Safa Baku vs Imisli FK Result & Analysis

Date: 29/08/2026

Time: 16:15

Final 0-1

Safa Baku

29%

36%

35%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Imisli FK

Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Safa Baku enter the match on a winning streak, having just defeated Qabala 1-0, while Imisli FK are coming off a 1-3 loss to Zira. The model’s most likely outcome is a draw, with a 36% chance, followed by a 29% home-win probability and a 35% away-win probability. The expected total goals is 1.8, and the single most probable total is two goals, a 28% chance. The most likely scoreline is a 0-0 stalemate, with an 18.1% probability.

Safa Baku’s home form shows an average of 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded against similarly matched opponents, whereas Imisli FK’s away form averages 1.0 scored and 0.64 conceded. The model’s suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.8%), Under 5.5 (99.0%, edge 5%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.4%), Under 4.5 (96.5%, edge 8%), Home under 2.5 goals (94.7%, edge 13%), and Away under 2.5 goals (92.9%, edge 3%).

Results analysis

The upset came as the pre-match favourite, a Draw, failed to materialise, with Imisli FK snatching a 0-1 away win. The model had given the draw a 36% probability, but the outcome proved wrong. The match was low-scoring, in line with the model’s 1.8 expected total goals and the most likely 2-goal total at 28%. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 at 99.9%, Under 6.5 at 99.8%, Under 5.5 at 99.0%, Home under 3.5 goals at 98.9%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.4%, Under 4.5 at 96.5%, Home under 2.5 goals at 94.7%, and Away under 2.5 goals at 92.9%. Safa Baku’s recent form, a win after a defeat, and Imisli FK’s form, a win after a win, set the stage for this narrow victory.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Safa Baku win✗ Miss

29.1%

Avg Implied 44.7% · @ 2.03

Edge

-15.6%

Best 5 market prices

Betano

2.10

Superbet

2.10

Pinnacle

2.06

BetVictor

2.05

William Hil

2.05

Draw✗ Miss

35.6%

Avg Implied 29.6% · @ 3.06

Edge

+6.0%

Best 5 market prices

Dafabet

3.10

Betfair

3.10

Bet365

3.10

BetVictor

3.10

Superbet

3.10

Imisli FK win✓ Hit

35.3%

Avg Implied 25.7% · @ 3.52

Edge

+9.6%

Best 5 market prices

Bet365

3.75

Pinnacle

3.57

1xBet

3.56

Unibet

3.55

BetVictor

3.50

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Safa Baku

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.0

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

1.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.83	0.83	1.77	0.77	1.88	0.88
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (12)	1.58	0.67	2.20	0.60	1.14	0.71
vs Weaker (18)	2.00	0.94	1.50	0.88	2.40	1.00
Clean sheet %	50% (+19pp vs league)

This opponent (Imisli FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Imisli FK

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.6

Avg scored

0.6

Avg conceded

1.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.77	1.40	0.62	1.46	0.88	1.35
vs Stronger (11)	0.45	2.36	0.20	2.00	0.67	2.67
vs Similar (19)	0.95	0.84	0.88	1.12	1.00	0.64
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	37% (+5pp vs league)

This opponent (Safa Baku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

54.6%

@ 1.39-11.3%

Under 1.5

45.4%

@ 2.70+11.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.44

Betfair

1.40

BetVictor

1.40

Betano

1.40

Pinnacle

1.39

Under

Betfair

2.88

Pinnacle

2.80

BetVictor

2.75

1xBet

2.70

Marathonbet

2.70

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

26.6%

@ 2.22-14.8%

Under 2.5

73.4%

@ 1.57+14.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.35

Pinnacle

2.28

Betfair

2.25

Superbet

2.22

1xBet

2.21

Under

Pinnacle

1.60

1xBet

1.58

Marathonbet

1.58

Bet365

1.57

Betfair

1.57

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

10.7%

@ 4.11-11.7%

Under 3.5

89.3%

@ 1.18+11.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

4.50

Bet365

4.33

Betfair

4.33

1xBet

4.15

Marathonbet

4.15

Under

Betano

1.20

Bet365

1.20

Betfair

1.20

Unibet

1.18

BetVictor

1.17

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

36.1%

@ 1.93-11.4%

63.9%

@ 1.75+11.4%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Bet365

2.00

Superbet

1.97

Betfair

1.95

Marathonbet

1.92

1xBet

1.92

Betfair

1.80

William Hil

1.80

1xBet

1.75

Superbet

1.74

Marathonbet

1.73

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

0-0

18.1%@ 7.57+12.4%

1-1

14.6%@ 5.58+7.0%

0-1 ✓

14.6%@ 8.22+9.4%

1-0

12.7%@ 5.81+5.3%

0-2

7.6%@ 16.54+5.0%

1-2

6.3%@ 11.75+2.7%

2-0

5.9%@ 8.18+0.6%

2-1

5.6%@ 8.15+0.3%

Safa Baku goals ↓

	Imisli FK goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	18%	15%	7.6%	2.4%	0.6%
1	13%	15%	6.3%	2.0%	0.5%
2	5.9%	5.6%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%
3	1.6%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Safa Baku goals (down), columns = Imisli FK goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Sabah FA

