This opponent (Estac Troyes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Estac Troyes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
2.27
0.36
1.93
0.88
2.56
vs Stronger (12)
0.92
3.00
0.60
3.00
1.14
3.00
vs Similar (16)
0.31
1.81
0.22
1.33
0.43
2.43
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.50
-
-
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
7% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.1%
Under 1.5
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.4%
Under 2.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.0%
Under 3.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.2%
No
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.0%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
1-0 ✓
9.2%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.5%
4-0
4.4%
Saint Etienne goals ↓
Estac Troyes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.5%
3.2%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
1
9.2%
9.9%
4.0%
1.2%
0.3%
2
11%
9.8%
4.4%
1.3%
0.3%
3
8.0%
7.2%
3.2%
0.9%
0.2%
4
4.4%
3.9%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Saint Etienne goals (down), columns = Estac Troyes goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.53
Lyon
1.71
Monaco
1.71
Nice
1.66
Lille
1.58
Saint Etienne
1.53
Caen
1.42
Rennes
1.37
Bastia
1.32
Angers
1.32
Bordeaux
1.32
Montpellier
1.29
Nantes
1.26
Marseille
1.26
Lorient
1.21
Guingamp
1.16
Toulouse
1.05
Reims
1.03
Ajaccio
0.97
Estac Troyes
0.47
Saint Etienne is 1.05 points better than Estac Troyes in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 0.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.68
Lyon
1.76
Nice
1.53
Monaco
1.50
Rennes
1.37
Bordeaux
1.32
Montpellier
1.29
Marseille
1.26
Guingamp
1.24
Lorient
1.24
Toulouse
1.18
Reims
1.16
Saint Etienne
1.11
Angers
1.05
Lille
1.03
Caen
1.03
Ajaccio
0.97
Bastia
0.95
Nantes
0.87
Estac Troyes
0.74
Saint Etienne is 0.37 goals better than Estac Troyes in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 0.74).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Paris Saint Germain
0.50
Lille
0.71
Saint Etienne
0.97
Angers
1.00
Nice
1.08
Marseille
1.11
Bastia
1.11
Lyon
1.13
Nantes
1.16
Montpellier
1.24
Monaco
1.32
Caen
1.37
Rennes
1.42
Toulouse
1.45
Guingamp
1.47
Bordeaux
1.50
Reims
1.50
Ajaccio
1.53
Lorient
1.53
Estac Troyes
2.18
Saint Etienne is 1.21 goals better than Estac Troyes in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 2.18).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Saint Etienne
For 6.6 · Against 5.3 · Total 11.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 12.0 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Estac Troyes
For 4.9 · Against 6.4 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 11.3 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Saint Etienne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (32)
11.1
11.9
10.5
3.8
3.7
3.8
27.8
25.1
30.2
vs Stronger (11)
12.1
13.6
10.8
3.8
3.6
4.0
30.4
27.0
33.2
vs Similar (13)
11.3
13.2
9.7
4.2
4.3
4.1
25.7
21.5
29.3
vs Weaker (8)
9.5
7.8
11.2
3.0
3.0
3.0
27.9
28.2
27.5
% over line
66%
73%
59%
56%
53%
59%
75%
53%
94%
% under line
34%
27%
41%
44%
47%
41%
25%
47%
6%
This opponent (Estac Troyes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Estac Troyes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (32)
11.9
13.1
10.6
3.5
3.9
3.0
22.8
24.4
21.3
vs Stronger (13)
12.7
15.7
10.1
3.2
4.2
2.4
21.6
23.3
20.1
vs Similar (16)
11.4
11.6
11.1
3.4
3.8
3.0
23.7
25.7
21.1
vs Weaker (3)
11.0
12.0
10.5
4.7
4.0
5.0
23.7
19.0
26.0
% over line
72%
81%
62%
47%
56%
38%
56%
69%
44%
% under line
28%
19%
38%
53%
44%
62%
44%
31%
56%
This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Estac Troyes
11.9
Caen
11.1
Saint Etienne
11.1
Monaco
10.1
Lille
10.1
Lorient
9.8
Marseille
9.7
Bordeaux
9.7
Angers
9.4
Rennes
9.4
Nice
9.2
Guingamp
9.2
Toulouse
9.2
Montpellier
9.1
Nantes
8.8
Paris Saint Germain
8.8
Ajaccio
8.8
Bastia
8.7
Reims
8.6
Lyon
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lille
