%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Saburtalo goals (down), columns = Shukura goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dinamo Batumi
2.06
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.97
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.67
Dila
1.67
Samgurali
1.58
Gareji
1.50
Saburtalo
1.42
Telavi
1.08
Gagra
1.06
Samtredia
0.95
Spaeri
0.50
Shukura
0.47
Saburtalo is 0.94 points better than Shukura in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 0.47).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.58
Dinamo Batumi
2.31
Gareji
2.00
Saburtalo
1.61
Dila
1.56
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.53
Samgurali
1.47
Samtredia
1.45
Gagra
1.31
Shukura
1.06
Telavi
1.03
Spaeri
0.50
Saburtalo is 0.56 goals better than Shukura in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.06).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.03
Dila
1.08
Dinamo Batumi
1.14
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.36
Saburtalo
1.36
Samgurali
1.42
Telavi
1.66
Samtredia
1.74
Gagra
1.81
Gareji
2.50
Spaeri
2.50
Shukura
3.11
Saburtalo is 1.75 goals better than Shukura in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 3.11).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

SaburtaloSaburtalo

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

ShukuraShukura

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

SaburtaloSaburtalo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.29.511.00.40.40.4---
vs Stronger (2)10.011.09.05.55.06.0---
vs Similar (29)10.58.013.00.30.30.3---
vs Weaker (19)---0.00.00.0---
% over line50%50%50%8%8%8%---
% under line50%50%50%92%92%92%---
This opponent (Shukura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ShukuraShukura

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (2)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (42)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (6)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Saburtalo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
10.2
Saburtalo
10.2
Dila
9.0
Dinamo Tbilisi
7.8
Dinamo Batumi
7.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
6.3
Dila
5.0
Saburtalo
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.5
Dinamo Tbilisi
3.2

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dila
31.0
Torpedo Kutaisi
28.0
Dinamo Tbilisi
25.0
Dinamo Batumi
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SaburtaloSaburtalo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W00D00D20W10W10W00D10W10WH·DIN30/04A·SHU05/05A·DIL09/05H·SAM14/05A·GAG20/05H·SAM24/05A·TEL28/05H·DIN01/06A·DIN05/06H·TOR08/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.330.710.360.940.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.650.470.500.620.780.33
vs Weaker (13)1.080.151.000.001.140.29
Clean sheet %73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Shukura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ShukuraShukura

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L00D02L32W10W00D31W20W01LA·SAM30/04H·SAB05/05A·TEL10/05H·DIL15/05A·DIN20/05H·SAM24/05A·TOR28/05H·GAG01/06H·SAM06/06A·DIN05/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.600.710.640.690.56
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.750.710.820.730.690.69
vs Weaker (4)0.750.000.500.001.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Saburtalo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Saburtalo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saburtalo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saburtalo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shukura over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shukura over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shukura over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SaburtaloSaburtalo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W22D11D20W01L41W20W21W02L03LH·DIN30/04A·SHU05/05A·DIL09/05H·SAM14/05A·GAG20/05H·SAM24/05A·TEL28/05H·DIN01/06A·DIN05/06H·TOR08/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.901.070.860.940.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.761.180.751.120.781.22
vs Weaker (13)1.310.541.500.501.140.57
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Shukura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ShukuraShukura

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L22D00D21W12L12L21W03L02L04LA·SAM30/04H·SAB05/05A·TEL10/05H·DIL15/05A·DIN20/05H·SAM24/05A·TOR28/05H·GAG01/06H·SAM06/06A·DIN05/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.170.931.290.621.06
vs Stronger (2)1.001.000.001.002.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.671.290.821.360.541.23
vs Weaker (4)1.250.502.001.000.500.00
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Saburtalo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Saburtalo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saburtalo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saburtalo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shukura over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shukura over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shukura over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
SAB wins
0
Draws
0
SHU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Saburtalo vs Shukura · H/A from SAB
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/23AShukura Vs SAB2-3
08/03/23HSAB Vs Shukura2-1

SaburtaloSaburtalo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/23HSAB Vs Torpedo Kutaisi1-3
05/06/23ADinamo Batumi Vs SAB2-1
01/06/23HSAB Vs Dinamo Tbilisi2-1
28/05/23ATelavi Vs SAB0-3
24/05/23HSAB Vs Samgurali5-1
20/05/23AGagra Vs SAB1-2
14/05/23HSAB Vs Samtredia2-0
09/05/23ADila Vs SAB1-1
05/05/23AShukura Vs SAB2-3
30/04/23HSAB Vs Dinamo Batumi3-3

ShukuraShukura

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/08/23ADinamo Batumi Vs SHU5-0
06/06/23HSHU Vs Samgurali2-2
01/06/23HSHU Vs Gagra3-4
28/05/23ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs SHU1-2
24/05/23HSHU Vs Samtredia2-2
20/05/23ADinamo Tbilisi Vs SHU4-4
15/05/23HSHU Vs Dila2-3
10/05/23ATelavi Vs SHU0-0
05/05/23HSHU Vs Saburtalo2-3
30/04/23ASamgurali Vs SHU4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Saburtalo
Saburtalo
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.52
HomeDWWWL1.64
AwayWDWWL1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%48%40%
AVG goals2.942.843.04
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %62%56%68%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.641.681.60
Conceded1.301.161.44
BTTS52%48%56%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners10.259.5011.00
Cards5.004.505.50
Shukura
Shukura
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDL1.54
HomeLLDLD1.44
AwayLDDWL1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%44%48%
AVG goals3.103.282.92
Over 1.5 %86%92%80%
Over 2.5 %70%84%56%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored1.661.801.52
Conceded1.441.481.40
BTTS58%64%52%
Clean Sheet30%28%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3674
58%
2.1
8341+42
3.4
94%
69%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.31.1
-
2Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3671
58%
2.0
9349+44
3.9
92%
81%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.61.4
-
3Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3660
44%
1.7
5537+18
2.6
67%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.51.0
-
4DilaDila3660
47%
1.7
5639+17
2.6
72%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.61.1
-
5SamguraliSamgurali3657
44%
1.6
5351+2
2.9
72%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.4
-
6SaburtaloSaburtalo3651
39%
1.4
5849+9
3.0
78%
72%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.61.4
-
7TelaviTelavi3841
29%
1.1
3963-24
2.7
71%
55%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
8GagraGagra3638
28%
1.1
4765-18
3.1
64%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.8
-
9SamtrediaSamtredia3836
26%
0.9
5566-11
3.2
82%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
10ShukuraShukura3617
11%
0.5
38112-74
4.2
89%
75%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.1
-
11GarejiGareji23
50%
1.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.5
-
12SpaeriSpaeri21
0%
0.5
15-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.52.5
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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