2.36

Qarabag

2.09

Neftchi Baku

1.79

Turan

1.79

Zira

1.61

Araz

1.39

Sumqayıt

1.19

Şamaxı FK

1.15

Safa Baku

1.09

Imisli FK

1.06

Qabala

0.88

Kapaz

0.82

Safa Baku is 0.03 points better than Imisli FK in terms of average points per game (1.09 vs 1.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Sabah FA

2.27

Qarabag

2.15

Neftchi Baku

1.73

Araz

1.33

Turan

1.33

Sumqayıt

1.31

Zira

1.30

Safa Baku

1.02

Qabala

1.00

Şamaxı FK

0.94

Kapaz

0.76

Imisli FK

0.72

Safa Baku is 0.31 goals better than Imisli FK in terms of goals scored per game (1.02 vs 0.72).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Sabah FA

0.76

Qarabag

0.82

Turan

0.82

Neftchi Baku

0.97

Zira

1.09

Şamaxı FK

1.21

Imisli FK

1.25

Qabala

1.44

Sumqayıt

1.53

Safa Baku

1.57

Araz

1.76

Kapaz

1.85

Safa Baku is 0.32 goals worse than Imisli FK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Safa Baku or Draw✗ Miss

64.7%

Avg Implied 74.4% · @ 1.24

Edge

-9.6%

29%

36%

35%

covers Safa Baku + Draw

Best 5 market prices

BetVictor

1.29

Betano

1.27

Superbet

1.25

Betfair

1.25

William Hil

1.25

Safa Baku or Imisli FK✓ Hit

64.4%

Avg Implied 70.4% · @ 1.31

Edge

-6.1%

29%

36%

35%

covers Safa Baku + Imisli FK

Best 5 market prices

BetVictor

1.40

William Hil

1.36

Betano

1.31

Superbet

1.30

Betfair

1.30

Draw or Imisli FK✓ Hit

70.9%

Avg Implied 55.2% · @ 1.67

Edge

+15.7%

29%

36%

35%

covers Draw + Imisli FK

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.70

Betano

1.70

Bet365

1.70

Betfair

1.67

BetVictor

1.67

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Safa Baku over/under 0.5Actual: Under

Over

56.7%

@ 1.24-16.6%

Under

43.3%

@ 3.42+16.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.26

BetVictor

1.25

Bet365

1.25

1xBet

1.23

Marathonbet

1.23

Under

Bet365

3.75

Marathonbet

3.50

1xBet

3.50

Superbet

3.20

BetVictor

3.13

Safa Baku over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

20.5%

@ 2.30-19.6%

Under

79.5%

@ 1.53+19.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.35

Betano

2.32

Marathonbet

2.31

1xBet

2.31

Superbet

2.30

Under

Bet365

1.57

Pinnacle

1.56

Betano

1.55

Marathonbet

1.53

1xBet

1.53

Safa Baku over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

5.3%

@ 4.93-13.1%

Under

94.7%

@ 1.11+13.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

5.30

1xBet

5.30

Superbet

4.80

BetVictor

4.75

Bet365

4.50

Under

Bet365

1.17

Superbet

1.11

BetVictor

1.10

1xBet

1.09

Marathonbet

1.09

Safa Baku over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

1.1%

@ 9.00-9.3%

Under

98.9%

@ 1.04+9.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

9.00

Under

Bet365

1.04

Imisli FK over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

61.3%

@ 1.51+0.5%

Under

38.7%

@ 2.34-0.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.57

Pinnacle

1.53

Betano

1.52

Superbet

1.50

1xBet

1.48

Under

Pinnacle

2.43

Betano

2.37

Marathonbet

2.36

1xBet

2.36

Superbet

2.35

Imisli FK over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

24.6%

@ 3.47-1.7%

Under

75.4%

@ 1.24+1.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.75

Marathonbet

3.50

1xBet

3.50

Superbet

3.30

BetVictor

3.30

Under

Bet365

1.25

Marathonbet

1.24

1xBet

1.24

Superbet

1.24

BetVictor

1.22

Imisli FK over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

7.1%

@ 8.68-3.5%

Under

92.9%

@ 1.03+3.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

9.30

Marathonbet

9.00

Bet365

8.50

Superbet

7.90

Under

Bet365

1.05

Superbet

1.02

Imisli FK over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

1.6%

@ 17.00-98.4%

Under

98.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

17.00

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Safa Baku, so a minus line means Safa Baku give that many goals of a start and Imisli FK receive them. At -1, Safa Baku must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Safa Baku win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Safa Baku)Actual: Imisli FK