4.9
Guingamp
4.7
Bastia
4.6
Lyon
4.6
Reims
4.5
Nice
4.4
Monaco
4.4
Toulouse
4.3
Bordeaux
4.3
Nantes
4.2
Montpellier
4.2
Angers
4.1
Ajaccio
4.0
Marseille
4.0
Rennes
3.9
Lorient
3.8
Saint Etienne
3.8
Caen
3.5
Estac Troyes
3.5
Paris Saint Germain
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lille
32.1
Guingamp
29.2
Toulouse
28.8
Marseille
28.5
Monaco
28.4
Lyon
28.1
Saint Etienne
27.8
Nantes
27.7
Reims
27.5
Bastia
27.4
Montpellier
27.4
Bordeaux
27.2
Ajaccio
25.8
Nice
25.8
Angers
25.6
Lorient
25.6
Caen
24.9
Rennes
24.8
Estac Troyes
22.8
Paris Saint Germain
22.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
65.7%
Under 9.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
44.7%
Under 3.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
70.3%
Under 21.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Saint Etienne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.40
0.29
0.43
0.38
0.38
vs Stronger (11)
0.00
0.36
0.00
0.40
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.42
0.50
0.67
0.50
0.17
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.43
0.33
0.00
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Estac Troyes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Estac Troyes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.93
0.14
1.00
0.38
0.88
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
1.17
0.40
1.40
0.29
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.06
0.81
0.00
0.78
0.14
0.86
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
-
-
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Saint Etienne over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estac Troyes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estac Troyes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estac Troyes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Saint Etienne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.63
1.21
0.50
0.56
0.75
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
1.09
0.60
0.80
0.50
1.33
vs Similar (12)
1.00
0.33
1.50
0.17
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
0.43
1.67
0.67
0.75
0.25
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Estac Troyes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Estac Troyes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
1.33
0.21
0.93
0.50
1.69
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
1.83
0.20
1.60
0.86
2.00
vs Similar (16)
0.25
1.00
0.22
0.56
0.29
1.57
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Saint Etienne over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estac Troyes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estac Troyes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estac Troyes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Saint Etienne · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Irvin Cardona75%
Thierno Ballo75%
Jakob Breum67%
Zuriko Davitashvili25%
Áron Csongvai25%
Augustine Boakye25%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Julien Le Cardinal0%
Maxime Bernauer0%
Tamar Svetlin0%
Sohaib Nair0%
Joshua Duffus0%
Kevin Pedro0%
Adam Baallal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jakob Breum67%
Zuriko Davitashvili25%
Maxime Bernauer25%
Irvin Cardona0%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Julien Le Cardinal0%
Tamar Svetlin0%
Thierno Ballo0%
Áron Csongvai0%
Sohaib Nair0%
Joshua Duffus0%
Augustine Boakye0%
Kevin Pedro0%
Adam Baallal0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jakob Breum67%
Irvin Cardona50%
Thierno Ballo50%
Augustine Boakye50%
Zuriko Davitashvili25%
Áron Csongvai25%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Julien Le Cardinal0%
Maxime Bernauer0%
Tamar Svetlin0%
Sohaib Nair0%
Joshua Duffus0%
Kevin Pedro0%
Adam Baallal0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thierno Ballo50%
Jakob Breum33%
Irvin Cardona25%
Zuriko Davitashvili25%
Joshua Duffus25%
Kevin Pedro25%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Julien Le Cardinal0%