Safa Baku -2

2.5%

@ 7.45-9.0%

Draw -2

7.6%

@ 4.88-10.0%

Imisli FK +2

89.9%

@ 1.21+19.0%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

9.00

Marathonbet

5.90

Draw

Bet365

5.50

Marathonbet

4.25

Away

Bet365

1.25

Marathonbet

1.16

Handicap -1 (Safa Baku)Actual: Imisli FK

Safa Baku -1

10.1%

@ 4.00-12.4%

Draw -1

19.1%

@ 3.59-5.9%

Imisli FK +1

70.9%

@ 1.70+18.3%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

4.20

Marathonbet

4.05

Bet365

3.75

Draw

Bet365

3.60

Betfair

3.60

Marathonbet

3.58

Away

Bet365

1.80

Betfair

1.67

Marathonbet

1.64

Handicap +1 (Safa Baku)Actual: Draw

Safa Baku +1

64.7%

@ 1.24-8.5%

Draw +1

21.8%

@ 5.30+4.7%

Imisli FK -1

13.5%

@ 9.35+3.8%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.25

Marathonbet

1.22

Draw

Bet365

5.50

Marathonbet

5.10

Away

Bet365

10.00

Marathonbet

8.70

Handicap +2 (Safa Baku)Actual: Safa Baku

Safa Baku +2

86.5%

@ 1.06-2.2%

Draw +2

9.8%

@ 13.00+2.5%

Imisli FK -2

3.7%

@ 23.00-0.4%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.06

Draw

Bet365

13.00

Away

Bet365

23.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Safa Baku

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

0.4

Avg scored

0.2

Avg conceded

0.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.73	0.23	0.62	0.23	0.82	0.24
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (12)	0.50	0.25	0.40	0.20	0.57	0.29
vs Weaker (18)	0.89	0.22	0.75	0.25	1.00	0.20
Clean sheet %	80% (+49pp vs league)

This opponent (Imisli FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Imisli FK

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

0.7

Avg scored

0.4

Avg conceded

0.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.30	0.53	0.23	0.62	0.35	0.47
vs Stronger (11)	0.09	0.73	0.00	0.60	0.17	0.83
vs Similar (19)	0.42	0.42	0.38	0.62	0.45	0.27
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	63% (+32pp vs league)

This opponent (Safa Baku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under

Over 0.5

0.0%

Under 0.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.50

Bet365

1.50

Pinnacle

1.48

BetVictor

1.47

Superbet

1.46

Under

Betfair

2.63

William Hil

2.62

Pinnacle

2.55

Bet365

2.50

Superbet

2.42

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

0.0%

Under 1.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

3.40

Bet365

3.40

Marathonbet

3.20

Betfair

3.20

1xBet

3.20

Under

William Hil

1.33

Pinnacle

1.31

Betfair

1.30

Bet365

1.30

BetVictor

1.29

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

0.0%

Under 2.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

9.50

1xBet

9.00

Marathonbet

9.00

Betfair

8.50

William Hil

8.50

Under

Bet365

1.06

William Hil

1.06

Betfair

1.05

BetVictor

1.03

Superbet

1.03

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Safa Baku over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.07

Pinnacle

2.03

Superbet

2.02

Marathonbet

2.01

1xBet

1.95

Under

1xBet

1.76

Pinnacle

1.74

Superbet

1.69

Betano

1.67

Marathonbet

1.66

Safa Baku over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

6.85

1xBet

5.90

Under

1xBet

1.09

Marathonbet

1.05

Safa Baku over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Imisli FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.67

1xBet

2.60

Marathonbet

2.60

Betano

2.60

Superbet

2.57

Under

Betano

1.44

Pinnacle

1.44

1xBet

1.43

Superbet

1.41

Marathonbet

1.40

Imisli FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

9.80

Marathonbet

9.70

Under

No market prices yet.