Maxime Bernauer0%
Tamar Svetlin0%
Áron Csongvai0%
Sohaib Nair0%
Augustine Boakye0%
Adam Baallal0%
Estac Troyes · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tawfik Bentayeb48%
Martin Adeline32%
Renaud Ripart29%
Kandet Diawara23%
Jaures Assoumou21%
Mounaim El Idrissy14%
Merwan Ifnaoui14%
Mouhamed Diop12%
Antoine Mille9%
Mathys Detourbet9%
Elijah Olaniyi Odede8%
Anis Ouzenadji4%
Ismaël Boura4%
Paolo Gozzi0%
Alexandre Phliponeau0%
Adrien Monfray0%
Hillel Konaté0%
Nicolas Lemaitre0%
Xavier Chavalerin0%
Lucas Maronnier0%
Hugo Gambor0%
Yvann Titi0%
Roman Murcy0%
Sankhoun Diawara0%
Amadou Diakité0%
Noah Donkor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Amadou Diakité33%
Nicolas Lemaitre30%
Adrien Monfray26%
Hugo Gambor26%
Lucas Maronnier22%
Mounaim El Idrissy21%
Paolo Gozzi20%
Xavier Chavalerin20%
Antoine Mille18%
Jaures Assoumou16%
Martin Adeline15%
Ismaël Boura14%
Sankhoun Diawara13%
Anis Ouzenadji13%
Renaud Ripart12%
Mouhamed Diop12%
Mathys Detourbet11%
Tawfik Bentayeb10%
Hillel Konaté8%
Kandet Diawara8%
Alexandre Phliponeau7%
Yvann Titi5%
Merwan Ifnaoui3%
Roman Murcy0%
Elijah Olaniyi Odede0%
Noah Donkor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martin Adeline29%
Noah Donkor20%
Yvann Titi18%
Mathys Detourbet17%
Merwan Ifnaoui14%
Antoine Mille12%
Tawfik Bentayeb10%
Mouhamed Diop9%
Kandet Diawara8%
Elijah Olaniyi Odede8%
Mounaim El Idrissy7%
Ismaël Boura7%
Sankhoun Diawara7%
Hugo Gambor5%
Jaures Assoumou5%
Lucas Maronnier4%
Anis Ouzenadji4%
Paolo Gozzi0%
Alexandre Phliponeau0%
Adrien Monfray0%
Hillel Konaté0%
Renaud Ripart0%
Nicolas Lemaitre0%
Xavier Chavalerin0%
Roman Murcy0%
Amadou Diakité0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tawfik Bentayeb42%
Jaures Assoumou32%
Mathys Detourbet17%
Kandet Diawara15%
Renaud Ripart12%
Mouhamed Diop12%
Elijah Olaniyi Odede8%
Merwan Ifnaoui7%
Martin Adeline6%
Lucas Maronnier4%
Mounaim El Idrissy4%
Antoine Mille3%
Paolo Gozzi0%
Alexandre Phliponeau0%
Adrien Monfray0%
Hillel Konaté0%
Nicolas Lemaitre0%
Xavier Chavalerin0%
Ismaël Boura0%
Hugo Gambor0%
Yvann Titi0%
Anis Ouzenadji0%
Roman Murcy0%
Sankhoun Diawara0%
Amadou Diakité0%
Noah Donkor0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
MON (26)
€326m
LIL (27)
€312m
LYO (32)
€293m
REN (26)
€241m
MAR (22)
€225m
NIC (28)
€152m
TOU (24)
€115m
SE (30)
€93m
LOR (24)
€87m
NAN (25)
€82m
ANG (23)
€73m
REI (30)
€72m
ET (23)
€36m
MON (24)
€29m
GUI (20)
€11m
BAS (19)
€7m
CAE (18)
€4m
Saint Etienne's squad is €57m more valuable than Estac Troyes's (€93m vs €36m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (10)
€638m
MON (9)
€148m
LIL (13)
€133m
LYO (9)
€122m
MAR (9)
€91m
REN (8)
€87m
NIC (8)
€62m
SE (10)
€54m
REI (12)
€38m
NAN (8)
€31m
ANG (9)
€30m
TOU (7)
€30m
LOR (8)
€20m
MON (9)
€11m
ET (7)
€7m
BAS (9)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
CAE (8)
€2m
Saint Etienne's attack is €47m more valuable than Estac Troyes's (€54m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
LIL (4)
€102m
MON (5)
€84m
LYO (8)
€82m
MAR (5)
€68m
REN (5)
€44m
TOU (7)
€39m
LOR (5)
€32m
NIC (9)
€31m
NAN (7)
€16m
REI (6)
€13m
ANG (3)
€11m
ET (6)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
MON (5)
€6m
GUI (8)
€4m
BAS (3)
€1m
CAE (4)
€1m
Saint Etienne and Estac Troyes have a similar midfield value (both €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (11)
€409m
REN (13)
€109m
MON (12)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
LIL (10)
€76m
MAR (8)
€66m
NIC (11)
€60m
TOU (10)
€46m
LOR (11)
€35m
NAN (10)
€34m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
REI (12)
€21m
ET (10)
€17m
MON (10)
€12m
GUI (8)
€3m
BAS (7)
€2m
CAE (6)
€2m
Saint Etienne's defence is €10m more valuable than Estac Troyes's (€28m vs €17m).
France: Ligue 1 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →
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Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
Monaco
Nice
Lille
Caen
Rennes
Angers
Bastia
Bordeaux
Montpellier
Marseille
Nantes
Lorient
Guingamp
Toulouse
Reims
Ajaccio