Imisli FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Safa Baku

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.6

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.10	0.60	1.15	0.54	1.06	0.65
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (12)	1.08	0.42	1.80	0.40	0.57	0.43
vs Weaker (18)	1.11	0.72	0.75	0.62	1.40	0.80
Clean sheet %	57% (+25pp vs league)

This opponent (Imisli FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Imisli FK

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

0.9

Avg scored

0.2

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.47	0.87	0.38	0.85	0.53	0.88
vs Stronger (11)	0.36	1.64	0.20	1.40	0.50	1.83
vs Similar (19)	0.53	0.42	0.50	0.50	0.55	0.36
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	43% (+12pp vs league)

This opponent (Safa Baku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

0.0%

Under 0.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.30

Bet365

1.30

Superbet

1.29

1xBet

1.27

Marathonbet

1.27

Under

Bet365

3.40

1xBet

3.20

Marathonbet

3.20

William Hil

3.10

Superbet

3.05

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

0.0%

Under 1.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.40

William Hil

2.40

Bet365

2.38

1xBet

2.36

Marathonbet

2.36

Under

Bet365

1.53

Betano

1.52

William Hil

1.50

Superbet

1.48

1xBet

1.48

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

0.0%

Under 2.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

6.00

William Hil

5.80

Marathonbet

5.65

1xBet

5.65

Superbet

5.10

Under

Bet365

1.12

William Hil

1.12

Superbet

1.09

Marathonbet

1.08

1xBet

1.08

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Safa Baku over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.76

Marathonbet

1.70

1xBet

1.68

Under

1xBet

2.06

Marathonbet

1.96

Superbet

1.95

Safa Baku over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

4.75

1xBet

4.30

Under

1xBet

1.17

Marathonbet

1.13

Safa Baku over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Imisli FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.23

Superbet

2.17

Marathonbet

2.15

Under

Superbet

1.60

1xBet

1.58

Marathonbet

1.58

Imisli FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

7.70

1xBet

7.60

Under

1xBet

1.04

Marathonbet

1.03

Imisli FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	99.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	99.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	99.0%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	Bet365 1.01	Betfair 1.01	-	-	+4.5%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	98.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+9.3%	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	98.4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 4.5	96.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.06	Betfair 1.06	Superbet 1.03	BetVictor 1.03	1xBet 1.01	+7.4%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals	94.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.17	Superbet 1.11	BetVictor 1.10	1xBet 1.09	Marathonbet 1.09	+13.1%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	92.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.05	Superbet 1.02	-	-	-	+3.5%	✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap	89.9%	1.21	Bet365 1.25	Marathonbet 1.16	-	-	-	+19.0%	✓ Hit
Under 3.5	89.3%	1.18	Betano 1.20	Bet365 1.20	Betfair 1.20	Unibet 1.18	BetVictor 1.17	+11.7%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	86.5%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-2.2%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals	79.5%	1.53	Bet365 1.57	Pinnacle 1.56	Betano 1.55	Marathonbet 1.53	1xBet 1.53	+19.6%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals	75.4%	1.24	Bet365 1.25	Marathonbet 1.24	1xBet 1.24	Superbet 1.24	BetVictor 1.22	+1.7%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5	73.4%	1.57	Pinnacle 1.60	1xBet 1.58	Marathonbet 1.58	Bet365 1.57	Betfair 1.57	+14.8%	✓ Hit
Draw or Away	70.9%	1.67	William Hil 1.70	Betano 1.70	Bet365 1.70	Betfair 1.67	BetVictor 1.67	+15.7%	✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap	70.9%	1.70	Bet365 1.80	Betfair 1.67	Marathonbet 1.64	-	-	+18.3%	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

QAR (25)

€25m

SF (24)

€17m

NB (23)

€13m

ZIR (23)

€12m

TUR (23)

€10m

SUM (22)

€9m

IF (18)

€6m

ARA (19)

€6m

KAP (24)

€5m

QAB (18)

€5m

SB (15)

€4m

ŞF (15)

€4m

Safa Baku's squad is €2m less valuable than Imisli FK's (€4m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

QAR (9)

€8m

ZIR (10)

€6m

SF (7)

€5m

NB (7)

€4m

SUM (7)

€4m

TUR (7)

€3m

IF (7)

€3m

ARA (7)

€3m

SB (5)

€1m

QAB (5)

€1m

ŞF (6)

€1m

KAP (8)

€1m

Safa Baku's attack is €2m less valuable than Imisli FK's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

SF (7)

€5m

QAR (3)

€3m

NB (6)

€3m

SUM (4)

€2m

TUR (4)

€2m

ARA (5)

€2m

KAP (6)

€2m

ŞF (3)

€1m

ZIR (3)

€1m

QAB (3)

€1m

IF (2)

€1m

SB (2)

€0m

Safa Baku and Imisli FK have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

QAR (13)

€14m

SF (10)

€7m

NB (10)

€6m

ZIR (10)

€6m

TUR (12)

€5m

SUM (11)

€4m

IF (9)

€3m

QAB (10)

€3m

KAP (10)

€3m

SB (8)

€3m

ARA (7)

€2m

ŞF (6)

€2m

Safa Baku and Imisli FK have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings

SB wins

Draws

IF wins

Head-to-head

Safa Baku vs Imisli FK · H/A from SB

Date	H/A	Game	Score
No games.

Safa Baku

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
22/08/26	A	Qabala Vs SB	0-1
16/08/26	A	Zira Vs SB	2-0
22/05/26	A	Zaqatala Vs SB	2-1
15/05/26	H	SB Vs Cəbrayıl	1-0
06/05/26	A	Difai Ağsu Vs SB	0-0
29/04/26	H	SB Vs Şimal	0-0
22/04/26	H	SB Vs MOIK	3-0
16/04/26	A	Baku Sportinq Vs SB	0-0
09/04/26	H	SB Vs Səbail	2-1
03/04/26	A	Mingəçevir Vs SB	5-2

Imisli FK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
22/08/26	A	Zira Vs IF	3-1
15/08/26	A	Araz Vs IF	0-0
24/05/26	H	IF Vs Karvan	1-1
16/05/26	A	Qarabag Vs IF	3-0
08/05/26	H	IF Vs Zira	0-0
02/05/26	A	Araz Vs IF	0-1
25/04/26	H	IF Vs Sumqayıt	0-2
19/04/26	A	Kapaz Vs IF	0-1
12/04/26	A	Qabala Vs IF	0-1
07/04/26	H	IF Vs Turan	1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Safa Baku

Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa

Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DWLLW	2.00
Home	WWWDW	2.07
Away	DDLLW	1.94

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	56%	53%	59%
AVG goals	2.69	2.60	2.76
Over 1.5 %	75%	80%	71%
Over 2.5 %	50%	53%	47%
Over 3.5 %	25%	27%	24%
Scored	1.84	1.80	1.88
Conceded	0.84	0.80	0.88
BTTS	47%	60%	35%
Clean Sheet	50%	40%	59%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Imisli FK

Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa

Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DLDDL	1.34
Home	LDLDD	1.12
Away	WWLDL	1.54

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	21%	42%
AVG goals	2.04	1.88	2.19
Over 1.5 %	56%	58%	54%
Over 2.5 %	34%	29%	38%
Over 3.5 %	22%	17%	27%
Scored	0.94	0.79	1.08
Conceded	1.10	1.08	1.12
BTTS	34%	42%	27%
Clean Sheet	42%	33%	50%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Zira	3	9	100%	3.0	6	1	+5	2.3	67%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	12	6	1	6	2.0	0.3	-
2	Neftchi Baku	3	6	67%	2.0	8	2	+6	3.3	67%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	13	4	3	6	2.7	0.7	-
3	Qarabag	2	6	100%	3.0	4	1	+3	2.5	50%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	25	8	3	14	2.0	0.5	-
4	Sabah FA	2	6	100%	3.0	3	0	+3	1.5	50%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	17	5	5	7	1.5	0.0	-
5	Turan	3	4	33%	1.3	1	1	+0	0.7	0%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	10	3	2	5	0.3	0.3	-
6	Imisli FK	3	4	33%	1.3	2	3	-1	1.7	33%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	3	1	3	0.7	1.0	-
7	Kapaz	2	3	50%	1.5	1	2	-1	1.5	50%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	1	2	3	0.5	1.0	-
8	Safa Baku	3	3	33%	1.0	1	3	-2	1.3	33%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	0	3	0.3	1.0	-
9	Şamaxı FK	3	2	0%	0.7	1	3	-2	1.3	33%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	0.3	1.0	-
10	Qabala	3	1	0%	0.3	0	2	-2	0.7	0%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	1	1	3	0.0	0.7	-
11	Araz	3	1	0%	0.3	0	6	-6	2.0	33%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	3	2	2	0.0	2.0	-
12	Sumqayıt	2	0	0%	0.0	1	4	-3	2.5	50%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	4	2	4	0.5	2.0	-

Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa stats & trends →

← all matches

Safa Baku vs Imisli FK Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Safa Baku

Imisli FK

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Safa Baku

Imisli FK

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Safa Baku

Imisli FK

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Safa Baku

Imisli FK

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature